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降准降息领衔“多箭齐发” 一揽子政策“组合拳”为何择机此时?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 12:17
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has announced a series of monetary policy measures aimed at stabilizing the market and expectations, including a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio and a 0.1 percentage point cut in policy interest rates, which is expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the market [1][2][3]. Group 1: Monetary Policy Measures - The PBOC's package includes ten key measures, such as lowering the reserve requirement ratio, adjusting interest rates for various financial products, and increasing loan quotas for specific sectors like technology and agriculture [2][4]. - The reduction in the reserve requirement ratio is expected to lower financial institutions' funding costs, thereby enhancing their ability to serve the real economy [2][5]. - The policy aims to guide the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) downwards, which will subsequently reduce the overall financing costs for society [2][5]. Group 2: Structural Policy Tools - The PBOC has introduced structural monetary policy tools, including a 0.25 percentage point reduction in the interest rates of these tools, aimed at supporting key sectors such as technology innovation, consumer services, and small enterprises [5][6]. - The increase in the quota for technology innovation and technical transformation loans to 800 billion yuan is designed to bolster support for emerging industries [5][6]. - The establishment of a 500 billion yuan service consumption and pension re-loan is intended to enhance financial support for sectors like hospitality and education [5][6]. Group 3: Impact on Real Estate Market - The reduction of the personal housing provident fund loan interest rate by 0.25 percentage points is expected to save residents over 20 billion yuan annually in interest payments, thereby supporting housing demand and stabilizing the real estate market [6][7]. - The adjustment in the housing provident fund loan rates aims to resolve the previous discrepancies between these rates and commercial loan rates, ensuring better effectiveness of the provident fund policy [6][8]. - The overall reduction in housing loan costs is projected to enhance consumer willingness and ability to spend, potentially increasing market activity in the real estate sector [7][8].
“降准降息”靴子落地,意味着什么?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 12:17
5月7日,在国务院新闻办公室举行的新闻发布会上,中国人民银行行长潘功胜宣布了降准降息。其中, 降准0.5个百分点,向市场提供长期流动性约1万亿元,并降低政策利率0.1个百分点。 浦银国际认为,政策将继续发力,以抵消关税战给经济带来的负面影响。在货币政策方面,该行相信今 年接下来或还有一次50个基点的降准,以及20-30个基点的降息。在财政政策方面,短期重点或仍在两 会制定刺激政策的加快落实上,尤其是地方政府专项债和特别国债的加快发行上。在两会公布的政府债 券发行额度使用完毕后,认为下半年政府或额外拿出 1%~1.5%GDP的财政资金支持,以对冲关税影 响。短期内潜在的全国性生育补贴政策的发布亦仍值得期待。 在房地产政策方面,浦银国际指出,预期的调降公积金房贷利率已经兑现。接下来如果房产销售动能仍 未有明显好转,那么政府还可以考虑提供契税优惠或/和配合生育政策推出购房优惠等。从供给端来 看,去年年底已预告政策的落实依然是短期焦点所在,包括专项债支持收地收储、央行收地专项再贷款 的设立和100万套货币化安置城中村和危旧房改造等。 景顺亚太区(日本除外)环球市场策略师赵耀庭则表示,对中国市场而言,今日的政策利率下调 ...
央行、证监会重磅发布!上一次A股涨了8%!
天天基金网· 2025-05-07 11:34
摘要 1、今天,央行释放重磅利好!官宣降准降息!A股三大指数冲高回落,原因何在? 2、复盘历史降准降息落地后A股走势!上一次降准次日沪指大涨8%,这次会否重演? 3、 上天天基金APP搜索【777】 领98元券包 ,优选基金10元起投!限量发放!先到先得! 真话白话说财经,理财不说违心话 --这是第1345 篇白话财经- - 今天,央行、证监会、金融监管总局的三大类10项利好举措齐发,A股开盘一片热闹景象,不过随后出现跳水,好在最终集体收涨。 (图片来源:东方财富APP,统计截至2025/5/7,不作投资推荐) 两市成交额继续放量,超1.47万亿。盘面上,航天航空、金融、地产、消费等板块涨幅居前。 机构分析指出,"稳住楼市股市"政策的进一步落实,将 指引2025年A股市场继续以"慢牛"方式运行 。看好红利、消费以及新质生产力相关的科技板块。 降准降息时间定了!A股为何冲高回落? 今天,降准、降息、完善现有再贷款工具,创造新的再贷款工具,优化主动权益类基金收费模式等多项利好齐发。 给市场带来了实质的利好,不过 对于A股的冲高回落,有分析认为主要是因为短期获利盘兑现压力,市场情绪尚未完全恢复,指数高开后缺乏持续动 ...
