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Sanctions have a far greater impact on Russian oil flows than tariffs: Energy Aspects' Amrita Sen
CNBC Television· 2025-10-24 12:53
Market Impact of Sanctions - US sanctions on Russian oil producers could remove 15 million to 25 million barrels per day from the market [2] - Enforced sanctions could lead to significantly higher oil prices, potentially reaching $80-$90 per barrel [4][5] - Even with workarounds and continued flows to China, Russian oil exports could still decrease by at least 1 million barrels per day, leading to higher prices [8] Sanction Enforcement and Workarounds - The market is skeptical about the enforcement of sanctions, as workarounds are often found [3][5] - Sanctions are considered more impactful than tariffs because banks and insurance companies become cautious, affecting funding and business dealings [10][11][12] - New entities in the Middle East may emerge to trade sanctioned volumes [7] Geopolitical Factors and Market Sentiment - The Trump administration may have imposed sanctions due to low oil prices [9] - The EU is coordinating with the US on sanctions, despite potential impacts on Western energy prices [13][14] - The market is skeptical that the West has the appetite for high energy prices, influencing price expectations [15] Short-Term and Long-Term Price Outlook - Oil prices may grind higher in the short term, with Brent potentially trading at $70 again [15] - Many traders believe the rally is temporary due to an oversupplied market expected in 2026 [16][17] - If sanctions are enforced after the November 21st deadline, a material increase in prices could be seen into 2026, but a sell-off is expected after the near-term increase [17]
Putin responds to new oil sanctions, calls them an 'unfriendly act'
MSNBC· 2025-10-24 12:06
show here. Russian President Vladimir Putin is responding to the news that the United States is imposing sanctions on Russia's largest oil company. Speaking to reporters in Moscow yesterday, Putin called the move an unfriendly act.He went on to say it is an attempt to put pressure on Russia but added no self-respecting country ever does anything under pressure. Putin brushed off the idea that sanctions will have a significant impact, but conceded that some losses are expected. According to the Wall Street J ...
How Well Will Russia Withstand New U.S. Sanctions?
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-24 11:30
Company Developments - Target (TGT) is eliminating 1,800 positions, approximately 8% of its corporate workforce, in response to a 36% decline in shares over the past year, aiming to enhance agility [3] - Rivian (RIVN) plans to lay off 600 employees and has settled a $250 million lawsuit [8] - Mondelez (MDLZ) intends to reduce marketing costs through the use of generative AI [8] - Intel (INTC) shows signs of turnaround progress in its latest earnings report [7] Industry Insights - Crude oil prices have stabilized above $60 per barrel after a significant increase, driven by new U.S. sanctions on Russian energy giants Rosneft and Lukoil, which have been largely unaffected since the onset of the Ukraine war [4] - The Trump administration's sanctions may complicate transactions for buyers of Russian crude, particularly for Indian and Chinese refiners, who may face additional risks and potential discounts [6] - Gas prices in the U.S. have fallen below $3 per gallon on average following OPEC+ production increases [5] Market Overview - In Asia, Japan increased by 1.4%, Hong Kong by 0.7%, and China by 0.7%, while India decreased by 0.4% [8] - In Europe, midday trading showed London down by 0.1%, Paris down by 0.5%, and Frankfurt down by 0.1% [8] - Futures indicate a slight increase with Dow up by 0.1%, S&P by 0.3%, and Nasdaq by 0.5% [8]
X @The Wall Street Journal
India and China have come to rely on cheap Russian oil and don’t want President Trump’s new sanctions against Russia’s two biggest oil companies to disrupt their economies. But the pressure is rising. https://t.co/YvPPWBxbCM ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-24 09:40
Shipping Industry & Geopolitics - A Chinese shipping firm, Pacific Gas, owns a liquefied natural gas (LNG) tanker [1] - The tanker appears to be receiving fuel from a sanctioned Russian vessel off Malaysia [1]
US-Canada trade talks in tatters over ad spat
Youtube· 2025-10-24 07:25
分组1 - President Trump has halted all trade negotiations with Canada following an advertisement that criticized his tariff policies using Ronald Reagan's legacy [3][4][9] - The EU leaders failed to reach an agreement on utilizing frozen Russian assets to support Ukraine, with Belgium raising legal concerns [5][6][7] - The EU Commission President stated that the EU will continue to support Ukraine and ensure that any actions taken will respect European and international law [5][6][8] 分组2 - NatWest reported strong financial results, with a net interest income of £3.3 billion and total income of £4.3 billion for the third quarter, reflecting a 35% increase in share price over the year [3][4] - The bank has upgraded its income and returns guidance for 2025, expecting a return on tangible equity greater than 18% [3][4] - NatWest is not significantly exposed to the motor finance market, unlike other banks such as Lloyds, which have faced challenges [4][6] 分组3 - The U.S. has imposed new sanctions on Russian oil companies, indicating a willingness to increase pressure on Russia to end the war in Ukraine [9][10][14] - The U.S. ambassador to the EU emphasized that the U.S. will continue to ramp up pressure until Russia recognizes that the war is not in its best interest [10][14] - The ongoing conflict has led to economic challenges in Russia, including inflation and public discontent, which may influence the outcome of the war [10][14] 分组4 - The gold market has seen significant price movements, with gold prices experiencing a rally, although some analysts question the sustainability of this trend [19][20][30] - Pan African Resources is set to increase production by 30-40% in the next year, benefiting from the current gold price environment [22][25][26] - The company has positioned itself as a low-cost producer, with production costs around $1,500 per ounce, allowing it to remain profitable even if gold prices decline [31][32]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-24 03:13
Trade tensions remain a key focus for India markets, with senior executives at refiners warning that flows of Russian oil will likely fall to near zero following US sanctions.Read what could move markets today for free with your email. https://t.co/L3ggDlbT5x ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-24 02:56
Market Trends - Trade tensions are a key focus for India markets [1] - US sanctions are likely to cause Russian oil flows to India to fall to near zero [1] Industry Impact - Refiners' senior executives warn of potential disruptions in Russian oil supply [1]
Russian oil sector slapped with U.S. sanctions in bid to get Putin to agree to ceasefire
NBC News· 2025-10-24 01:39
Geopolitical Risk - The Trump administration imposed sanctions on Lucille and Ross Neft, two large Russian companies [1][2] - The sanctions put pressure on the price of oil [2] - President Putin called the sanctions an unfriendly act but stated they won't significantly impact Russia's economy [3] Political Impact - President Zalinski welcomed the news of the sanctions, considering it an important decision [2] - President Trump stated the sanctions were implemented because conversations with President Putin were unproductive [2]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-23 23:08
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said he’s optimistic that the US will exempt Rosneft’s German unit from Washington’s latest sanctions against Russia https://t.co/gJ5CfdZQPU ...