基础化工 化工周报（5/12-5/18）： 涤纶长丝价格大幅上涨，孟山都事件提升草甘膦关注度 ◼ 走势比较 (30%) (20%) (10%) 0% 10% 20% 24/5/20 24/7/31 24/10/11 24/12/22 25/3/4 25/5/15 相关研究报告 << 化 工 新 材 料 周 报 （ 20250512- 20250518）：制冷剂价格稳中有升，显 影液、蚀刻液价格下滑>>--2025-05- 18 <<川金诺（300505.SZ）：2024 年业绩 大幅改善，2025Q1 盈利同比高增>>- -2025-05-18 << 化 工 新 材 料 周 报 （ 20250505- 20250511）：制冷剂价格维持高位，维 生素价格走弱>>--2025-05-11 证券分析师：王亮 E-MAIL：wangl@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190522120001 证券分析师：王海涛 E-MAIL：wanght@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190523010001 报告摘要 1.重点行业和产品情况跟踪 涤纶长丝库存大幅下降，价格大幅上涨。中美高层经贸会谈取得 超预期进 ...

Core Viewpoint - The chemical sector in China is maintaining its development momentum despite external challenges, supported by strong domestic demand and favorable policies, with a notable recovery in product demand driven by various industries [1][6]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In Q1, the chemical sector's 529 listed companies reported a total revenue of 621.73 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 15.33%, while net profit reached 36.208 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 1.58% [1]. - The refrigerant industry benefited from regulatory policies, leading to a revenue increase of 23.31% to 14.654 billion yuan and a net profit surge of 140.16% to 1.77 billion yuan [2]. - The chlor-alkali industry saw a net profit increase of 84.55% to 3.117 billion yuan, despite a revenue decline of 13.98% to 45.922 billion yuan [2]. - The food and feed additive sector achieved a revenue of 37.773 billion yuan, up 4.21%, with net profit rising 75.57% to 5.369 billion yuan [3]. - The agricultural chemical sector reported a revenue of 49.378 billion yuan, down 6.51%, but net profit increased by 25.12% to 3.093 billion yuan [3]. Group 2: Industry Challenges - The organic silicon industry faced significant challenges, with net profit dropping by 37.74% despite stable revenue [4]. - The titanium dioxide sector experienced a revenue decline of 14.35% and a net profit drop of 35.61% due to high production levels and weak downstream demand [4]. - The nitrogen fertilizer industry reported a revenue decrease of 4.28% and a significant net profit decline of 56.82% [4]. - The tire industry showed a revenue increase of 6.34% but faced a net profit decline of 24.84%, attributed to rising production costs [4][5]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The refrigerant industry is expected to maintain its growth cycle due to quota systems and increasing downstream demand [6]. - The agricultural chemical market is anticipated to stabilize as the peak usage season approaches, with active trading expected [6]. - The chemical industry must navigate challenges such as increased competition in the titanium dioxide market and the need for innovation in the daily chemical sector [6].

Vitamin Sector - The vitamin sector is expected to benefit from price increases in 2024 and Q1 2025, with revenue projected to grow by 22.5% and net profit by 162.6% year-on-year in 2024 [1] - In Q1 2025, revenue and net profit are anticipated to continue their upward trend, with increases of 10.8% and 110.3% year-on-year, respectively [1] - The demand for feed-grade vitamins remains rigid, and certain concentrated supply structures are expected to support price increases for products like Vitamin E, D3, and folic acid [1] Fine Chemicals Sector - The fine chemicals sector is projected to outperform the basic chemicals sector in 2024 and Q1 2025, with a decline of only 4.2% in 2024 compared to a 5.1% drop in basic chemicals [2] - By the end of Q1 2025, the fine chemicals index is expected to rebound to 6905.55 points, reflecting an 8.5% increase year-to-date, surpassing basic chemicals by 2.4 percentage points [2] - The fine chemicals industry benefits from relatively inelastic downstream demand and high production barriers, making it more resilient during downturns and more elastic during recoveries [2] Amino Acids Sector - The amino acids sector is forecasted to see revenue growth of 8.9% and net profit growth of 55.0% in 2024, driven by recovering demand and lower raw material costs [3] - In Q1 2025, the sector is expected to continue benefiting from lower corn prices and increased export demand, with revenue and net profit projected to rise by 9.0% and 74.6% year-on-year, respectively [3] - Notably, methionine prices are anticipated to rise due to low channel inventory and market expectations, presenting potential opportunities for price increases [3] Pesticides Sector - The pesticides sector is showing signs of a cyclical rebound from 2024 to Q1 2025, despite an overall oversupply in 2024 leading to a revenue decline of 2.3% and a net profit drop of 73% [4] - In Q1 2025, certain pesticide products are expected to experience rapid price increases due to temporary supply-demand imbalances, resulting in a revenue increase of 4.5% and a net profit increase of 57.2% year-on-year [4] - Future price increases may be driven by strong demand for specific crops and supply constraints due to uncontrollable factors [4] Sweeteners Sector - The sweeteners sector is projected to show resilience in revenue with a 2.1% increase in 2024, although net profit is expected to decline by 32.5% due to price drops in core products [5] - In Q1 2025, revenue is anticipated to grow by 7.1% and net profit by 81.1%, benefiting from price increases initiated in late 2024 and ongoing demand for functional sugars [5] - The sector may see further price increases for sucralose and potential growth opportunities following the approval of natural sweetener allulose in the domestic market [5]

