【第一财经智享会员专属】 【 今 日 早 盘 】 4 月 3 0 日 ， 三 大 股 指 开 盘 涨 跌 不 一 ， 上 证 指 数 开 盘 报 3 2 8 4 . 0 8 点 ， 跌 0 . 0 8% ， 深 成 指 开 盘 报 9 8 6 3 . 5 点 ， 涨 0 . 1 4% ， 创 业 板 指 开 盘 报 1 9 3 6 . 1 2 点 ， 涨 0 . 2 2% 。 电 力 股 持 续 调 整 ， 宠 物 经 济 、 维 生 素 、 存 储 器 概 念 股 走 弱；PEEK材料题材持续活跃，消费电子、光刻机、AI应用概念股活跃。 今日嘉宾观点 今日券商观点 ① 中信建投：机器人及智驾迎密集催化，短期科技成长主线或仍占优 中信建投研报表示，本周上海车展开幕，主机厂新车型集中亮相，自主品牌通过智能化上攻重塑品牌力，华 为、地平线及Mome n t a等头部智驾供应商密集宣发。整体内需改善及科技成长仍为汽车板块两条清晰投资主 线，前者依赖刺激政策进一步加码及新车供给提振需求，后者依赖技术迭代、客户拓展及风偏上修。 国联证券投资顾问刘俊认为，从估值水平、政策环境以及市场动能来看，当前市场整体仍具备做多基础。 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The three major stock indices experienced narrow fluctuations, with the North Stock 50 Index showing relative strength, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.05% to 3286.65 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index also dropped by 0.05% to 9849.8 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and North Stock markets was 10,419 billion, a decrease of 350 billion from the previous day [1] - Sectors such as electricity and insurance declined, while home furnishings, automotive, chemicals, healthcare, agriculture, food and beverage, home appliances, and semiconductors saw gains [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities in Smart Connected Vehicles - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has released key points for automotive standardization by 2025, emphasizing the need to strengthen standards for driving assistance and autonomous driving [2] - CITIC Securities anticipates that companies in the industry chain will focus on improving product maturity and safety, with main manufacturers expected to refine hardware and software architectures [2] - Investment recommendations include leading manufacturers in smart driving development, top suppliers of laser radar, and companies providing testing and simulation services for smart connected vehicles [2] Group 3: Smart Imaging Devices Market - The market for handheld smart imaging devices is projected to reach 36.47 billion in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12.9% from 2023 to 2027, potentially reaching 59.2 billion by 2027 [3] - The panoramic camera market is expected to reach 5 billion, with applications expanding beyond daily life and sports to include video conferencing and robotics [3] - The global market for action cameras is expected to exceed 30 billion in 2023, driven by the rise of outdoor sports [3] Group 4: Vitamin D3 Price Outlook - The price of feed-grade Vitamin D3 is at a historical low, leading to production cuts and supply reductions among some manufacturers [5] - Demand for Vitamin D3 is steadily increasing, with manufacturers reducing output since the beginning of 2024, resulting in historically low inventory levels [5] - Recent price increases have been observed, with significant adjustments in quotes from manufacturers, indicating potential for further price rises [5] Group 5: Consumption Policy and Tax Refunds - The National Taxation Administration has revised the management measures for tax refunds for outbound tourists, simplifying processes and expanding coverage to more small and medium-sized businesses [6] - CITIC Securities estimates that the potential market for tax refunds could reach nearly 100 billion, which may further stimulate consumption and expand domestic demand [6] - Key sectors to watch include traditional retail companies with strong operational capabilities and those involved in consumer infrastructure and travel services [6] Group 6: Electricity Market Developments - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have announced plans to accelerate the construction of a national electricity spot market, aiming for full coverage by the end of 2025 [8] - Specific timelines have been set for the transition to formal operations in various provinces, with a focus on continuous settlement operations [8] Group 7: Digital Economy Infrastructure - The National Development and Reform Commission is promoting the construction of a national integrated computing network to optimize resource allocation and support the development of the digital economy [9] Group 8: Livestock Production Adjustments - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has issued a plan to adjust and optimize pig production capacity, focusing on monitoring and guiding the market [10]

国台办证实优化离境退税政策适用于来大陆的台湾同胞 金十数据4月30日讯，4月30日上午，国台办举行例行新闻发布会。记者：近日，商务部等6部门印发 《关于进一步优化离境退税政策扩大入境消费的通知》，将离境退税起退点从500元下调至200元，现金 退税额由1万元上调至2万元，引发舆论高度关注。请问该项政策是否适用于台湾民众？将为台湾旅客带 来哪些红利？国台办发言人朱凤莲表示，相关优化离境退税政策适用于来大陆的台湾同胞。有网友估算 了一下，台胞在大陆持台胞证和购物小票办理离境退税，相当于享受九折优惠。 （日月谭天） ...

