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特朗普考虑打破历史惯例,提前宣布美联储下任主席人选
凤凰网财经· 2025-06-26 10:22
Group 1 - The article discusses President Trump's criticism of current Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and his intention to announce a successor as early as September, which would break historical transition norms [1][4]. - Potential candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chairman include Kevin Warsh, Kevin Hassett, Christopher Waller, Scott Bessent, and David Malpass, each with varying degrees of alignment with Trump's economic policies [2]. - Trump's plan to announce a successor earlier than usual aims to create a "shadow Fed Chairman" to influence market expectations regarding future interest rates and apply pressure on Powell [4][5]. Group 2 - The proposed early announcement of a successor would establish a new model for Federal Reserve leadership transitions, allowing the nominee to influence market expectations while in a "Chairman-in-waiting" role [4]. - Trump's ongoing public pressure on Powell, including threats of dismissal, has raised concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve, challenging the traditional understanding that a Chairman would not be removed without misconduct [5][7]. - Powell's recent testimony highlighted concerns about rising inflation due to tariffs, indirectly responding to Trump's trade policies and interest rate demands, indicating a potential conflict between political pressures and economic data [8]. Group 3 - Analysts warn that Trump's actions may set a precedent for presidential influence over the Federal Reserve, potentially undermining its independence and credibility if future leaders prioritize political preferences over economic indicators [9]. - The Trump administration's legal challenges to the independence of federal agencies further complicate the situation, as it seeks to empower the president to dismiss officials from independent institutions [9].
机构:对等关税暂停期结束前,美元或继续承压
news flash· 2025-06-26 09:38
Core Viewpoint - The US dollar is expected to remain under pressure until the expiration of the "reciprocal tariffs" suspension period on July 9, due to concerns regarding the Federal Reserve's independence and credibility [1] Group 1: Currency Performance - The US dollar has fallen to multi-year lows against the euro and Swiss franc [1] - Market concerns about the Federal Reserve's future independence are undermining confidence in US monetary policy [1] Group 2: Economic Implications - The concerns regarding the Federal Reserve could pose risks to the outlook for US interest rates [1] - Statements from the Trump administration may further exacerbate pressure on the dollar leading up to the tariff suspension deadline [1]
美联储即将大变天 特朗普口中的“太迟先生”鲍威尔很快将要下台?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-26 07:47
美国联邦储备委员会主席鲍威尔昨晚重申了"不急于降息"的言论,但同日美国总统特朗普的一则消息引 起了广泛关注。特朗普表示,他认识的人大概只有三四个,幸运的是,鲍威尔很快就会下台,并对鲍威 尔的智力和工作表现进行了批评。这一系列言论似乎暗示着特朗普即将宣布美联储主席的继任者名单。 值得一提的是,全球关注的黄金市场近期陷入沉寂,正在酝酿下一轮的大涨或大跌。鉴于特朗普的性格 特点,当他频繁提起某件事时,可能会突然做出决定。因此,即使下一秒宣布新的美联储主席人选,也 不要感到意外,市场随时可能发生剧烈变化。 来源:热点快报 根据目前的消息,特朗普的美联储主席继任者名单上可能有四个人选。首先是前美联储理事凯文·沃 什,他是最鹰派也是最激进的候选人,据称是特朗普本人最看好的人选。其次是现任美联储理事沃勒, 他是一个技术派人物,延续性较强,并且是第一个宣布支持7月降息的联储官员。第三位是白宫国家经 济委员会主任哈塞特,他具有强烈的政治色彩,并在昨晚突然表示美联储目前有足够的降息空间。最后 是财政部长贝森特,他是一个市场友好型的人物,得到了特朗普盟友的力推。 特朗普势必会选择一位"喜欢降息的人"作为下一任美联储主席,这引发了对 ...