三部委会议,支撑力有多大?
Hu Xiu· 2025-05-07 11:31
1、三部委会议,支撑力有多大? 2、中美关税谈判启动,可以乐观了吗? 如有疑问请以音频内容为准,添加妙妙子微信huxiuvip302,入群有机会与董小姐进一步交流。 新闻解读评级说明:五星重磅,四星重要,三星级以下大家选择听。 本篇评级为★★★,主要围绕以下内容展开: 今天早晨9点开会,被大家万众期待,公布出了哪些重磅级消息呢?市场到底会怎样去消化?有没有对 市场拉动的延续性呢?我们一起来分析一下。 这个会议在今天早晨9点开,网友把它戏称为央行"十全大补丸",提到了十个政策来支持目前的经济和 金融恢复。 在这些政策里,被大家注意到最多的就是降准和降息。降准这件事其实是意料之中的,之前一直在提, 这次降了0.5%。而降息是市场没有太多人预计到的,这次虽然只降了0.1%,但在银行面临这么大利差 压力的情况下,这其实是一种诚意的表现,也成了这次政策中的一个亮点。 不过,我们之前也聊到过,货币政策,不管是降准还是降息,对于股票市场、对于资本市场来说,一般 不会觉得它的药效太大。它的药效一般比较小,而且也比较短,属于短期性的政策。过去这几年,市场 上有非常出色表现机会的时候,一般并不是因为降准或者是降息所引发的。所以这 ...
汽车金融迎利好!定向降准,不再需要存款准备金
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-05-07 11:29
尽管两者业务领域不同,但都面临资金运作的挑战。当资金流动性不足时,金融机构的放贷能力和市场 应对能力会受到限制。此次定向降准释放了更多资金,既能提升金融机构的信贷能力,也为业务扩展提 供了新的可能。 (原标题:汽车金融迎利好!定向降准,不再需要存款准备金) 5月7日,中国人民银行行长潘功胜在参加国新办新闻发布会时表示,阶段性将汽车金融公司和金融租赁 公司的存款准备金率从5%调降至0%。 尽管汽车金融公司和金融租赁公司名称相似,但其业务模式和市场定位存在显著差异。汽车金融公司主 要为消费者提供购车贷款和汽车融资租赁服务,依托汽车销售市场为购车人群提供信贷支持。随着汽车 消费需求的增长,汽车金融公司已经成为推动汽车市场销售的重要力量。 金融租赁公司则以设备融资租赁为主,业务覆盖面更广,涉及汽车、工业设备、办公设备等租赁业务。 其核心是为企业客户提供资金支持,帮助其购置和租赁所需设备。与汽车金融公司专注消费贷款不同, 金融租赁公司更注重为企业提供长期租赁服务。 这一举措意味着,这些金融机构将不再需要按比例准备资金,而可以将释放的资金用于更加灵活的贷款 和投资。 存款准备金率是中央银行要求金融机构按比例存放的现金储备 ...
为何此时降准降息?年内还会降准吗?专家解读央行十大货币政策
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-05-07 11:25
5月7日,国新办举行新闻发布会,介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况。央行宣布将推出 十大货币政策,包括降准降息、降低个人住房公积金贷款利率、创设新的结构性货币政策工具等。针对 其中一些热点问题,新京报记者采访相关专家进行了梳理与解读。 年内还会进一步降准吗? 为何选择当前时点降准降息? 今年的政府工作报告和4月的中央政治局会议都提出,将适时降准降息。为何选择当前时点进行调 整?"适时"如何把握? 中国人民银行行长潘功胜表示,政策实施需要相机抉择,综合评估国内外经济金融形势和金融市场运行 情况,运用多种货币政策工具进行动态调整。 从这个角度看,中国首席经济学家论坛理事长、广开首席产研院院长连平认为,当前下调我国金融机构 存款准备金率非常有必要。 从外部冲击来看,4月美国开始对华加征高额关税,我国对外贸易将受到较大冲击,随着出口受阻,消 费和投资领域也将出现连锁效应,金融市场波动有所加大。 "此时,有必要及时降准。"连平表示,降准将释放更多流动性以缓解冲击,稳定市场预期。 降准后,释放的流动性将有助于加快对国家重大建设、普惠金融、中小微民营企业、房地产、消费市场 等重点领域的信贷投放速度。 同时,增强 ...