重庆：推动离境退税地域和规模双扩围 探索建立境外文旅推广中心 金十数据4月30日讯，《重庆市提振消费专项行动实施方案（征求意见稿）》公开征求意见。其中提 到，加快吸引外来消费。推动离境退税地域和规模双扩围，全面落实"即买即退"，力争2027年离境退税 商店达到200家。加快建设入境人员综合服务中心，为来渝人员提供"支付、文旅、通信、交通"一站式 服务。实施入境旅游促进计划，探索建立境外文旅推广中心（点），开展"你好！重庆"等全球推广活 动。提升外籍人员过境免办签证服务效能，联合四川实施好"240小时"过境免签政策，鼓励境外旅游 团"渝进蓉出""蓉进渝出"。支持增设境外直飞航线。 （证券时报） ...

海亮股份 20250429 摘要 • 海亮股份外贸占比达 40%，规模约 40 亿美元，主要通过中国出口和海外 基地销售实现。出口退税取消对公司影响较小，因其采用来料加工和进料 加工等保税方式，并利用香港海亮同贸易有限公司平台操作，同时小企业 退出带来更多机会。 • 短期内，关税战对海亮股份无直接影响，因 232 调查尚未增设关税且对等 关税被豁免。中期来看，即使加征关税，泰国基地仍具竞争力，因美国电 解铜行业依赖进口。长期来看，德州工厂投产后将覆盖美国需求，并提供 高附加值产品。 • 海亮股份在美国市场前景良好，德州工厂投资规模达 10 万吨，产品线全 面，包括铜配件和铜排，长期内保持竞争力，应对潜在关税变化，满足美 国市场需求。目前产能逐步提升，目标是突破 1,600 至 1,800 吨。 • 出口退税政策对铜制品行业影响因贸易模式而异。海亮股份主要采用进料 加工和来料加工模式，损失较小。进料加工仅需支付加工费的 13%，而来 料加工可抵扣部分成本。上海市政府鼓励改为进料加工，并通过补贴扶持。 Q&A 海亮股份在铜加工产业链出口方面的总体情况如何？ 海亮股份在铜加工产业链出口方面表现出色。去年（2024 ...

明泰铝业 20250429 摘要 • 受关税及出口退税政策影响，公司一季度出口量同比下降 30%，但北美市 场仍占主导地位，其中加拿大占比 50%，墨西哥 30%，美国及其他地区 20%。 • 针对美国市场，公司主要出口 3 系、5 系和 6 系铝产品，虽受 70%关税影 响，但仍有部分非反倾销产品继续销售，占北美地区出口量的 10%左右。 • 北美市场定价采用 LME 铝月均价加价差模式，虽成本核算基于实际成本， 但因客户无法保值，不直接采用成本定价，国内采购参考沪铝，北美参考 LME，存在差价。 • 美国对 3 系和 5 系厚度 6.3 毫米以下的铝板带征收反倾销税，但 6.3 毫米 以上及所有 6 系产品不受影响，公司此类产品年产量约为 25 万吨。 • 取消出口退税后，公司整体出口减少 30%，尽管价格上涨 13%，但 70% 的客户选择接受涨价继续合作，加拿大市场需求已恢复至原先的 75%- 80%。 • 海外需求逐步回落，加工费展望不乐观，利润率下降且成本未降，报价差 价扩大，金属价格差价扩大，整体需求不理想，一季度海外贸易利润高于 国内 500-600 元，二季度可能持平或略低于一季度。 • 今 ...

Summary of Zhuhai Guanyu Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Zhuhai Guanyu - **Industry**: Battery manufacturing, focusing on consumer and power battery segments Key Points Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Zhuhai Guanyu reported revenue of 2.498 billion yuan, a slight decline year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 24 million yuan, compared to a profit of 9 million yuan in the same period last year [4][5][42] - The overall performance was impacted by a seasonal downturn in consumer electronics and a decrease in prices due to falling upstream material costs [5][42] Business Segments - **Consumer Battery Segment**: - Q1 2025 consumer battery shipments were approximately 80 million units, flat year-on-year, with a self-supply rate of about 40% [5] - The company expects Q2 shipments to grow by 40%-50% quarter-on-quarter, with an annual target of 120 million units [6] - **Power Battery Segment**: - Revenue in Q1 2025 was around 400 million yuan, more than doubling year-on-year, driven primarily by the Zhikang and drone businesses [5][6] - The power segment is expected to generate 600 million yuan in Q2, with annual revenue projected to be double that of the first half [6][29] Growth Drivers - The start-stop battery business is anticipated to continue its rapid growth, with significant orders from domestic and international clients [7] - The drone business, primarily serving DJI, is expected to exceed 1 billion yuan in total revenue this year, also doubling year-on-year [7][33] Technological Advancements - The company is making progress in smart wearable devices and robotics, leveraging its soft-pack technology and small battery solutions for advantages in energy density and weight [8] - The company aims to capture 30% of the smartphone battery market, up from the current 8%-10%, through technological iterations [3][35] Margin and Cost Management - Q1 gross margin declined due to seasonal factors, increased contribution from lower-margin businesses, and lagging cost pass-through from export tax adjustments [11][12] - The company expects improvement in margins in Q2 as production ramps up and costs stabilize [11] International Expansion - The construction of a factory in Malaysia is progressing well, expected to be operational within 1 to 1.5 years, which will help mitigate export costs to the U.S. due to lower tariffs [9][13][14] - The company is also exploring opportunities in Mexico and India, although these facilities are smaller in scale [13] Market Trends and Customer Demand - The company is well-positioned to meet domestic demand despite trade tensions, with a focus on local suppliers [10][9] - The demand for high-capacity batteries is increasing, with a trend towards larger batteries (6,000 to 7,000 mAh) in the market [36] Future Outlook - The company maintains a positive outlook for Q2 and the full year, expecting significant growth driven by domestic demand and new product launches [6][43] - The focus will remain on enhancing market share in both consumer and power battery segments while managing costs effectively [46] Challenges and Risks - The company faces challenges from fluctuating material prices and the impact of export tax policies, which it is addressing through strategic cost management and communication with clients [24][25] Conclusion - Zhuhai Guanyu is navigating a challenging market environment with a focus on growth in both consumer and power battery segments, leveraging technological advancements and international expansion to enhance its competitive position. The outlook for the upcoming quarters remains optimistic, supported by strong demand and strategic initiatives.

