碳酸锂日报 碳酸锂日报（2025 年 5 月 15 日） 一、研究观点 点 评 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 EVERBRIGHT FUTURES 1 1. 昨日碳酸锂期货 2507 合约涨 3%至 65200 元/吨。现货价格方面，电池级碳酸锂平均上涨 100 元/吨 至 64700 元/吨，工业级碳酸锂平均价上涨 100 元/吨至 63050 元/吨，电池级氢氧化锂（粗颗粒）下 跌 50 元/吨至 65940 元/吨，电池级氢氧化锂（微粉）下跌 50 元/吨至 71085 元/吨。仓单方面，昨 日仓单库存增加 272 吨至 36716 吨。 2. 供应端，周度减产依旧，5 月总供应量较预期下调；需求端，5 月三元+磷酸铁锂消耗碳酸锂量预计 环比小幅增加，磷酸铁锂正极材料库存周转天数连续下降，三元材料有小幅抬升迹象；电芯端依旧 保持景气。库存端，周内出现小幅去库状态，但整体库存水平仍维持高位，特别是下游库存处于较 高水平。 3. 宏观情绪回暖，碳酸锂期货减仓促使价格上行，但基本面来看，需求缺乏明显增量的背景下，锂矿 价格下跌和供应上减量仍然较低，警惕短期低估值下的资金扰动。 碳酸锂日报 二、日度数据监测 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the renewable energy sector, particularly highlighting the solar and wind energy segments as having strong growth potential [4][5]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the downstream demand for renewable energy is expected to increase, leading to a potential recovery in the pricing structure of the industry [2]. - It notes that the solar industry is currently experiencing a price correction after a surge in demand, with key components like silicon materials and modules seeing price adjustments [4]. - The wind energy sector is projected to benefit from significant policy support and increased project bidding, particularly in offshore wind projects [4]. Weekly Market Review - From April 28 to May 9, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.42%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.12% and 3.32%, respectively. The Shenwan Electric Power Equipment Index outperformed with a rise of 3.46% [12]. - Sub-sectors such as photovoltaic equipment, wind power equipment, batteries, and grid equipment saw respective increases of 2.8%, 3.85%, 4.39%, and 1.73% [12][14]. Key Sector Tracking - The report highlights specific companies to watch in the solar sector, including GCL-Poly Energy, JinkoSolar, and Sungrow Power Supply, which are expected to navigate through the current market fluctuations effectively [4]. - In the wind energy sector, companies like Goldwind Technology and Mingyang Smart Energy are recommended due to their strong market positions and growth prospects [4]. Price Data in the Industry - The report provides insights into the pricing trends of key components in the solar supply chain, indicating a downward trend in silicon prices, with current prices ranging from 34 to 36 CNY/kg, reflecting an over 8% decrease compared to the previous month [28]. - The price of N-type silicon wafers has also seen a significant drop, with the average transaction price falling below 1 CNY per piece, indicating a challenging market environment for smaller manufacturers [29][34]. Company Announcements - Notable announcements include the acquisition of 100% of Jinli Co. by Foshan Fulu Technology for a total consideration of 5.08 billion CNY, which is expected to enhance its market position [3][25]. - SAIC Motor reported a significant increase in electric vehicle sales, with a 71.7% year-on-year growth in April 2025, indicating strong demand in the electric vehicle market [26].

5月14日，港股三大指数集体走高。截至收盘，恒生指数涨2.3%，国企指数涨2.47%，恒生科技指数涨 2.13%。 分板块看，互联网医疗概念涨幅居前。京东健康（06618.HK）涨5.13%，该公司一季报超市场预期，收 入同比增长25.5%；经营盈利同比暴增119.8%。其它个股，阿里健康（00241.HK）涨3.68%，平安好医 生（01833.HK）涨2.58%，众安在线（06060.HK）涨5.03%。 港股运输股再度冲高，中远海发（02866.HK）涨12.37%，太平洋航运（02343.HK）涨7.78%，中远海 能（01138.HK）涨5.12%，东方海外国际（00316.HK）涨4.92%，中远海控（01919.HK）涨3.41%。机 构分析称，关税豁免期，叠加美线6-8月基本是集装箱发运旺季，美线航运需求有回升预期，运价存在 上涨驱动。 云办公、云计算、明星科网股等科技相关概念股亦多数走强。腾讯音乐-SW（01698.HK）绩后大涨 12.84%，贝壳-W（02423.HK）涨3.61%，百度集团-W（09888.HK）涨4.01%，京东集团-SW （09618.HK）涨3.36%，阿里巴巴- ...

| | 撰写人：王福辉 从业资格证号：F03123381 投资咨询从业证书号：Z0019878 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | 期货市场 | 主力合约收盘价（日，元/吨） | 65,200.00 | +1980.00↑ 前20名净持仓（日，手） | -18,701.00 | +8039.00↑ | | | 主力合约持仓量（日，手） | 276,956.00 | -17270.00↓ 近远月合约价差（日，元/吨） | -1,200.00 | -240.00↓ | | | 广期所仓单（日，手/吨） | 36,194.00 | -157.00↓ | | | | 现货市场 | 电池级碳酸锂平均价（日，元/吨） | 64,600.00 | 0.00 工业级碳酸锂平均价（日，万元/吨） | 62,950.00 | 0.00 | | | Li₂CO₃主力合约基差（日，元/吨） | -600.00 | -1980.00↓ | | | | 上游情况 | 锂辉石精矿(6%CIF中国 ...