证券代码：836419 证券简称：万德股份 公告编号：2025-046 西安万德能源化学股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连 带法律责任。 □分析师会议 □路演活动 □其他 二、 投资者关系活动情况 一、 投资者关系活动类别 □特定对象调研 √业绩说明会 □媒体采访 □现场参观 □新闻发布会 活动时间：2025 年 5 月 16 日（周五）下午 15:00~17:00 活动地点：公司通过全景网"投资者关系互动平台"（https://ir.p5w.net） 采用网络远程的方式召开业绩说明会。 参会单位及人员：通过网络方式参加公司 2024 年年度业绩说明会的投资者。 上市公司接待人员：1、董事长：王育斌先生 2、董事、总经理：汪希领先 生 3、财务总监：薛玫女士 4、董事、董事会秘书：杨青女士 5、保荐代表人： 汪兵先生。 三、 投资者关系活动主要内容 公司就投资者在本次说明会中提出的问题进行了回复： 1、请问贵公司如何看待行业未来的发展前景？ 回答：尊敬的投资者，您好！公 ...

Group 1 - The traditional retail industry is facing significant challenges, with vacancy rates approaching 30% and merchants demanding rent reductions due to the impact of e-commerce and changing consumer behaviors [1][3] - Many professionals in the industry are considering transitioning to other shopping centers, but the entire sector is experiencing a downturn, leading to a search for new opportunities in emerging fields [3][4] - The concept of "15-minute living circles" is gaining popularity, with a focus on community commerce that combines essential services like convenience stores and fresh food markets, which is seen as more practical than high-end shopping centers [3][4] Group 2 - New retail experiences are emerging, such as escape rooms and immersive dining, catering to younger consumers seeking novelty [3][4] - Innovative uses of vacant retail spaces are being explored, such as transforming them into shared live-streaming studios or helping physical stores transition online, which can be more profitable than traditional rent collection [3][4] - The IT industry is viewed as a lucrative field, with high employment rates and attractive salaries for graduates from practical training programs [4] Group 3 - The trend of "second landlords" is rising, where individuals manage brand operations and shop renovations for owners, generating stable income without the risks associated with direct ownership [4] - Caution is advised for those transitioning to new ventures, emphasizing the importance of not blindly investing in unfamiliar industries and testing the waters before fully committing [4] - Successful transitions often involve leveraging past experiences in commercial logic, resource integration, and negotiation skills, with many individuals enhancing their skill sets by learning IT [4]

上周五，渝三峡A股价再度涨停，实现13天9板。 4月9日以来的26个交易日内，渝三峡A累计上涨190.85%，涨幅位列A股第四。 今日，人气股渝三峡A一度跌停，随后拉升翻红，又下跌，截至午间收盘，最新跌4.71%，报13.35元/股，总市值为57.88亿元。 | 序号 □ 股票代码 股票简称 | | | 现价(元) | 区间涨跌幅:前复权(%)(2 涨跌幅(%) 2025.04.09-2025.05.19 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 10 | 300879 | 大叶股份 | 50.56 | 6.44 | 241.39 | | 2 1 | 300946 | 恒而达 | 83.38 | 4.22 | 221.06 | | 3 17 | 301595 | 太力科技 | 53.80 | 215.54 = > 1 1 | 215.54 | | 4 1 | 000565 | 渝三峡A | 13.35 | -4.71 | 190.85 | | 5 1 | 873169 | 七丰精工 | | 37.27 W. 1-2.43 n Cal. COM 20 72 | ...

