光期研究 光大证券 2020 年 半 年 度 业 绩 E V E R B R I G H T S E C U R I T I E S 光期黑色：铁矿石基差及价差监测日报 2025 年 5 月 1 5 日 1.1 合约价差 | 期货合约 | 今日收盘价 | 上日收盘价 | 变化 | 合约价差 | 今日价差 | 上日价差 | 变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | I05 | 795.5 | 778.0 | 17.5 | I05-I09 | 58.5 | 63.5 | -5.0 | | I09 | 737.0 | 714.5 | 22.5 | I09-I01 | 37.5 | 30.0 | 7.5 | | I01 | 699.5 | 684.5 | 15.0 | I01-I05 | -96.0 | -93.5 | -2.5 | 1 图表1：09-01合约价差（单位：元/吨） 图表2：05-09合约价差（单位：元/吨） -50 0 50 100 150 200 09 10 10 10 11 11 12 12 01 01 02 02 03 03 ...

IL期现日报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年5月15日 Z0020680 苗扬 期货收盘价 | 品种 | 5月14日 | 5月13日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 01合约 | 1814 | 1798 | 16 | 0.89% | 元/吨 | | 05合约 | 1900 | 1930 | -30 | -1.55% | | | 09合约 | 1886 | 1897 | =11 | -0.58% | | | 甲醇主力合约 Hm = A / L / A 3 / | 2365 | 2291 | 74 | 3.23% | | 期货合约价差 | 价差 | 5月14日 | 5月13日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 01合约-05合约 | -86 | -132 | 46 | 34.85% | | | 05合约-09合约 | 14 | 33 | -19 | -57.58% | | | 09合约-01合约 | 72 | дд | ...

3/1 | | 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | 2025年5月15日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 价差 | 品种 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | F期现价差 | -35.81 | ਰੇ 45 | 10.20% | 8.60% | | 期现价差 | H期现价差 | -16.18 | 3.67 | 15.90% | 11.90% | | | IC期现价差 | -101.32 | 25.75 | 6.50% | 3.20% | | | IM期现价差 | -117.37 | 37.04 | 90.00% | 6.00% | | | 次月-当月 | -35.60 | 5.40 | 2.00% | 9.10% | | | 季月-当月 | -101.60 | 7.20 | 0.80% | 6.80% | | | 远月-当月 | -139.60 | 7.40 | 0.80% | 9.30% ...

| | | | 国投期货 Million | | 敏商品日报 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 操作评级 | 2025年05月14日 | | 棉花 | ★☆★ | 曹凯 首席分析师 | | 纸浆 | ☆☆☆ | F03095462 Z0017365 | | 白糖 | ☆☆☆ | 胡华轩 高级分析师 | | 苹果 | ☆☆☆ | F0285606 Z0003096 | | 木材 | ☆☆☆ | | | 20号胶 | ★☆★ | 黄维 高级分析师 | | 天然橡胶 ★☆☆ | | F03096483 Z0017474 | | 丁二烯橡胶 ★☆☆ | | | | | | 010-58747784 | | | | gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn | 【棉花&棉纱】 今天知棉继续上涨,国产棉现货交数一般,主流基差维持稳定;下游纪棉纱库存不断景积,市场订单不足,下游刚需采购为 主。她棉纱波季背景下下游需求偏弱,则需采购,对于棉纱涨价接受废不高。中美贸易谈判好于预期,关注后续外需能否好 转。国内4月份纺服出口表现尚可, 4月,我国出口纺织品服装241.86亿美元,同比增加1.1% ...

| | LPG早报 | | | | | | | | 研究中心能化团队 2025/05/14 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | L P G | | | | | | | | | | | | | 日期 | 华南液化气 山东液化气 山东醚后碳四 山东烷基化油 主力基差 气 南 本 现货 同价 利润 | 华东液化 | | 丙烷CFR华 | 丙烷CIF日 | MB丙烷 | CP预测合 | | | 纸面进口 | | | 2025/05/0 7 | 5230 4938 4780 636 483 577 4820 7830 -30 532 | | | | | 70 | | | | | | | 2025/05/0 8 | 5180 4938 4780 635 495 72 574 4820 -83 599 | | | | | | | | 7860 | | | | 2025/05/0 9 | 5130 73 7820 | 4938 | 4780 | 640 | 510 | | 581 | 4810 | ...

光期研究 光期黑色：铁矿石基差及价差监测日报 2025 年 5 月 1 4 日 1 光大证券 2020 年 半 年 度 业 绩 E V E R B R I G H T S E C U R I T I E S 1.1 合约价差 | 品种 | 今日价格 | 上日价格 | 变化 | 交割成本 | 今日基差 | 上日基差 | 变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 卡粉 | 853 | 855 | -2.0 | 808 | 94 | 92 | 2 | | BRBF | 776 | 780 | -4.0 | 800 | 85 | 85 | 0 | | 纽曼粉 | 757 | 762 | -5.0 | 792 | 78 | 79 | -1 | | PB 粉 | 765 | 769 | -4.0 | 811 | 97 | 97 | 0 | | 麦克粉 | 745 | 747 | -2.0 | 803 | 89 | 87 | 2 | | 罗伊山粉 | 735 | 739 | -4.0 | 804 | 90 | 90 | 0 | | 金布巴粉61% | ...