铅酸退场，铁锂新启？比亚迪想要吃下两三轮车新份额。 筹备良久，比亚迪（002594.SZ）旗下弗迪电池对两轮、三轮车展开攻势。第一财经记者获悉，5月17 日，比亚迪将在深圳总部举办电动两轮、三轮车电池全系列产品发布会，并提出"铅酸退场、铁锂新 启"的口号。 另外，记者查询到，比亚迪电动车锂电池已在成都开设门店，门店招牌显示比亚迪电动车用电池适用于 两轮车、三轮车、四轮车。 实际上，早在2024年，比亚迪旗下弗迪电池就已对两轮、三轮车有布局。去年2月，比亚迪旗下弗迪电 池发文称，基于南京某小区电动两轮车火灾事故，电池管理团队、开发团队"连夜召开紧急会议"，探讨 对两轮车品质安全解决方案，决定将乘用车的研发成果应用到两轮车领域，加大两轮车的研发投入，开 发出能上楼的安全电池。 在制造层面，业内多次传出比亚迪将直接下场做两轮、三轮电动车的传闻，比亚迪集团品牌与公关处总 经理李云飞则多次在社交平台发文，辟谣"比亚迪要推出电动摩托车""比亚迪生产电动自行车"等信息。 在实际落地应用层面，比亚迪已与新日、立马、台铃、金彭等多家两三轮电动车品牌达成了合作。比 如，立马已上市的一款"超长续航车型"搭载与比亚迪共同定制的汽车级 ...

Group 1: Investor Relations Activity Overview - The company held an earnings briefing on May 9, 2025, via an online platform [4] - Participants included the Chairman and General Manager, the Secretary of the Board, and representatives from the underwriting team [4] Group 2: Financial Performance and Ratios - In 2024, the company experienced revenue declines across all product segments due to weakened demand in the lithium battery industry [6] - Magnetic filtration equipment accounted for 60.03% of revenue, totaling 74.96 million CNY, down 37.40% year-on-year - Magnetic rods represented 18.22% of revenue, totaling 22.75 million CNY, down 40.81% year-on-year - Heavy-duty products made up 20.16% of revenue, totaling 25.17 million CNY, down 8.86% year-on-year - Other products accounted for 1.58% of revenue, totaling 1.98 million CNY, down 34.25% year-on-year [6] - The company's liquidity ratios were healthy, with a current ratio of 7.37 and a quick ratio of 6.64 [7] - The net cash flow from operating activities for 2024 was 23.49 million CNY, indicating sufficient cash flow to cover short-term debts [7] Group 3: Market Expansion and Future Plans - In 2024, the company participated in various industry exhibitions to penetrate new markets, including chemicals and pharmaceuticals [8] - The company plans to focus on innovation and cost reduction in 2025, aiming for stable performance [9] - Key projects for 2025 include the development of robotic welding projects and the implementation of a Manufacturing Execution System (MES) [9] Group 4: Research and Development Investment - R&D expenses accounted for 6.04% of revenue, aligning with industry standards [11] - The company is developing high-precision electromagnetic separation equipment to meet the demands of lithium battery manufacturers [11] - New products include a dry magnetic separator for fly ash, achieving a recovery rate of ≥80% for magnetic components [11]

证券研究报告 点评报告 2025 年 5 月 13 日 晨会纪要 核[心Ta观bl点e_：Summary] 第一创业证券研究所 一、策略和先进制造组： 5 月 12 日报道称，三星已与主要客户敲定新定价，计划将 DDR4 的价格提高约 20%。 另外 DDR5 的价格也会上涨，幅度大概在 5%，由此全球主要存储厂都已上调，据 Etoday 报道，SK 海力士最近将 DRAM 价格上调了 12%。4 月份国际市场，PC 用 DDR4 8Gb 的价格环比上涨了 22.22%。存储厂从今年一季度就开始不断给市场传递涨价的 信息，但是因为美国对全球关税战的原因，市场反应较弱。目前中美关税战阶段性 超预期缓和，国内主要存储模组上市公司的存货也相对较高，股价也相对高位下跌 20%左右，因此本次存储芯片原厂涨价，大概率会给国内国内存储模组公司带来类似 2024 年上半年的业绩提升。 分析师：郭强 证书编号：S1080524120001 电话：0755-23838533 12 日中国汽车动力电池产业创新联盟发布数据，4 月我国动力和其他电池合计出口 22.3GWh，环比下降 2.9%，同比增长 64.2%。1-4 月，我国动 ...

