Workflow
逻辑
icon
Search documents
每一次对话都是一次协商谈判
腾讯研究院· 2025-04-29 08:12
回家之后,里德将枪支连同包装盒原封不动地放进了自己的衣柜,之后再也没有碰过它。 里德购买枪械这件事原本很可能就这样神不知鬼不觉地过去了。然而,直到有一天,他在法院附近寻找 当侦探的机会,希望有人雇他破案。这时,一名警察走上前要求他出示身份证明。无奈之下,里德只能 从口袋里掏出了唯一带有他姓名的东西:那家体育用品商店的购枪收据。 "你随身携带了那把枪吗?"警察问道。 审判伊始,里德的辩护律师便向陪审团承认,那些对其不利的证据确实很有说服力。"首先,我要明确 地告诉各位,"他对陪审团成员说,"勒罗伊·里德曾犯有重罪。去年的12月7日,也就是11个月前,他购 买了一把枪。对此,我们毫不隐瞒,也毫无异议。" 根据《威斯康星州第941.29号法令》,这意味着里德可能面临长达10年的监禁。但是,他的律师接着 说,"他应该被判无罪",因为他患有严重的精神障碍,再加上被捕时情况特殊,所有迹象都表明他并无 意犯罪。一位心理学家作证指出,里德只有二年级的阅读水平,且智商"远低于平均值"。十多年前,里 德无意间在一起便利店的抢劫案中,充当了朋友逃跑时的司机,因而被定罪。不过,他最终被提前释 放,部分原因在于官方怀疑即使在被定罪之后 ...
关税重压难挡“AI阿尔法”! 全球最大资管机构力挺AI投资主题
智通财经网· 2025-04-29 07:21
智通财经APP获悉,来自全球最大规模资管机构贝莱德(BlackRock)的股票分析师团队敦促投资者们仍应保持对于人工智能驱动型股票(AI-driven)的适度配置 敞口(若无敞口则应选择逢低布局),尽管面临近期的全球范围内贸易政策剧烈波动,该机构仍然强调,特朗普政府掀起新一轮面向全球范围的激进关税政 策,但AI投资主题以及所谓"AI投资逻辑"本身所具备的长期投资回报增长潜力仍然"完好无损"。 在贝莱德股票分析团队看来,特朗普政府所主导的关税政策重压难挡AI投资逻辑带来的"超额阿尔法属性"。贝莱德建议投资者们持续配置人工智能驱动型股 票,并认为这些股票具备强大的"阿尔法属性"——即跑赢美股大盘——标普500指数的概率,且相比消费、能源、矿业等其他热门板块投资收益而言将高得 多。 资管巨头贝莱德力挺AI投资主题 "具有强劲的盈利能力且资产负债表强劲的人工智能驱动型科技公司最能够在当前的宏观环境中运筹帷幄。"贝莱德分析团队在《春季投资指引》研究报告中 指出。 无独有偶,华尔街金融巨头摩根士丹利(以下简称"大摩")近期发布的研报显示,AI/ML(人工智能/机器学习)这两大前沿科技支出在美国科技类型企业的IT预 算中占 ...
美股巨震,业绩风暴考验来袭
天天基金网· 2025-04-29 05:31
上天天基金APP搜索【777】领 98 元券包 ,优选基金10元起投!限量发放!先到先得! 当地时间周一(4月28日),美股收盘涨跌不一。纳指小幅收跌,道指与标普500指数连续第五个交易日 上涨。英伟达跌逾2%,领跌美股科技七巨头。 市场聚焦即将发布的美股科技巨头财报,微软、苹果等龙头企业将在本周发布季度业绩。与此同时,本 周美股市场还将迎来包括非农就业报告、一季度GDP初值在内的多项重磅经济数据。 美股涨跌不一 市场关注科技股财报 美东时间4月28日,美股三大指数下探回升。截至收盘,道指涨0.28%报40227.59点,纳指跌0.10%报 17366.13点,标普500指数涨0.06%报5528.75点。 由于本周科技股财报季和美国就业数据来袭,美股三大股指盘中一度全面下跌。 美股尾盘,股市反弹,标普500指数收复1%的跌幅。 | 伦敦金现 | 伦敦银现 | COMEX黄金 | | --- | --- | --- | | 3343.560 | 33.136 | 3354.8 | | +24.800 | | | | COMEX白银 | SHFE黄金 | SHFE白银 | | 33.395 | 793.68 | ...
