周三（7月2日）欧市尾盘，英国10年期国债收益率上涨15.8个基点——创4月7日（当天涨16.7个基点） 以来最大单日涨幅，报4.612%，北京时间20:00之前持续、平滑地震荡上行，之后涨幅迅速扩大，21:30 达到4.633%，逼近6月9日顶部4.673%。 30年期英债收益率涨19.1个基点，报5.420%，21:57涨至5.453%刷新日高；50年期英债收益率涨18.1个基 点，报4.767%，21:53涨至4.817%刷新日高。 2/10年期英债收益率利差涨10.417个基点，报+72.904个基点，全天持续上涨。 两年期英债收益率涨5.4个基点，报3.881%，20:00之前也窄幅震荡于3.840%一线，19:48开始迅速扩大涨 幅，20:02刷新日高至3.912%。 ...

核心观点 | 美的集团(股票代码:000333) | | --- | | | | 分析师 | 何伟 | | --- | | 省: 021-20257811 | | 区:hewei_yj@chinastock.com.cn | | 分析师登记编码：S0130525010001 | | 刘立思 | | 図: liulisi_yj@chinastock.com.cn | | 分析师登记编码：S0130524070002 | | 杨策 | | 网: yangce_yj@chinastock.com.cn | | 分析师登记编码：S0130520050005 | | 陆思源 | | 区: lusiyuan_yj@chinastock.com.cn | | 分析师登记编码：S0130525060001 | 公司点评 · 家用电器行业 行业景气下行,凸显公司稳增长与分红收益率 2025年07月02日 | 市场数据 | 2025 年 07 月 01 日 | | --- | --- | | 股票代码 | 000333 | | A 股收盘价(元) | 72.11 | | 上证指数 | 3,457.75 | | 总股本(万股) | ...

Group 1 - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose on Wednesday due to investors digesting weak employment data and weighing the impact of President Trump's tax and spending plan [1][3] - The ADP report indicated a decrease of 33,000 jobs in June, contrasting with economists' expectations of an increase of 100,000 jobs [3] - The Senate passed Trump's major bill with a narrow margin of 51 to 50 votes, which is expected to increase the fiscal deficit by $3.3 trillion over the next decade [3] Group 2 - The 2-year Treasury yield increased by 0.6 basis points to 3.783%, the 10-year yield rose by 5.1 basis points to 4.3%, and the 30-year yield increased by 6 basis points to 4.84% [1] - In the European market, 10-year German bonds rose by 5.8 basis points to 2.625%, Italian bonds increased by 8.6 basis points to 3.555%, and French bonds rose by 8.1 basis points to 3.328% [5] - The UK bond market saw significant increases, with the 10-year yield jumping over 20 basis points to 4.67%, reflecting concerns over government spending plans [5]

Group 1 - Eurozone government bond yields continue to rise, indicating a trend in the fixed income market [1] - The yield on German 10-year government bonds increased by 6 basis points to 2.625% [1] - The yield on Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 9 basis points to 3.555% [1] - The yield on French government bonds increased by 8 basis points to 3.328% [1]

[李一爽 Table_ First固定Author 收益]首席分析师 执业编号：S1500520050002 联系电话：+86 18817583889 邮 箱：liyishuang@cindasc.com 张 弛 固定收益分析师 执业编号：S1500524090002 联系电话：+86 18817872149 邮 箱：zhangchi3@cindasc.com 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 证券研究报告 甜蜜中不再畏高？ —— 7 月转债投资策略与关注个券 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 07 月 02 日 债券研究 [T债券able_ReportType] 专题 [Table_A 李一爽 uthor固定收益 ] 首席分析师 执业编号：S1500520050002 联系电话：+86 18817583889 邮 箱： liyishuang@cindasc.com 张 弛 固定收益分析师 执业编号：S1500524090002 联系电话：+86 18817872149 邮 箱：zhangchi3@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 ...

Core Viewpoint - The UK bond yield curve is steepening as the market reassesses the outlook for fiscal policy, indicating a shift in expectations regarding public borrowing and potential government actions [1] Group 1: Market Reassessment - The market is evidently re-evaluating the prospects of UK fiscal policy, leading to a significant steepening of the bond yield curve [1] - A recent vote in the House of Commons has prompted a reconsideration of public borrowing possibilities [1] Group 2: Government Borrowing and Budget Expectations - The market has recognized that the government has deviated from its borrowing path and anticipates corrective measures in the budget [1] - If the current market trend continues, the government may need to announce measures on the revenue side rather than cutting public spending [1] Group 3: Central Bank Actions - The Bank of England is reportedly assessing Quantitative Tightening (QT) and may conclude asset sales by the fall [1]

周喜证券分析师 SAC No：S1150511010017 靳沛芃研究助理 SAC No：S1150124030005 美债市场概览 美债市场起源于独立战争，至今已超200年历史，期间经历多次重大事件，包括南北战争催化下的现代国债体系形成、世界大战后的国际化推进、布雷顿 森林体系瓦解导致的"美元锚"切换以及21世纪多次危机背景下发行量的激增。数据显示，美国债券市场总规模占全球的比例超40%，运作上实行以立法为 基础，发行市场多头管理，交易市场统一监管，托管结算集中统一的体制。鉴于美国债券市场庞大的体系，下文主要以规模最大、影响范围最广的国债作 为主要分析对象。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 从规模来看，截至2024年末美国国债总规模较2017年接近翻倍，规模达28.3万亿美元。发行方面，通常遵循两个原则：一是考虑收益率曲线不同期限上的 发行规模，使预期成本最低；二是通过季度再融资过程与市场参与者沟通，提供有规律、可预测的国债发行指引并根据反馈逐步调整发行规模。同时，发 行也会受债务上限约束，触及时会产生国库现金账户（TGA）大幅变动、借款成本增加、信用评级下调等负面 ...

Core Viewpoint - The UK 10-year government bond yield is expected to achieve its largest single-day increase since October 10, 2022, during Liz Truss's administration [1] Group 1 - The UK 10-year government bond yield is projected to rise significantly [1]

Core Viewpoint - The yield on the UK's 30-year government bonds surged by 21 basis points to 5.44% [1] Group 1 - The increase in the yield indicates rising borrowing costs for the government, which may impact future fiscal policies [1] - This significant rise in yield reflects market expectations regarding inflation and interest rate movements [1] - The 30-year bond yield reaching 5.44% suggests a shift in investor sentiment towards long-term government debt [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that UK bonds continue to remain sluggish, with the 30-year government bond yield surging by 20 basis points to 5.43% [1]