投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】31号 II GER期货 航运衍生品数据日报 | | | | 国贸期货研究院 能源化工研究中心 | | | 投资咨询号：Z0021177 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 卢钊毅 | | 从业资格号:F03101843 | | 2025/5/19 | | | | | 数据来源：Clarksons、Wind | | | | | | | 运价指数 | 上海出口集装箱运价 综合指数SCFI | 中国出口集装箱运价 指数CCFI | SCFI-美西 | SCFIS-美西 | SCFI-美东 | SCFI-西北欧 | | | 现值 | | | | | | | | (三三 | | 1345 | 1106 | 2347 | 1455 | 3335 | 1161 | | All | 前值 | 1341 | 1121 | 2272 | 1321 | 3283 | 1200 | | 运 | 涨跌幅 | 0.32% | -1.31% | 3.30% | 10.19% | 1.58% | -3.25% | ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a mixed performance with a slight decline in major indices, while certain sectors show strength due to recent regulatory changes that may boost M&A activities and related financing opportunities [3][7]. Market Overview - As of the midday close, the Shanghai Composite Index is at 3364.44 points, down 0.09%, the Shenzhen Component Index at 10142.78 points, down 0.36%, and the ChiNext Index at 2028.66 points, down 0.53% [3]. - Overall, nearly 3000 stocks in the market are rising, indicating a mixed sentiment among investors [5]. Sector Performance - PEEK materials, robotics, biomedicine, and consumer electronics sectors are among the biggest decliners, while port shipping, real estate, tourism and hotels, controllable nuclear fusion, education, and chemical fiber sectors are performing well [7]. - The M&A and restructuring concept is active, with ST stocks continuing their upward trend [7]. Regulatory Changes - On May 16, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) officially implemented revised regulations on major asset restructuring for listed companies, aimed at simplifying review processes and enhancing regulatory inclusiveness [7]. - According to Dongwu Securities, the new regulations are expected to increase M&A projects and related financing activities, providing more opportunities for securities firms to participate as financial advisors, which could help offset declines in investment banking revenues [7]. Institutional Perspectives - Huatai Securities notes that the A-share market is currently in a weak stabilization phase of the inventory cycle, with ongoing capacity clearance, and suggests a "top-down" market condition [9]. - Zhongtai Securities emphasizes the investment value of bank stocks, particularly large banks and quality rural commercial banks, due to their dividend attributes [10]. - Guotai Junan Securities remains optimistic about the future of the A/H index, citing a decrease in risk-free rates and a shift towards a more investable and return-focused capital market [10].

科学应变，练好快速响应的基本功。民航运行是一个动态的过程，面临着各种不确定因素，因此必须克 服松懈心理，强化因时因势动态监控、动态评估、动态调整的意识，切实增强应变能力和运行韧性。要 紧盯早出港、晚进港等关键保障环节，聚焦航班集中备降、大面积延误、夜间大流量运行等高风险场 景，着重深化"全国-区域-机场"三级协同机制效能发挥，真正把早预警、早会商、早决策、早处置、早 告知的"五早"原则融入决策链条中，在强化实时态势监控的基础上实现快速响应。要高度重视不正常航 班运行恢复工作，细化完善并严格落实大面积航班延误处置预案，健全各单位统一指挥、上下顺畅、运 转高效的工作体系，落实"服务运行一体化"要求，切实提升旅客服务保障水平，提高处置效率。 主动求变，下好风险防范的先手棋。要高度重视复杂天气应对工作，进一步突出工作的前瞻性、预见 性，及时采取针对性安全措施进行系统防范，更好实现从被动防御、被动应对向主动规避、有效调控转 变。当前正值汛期，要清醒认识汛期天气形势的异常性严峻性，树牢防灾减灾救灾理念，全面评估汛期 自然灾害风险隐患，科学制定风险防范措施，提前做好应对准备，着力解决风险想不到、隐患查不出、 检查走过场等问 ...