解读金融政策“大礼包”: 四大领域或迎利好
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-05-07 11:05
Group 1: Monetary Policy Adjustments - The People's Bank of China announced a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR), injecting approximately 1 trillion yuan into the market, and a 0.1 percentage point decrease in policy interest rates, expected to lower the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) by the same margin [3][4] - The central bank's actions are seen as a clear signal of "appropriate easing" aimed at stabilizing growth and the market, especially in light of ongoing external tariff disputes affecting exports and the economy [3][4] - The current economic growth rate is reported at 5.4% year-on-year, indicating a recovery trend following policy interventions in the previous year [3] Group 2: Stock Market Support - The central bank and the Central Huijin Investment Ltd. are set to support the stock market by enhancing liquidity and providing backing for index fund purchases [5][6] - A total of 800 billion yuan has been allocated for two financial tools aimed at stabilizing the capital market, which will be utilized when the market is significantly undervalued [5][6] - The A-share market showed stability with the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index rising by 0.8% and 0.51%, respectively, reflecting positive market sentiment following the announcement [6] Group 3: Real Estate Market Policies - The interest rate for personal housing provident fund loans has been reduced by 0.25 percentage points, with the new rate for first-time homebuyers set at 2.6% for loans over five years [8][9] - The new policies are expected to alleviate repayment pressures for homebuyers and stimulate housing consumption, contributing positively to market confidence [8][9] - The government is also working on optimizing financing systems related to real estate development, which is anticipated to improve funding conditions for enterprises [9][10] Group 4: Consumer Spending Initiatives - A new 500 billion yuan service consumption and pension re-loan program has been established to stimulate domestic demand, particularly in durable goods and service consumption [11] - The policy aims to create a positive cycle of stabilizing the real estate market, boosting consumption, and enhancing investment [11] - The central bank has also reduced reserve requirements for auto finance and leasing companies by 5 percentage points to further support consumer spending [11] Group 5: Support for Technological Innovation - An additional 300 billion yuan has been allocated for loans aimed at technological innovation and upgrades, bringing the total to 800 billion yuan [12][13] - The issuance of technology innovation bonds is being supported through various measures to enhance funding for innovative enterprises [13][14] - Multiple securities firms and tech companies are preparing to issue innovation bonds, indicating a proactive approach to funding in the sector [14]
5月7日金融监管国新办新闻发布会点评:降准降息落地,债市利好或出尽
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-05-07 10:46
证券研究报告 | 固收点评报告 | | --- | hyzqdatemark 2025 年 05 月 07 日 降准降息落地,债市利好或出尽 ——5 月 7 日金融监管国新办新闻发布会点评 投资要点: 证券分析师 廖志明 SAC:S1350524100002 liaozhiming@huayuanstock.com 源引金融活水 润泽中华大地 图表 2:2025 年初以来同业存单利率走势 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 第 2页/ 共 4页 图表 1:2025 年初以来,DR001 及 DR007 利率走势(%) 资料来源:同花顺 iFinD、华源证券研究所 资料来源:同花顺 iFinD、华源证券研究所 图表 3:各期限国债收益率走势(%) 资料来源:同花顺 iFinD、华源证券研究所 源引金融活水 润泽中华大地 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 事件:5 月 7 日国新办新闻发布会上监管推出一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期。 联系人 降准降息落地。为落实 4 月下旬政治局会议部署,应对高关税对经济的潜在冲击,5 月 7 日金融监管层在国新办新闻发布会上推出了一揽子金融政策,将助力经济稳增 ...
新华财经晚报:美联储最新利率决定将于北京时间周四凌晨2:00公布
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 10:44
【国内要闻】 ·国务院副总理何立峰作为中美经贸中方牵头人,将在访问瑞士期间,与美方牵头人美国财长贝森特举 行会谈。外交部发言人林剑7日在例行记者会上答问时说,美方近期不断表示希望同中方进行谈判。这 次会谈是应美方请求举行的。中方坚决反对美国滥施关税,这一立场没有任何变化。 【重点关注】 ·外交部发言人就中美经贸高层会谈答记者问:这次会谈是应美方请求举行的 ·潘功胜、李云泽、吴清重磅发声事关降准降息、活跃资本市场、稳楼市等 ·公募业出台重大改革中国证监会印发《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》 ·美联储最新利率决定将于北京时间周四凌晨2:00公布 ·国务院新闻办公室5月7日上午9时举行新闻发布会,中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局、中国证券 监督管理委员会负责人介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况,并答记者问。会上,中国人 民银行行长潘功胜表示将推出降低存款准备金率0.5个百分点等十项措施;国家金融监管总局局长李云 泽表示将推出进一步扩大保险资金长期投资试点范围等八项增量政策;中国证监会主席吴清表示将全力 支持中央汇金公司发挥类"平准基金"作用等。 ·中国证监会公开印发《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》 ...