Core Viewpoint - The escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran could lead to significant volatility in global financial markets, particularly affecting the gold market and international exchange rates, with next week's trends being highly uncertain [1] Group 1: Impact on Gold Market - Geopolitical conflicts are major drivers of gold price fluctuations, with gold being regarded as the "king of safe-haven assets" [3] - Historical instances, such as the post-9/11 period and the U.S.-Iran conflict in early 2020, show that gold prices can surge significantly during crises, with increases exceeding 20% in some cases [3] - If the U.S. bombs Iran, a strong upward trend in gold prices is likely due to heightened war risks and increased demand for gold as a safe haven [3] - War typically raises inflation expectations, which could further enhance gold's appeal as a hedge against inflation, leading to increased investment in gold [3] Group 2: Factors Influencing Gold Prices - Gold prices are also influenced by the U.S. dollar exchange rate, global economic growth expectations, and central bank monetary policies [4] - A strong dollar usually suppresses gold prices, while a weak dollar supports them; however, military actions may initially boost the dollar due to safe-haven flows, creating short-term pressure on gold [4] - Long-term economic uncertainty and inflation pressures from military actions could weaken the dollar's attractiveness, leading to a potential return of funds to the gold market [4] Group 3: Impact on International Exchange Rates - The U.S. bombing of Iran is expected to create significant turbulence in the foreign exchange market, with the dollar likely experiencing a temporary surge due to increased demand for safe-haven assets [5] - Historical trends, such as during the Gulf War, indicate that the dollar index may rise during crises, but prolonged military spending and economic uncertainty could negatively impact the dollar's long-term stability [5] - The euro may face pressure due to potential disruptions in trade with the Middle East, while the yen could attract safe-haven flows but may be limited by rising import costs from increased oil prices [6] - Emerging market currencies are likely to face greater pressure, with potential capital outflows leading to currency depreciation and stock market declines [6]

英镑兑美元GBP/USD短线走低16点，最低至1.3480。 英镑/美元 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant decline in UK retail sales, with a month-on-month decrease of 2.7% in May, marking the largest drop since December 2023 [1] - Following the release of the retail data, the GBP/USD exchange rate experienced a slight increase of 0.1%, reaching 1.3484 [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the GBP/USD exchange rate experienced a slight increase of 0.1%, reaching 1.3484 after the release of UK retail data [1]

周四（6月19日），韩元兑美元最终跌0.51%，报1380.56韩元。 ...

Group 1 - The euro has turned upward against the US dollar, currently reported at 1.1482 [1] - EU Economic Commissioner Dombrovskis stated that progress has been made in trade negotiations with the US [1] - The EU is prepared to take action if a solution to the US-EU trade issues cannot be found [1]

英镑兑美元短线下跌约20点，现报1.3417。此前英国央行维持利率不变，符合预期。 ...

在岸人民币兑美元6月19日16:30收盘报7.1882，较上一交易日下跌14点。 ...

印尼盾兑美元跌幅达0.4%至16,367，为5月21日以来最低水平。 ...

周三（6月18日），韩元兑美元最终涨0.06%，报1373.52韩元。 ...