陕西煤业(601225):盈利相对稳健 红利逻辑凸显
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for 2024 but a decline in net profit, with expectations for stable coal prices supporting long-term profitability and cash flow [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 184.145 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.47%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 22.36 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.21% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 40.162 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.30%, and net profit of 4.805 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.23% [1]. Coal and Power Business - The company increased its raw coal production to 170 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.1%, and sales volume reached 258 million tons, up 9.13% [3]. - The average cost of raw selected coal was 289.92 yuan per ton, down 2.25% year-on-year, driven by reductions in material costs, maintenance, and taxes [3]. - The company has a total approved capacity of 162 million tons, with an increase in annual capacity at the Yuandatan coal mine from 8 million tons to 10 million tons [3]. - The company controls 8,300 MW of operational thermal power capacity and has 11,320 MW under construction, with expected growth in operational capacity from 10,300 MW in 2025 to 16,300 MW by 2027 [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company's net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down to 21.15 billion yuan and 21.90 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a decrease of 17% and 20% from previous estimates [4]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 2.18, 2.26, and 2.29 yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -5.4%, +3.6%, and +1.4% [4]. - The company is expected to maintain a high dividend payout ratio of around 60% from 2021 to 2024, with a target price adjustment to 28.36 yuan based on a 13x PE valuation for 2025 [4].
美股巨震,业绩风暴考验来袭
新华网财经· 2025-04-29 01:09
当地时间周一(4月28日),美股收盘涨跌不一。纳指小幅收跌,道指与标普500指数连续第 五个交易日上涨。英伟达跌逾2%,领跌美股科技七巨头。 美东时间4月28日,美股三大指数下探回升。截至收盘,道指涨0.28%报40227.59点,纳指跌 0.10%报17366.13点,标普500指数涨0.06%报5528.75点。 中概股多数上涨 。小马智行涨超47%,霸王茶姬涨逾10%,蔚来涨近7%,老虎证券涨 6.73%。下跌方面,联掌门户跌超14%,陆控跌逾5%,比特小鹿跌近5%,盛美半导体跌 2.03%。 大宗商品方面, 4月28日, 国际金价逆势上涨 ,现货黄金站上3340美元/盎司; 国际油价走 低 ,专家表示,今年国际油价或宽幅震荡。 由于本周科技股财报季和美国就业数据来袭,美股三大股指盘中一度全面下跌。美股尾盘, 股市反弹,标普500指数收复1%的跌幅。 美股大型科技股多数下跌,万得美国科技七巨头指数跌0.49%。 个股方面,英伟达跌2.05%, 谷歌C跌0.87%,亚马逊跌0.68%,微软跌0.18%,特斯拉涨0.33%,苹果涨0.41%,脸书涨 0.45%。 | 招标 | 成分 | 资讯 | 相关基金 ...
【第一财经直播】全球政策博弈与技术革命下的投资新逻辑
戴康的策略世界· 2025-04-28 08:24
E 3 25 大分 FES 点击蓝字"戴康的策略世界"关注我们《! 右上角假范围冠冠,更新内容第一时间推送~《 者司机"戴" 你上车 投资新范式 把脉全球资产配置 戴康 CFA | 广发证券发展研究中心董事总经理 首席资产研究官 新浪财经金麒麟白金分析师 策略投资 次为想起扶贫困系 包揽:2014-2023年新财富最佳分析师、金牛奖、 戴康的策略世界 水晶球等所有重要奖项 著书《策略投资:从方法论到进化论》 荣获京东图书2023百大好书 ly 17 175 THIFF "发证券发展研究中心 国泰君安国际 首席经济学家 资产配置高级分析师 冯晓宇 申万宏源全球资产配置 奶衫子 高级分析师 王持人 巴菲特 04.21–04.25 直播课 04.28–04.30 时期 19-00 日 码 臺 直 指 t and C Production Comment ...