金融工程 证 券 研 究 报 告 市场情绪监控周报（20250512-20250516） 本周热度变化最大行业为国防军工、交通运输 本周市场热度跟踪 本周宽基热度变化方面：热度变化率最大的为沪深 300，相比上周提高 2.96%， 最小的为中证 2000，相比上周降低 1.84%。 本周申万行业热度变化方面，一级行业中热度变化率正向变化前 5 的一级行 业分别为国防军工、交通运输、纺织服饰、美容护理、机械设备，负向变化前 5 的一级行业分别为食品饮料、钢铁、社会服务、公用事业、房地产；申万二 级行业中，热度正向变化率最大的 5 个行业是航运港口、航空装备Ⅱ、地面兵 装Ⅱ、纺织制造、军工电子Ⅱ。 本周概念热度变化最大的 5 个概念为航运概念、自由贸易港、中韩自贸区、工 业大麻、C2M 概念。 本周市场估值跟踪 本周宽基和行业估值： 沪深 300、中证 500、中证 1000 的滚动 5 年历史分位数分别为 56%、85%、 76%。 申万一级行业中，从 2015 年开始回溯，当前估值处于历史分位数 80%以上的 一级行业有：电力设备、计算机、国防军工、建筑材料；位于估值历史 20%以 下的有家用电器、农林牧渔、 ...

Group 1 - The Maritime Education Museum has achieved significant educational results by adhering to the "One Belt, Nine Museums, Five Corridors, One Road" planning concept and focusing on cultivating skilled workers for the deep blue industry in line with the needs of the new era of maritime power construction [1] - The museum's public WeChat account was upgraded to enhance the dissemination of maritime culture, promote maritime spirit, and stimulate youth interest in the ocean and maritime careers [1] - The institution has established various collaborative innovation and service platforms, including a maritime joint investigation laboratory and a national science popularization education base, aimed at improving continuing education and social training levels [1] Group 2 - The exhibition of the school's red history not only documents its development but also provides rich resources for patriotism and revolutionary tradition education, essential for nurturing talents for national construction and rejuvenation [2] - The Zheng He Maritime Culture Museum showcases valuable artifacts that highlight China's advanced maritime technology and shipbuilding skills during the Ming Dynasty, promoting the spirit of patriotism and resilience [2] - The museum's efforts are aligned with the goal of contributing to the construction of a maritime power and shipping strong nation in the new era [2]

Core Insights - The article highlights the rapid development of a competitive shipping financial service system in Tianjin, driven by various financial innovations and projects that support the "blue economy" [1][3]. Group 1: Key Projects and Financial Support - A significant project in Tianjin, the national grain logistics hub and emergency reserve center, has a total investment of 11.3 billion yuan, with various sub-projects nearing completion [1]. - A banking consortium led by China Construction Bank has provided a loan of 7.91 billion yuan to support the grain logistics project, emphasizing the importance of financial backing for long-term projects [3]. - As of the end of 2024, the loan balance for port-city integration projects from China Construction Bank Tianjin branch reached 4.839 billion yuan, an increase of 1.328 billion yuan from the beginning of the year [3]. Group 2: Financial Product Innovation - The Bank of China Tianjin branch has developed over 80 shipping-related financial products, including the first digital loan product for shipping fees and the first bond index for port-city integration development [5]. - The Tianjin shipping financial index has shown a compound annual growth rate of 13.46%, increasing from 100 points in 2020 to 146.07 points in 2023 [6]. Group 3: Leasing and Cross-Border Financing - Tianjin has become a hub for leasing, completing leasing and disposal of 2,354 aircraft, 882 ships, and 81 offshore platforms, with cross-border leasing business accounting for over 90% nationally [7]. - In the first quarter of this year, Tianjin added 48 aircraft and 92 ship leasing transactions, increasing asset scale by 4.75 billion USD [7]. Group 4: Future Developments and Strategic Planning - The Tianjin municipal financial office plans to enhance financial product innovation and improve mechanisms to support port-city integration development [8].