Market Overview - A-shares opened high but closed low on May 13, with total trading volume at 1.33 trillion yuan, unchanged from the previous trading day [1] - Over 3200 stocks declined, while sectors such as port shipping, photovoltaic, banking, and pharmaceuticals saw gains [1] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index and CSI 300 Index rose, while other indices fell [1] Options Market Activity - Total options trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 5.19 million contracts, down from 5.39 million contracts the previous day [1] - Total open interest increased to 8.91 million contracts, up from 8.16 million contracts [1] - The trading volume of the SSE 50 ETF options decreased by 31.53%, while open interest increased by 10.42% [1] - The SSE 50 ETF options traded 674,400 contracts, down from 985,000 contracts the previous day, with open interest at 1.47 million contracts, up from 1.33 million contracts [1] Options Position Changes - For the May contracts, a total of 75,100 contracts were added, with call options increasing by 32,900 contracts and put options by 42,200 contracts [1] - The increase in both call and put options occurred in the shallow out-of-the-money positions, with a broader increase in call options, indicating a potential continuation of market volatility [1] CSI 300 Options Performance - The trading volume for CSI 300 options also showed a decline, with the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's CSI 300 ETF options down by 32.85% and the Shanghai Stock Exchange's down by 23.96% [2] - Open interest for CSI 300 ETF options increased, with the Shenzhen Stock Exchange up by 11.92% and the Shanghai Stock Exchange up by 9.84% [2] - The total increase in open interest for the Shanghai Stock Exchange's CSI 300 ETF options was 53,400 contracts, with call options increasing by 28,200 contracts and put options by 25,200 contracts [2] Volatility Analysis - Implied volatility remained stable, with the SSE 50 ETF at 12.69% as of May 13 [3] - Historical volatility for the SSE 50 ETF was 19.02%, while the CSI 300 Index was at 22.06% [3] - Overall, the A-share market showed a low volatility environment, with both call and put options increasing in shallow out-of-the-money positions, suggesting a short-term market consolidation [3]

Core Insights - The palm oil market is experiencing a historic price inversion, with palm oil prices falling below the cost of production, leading to a significant decline in demand for palm oil [1] - The "cheap advantage" of palm oil is being questioned, as the current market conditions may not sustain this pricing trend for long [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The price spread between soybean and palm oil has reached unprecedented levels, indicating a major shift in market dynamics [1] - There is a notable lack of buyers for palm oil, even at reduced prices, suggesting a potential oversupply or loss of market confidence [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - The sustainability of palm oil's price advantage is under scrutiny, with analysts predicting potential changes in market conditions that could affect future pricing [1] - The current situation raises concerns about the long-term viability of palm oil as a competitive product in the global market [1]

| | | | SDIC FUTURES | 操作评级 | 2025年05月13日 | | --- | --- | --- | | 棉花 | ★☆★ | 曹凯 首席分析师 | | 纸浆 | ☆☆☆ | F03095462 Z0017365 | | 白糖 | ななな | 胡华轩 高级分析师 | | 苹果 | ななな | F0285606 Z0003096 | | 木材 | ななな | | | 20号胶 | ★☆★ | 黄维 高级分析师 | | 天然橡胶 | ★☆☆ | F03096483 Z0017474 | | 丁二烯橡胶 ★☆☆ | | | | | | 010-58747784 | | | | gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn | 【棉花&棉纱】 今天知棉继续上涨。国产棉现货交数一般,主流基差维持稳定:下游纪棉纱库存不断景积,市场订单不足,下游刚需采购为 主。纯棉纱淡季背景下下游雾衣偏弱,刚离采购,对于棉纱涨价接受废不高。中美贸易谈判好于预期，关注后续外需能否好 转。国内4月份纺服出口表现尚可, 4月,我国出口纺织品服装241.86亿美元,同比增加1.1%,环比增加3.35%;其中纺 ...

| 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | 2025年5月13日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 价差 | 品种 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | F期现价差 | -37.61 | -0.05 | 8.60% | 7.80% | | 期现价差 | H期现价差 | -16.02 | 1.79 | 15.50% | 12.00% | | | IC期现价差 | -105.67 | 11.25 | 5.70% | 2.90% | | | IM期现价差 | -130.46 | 6.42 | 85.00% | 5.40% | | | 次月-当月 | -32.00 | -0.40 | 3.20% | 10.70% | | | 季月-当月 | -98.40 | -1.80 | 0.40% | 7.20% | | | 远月-当月 | -135.40 | -2.00 | 0.40% | 10.00% | ...