陕西煤业:盈利相对稳健,红利逻辑凸显-20250428
HTSC· 2025-04-28 05:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 28.36 [7][8]. Core Views - The company's profitability remains relatively stable, supported by a strong cash flow that underpins high dividends, highlighting a robust dividend logic [1]. - The company benefits from high electricity prices in Shaanxi, which supports stable long-term coal prices, enhancing its profitability compared to industry peers [2]. - The coal business is focused on cost reduction and volume growth, with significant increases in coal production and sales driven by trade coal sales [3]. - The report has adjusted the profit forecasts for 2025-2026, reflecting a decrease in expected net profit due to lower coal prices, but maintains a positive outlook on the company's ability to sustain high dividends [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company recorded operating revenue of RMB 184.145 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.47%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 22.36 billion, a decrease of 3.21% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the operating revenue was RMB 40.162 billion, down 7.30% year-on-year, with a net profit of RMB 4.805 billion, down 1.23% [1]. Production and Sales - The company achieved a raw coal production of 170 million tons in 2024, up 4.1% year-on-year, and sales of 258 million tons, up 9.13% year-on-year, primarily driven by trade coal sales [3]. - The average cost of selected coal was RMB 289.92 per ton, a decrease of 2.25% year-on-year, due to reductions in material costs and maintenance expenses [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report projects net profits of RMB 21.15 billion for 2025 and RMB 21.90 billion for 2026, with corresponding EPS of RMB 2.18 and RMB 2.26 [4]. - The target price has been adjusted to RMB 28.36, based on a 13x PE valuation for 2025, compared to an industry average of 8.7x [4].
一季度基金经理对黄金股调仓方向现分歧,谁在买,谁在卖?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-28 04:28
Group 1 - The gold market is experiencing intense volatility, indicating a critical turning point for gold assets [1] - Fund managers are showing divergent strategies regarding gold stocks, with some significantly reducing their positions while others continue to buy [1][2] - The investment strategy debate around gold is quietly unfolding, reflecting differing views on its future performance [2] Group 2 - Dong Chen, a fund manager, has shifted from heavily investing in gold stocks to completely exiting them, replacing them with stocks from other sectors [2] - In contrast, Yuan Weide from China Europe Fund has aggressively bought into gold stocks, making significant additions to his portfolio [3] - The divergence in fund managers' strategies highlights the complexity of gold pricing logic and suggests potential increased volatility in the gold market [3]
大越期货沪铜周报-20250428
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-04-28 02:36
重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 交易咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】1091号 沪铜周报(4.21~4.25) 大越期货投资咨询部:祝森林 从业资格证号:F3023048 投资咨询证号: Z0013626 联系方式:0575-85226759 目录 一、行情回顾 二、基本面(库存结构) 三、市场结构 上周回顾 沪铜周评: 上周沪铜企稳反弹,沪铜主力合约上涨1.74%,收报于77440元/吨。宏观面看,俄乌战争持续,地缘政 治扰动铜价,川普上台后,全面关税启动,衰退逻辑弥漫市场,目前情绪面有所好转。国内方面,消费 将进入旺季,等待消费指引,目前来看下游消费意愿一般。产业端,国内现货交易一般,整体还是刚 需交易为主。库存方面,铜库存LME库存203450吨,上周出现小幅减少,上期所铜库存较上周减54858 吨至116753吨。 期货主力 数据来源:Wind 供需平衡 2023供需紧平衡,2024过剩 数据来源:博易大师 基本面 1、PMI 2、供需平衡表 3、 ...
FBIF2025全体大会终版议程发布
FBIF食品饮料创新· 2025-04-28 00:31
过去十余年,百事集团全球业绩从2013年的4049.26亿元人民币稳步增长至2024年的6650.17亿元, 展现出强劲的增长韧性与卓越的全球经营能力。持续巩固和拓展其在本土食品与饮料行业的领先地位。 在全球经济重塑与科技变革并行的时代,食品与饮料行业正步入一场深层次的系统性重构。FBIF2025 全体大会,汇聚全球领袖与思想先行者,以"系统性增长逻辑"为主线,穿越短期波动,重塑可持续增长 的底层方法论。 面对老龄化社会、消费分级、中增长市场的机遇与挑战,行业需要超越传统打法,在"用户资产沉淀"中 夯实内力,在"国际化双轮驱动"中拓展增长疆域。同时,AI驱动的新质生产力、智能供应链体系的重 塑,正在重构产品开发、渠道连接与组织效率的新边界。从战略并购与整合,到全球价值链重构, FBIF2025全体大会将前瞻性洞察新一轮行业洗牌与创新浪潮的方向,助力企业在不确定中掌握确定 性,在变量中锚定增长极。 这里,不仅是趋势的预见者,更是未来产业格局的塑造者。 大会主席致辞 强基固本,乘势而上:在变局中打造增长新范式 【分享时间】 5月10日 9:00-9:15 【分享嘉宾】虞坚 ,总经理, 央视市场研究(CTR) 【 ...