中国核电 20250429 摘要 • 中国核电 2025 年第一季度累计发电 597 亿度，同比增长 16.93%，实现 营业收入 202 亿元，同比增长 12.7%。核电业务收入 167 亿元，同比增 长 10.46%；新能源业务收入 35 亿元，同比增长 24.64%。归母净利润 31 亿元，同比增长 2.55%，其中核电贡献 29 亿元，同比增 11.52%；新 能源贡献 2 亿元，同比下降 51%。 • 截至 2025 年 3 月底，中国核电控股的非核清洁能源装机容量达到 3,069 万千瓦，提前完成十四五规划目标。公司积极发展风能和光伏项目，并推 动钙钛矿产业取得阶段性成果，小型组件效率达到行业领先水平。此外， 公司探索新型储能及相关产业协同开发，推动新能源与储能产业协同发展。 • 2025 年一季度核电综合电价与 2024 年同比略有下降，下降幅度约为一 分左右，整体仍维持在每度电 0.4 元左右，总体较为平稳。江苏地区市场 用电量从 271 度提升至 310 度，反映出当地经济发展带来的用电需求增 长。 • 2025 年的大修计划包括 17 次大修，公司已发布详细公告，包括全年大修 次数及具体季 ...

4月30日，恒生指数、恒生科技指数集体高开，消费板块持续活跃。 相关ETF方面，截至发稿，港股消费ETF（159735）开盘后震荡走强，现涨0.77%。成分股中，周大福 涨超2%，蒙牛乳业、百威亚太、银河娱乐、美团-W等股涨幅居前。 港股消费ETF（159735）跟踪中证港股通消费主题指数，该指数选取港股通范围内流动性较好、市值较 大的50只消费主题相关股票组成指数样本，采用自由流通市值加权，以反映港股通内消费类股票的整体 表现。 消息面上，据国家发展改革委微信公众号，近日，国家发展改革委已印发通知，会同财政部及时向地方 追加下达今年第二批810亿元超长期特别国债资金，继续大力支持消费品以旧换新。下一步，国家发展 改革委将充分发挥"两新"部际协调机制作用，强化统筹推进和跟踪调度，督促各地各有关部门加快已拨 资金审核兑付，切实减轻企业垫资压力，确保真金白银优惠直达消费者，推动消费品以旧换新政策发挥 更大效果。 中信证券表示，今年以来我国消费政策全面升级创新，近期细分领域政策相继出台，政策体系逐步完 善。近日国家税务总局发布离境退税管理办法修订细则，推动前期离境退税"即买即退"推广政策落地。 根据我们测算，乐观假 ...

凤凰网财经讯 4月30日，三大指数开盘涨跌不一，沪指低开0.08%，深成指高开0.14%，创业板指高开 0.22%。多模态、AI眼镜等板块指数涨幅居前，有色金属、水电等板块指数跌幅居前。 中信建投：机器人及智驾迎密集催化，短期科技成长主线或仍占优 中信建投研报表示，本周上海车展开幕，主机厂新车型集中亮相，自主品牌通过智能化上攻重塑品牌 力，华为、地平线及Momenta等头部智驾供应商密集宣发。整体内需改善及科技成长仍为汽车板块两条 清晰投资主线，前者依赖刺激政策进一步加码及新车供给提振需求，后者依赖技术迭代、客户拓展及风 偏上修。 | | | | | 沪深京重要指数 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 *● | 咸新 | 涨幅% | | 涨跌 涨跌家数 | | 总手 | 现手 | 金额 | | 上证指数 | 3284.08 | -0.08 | -2.57 | 1020/891 | -0.06 | 5107 | 510万 | 47.75 Z | | 深证成指 | 9863.50 | 0.14 | 13.70 ...