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土耳其央行出手反击短期套利交易 遏制“热钱”流入里拉市场
智通财经网· 2025-06-11 12:39
智通财经APP获悉,土耳其政策制定者正采取行动遏制所谓的"热钱"流入里拉市场,对全球最赚钱的货 币套利交易之一展开反击。 尽管央行持续严格管控里拉市场并允许货币渐进贬值,但交易员称近期市场波动变得更难预测。彭博计 算显示,尤其在最近几个周五,里拉贬值速度比其他交易日平均快三到四倍。 尽管里拉对美元仍在持续贬值,但土耳其政府正推行"实际升值"政策,即让货币跌幅低于消费者通胀 率。随着月度通胀预期放缓,政策制定者正让实际升值的节奏变得更难预判。不过,套利交易仍有利可 图。 彭博基于滚动一月远期合约的衡量显示,5月里拉套利交易回报率达2021年以来最高,足以弥补3月的损 失。独立土耳其经济学家哈卢克·布鲁姆切克计算表明,自4月18日至上周,套利交易流入资金约34亿美 元。 交易员透露,该交易已连续五个季度盈利,上一次如此长的连胜纪录还要追溯至2012年,且当前主要由 短期资本流入(即热钱)和超短期头寸推动——持仓时间通常不超过一周。 摩根士丹利、德意志银行和荷兰国际集团近期重申对里拉套利交易的做多建议,汇丰则主张买入长期本 币债券。 这种周五加速贬值的现象,直接打击了一种流行的短期交易策略——投资者在周四晚间通过隔 ...
北证50成分股调整!机会直指这里——
北证三板研习社· 2025-06-11 11:47
下周一(6月16日),北证50指数将完成年内第二次调整,指数基金的被动调仓将带来一些套利机会, 北研君已在小号发文梳理,请各位读者前往查看,同时关注我们的防丢小号: 北证50指数年内第二次调整!哪些个股有机会? ...
信创ETF套利折戟追因:权重稀释、溢价回落与市场回调
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-06-11 10:41
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the significant market reaction to the merger between Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang, which is seen as a "strong union" in the domestic computing power sector, potentially reshaping the industry competition landscape [4][9]. - The merger announcement led to a surge in funds flowing into the Xinchuang ETFs, with nearly 7 billion yuan invested from May 26 to June 9, indicating strong market interest [4][6]. - On the first trading day after the merger, Zhongke Shuguang's stock price hit the daily limit, while Haiguang Information opened high but later fell, contrasting with the collective decline of related Xinchuang ETFs [3][4]. Group 2 - The market performance post-reopening surprised many arbitrage funds, as the expected premium on Xinchuang ETFs quickly disappeared, leading to significant sell-offs [5][6]. - Fund companies implemented measures to curb arbitrage activities, including setting purchase limits and issuing risk warnings to protect long-term investors [6][7]. - The rapid expansion of Xinchuang ETF scales diluted the actual weight of the suspended stocks in the portfolio, significantly weakening the ETFs' ability to realize gains [5][6]. Group 3 - Despite the overall decline in the Xinchuang sector on June 10, many institutions remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of the Xinchuang industry, citing ongoing technological advancements and policy support [9]. - The merger and restructuring within the Xinchuang industry are expected to evolve towards "technology complementary integration" and "ecosystem closure construction," enhancing vertical collaboration between software service providers and hardware manufacturers [9]. - The domestic computing power and Xinchuang sectors are anticipated to benefit from policy support for self-control and technological iteration, with a positive outlook for sustained growth [9].
