at this time each year. This is a market that has been broadening, you know. Yes, it's true that Mega-cap has done very well.But if you look at a lot of other sectors, communications, industrials, financials, a lot of other sectors have done well, even materials of all things. >> You know, the what you're talking about is how Google Alphabet performed afterwards. That's endemic of the market.That's why we're not seeing we don't know what the substance of this trade agreement is with the EU. But if you'd. >> ...

Consumer & Economy - US consumer is holding in pretty well, supported by bank earnings, and consumer health is crucial as it represents approximately 69% of the economy [1][2] - Executive sentiment regarding future prospects is more important than backward-looking data, as it will drive corporate activity in the next 6 months and impact the broader macro view [3][4] Market Sentiment & Valuation - Market exhibits bullishness, especially among retail investors, indicated by the resurgence of meme stocks, crypto, and SPACs, requiring close monitoring [5] - Current valuations appear stretched relative to historical data, but valuations are more useful on a 5 to 10-year horizon [4][5] US-China Trade - US relies on China for rare earth minerals, potentially for another decade before achieving self-sufficiency [6] - China needs US chips, and US needs its chip and AI companies to thrive for wealth creation, suggesting a need for compromise between both countries [7] Fed Independence & Monetary Policy - Reduction of Fed independence could lead to a weaker currency, higher inflation, and higher long-term yields, as seen in other countries [10][11] - The market is closely watching potential dissents within the Fed, as two governors dissenting is not common and could impact rate volatility [13] - There is disagreement on whether the economy needs a rate cut, with some arguing that the stock market's all-time high suggests rates are not overly restrictive [15] Inflation & Tariffs - There is a risk of higher inflation in the second half of the year, potentially jeopardizing expectations of two Fed rate cuts by January [19] - The impact of tariffs on consumer prices is uncertain, with a possibility of increased tariff impact due to wound-down inventories and stricter government regulations on transshipments [17][18] AI & Productivity - The Fed's ability to model the productivity gains from AI over the next 18 to 24 months is questionable, making it difficult to set appropriate Fed funds rate [16] - Setting monetary policy based on uncertain AI productivity gains is considered nonsensical [17]

AI Investments and Performance - Intelligent Alpha uses AI large language models to estimate earnings for 1,000 companies each quarter [2] - Meta is expected to beat earnings, driven by significant investments in AI talent, despite Llama being behind competitors [3][14][15] - Mark Zuckerberg has spent billions of dollars on talent to catch up in the AI frontier model race [3] - Google added another 10 billion to their capex estimates for this year [4] - Intelligent Alpha focuses on GPT from OpenAI, Gemini from Google, and Claude from Anthropic, considering them the best models [14] Apple's AI Strategy and Future Outlook - Apple's stock is under question regarding its AI strategy, with limited answers expected this quarter [5][6] - The catalyst for Apple is the September iPhone launch and potential AI feature announcements to accelerate growth [7] - Apple may rely on third parties like GPT and Gemini for AI capabilities, potentially impacting stock performance [7] - Partnering with top LLM providers like GPT could be sufficient for Apple, focusing on user safety and integration [8] Amazon's Concerns - Amazon's top line is a concern for Intelligent Alpha's models this quarter, expecting a miss due to tariffs [9] - Amazon's bottom line is expected to be fine, indicating potential margin strength [9] - Inflation increases might impact Amazon in Q3 [10]

Uganda’s coffee earnings have more than doubled in the past 12 months as a national drive for more production caught a rising price wave https://t.co/FmdC6AgLNl ...

The VIX volatility index falling below 15 for the first time since February. For more, let's bring in Mandy Shu, head of derivatives market intelligence for SIBO Global Markets. Mandy, it's always great to see you. Great to be here.It's not just the VIX. I mean, volatility across asset classes, bond volatility is also very low. What does this tell you.Yeah, to me, I think it's a sign that what we're seeing in the markets is very much fundamentally driven, right. The fact that equities keep making new all-ti ...

Market Catalysts anchor Julie Hyman breaks down the latest market news for July 25, 2025. Meta, Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon are all set to report earnings. Laffer Tengler Investments CEO and CIO Nancy Tengler and Bernstein Managing Director and Senior Analyst Stacy Rasgon break down earnings expectations for the "Magnificent 7", chip stocks to consider, and opportunities for investors. For more Market Catalysts videos, please visit: https://finance.yahoo.com/videos/series/market-catalysts/ #youtube #stocks ...