鲍威尔坚持不降息,特朗普发令要解雇他!自己惹的祸,美债快崩了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-26 07:42
Group 1: Economic Conflict and Policy Divergence - The conflict between President Trump and Fed Chair Powell has become a global focus, highlighting structural economic contradictions in the U.S. [1] - Trump's threats to fire Powell stem from disagreements over monetary policy, particularly regarding interest rate cuts amid inflation concerns [1][8] - The outcome of this conflict could significantly impact the future of the U.S. dollar's dominance [1] Group 2: Inflation and Monetary Policy - The Biden administration's fiscal stimulus exceeding $7 trillion and the Fed's zero interest rates have led to a surge in the money supply (M2) from $15 trillion to $23 trillion, resulting in a 9.1% inflation rate in 2023, the highest in 40 years [3] - Despite aggressive rate hikes to 5.25%-5.5%, inflation expectations remain entrenched, with one-year inflation expectations at 6.7% as of April 2025 [5][3] Group 3: Historical Context and Fed Independence - Powell's reluctance to cut rates is influenced by historical lessons from the 1970s, where political pressures led to unchecked inflation, resulting in a 13.3% inflation rate and over 10% unemployment [5][7] - The independence of the Fed is crucial for controlling inflation, and Powell has indicated he would legally defend this principle against political threats [8][7] Group 4: Tariff Policies and Economic Impact - Trump's tariff policies have raised average import tax rates from 2.6% to 19.3%, significantly increasing consumer prices, with average household expenses rising by $2,300 annually [10][12] - The tariffs have led to a decline in U.S. manufacturing, with companies like GM and Tesla facing layoffs and project halts due to increased costs [12][10] Group 5: Debt and Economic Structure - U.S. government debt is projected to exceed $40 trillion by 2025, with annual interest payments reaching $1.6 trillion, creating a "Ponzi scheme" scenario [17] - The manufacturing sector's contribution to GDP has decreased to 10.8%, while low-end service jobs dominate, indicating a disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street [19][17] Group 6: Global Implications and Dollar Dominance - Trump's policies have accelerated the decline of dollar hegemony, with global central banks selling $215 billion in U.S. debt in Q1 2025 and increasing the share of the yuan in international reserves to 6.8% [19] - The potential collapse of dollar credibility could lead to a spike in government bond yields, triggering a global financial crisis [19][21] Group 7: Conclusion on Economic Future - The ongoing struggle between Trump and Powell reflects the impending collapse of the U.S. economic model, with both monetary policy and fiscal strategies failing to address underlying issues [21] - Regardless of the outcome, the fractures in the dollar system are evident, with potential severe consequences for the U.S. economy [21]
特朗普急了!考虑今夏就宣布“鲍威尔接替者”
华尔街见闻· 2025-06-26 04:04
面对美联储迟迟不降息的局面,特朗普坐不住了。他又一次考虑打破常规,准备提前宣布下任美联储主 席人选,试图用"影子主席"策略倒逼现任主席鲍威尔加快降息进程。 据华尔街日报报道,特朗普正考虑最早今夏或秋天就宣布接替鲍威尔的美联储主席人选,远早于传统的 3-4个月过渡期。知情人士透露,特朗普对美联储谨慎降息的立场日益不满,希望通过提前宣布继任 者,让"影子主席"在鲍威尔任期结束前就开始影响市场预期和货币政策走向。 知情人士透露,最近几周,特朗普一直在考虑在9月或10月之前选定并宣布鲍威尔的继任者,他对鲍威 尔的愤怒可能会导致他在今年夏天的某个时候更早地宣布继任者人选。而新任美联储主席要到明年5月 才上任。 特朗普在北约峰会新闻发布会上暗示进程可能加速: 我知道在3-4个人中我将选择谁。幸运的是,他很快就要离任了,因为我认为他很糟糕。 不过,美联储政策由12名决策者组成的委员会制定,特朗普无法任命多数成员,除非现任理事提前离 职。这使得新主席必须具备说服更广泛委员会的能力。提前宣布也存在风险。候选人可能陷入公开批评 未来同事的尴尬境地,或因为市场视其为"马屁精"而失去公信力。 候选人浮出水面 华尔街见闻此前文章提及, ...
帮主郑重:美元破位下跌!美联储主席人选成关键变量,中长线布局机会来了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-26 00:39
Group 1 - The recent decline of the US dollar index (DXY) to 97.48 represents a significant drop of over 10% this year, erasing all gains from the previous year [1][3] - Trump's intention to nominate a new Federal Reserve chair before Powell's term ends is aimed at influencing market expectations and potentially altering interest rate policies [3][4] - The leading candidate for the new chair is Kevin Walsh, who has previously supported rate cuts, indicating a possible shift towards a more dovish monetary policy [3][4] Group 2 - Historical trends show that the dollar's performance is closely tied to the Federal Reserve chair's policy stance, with a dovish shift likely to weaken the dollar further [4][5] - A weaker dollar is expected to benefit gold and commodities, as it makes these assets cheaper for holders of other currencies [5] - Investors should monitor key dates: the announcement of the new chair this summer or fall, and the official transition in May next year, as these could lead to significant market volatility and investment opportunities [5]
特朗普急了!考虑今夏就宣布“影子联储主席”
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-06-26 00:06
Group 1 - Trump is considering announcing the next Federal Reserve Chair earlier than the traditional transition period to pressure current Chair Powell to accelerate interest rate cuts [1][2] - Potential candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair include former Fed Governor Warsh, NEC Director Hassett, current Fed Governor Waller, and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin [2][4] - Powell emphasized the independence of the Federal Reserve during a Senate hearing, stating that while rate cuts are possible, a cautious approach will be taken [2] Group 2 - Waller, a Fed Governor nominated by Trump, indicated support for a potential rate cut next month due to concerns over a weakening labor market [4] - Warsh has publicly criticized the Fed's handling of political pressures, urging the institution to maintain maturity and resilience [4]
