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A股下半年怎么走?业内认为有望震荡向上 ,科技和红利资产将受青睐
Shen Zhen Shang Bao· 2025-07-01 09:08
Core Viewpoint - A-shares are expected to experience a "first oscillation, then upward" trend in the second half of the year, with structural opportunities highlighted in technology growth and dividend assets [1][2][3] Market Outlook - Analysts predict that the A-share market will see a continuous upward adjustment in the second half, driven by a weak dollar trend, supportive capital market policies, and improved liquidity [2] - The market is expected to present a "stable index, structural bull" scenario, with significant opportunities for value re-evaluation in technology and emerging consumption sectors [2] - The overall liquidity environment is anticipated to improve, supporting a gradual recovery in the market's fundamentals [3] Investment Opportunities - Key sectors expected to perform well include stable assets and growth-oriented technology assets, with a focus on transportation, consumer goods, publishing, gaming, and high ROE sectors [4] - Growth assets are likely to center around military industry, pharmaceuticals, communications, gaming, and AI technologies [4] - Specific investment opportunities include domestic consumption sectors, technology growth in AI and robotics, and industries benefiting from cost improvements [5] Analyst Recommendations - Analysts suggest focusing on five areas: domestic consumption, technology growth, cost-improved industries, structural opportunities from overseas expansion, and stable dividend-paying assets [5] - Emphasis is placed on technology sectors marked by innovation and strategic significance, as well as consumer services and new consumption trends [5]
瑞银证券孟磊:A股盈利或逐季温和复苏
news flash· 2025-07-01 08:54
Core Viewpoint - UBS Securities analyst Meng Lei believes that A-share earnings may gradually recover quarter by quarter this year, provided the macro environment remains stable [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - After short-term fluctuations, the market is expected to present upward opportunities in the medium to long term [1] - Any incremental fiscal and monetary policies may boost market confidence and drive A-share market valuation increases in the medium term [1] Group 2: Structural Reforms - China is undergoing comprehensive structural reforms that are gradually enhancing investment attractiveness [1] - Key aspects of these reforms include lowering foreign investment access thresholds and invigorating the vitality of private enterprises [1]
A股下半年有望维持结构性牛市,关注A股机遇,把握中证A500ETF(159338)投资机会
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-01 07:08
没有股票账户的投资者可以通过中证A500ETF的联接基金(022449)把握A股核心资产的投资机会。 注:指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考,不预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变 动,不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议,也不构成对基金业绩 的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品,请选择与风险等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险,投资需谨慎。 相关机构表示,回顾2025年上半年,上证指数小幅收涨2.76%。随着流动性改善、风险偏好回暖带来资 金流入,A股下半年有望维持结构性牛市。美元指数延续相对弱势,待9月前后市场交易美联储降息预 期后,美元指数和美债利率或将进一步下行,有利于市场风险偏好提升和成长风格表现。从个股盈利来 看,下半年抢出口效应预计减弱,但财政仍有发力空间,A股盈利或将实现V型修复。 中证A500创新指数编制方案,以国际通用的"行业均衡"方式编制。它挑选了各行业市值较大、流动性 较好的500只证券作为指数样本,成分股覆盖全部中证二级行业和97%中证三级行业。同时,几乎所有 三级行业龙头都入选样本,真正实现了"龙头荟萃"。与此同时,指数编制引入互联互通、ESG筛选等 ...