Market Performance & Trends - S&P 500 closed just below 6400, up approximately 04% on the day [6] - Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher by about 05% for the day, with a weekly gain of about 13% [7] - Nasdaq 100 and Nasdaq Composite each rose about 025% on the day, 1% on the week [7] - Russell 2000 also participated, up 04% on the day and about 09% on a weekly basis [7] - Broad-based buying with 332 names in the S&P 500 to the upside [8] Sector & Company Specific Highlights - Materials and Industrials each gained about 2%, and Consumer Discretionary up about 08% [8] - Energy sector was lower by 04%, and Communication Services moderately lower [8] - Deckers (UGG and HOKA) saw UGG sales rising about 19% and HOKA sales increasing roughly 20% [10] - Yeti's stock was up about 56% following reports of potential takeover interest [11] - Tesla was a top gainer in the Nasdaq 100, with the stock up about 35% [14] - Intel's stock was down 85% after the CEO's comments sparked concerns about cost-cutting [16] - Charter Communications was down 85% after reporting a loss of 111000 residential high-speed internet customers [21] - PINNACLE Financial Partners and SYNOVUS were both down 12% and 125% respectively, after agreeing to an all-stock transaction valued at $86 billion [22] Federal Reserve & Economic Commentary - Former Dallas Fed President suggests it's not time to act in July but potentially in September [2][3] - Discussion around the pressure on the Fed and next week's Fed meeting [2] - Modest downward movement in yields, about one basis point across the board [23]

Equity bears take note: Earnings are beating estimates at the highest rate in four years, a sign that the stock rally can run on for a while longer https://t.co/rVwC6jywkJ ...

Market Overview - Pre-market futures are mixed but showing signs of weakness, following record high closes on the S&P 500, with profit-taking being a potential factor [1] - The tech-heavy Nasdaq is up by 42 points (+0.18%), while the Dow is down 300 points (-0.67%) due to UnitedHealth's DOJ probe, and the S&P 500 is nearly flat at -0.004% [2] Job Market Data - Initial Jobless Claims have decreased for six consecutive weeks, with the latest figure at 217K, the lowest in 14 weeks, down from 250K in early June [3] - Continuing Claims are reported at 1.955 million, slightly above the previous week's revised figure of 1.951 million, indicating a stall just below the 2 million mark [4] Q2 Earnings Reports - American Airlines (AAL) reported earnings of 95 cents per share, exceeding expectations by +20.25%, but shares fell -6% due to warnings of softer demand leading to a Q3 loss [5] - Honeywell (HON) surpassed earnings expectations with $2.75 per share, a +4.2% increase, and revenues of $10.35 billion, but shares are down -2.7% as the company plans to split into three segments by 2026 [6] - Union Pacific (UNP) reported earnings of $3.03 per share, beating expectations by +4.84%, with revenues of $6.2 billion, but shares are down -3% ahead of the opening bell [7] Economic Indicators - Upcoming S&P flash Services and Manufacturing PMI for July are expected to show slight growth in Services to 53.2 and a dip in Manufacturing to 52.7, both remaining above the growth threshold of 50 [8] - New Home Sales for June are anticipated to rise to 645K units, up from 623K the previous month, although existing home sales were disappointing, falling below 4 million for the first time since September [9] Future Earnings Reports - Q2 earnings reports will continue after the market closes, with Intel (INTC) and Deckers Outdoor (DECK) among the companies set to report [10]

Market Sentiment & Valuation - Market sentiment can shift rapidly, with healthcare experiencing a quick turnaround from negative to positive [1] - The market is characterized by institutions with low conviction and a return of retail FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out), evident in meme stocks and retail numbers [2] - Valuations are at a historical low percentile, a situation only seen twice before: during the pandemic and the internet boom [3] Earnings & Growth Drivers - Sustaining market growth from the current level requires earnings growth [9] - Tariffs may negatively impact consumers and producers, hindering earnings growth [9] - Automation, AI, and spending on infrastructure projects can drive earnings growth [10] Investment Opportunities & Risks - A broader, stock-specific environment is emerging, still influenced by the "Magnificent Seven" (now six) which account for 25% of earnings [4] - Opportunities exist to be both bullish and mindful of downside risks [4] - Financials and healthcare show potential for earnings growth due to AI and biotech advancements in drug development [11] - Caution is advised regarding "value traps" like small caps and energy, which have repeatedly disappointed [5][6] - The market's behavior doesn't always align with what "should" happen; focus on where the earnings are [7][8][9]