Group 1 - The global manufacturing industry is shifting from China to Southeast Asian countries, SCO countries, and countries in the China-Africa Cooperation Organization due to multiple factors [1] - The chemical industry evolution will be dominated by US tariffs on China, European anti-dumping measures, environmental regulations, regional trade policies, and technological innovation [1] - Chinese companies can utilize regional trade agreements like RCEP to diversify production capacity towards Southeast Asia and Central Asia, with Cambodia being a significant investment destination in the chemical industry [1] Group 2 - Cambodia's chemical industry is in its early stages, contributing only 0.6% to GDP, with 18 registered chemical companies primarily focused on fertilizers, coatings, plastics, and daily chemicals [2] - The Cambodian government has established the Cambodian Investment Development Council to attract foreign investment through favorable policies, with industrial parks focusing on chemical industry development [2] - Cambodia has abundant natural resources, including salt mines and rubber, which provide a solid foundation for the development of the chemical industry [2] Group 3 - The construction industry in Cambodia is experiencing high demand, with over 100 large construction projects expected by 2025, leading to a surge in demand for chemical-related products like coatings [3] - There is a significant gap in the market for construction chemicals, textile chemicals, agricultural chemicals, daily chemicals, and new chemical engineering materials, which presents investment opportunities in the chemical sector [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that coal companies are expected to report strong earnings growth for 2021, with profit growth rates of 514%, -125% (turning profitable), 475%, and 62% for various companies, indicating a significant improvement in profitability despite a drop in coal prices due to regulatory measures [1] - The coal price has rebounded significantly, with Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal prices exceeding 1000 yuan/ton, reflecting a 30% increase from the bottom, driven by export restrictions from Indonesia and mandatory inventory replenishment by power plants [1] - The overall economic growth is expected to stabilize, enhancing demand support, which will benefit coal as a primary energy source, alongside a recovery in the coal-coke-steel industry chain [1] Group 2 - High dividends are anticipated to continue, leading to a long-term increase in coal sector valuations, as companies are expected to disclose new shareholder return plans after March 2022 [2] - The capital expenditure in the coal industry has peaked, and with the trend towards "carbon neutrality," capital spending is expected to decline, optimizing the relationship between capital expenditure, cash flow, financials, profits, and dividends [2] - The coal sector is currently at a valuation bottom, with undervalued stocks, and companies with high dividends and those transitioning to green energy are expected to see valuation increases [2]

Group 1: Company Performance - The top three companies with the highest gains this week are Hongtong Gas (605169.SH) up 22.05%, Chuaning Bio (301301.SZ) up 18.73%, and Hejin Investment (000633.SZ) up 10.02% [1] - The top three companies with the largest declines this week are Donghua Technology (002140.SZ) down -2.98%, Xuefeng Technology (603227.SH) down -5.26%, and Yipuli (002096.SZ) down -5.52% [1] - Chuaning Bio's increase is primarily due to the concept of ergot sulfur, following the announcement by the National Health Commission regarding new food raw materials [1] Group 2: Energy Sector Insights - Xinjiang's coal chemical industry is expected to enter a golden era due to energy security and cost advantages, benefiting from the shift in national strategy towards the Belt and Road Initiative [3] - Xinjiang's coal and coal-based products are anticipated to flow nationwide, contributing to China's energy independence and reducing reliance on energy imports [3] - Recent infrastructure developments, such as the expansion of coal transportation railways and the establishment of the national pipeline network, are crucial for the growth of Xinjiang's coal chemical sector [3] Group 3: State-Owned Enterprise Reform - The reform of state-owned enterprises in Xinjiang is accelerating, with a focus on business restructuring and optimization [4] - Significant changes in control and acquisitions among local enterprises indicate a shift towards more efficient management and resource integration [4] - Companies in Xinjiang's coal chemical sector and local state-owned enterprises are expected to benefit from deepening reforms and investment opportunities [4]

Group 1 - The core transaction involves the sale of shares in Cangzhou Xuyang Chemical Co., Ltd. by Xuyang Group and its subsidiaries to Binhai Energy, with the aim of integrating operations and enhancing market position in the new materials sector [1][2] - The transaction will result in Binhai Energy becoming a subsidiary of Xuyang Group, allowing for consolidated financial reporting and operational synergies [1][4] - The target company specializes in nylon new materials, which are crucial for high-end manufacturing in China, aligning with government policies promoting the development of the nylon industry [2][3] Group 2 - Binhai Energy focuses on lithium battery anode materials, and the integration with the target company is expected to create a complete industrial chain for carbon materials, enhancing the group's capabilities in fine chemical products [4][5] - The nylon new materials produced by the target company are widely used in various industries, including automotive and electrical components, indicating a strong market demand [5][6] - The strategic move is anticipated to strengthen the group's position in the consumer market, particularly in the automotive sector, which is expected to attract more investors and enhance market valuation [6]