Fiscal Policy & Debt - The bill is projected to add $4 trillion to the national debt [2] - The bill could lead to deficits reaching 8% of GDP, a level almost unprecedented during peacetime without external shocks [2] - Future reconciliation packages are promised to cut the deficit, but the means to achieve this, especially without raising taxes on the wealthy, are unclear [6][7] Tax Implications & Distribution - The tax breaks in the bill may negatively impact poorer, working-class Americans while benefiting the wealthy [3] - Approximately 60% of the benefits are expected to go to individuals earning over $220,000 [14] - Certain aspects of the bill, such as no tax on tips, the child tax credit, and permanent no tax on overtime, could be supported in isolation [14] Market & Economic Impact - The bond market's reaction to the bill has been surprisingly muted [8] - There is a concern that tariff policy is slowing the economy, which, combined with massive deficit spending, could put pressure on interest rates [10] - Permanent expensing and making tax cuts permanent could be attractive to businesses and spur investment [12][13]

You tend to announce your pick for successor to Jay Powell earlier than then, say, or as early as, say, the summer or the fall. Well, I do something about who it's going to be. Yes.I don't know. Hey, give me a break. I do.She'd be a good candidate. Anybody would be Jay Powell. You know, he's closing is unfortunate because he keeps the rate way up.I think it's Trump derangement syndrome personally. But, you know, we have a very strong country with we're the strongest country. Look, our country right now is a ...

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent questioned Fed policymakers’ judgment on interest rates, reiterating his view that two-year Treasury yields are a signal that their benchmark rate is too high https://t.co/Ze9Ony2Qdj ...

Expectations are growing for Malaysia’s central bank to cut interest rates at its policy meeting on July 9, which is also the deadline for countries to reach trade deals with the US to avert swingeing tariffs. https://t.co/GGfjaodhWh ...

Dollar weakness continues to dominate our G10 FX views with US-RoW rate and growth convergence, as well as increased FX hedging, remaining in play. USD View: Bearish | Skew: Bearish The DXY should continue trading lower as US growth and rates converge to those of the rest of the world, and increased FX hedging adds risk premium to the USD. EUR View: Bullish | Skew: Bullish July 2, 2025 07:50 AM GMT Global Macro Strategy | Global G10 FX Chart Pack Top charts we are watching for each G10 currency with economi ...

Let's bring in the aforementioned pioneer of the bond vigilante term, Ed Yardeni, the president of Yardeni Research. Ed, this is an environment where it's surfacing again, that term bond vigilantes, but they don't seem to be nearly as effective of vigilanteism as the original bond vigilantes that helped you coin the phrase. Correct. Correct.Well, you know this they were most active in the 1980s and then in the 1990s inflation came down and the administration back then the Clinton administration recognized t ...

Welcome back to Power Launch. As Kelly alluded to, Treasury yields are rising as investors digest weaker data for the jobs market and weigh the impact of President Trump's tax and spending package working its way through Congress. And now the next key report will be tomorrow's big granddaddy of them all, the big jobs number. Our Rick Santelli has the bond report with all of those factors at play and the big non-farm payrolls tomorrow.Rick. Yes, Dom. What an interesting day and for a variety of reasons.As yo ...

Speaking of the weak dollar, my next guest has three names that should benefit from that. Or maybe it's the whole market as we were just discussing. Michael Caneritz is here.He's the chief investment strategist at Piper Sandler. It's great to see you. You too.What What is the the sort of top level effect of a dollar being down 10%. I mean, is it supportive for stocks. What happens if it continues. What happens if it doesn't.I I think it's positive. I mean, at least that's what I've we've observed through mo ...

RT CoinDesk Podcast Network (@CoinDeskPodcast)📊 US M2 money supply hits a record $21.94 trillion in May, its fastest growth in nearly three years. Will this fuel inflation and keep Fed rates high?.@jennsanasie brings you "Chart of the Day," presented by @cryptocom. 🔗👇 https://t.co/t9lVKsVUT3 ...

🇺🇸 NEW: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the Fed could cut interest rates by September, or sooner, if Trump’s tariffs continue showing little inflation impact. https://t.co/KbvReZ3Cqh ...