闽东电力: 独立董事制度(草案)
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-25 18:29
Core Points - The document outlines the independent director system for Fujian Mindong Electric Power Co., Ltd, aiming to enhance corporate governance and protect minority shareholders' rights [1][2][3] - Independent directors must not hold any other positions within the company and should have no direct or indirect interests that could affect their judgment [1][2] - The board of directors must have at least one-third independent directors, including professionals in accounting and law [2][3] Group 1: Independent Director Qualifications - Independent directors must maintain independence and cannot be related to major shareholders or hold significant shares in the company [7][8] - They should possess relevant experience, including at least five years in legal, accounting, or economic fields [8][9] - Independent directors can serve on a maximum of three domestic listed companies to ensure they can fulfill their responsibilities effectively [9][10] Group 2: Responsibilities and Powers - Independent directors are responsible for participating in board decisions, supervising potential conflicts of interest, and providing professional advice [18][19] - They have the authority to independently hire external consultants for audits or inquiries and can propose meetings to address urgent matters [19][20] - Independent directors must attend board meetings and can delegate their voting rights if unable to attend [21][22] Group 3: Meeting and Reporting - The company must hold regular meetings exclusively for independent directors to discuss relevant matters [25][26] - Independent directors are required to submit annual reports detailing their attendance, participation in committees, and communication with minority shareholders [33][34] - The company must maintain records of independent directors' activities and ensure they have access to necessary information [15][17] Group 4: Support and Compensation - The company is obligated to provide necessary support and resources for independent directors to perform their duties [34][35] - Independent directors are entitled to compensation that reflects their responsibilities, which must be approved by the shareholders [39][40] - The company may establish a liability insurance system for independent directors to mitigate risks associated with their roles [39][40]
新时达: 独立董事工作制度(2025年6月)
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-25 18:07
上海新时达电气股份有限公司 独立董事工作制度 第一章 总则 第一条 为进一步完善上海新时达电气股份有限公司(以下简称"公司") 治理结构,促进公司规范运作,保障公司独立董事依法独立行使职权,根据《中 华人民共和国公司法》、《上市公司独立董事管理办法》(以下简称"《管理办 法》")、《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第1号——主板上市公司规 范运作》等有关法律、行政法规、规范性文件和《上海新时达电气股份有限公司 章程》(以下简称"《公司章程》")的有关规定,特制定本制度。 第二章 独立董事的任职条件和独立性 第二条 公司独立董事是指不在公司担任除董事外的其他职务,并与其所 受聘的公司及其主要股东、实际控制人不存在直接或者间接利害关系,或者其他 可能影响其进行独立客观判断关系的董事。 独立董事应当独立履行职责,不受公司及其主要股东、实际控制人等单位或 者个人的影响。 第三条 独立董事对公司及全体股东负有忠实与勤勉义务。独立董事应当 按照有关法律、行政法规、规范性文件和《公司章程》的要求,认真履行职责, 在董事会中发挥参与决策、监督制衡、专业咨询作用,维护公司整体利益,尤其 是要关注中小股东的合法权益不受损害。 ...
浙江力诺: 独立董事工作制度(2025年6月)
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-25 17:36
Core Viewpoint - The independent director system of Zhejiang Lino Fluid Control Technology Co., Ltd. aims to enhance corporate governance, protect the interests of minority shareholders, and ensure independent decision-making within the board of directors [1][2]. Group 1: General Principles - The independent director is defined as a board member who does not hold any other position within the company and has no direct or indirect interests that could affect their independent judgment [1][2]. - Independent directors are required to fulfill their duties independently and are not influenced by the company or its major shareholders [2][4]. Group 2: Qualifications and Appointment - Independent directors must maintain independence and cannot be individuals with certain relationships or interests in the company, including family ties to major shareholders or significant business relationships [5][6]. - The board must include independent directors making up at least one-third of its members, with at least one being a professional accountant [2][6]. Group 3: Responsibilities and Duties - Independent directors are responsible for participating in board decisions, supervising potential conflicts of interest, and providing professional advice to enhance decision-making [15][16]. - They must attend board meetings in person or delegate their voting rights to another independent director if unable to attend [18][19]. Group 4: Performance and Reporting - Independent directors are required to submit an annual report detailing their attendance, participation in committees, and communication with minority shareholders [26][27]. - The company must provide necessary support and resources for independent directors to perform their duties effectively [15][17]. Group 5: Compensation and Rights - Independent directors are entitled to compensation that reflects their responsibilities, which must be approved by the board and disclosed in the annual report [33][34]. - They have the right to access information and resources necessary for their role, ensuring they can perform their duties without obstruction [31][32].