《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》发布后，外贸一线情况如何？记者采访了浙江部分外贸企业、货代平 台及港口。 5月16日一早，浙江宁波慈溪市，韩电电器全自动冰箱生产车间马力全开，经由切边、弯折、冲孔等多 道工序后，多款型号的冰箱快速下线、装车出发。 "声明发布当天，美国客户立马联系我们，希望排产、发货。最近几天，产线全部满负荷生产。"公司外 贸负责人王建明说。 此前，受美滥施关税影响，韩电对美业务摁下"暂停键"。目前，公司对美业务重启，前两天客户还追加 了一笔补单，货值200多万美元。 百公里外，湖州市杨明斯金属制品有限公司车间生产繁忙。这家主营车载工具箱的外贸企业，对美出口 占比近八成，过去半个月生产受到不小影响。公司总经理张佳瑜说，"之前退货的美国客户，已计划再 次下单，正在洽谈关税分担比例。" 订单回暖，也为航运市场添了把火。大洋彼岸"补货"潮涌，美线海运出现"爆单"。 宁波港东南物流集团的智慧物流大屏上，订舱量、海运价、拖车安排等指标正实时跳动。 作为一家出口拼箱海关监管仓库，公司发往美国的货物占业务量近一半。"美国客户普遍'囤单'，外贸 企业纷纷'抢单'，预计在后续3个月内，发往美国的货物出口量将在原有基 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang province is focusing on enhancing its inland waterway transportation, particularly through the development of the Zhegan Canal, which is seen as a significant infrastructure project to connect various regions and improve logistics efficiency [1][3][4]. Group 1: Implementation of Waterway Development - The "Implementation Opinions" document is the first comprehensive plan for building "Shipping Zhejiang," outlining strategies for enhancing inland waterway transportation [1][3]. - The Zhegan Canal is a key project in the national high-grade waterway network, connecting the Qiantang River and Gan River, and is considered a "century project" due to its extensive length and investment [3][4]. Group 2: Economic and Environmental Benefits - Inland waterway transportation costs are significantly lower, with costs being only 1/5 of road transport and 1/3 of rail transport, which can greatly benefit exports from regions like Yiwu and Shaoxing [2]. - Waterway transport has a much lower carbon footprint, with emissions being only 1/10 of those from road transport, contributing to carbon reduction efforts [2]. Group 3: Regional Development and Connectivity - The Zhegan Canal will resolve the current disconnection in Zhejiang's inland waterway network, allowing for direct water transport of goods like rare earths and automotive parts to Ningbo Zhoushan Port [4][5]. - The project is expected to enhance economic development and industrial upgrading in the western regions of Zhejiang, particularly in cities like Quzhou [7]. Group 4: Infrastructure and Technological Advancements - Zhejiang is investing in upgrading its waterway infrastructure, including the construction of new channels and the implementation of smart technologies for better navigation and logistics management [8][10]. - The province aims to create a comprehensive digital framework for its waterways, enhancing operational efficiency and service levels [10][12]. Group 5: Broader Implications for Industry and Tourism - The development of inland water transport is anticipated to stimulate various sectors, including logistics, manufacturing, and tourism, by creating a more integrated transport network [16][17]. - Initiatives like the "Pan Boating in Zhejiang" program aim to promote cultural tourism through waterway connections, enhancing the region's appeal [17][18].

证券代码：833171 证券简称：国航远洋 公告编号：2025-083 □路演活动 福建国航远洋运输（集团）股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连 带法律责任。 一、 投资者关系活动类别 □特定对象调研 □业绩说明会 □媒体采访 □现场参观 □新闻发布会 □分析师会议 √其他 （2025 年福建辖区上市公司投资者网上集体接待日活动） 二、 投资者关系活动情况 活动时间：2025 年 5 月 14 日 活动地点：公司通过全景网"投资者关系互动平台"（https://ir.p5w.net） 采用网络远程的方式和投资者进行交流 参会单位及人员：通过网络方式参与的机构和个人投资者 上市公司接待人员：公司董事会秘书何志强先生 三、 投资者关系活动主要内容 公司就投资者在本次线上会议中提出的问题回复如下： 1、请问公司现在的订单充足吗？货船是否够用？ 答：感谢您的关注。在全球经济温和复苏的宏观环境下，国际海运市场需求 呈现稳健增长趋势。公司凭借覆盖欧洲大西洋、澳洲、南北美洲、东南亚、东 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】31号 II GERIK 航运衍生品数据日报 | | | | 国贸期货研究院 能源化工研究中心 | | | 投资咨询号: Z0021177 | 2025/5/16 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 卢钊毅 | | 从业资格号:F03101843 | | | | | | | 数据来源：Clarksons、Wind | | | | | | | 运价指数 | 上海出口集装箱运价 综合指数SCFI | 中国出口集装箱运价 指数CCFI | SCFI-美西 | SCFIS-美西 | SCFI-美东 | SCFI-西北欧 | | | 现值 | 1345 | 1106 | 2347 | 1455 | 3335 | 1161 | | til Alle | | | | | | | | | | 前值 | 1341 | 1121 | 2272 | 1321 | 3283 | 1200 | | 运 | 涨跌幅 | 0.32% | -1.31% | 3.30% | 10.19% | 1.58% | -3.25% ...