先锋期货期权日报-20250611
Xian Feng Qi Huo· 2025-06-11 09:04
先锋期货期权日报 2025-6-11 风险揭示 本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议。本报告所载 的资料、工具、意见及推测只提供给客户作参考之用。过去的表现并不代表未来 的表现,未来的回报也无法保证,投资者可能会损失本金。 在任何情况下,我们不对任何人因使用本报告中的任何内容所引致的任何损 失负任何责任,投资者需自行承担风险。此报告中所指的投资及服务可能不适合 阁下,我们建议阁下如有任何疑问应咨询独立投资顾问。 | 标的 | 平值期权隐 | 排名 | 标的30天历 | 排名 | 标的当 = | 排名 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 含液动率 | | 中波动画 | | 真实波幅 | | | sc2507 | 2.4% | 1 | 2.0% | 4 | 1.7% | 13 | | br2507 | 1.9% | 2 | 2.1% | 3 | 2.4% | 3 | | ps2508 | 1.9% | 3 | 1.9% | 6 | 2.1% | 6 | | ag2507 | 1.9% | 4 | 1.4% | ા ર | 1.0% ...
两面针“不差钱却借钱”的背后真相。。。
梧桐树下V· 2025-06-11 08:12
2024 年末,公司账上货币资金余额 12.73 亿元 ,其中母公司期末货币资金余额 11.42 亿元,占比为 89.71%。母 公司账上资金较多,是2019 年公司将持有柳州两面针纸品有限公司、柳州两面针房地产开发有限公司股权,以 及公司对这两家公司的债权转让给产投集团,实施重大资产交易,获得对价本金及利息约12亿元。 文 /梧桐晓编 2024年,柳州两面针(600249)自有资金12亿元用于存款收取利息,却向银行贷款9000万元支付利息,这是什 么商业逻辑?6月11日,两面针发布的《 2024 年年度报告的信息披露监管问询函的回复》揭开了真相:原来存 款利率显著高于贷款利率!年综合平均存款利率3.26%,最高的存款年利率高达3.8%,而公司贷款均享受优 惠、贴息后的利率,优惠或贴息后贷款利率最低的只有0.22%,最高的也只有2.6%。 上交所对两面针 2024年年报问询第一个问题:年报披露,报告期末公司货币资金12.73 亿元,占总资产比重 46.78%,短期借款 0.90 亿元,同比增加 55.17%。公司在持有大额现金的同时新增短期借款。 上交所要求公司 说明公司在货币资金较多的情况下对外新增借款的原 ...
工商业储能市场走向“多元化价值重构”时代
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-06-11 06:24
Core Viewpoint - The construction of a new power system is accelerating, establishing the definitive role and trend of commercial and industrial (C&I) energy storage as a key flexibility resource, while recent policy changes have introduced uncertainties in the domestic C&I energy storage market [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - The release of the document "Notice on Deepening the Market-oriented Reform of New Energy Grid Connection Prices to Promote High-quality Development of New Energy" has led to significant adjustments in electricity pricing policies across several provinces, reducing the arbitrage opportunities for energy storage [1] - The industry is at a critical juncture for reconstructing business models due to these changes in the market environment [1] Group 2: Company Initiatives - Envision Group launched the "Envision Formula" and an ecological cooperation conference during the SNEC exhibition, aiming to find "certainty" amidst the current "uncertainty" in the C&I energy storage sector [1] - The company is building three core capabilities: product certainty, model certainty, and revenue certainty, through an integrated solution of hardware, software, and services, along with a partner incentive program [1] Group 3: Technological Innovations - Envision's technological breakthrough lies in dynamically optimizing decision-making paths to match the highest value application modes based on real-time electricity prices and load demands, thereby enhancing the economic value of each kilowatt-hour [2] - The Envision energy storage cabinet can integrate with the self-developed microgrid collaborative controller and the cloud-based EnOS energy management platform for real-time interactions, maximizing local electricity revenue through various strategies [2] Group 4: Market Participation - Envision's EnOS virtual power plant can aggregate multiple asset sources to participate in electricity spot market trading, demand response, and ancillary services, creating multiple policy subsidies and market revenues [2] - The company emphasizes that understanding customer needs and possessing system capabilities are essential for navigating uncertainties in electricity pricing and market conditions, thereby ensuring long-term value creation for C&I energy storage projects [2]