继续创新高?A股,接下来要变盘了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-01 04:35
Group 1 - The A-share market is primarily driven by key sectors such as banks, liquor, and insurance, which together account for over 40% of the Shanghai Composite Index's weight [1][3] - Despite 4,000 stocks declining, the overall market index rose, indicating that the performance of major sectors can stabilize the index [1] - The index is close to reaching a new high, with only 10 points away, and a recovery in any of the key sectors could lead to this milestone [3] Group 2 - The market is expected to continue its upward trend, with no significant logic for a pullback as long as key sectors like liquor do not accelerate in their rise [3][5] - The upcoming earnings disclosures for mid-cap stocks may lead to a shift in market dynamics, with many investors potentially missing out on opportunities [5] - Understanding the banking sector's logic is crucial, as misconceptions about its performance can lead to missed investment opportunities [7]
上半年十大熊股出炉:民营超市第一股跌近95%,天茂集团领跌非ST类个股
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-01 03:39
新华财经上海7月1日电(林郑宏)A股上半年行情昨日收官,上半年十大熊股名单也随之出炉。据新华 财经统计,目前,上半年跌幅前10个股中有7只已进入退市整理期,其中人乐退上半年跌近95%,最新 总市值已不到1.5亿元。 | 代码 | 名称 | 所属行业 | 今年涨幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000627 | 天茂集团 | 保险 | -41.33 | | 000759 | 中百集团 | 商业百货 | -40.52 | | 300025 | 华星创业 | 通信服务 | -35.44 | | 603516 | 淳中科技 | 计算机设备 | -34.76 | | 300225 | 金力泰 | 化学制品 | -34.67 | | 600579 | 中化装备 | 专用设备 | -34.51 | | 688408 | 中信博 | 光伏设备 | -34.26 | | 605158 | 华达新材 | 钢铁行业 | -33.97 | | 301062 | 上海艾灵 | 包装材料 | -33.79 | | 300751 | 迈为股份 | 光伏设备 | -33.47 | 上半年A股跌幅前十大个股(排 ...
A股走势分化,创业板跌0.6%,中船系大涨,创新药板块活跃,国债上涨,商品下跌
news flash· 2025-07-01 03:38
| 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | 3451.69 | 7.27 | 0.21% | 26555 | 2.98% | | 399001 | 深证成指 | 10431.98 | -33.14 | -0.32% | 6047亿 | 0.17% | | 899050 | 北证50 | 1450.28 | 3.10 | 0.21% | 208亿 | 39.74% | | 881001 | 万得全A | 5308.68 | -6.19 | -0.12% | 9813亿 | 5.71% | | 000688 | 20 | 995.06 | -8.36 | -0.83% | 189亿 | 0.62% | | 399006 | 创业板指 | 2140.47 | -12.55 | -0.58% | 3003亿 | -0.05% | | 000300 | 沪深300 | 3937.85 | 1.77 | 0.05% | 1456亿 | 0.07% | | 000 ...
A股开盘速递 | 三大股指涨跌不一 教育等板块涨幅居前
智通财经网· 2025-07-01 01:38
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China's equity assets are entering an annual bull market, with expectations of synchronized economic and policy cycles globally starting in Q4, leading to a bullish trend in both Hong Kong and A-share markets [1] - CITIC Securities predicts a significant shift in market style from small-cap stocks to core assets, marking a transition in market dynamics that has persisted for four years [1] - CICC anticipates that the index may experience stability followed by an upward trend in the second half of the year, with external uncertainties being a key factor to monitor [1] Group 2 - According to招商证券, the market may see an upward breakthrough in July, with technology and non-bank sectors leading the way, supported by improved demand growth in Q2 [2] - The upcoming mid-year earnings report period is expected to provide upward momentum for A-shares, particularly in technology, consumption, and midstream manufacturing sectors [2] - Despite high-frequency data indicating pressure on exports in the second half, the overall demand is expected to remain stable due to supportive fiscal policies, reducing the likelihood of significant economic downturns [2]
上半年A股并购重组热度攀升 未来活跃度有望进一步提升
news flash· 2025-07-01 00:50
据Wind资讯数据统计,今年上半年,1493家A股上市公司共计筹划1984单并购重组计划,其中,构成重 大资产重组的有102单,同比增长121.74%。展望未来,在政策驱动与制度优化以及产业升级与发展需 求驱动之下,A股并购重组活跃度有望进一步提升。(证券日报) ...
和讯投顾刘伟奇:行情可能直接起涨?做到两手准备
He Xun Wang· 2025-06-30 23:43
Group 1 - The A-share market showed strong performance on the last trading day of June, with significant recovery from previous losses and an average stock price increase [1] - The gaming sector experienced notable gains, while the military industry sector was the hottest, with limited adjustments in other sectors [1] - The ChiNext index demonstrated the strongest performance, rising by 1.35%, and the overall market sentiment appears to be bullish with potential for further upward movement [1] Group 2 - The Shanghai Composite Index's monthly chart resembles a breakout pattern, but the trading volume is average, indicating some flaws [2] - The daily chart shows potential issues, with a current value of 20.557, and a need for slight upward movement to eliminate high point risks [2] - The 120-minute chart indicates a possible failure of the high point structure, suggesting a cautious approach to increasing positions while preparing for both upward and downward scenarios [2]