Group 1: Market Reaction to US-China Trade Talks - The joint statement from the US-China Geneva trade talks led to a significant rise in Hong Kong's stock indices, with the Hang Seng Index increasing by 2.98%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rising by 3.01%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index surging by 5.16% [1] Group 2: Performance of Apple-Related Stocks - Apple-related stocks saw substantial gains, with notable increases such as Highway Electronics up 18.45%, AAC Technologies up 15.37%, Sunny Optical Technology up 14.83%, and Q Tech up 13.45% [1] Group 3: Apple Price Cuts and Future Strategy - Apple announced price cuts for the iPhone 16 Pro Max by $160 and the iPhone 16 Pro by $176, with a shift in its iPhone release strategy starting in 2026, introducing base models in the first half and Pro, ultra-thin, and foldable models in the second half [1] Group 4: Technology Sector Performance - Technology-related stocks, including short video, cloud computing, and gaming sectors, experienced gains, with companies like Weimob up 7.74%, Bilibili up 6.63%, and JD.com up 6.39% [2] Group 5: Brokerage Stocks Surge - Chinese brokerage stocks saw collective gains, with Hongye Futures up 14.44%, CICC up 7.24%, and China Galaxy up 6.73%, attributed to recent interest rate cuts that enhance market liquidity [2] Group 6: Port Transportation and Automotive Stocks - Port transportation stocks performed well, with COSCO Shipping Holdings up 8.52% and COSCO Shipping Energy up 4.34%. Additionally, electric vehicle stocks like BYD Electronics rose by 13.79% and Xpeng Motors by 10.64% [3] Group 7: Decline in Biopharmaceutical and Gold Stocks - Biopharmaceutical stocks fell, with BeiGene down 8.97% and Zai Lab down 5.51%, influenced by US policy changes aimed at reducing drug prices. Gold stocks also declined, with Lingbao Gold down 11.23% following a drop in spot gold prices [4]

Core Insights - EVE Energy held its first Commercial Vehicle Battery Technology Day and launched eight new open-source battery products to meet the growing demand in the commercial vehicle sector [2][3][4][6] Industry Trends - The penetration rate of new energy commercial vehicles in China has reached 20%, entering a phase of rapid growth, with new energy VANs exceeding 40% penetration [2] - The electric engineering machinery market is expected to exceed 80 GWh by 2030, becoming the third growth driver after passenger and commercial vehicles [2] - The export of Chinese commercial vehicles is anticipated to experience a new growth curve [2] Product Launches - EVE Energy introduced the LF125P-41.86 kWh battery for the micro-van market, capable of charging from 20% to 80% SOC in just 18 minutes [2] - The LM254-160 kWh battery for light trucks supports a range of 400 kilometers and maintains 85% energy efficiency at -20°C [3] - Four heavy-duty truck batteries were launched, including the LF230P-453 kWh, which can charge from 10% to 80% SOC in 18 minutes and is expected to generate an annual operational revenue increase of 50,000 yuan for users [3] - The LF420-563 kWh battery features a height reduction of 600 mm while maintaining similar weight to the 423 kWh battery, catering to short-haul transport needs [4] - The LF324S-43.8 kWh battery for buses offers a 10-year warranty and a system energy density of 170 Wh/kg [6] - The LF628-350 kWh battery for engineering machinery supports high integration and quick assembly [6] Technological Advancements - EVE Energy upgraded its LMX chemical material system, achieving a 15% increase in range and reducing charging time in low temperatures from 60 minutes to 40 minutes [6] - The overall system design has reduced the number of components by 50% while increasing system energy by 25% [6] - A cloud platform has been established for remote monitoring and analysis of battery packs, enabling early fault warnings [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd. has been rated AAA by Oriental Jincheng International Credit Rating Co., Ltd., indicating a stable credit outlook for the company and its upcoming green medium-term notes [1][2] - Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium operates a vertically integrated business model covering lithium resource development, lithium salt deep processing, lithium metal smelting, lithium battery manufacturing, and comprehensive recycling of lithium batteries, which enhances its synergy and overall strength [2] - The company is a significant global producer of lithium compounds and lithium metal, with abundant resource reserves and large-scale lithium processing capacity, ensuring a complete product supply [2] Group 2 - The sales volume of the company's lithium chemical products has been steadily increasing, supported by stable cooperation with major customers [2] - The revenue and gross profit from the company's lithium battery business, which includes power batteries, consumer batteries, and energy storage batteries, have shown continuous growth in recent years [2] - The company's equity has grown rapidly, significantly enhancing its capital strength [2] Group 3 - The company faces geopolitical and exchange rate fluctuation risks due to its primary lithium resources being located overseas, particularly concerning the potential cancellation of lithium mining concessions in Mexico [2] - The company reported losses for the period from January to September 2024, and the lithium supply-demand situation is expected to remain loose in the short term, putting pressure on profitability [2] - Significant capital expenditure is anticipated for future projects like the Mariana lithium salt lake construction, which may lead to short-term liquidity fluctuations [2]