贵金属日报:重要经济数据及事件相对稀疏,贵金属暂陷震荡-20250611
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-06-11 03:30
贵金属日报 | 2025-06-11 重要经济数据及事件相对稀疏 贵金属暂陷震荡 市场要闻与重要数据 在关税事宜方面,据外媒称,印度和美国有望在月底前达成一项临时贸易协议、美墨接近就钢铁进口关税达成协 议。此外,特朗普称,洛杉矶骚乱事件是"外国入侵"。美法官驳回加州有关立即阻止特朗普政府向该州派兵的 请求。地缘方面,俄驻美大使表示,俄美新一轮会谈将于近期在莫斯科举行。 期货行情与成交量: 2025-06-10,沪金主力合约开于 774.00元/克,收于 775.06元/克,较前一交易日收盘 0.04%。当日成交量为 179960手,持仓量为 170163手。昨日夜盘沪金主力合约开于 777.70 元/克,收于 774.96 元/克,较昨日午后收盘 上涨0.23%。 2025-06-10,沪银主力合约开于 8900元/千克,收于 8887元/千克,较前一交易日收盘-1.31%。当日成交量为 969816手,持仓量 465984手。昨日夜盘沪银主力合约开于 8,910 元/千克,收于 8,889 元/千克,较昨日午后收盘 下降0.43%。 美债收益率与利差监控: 2025-06-10,美国 10 年期国债利率收于 ...
宝城期货品种套利数据日报-20250611
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-06-11 03:26
www.bcqhgs.com 1 杭州市求是路8号公元大厦东南裙楼1-5层 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 运筹帷幄 决胜千里 宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025 年 6 月 11 日) 一、动力煤 | 商品 | | | 动力煤(元/吨) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | 5月-1月 | 9月-1月 | 9月-5月 | | 2025/06/10 | -192.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/09 | -192.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/06 | -192.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/05 | -192.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/04 | -192.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 动力煤基差 基差(右) 动力煤现货价:秦皇岛 ...
广发期货日评-20250611
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-11 03:26
欢迎关注微信公众号 主力合约 品种 点评 操作建议 板块 指数下方支撑较稳定,上方突破压力犹存,关税谈 II-2506 判仍在继续博弈,指数短期受消息面影响波动,可 IH2506 TMT集体受挫,A股低走回调 股指 IC2506 卖出中证1000指数7月执行价5800附近看跌期权 IM2506 收取权利金。 单边策略上,当10年和30年利率波动至1.7%、 1.9%以上时可以适当配置国债期货多单。期现策 目前来看债市仍未脱离区间震荡,但近期由于央行阿护资金面 12509 略上建议适当关注TS2509合约正套策略。曲线策 TF2509 利多因素相对增加,期债上行的概率有一定提升,目前预计波 国债 略上,鉴于当前曲线平坦,中期来看做陡的空间更 TS2509 动区间10年期国债利率可能在1.60%-1.75%,30年国债利率 大,边际驱动上,如果央行重启买债或资金利率突 金融 可能在1.80%-1.95%。关注中美关税谈判。 TL2509 破下行短债利率下方空间打开,或有波段做陡机会 出现。 黄金短期维持区间震荡期间仍有脉冲式波动可能, 美官员表示中美贸易磋商进展顺利 市场等待新驱动贵金属波动 建议参考波动率逢高做 ...
有色套利早报-20250611
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-11 02:04
有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/06/11 铜:跨市套利跟踪 2025/06/11 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 79260 9814 8.06 三月 78770 9730 8.13 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.17 -1195.14 现货出口 375.79 锌:跨市套利跟踪 2025/06/11 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22170 2603 8.52 三月 21655 2636 6.39 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.70 -481.62 铝:跨市套利跟踪 2025/06/11 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20160 2472 8.15 三月 19880 2465 8.13 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.66 -1240.39 镍:跨市套利跟踪 2025/06/11 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 123050 15171 8.11 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.27 -3823.28 跨期套利跟踪 2025/06/11 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -120 -230 -370 -600 理论价差 497 892 1296 1700 锌 ...