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Bankless· 2025-07-11 20:32
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Trump likely to reverse course on tariff threats, says VantageRock's Avery Sheffield
CNBC Television· 2025-07-11 20:14
Market Sentiment & Valuation - The market is assessing whether the recent pause is a temporary consolidation or a midsummer stall, similar to the previous year [1] - Some stocks have already priced in positive scenarios like tariff resolutions, interest rate cuts, and AI-driven economic growth, making them vulnerable during earnings season if results are not perfect [3] - Many relatively valued or inexpensive stocks, particularly in cyclical sectors, are pricing in a more bearish outlook and could potentially rally [4] - Overcrowding in momentum stocks requires continuous positive data to sustain their upward trajectory; otherwise, they are susceptible to a self-reinforcing downward cycle due to market leverage [10] - A shift from growth to value and from large-cap to small-cap stocks indicates the market is rebalancing to avoid excessive imbalances [8] Interest Rates & Economic Outlook - Speculation surrounds the Federal Reserve's actions and the necessity of rate cuts, influenced by global announcements such as Canada's interest rate adjustments [5] - Concerns exist that if interest rate relief does not materialize, a correction could occur across all cyclical stocks, regardless of their valuation [6] - The market anticipates Canada's interest rate to be 15%-25% higher [5][6] - The most probable cyclical outlook is one of steady performance, leading to a divergence in performance between expensive and reasonably priced cyclical stocks [7] Cyclical Stocks & Sector Performance - Certain industrial areas, especially within transports, exhibit trough multiples on earnings that have remained relatively stable, but are not at peak levels, anticipating a significant recovery [6] - A major cyclical rebound is unlikely due to the potential for the 10-year Treasury yield to rise, creating a counteracting force that prevents the cycle from becoming too strong [7]
Civitas Resources: A Contrarian Bet In The Energy Sector
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-11 19:25
Group 1 - The energy sector is currently the worst performer in the S&P 500, with Civitas Resources Inc. (NYSE: CIVI) down by 33% year-to-date [1] - Despite the poor performance, there is a belief that Civitas Resources Inc. can end the year in positive territory [1] - The focus is on identifying strongly undervalued stocks within various sectors and geographies [1] Group 2 - The author has a background in business studies from France, the U.S., and Russia, and is a professional portfolio manager based in Luxembourg [1] - The author operates as a Popular Investor on the eToro platform, where investment opinions and decisions are publicly displayed [1]
Stock Of The Day: Can Prime Day Propel Amazon To New Heights?
Benzinga· 2025-07-11 19:21
Group 1 - Amazon's stock is currently testing the top of its recent trading range, which could lead to a significant upward movement if broken [1][6] - The previous support level around $217.50 was established in December and January, but it was broken in February, leading to a decline in stock price [2][4] - A large concentration of sellers formed resistance at the previous support level when the stock rallied back to this price in June, causing hesitation among buyers [4][5] Group 2 - In late June, buyers overcame the sellers, breaking the resistance and turning it into a new support level, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment [5][6] - The current resistance level is around $224, and if this is broken, it suggests that sellers have exited the market, paving the way for new buyers [6][7] - With reduced supply in the market, new buyers may need to push prices higher, potentially establishing a new uptrend for Amazon's stock [7]
Why AMC Stock Is Soaring Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-11 18:17
Shares of AMC Entertainment (AMC 10.83%) are jumping on Friday, up 10.6% to $3.32 as of 2:05 p.m. ET. At that point in the session, the S&P 500 was off by about 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite was flat.A ratings upgrade from Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter appeared to be the driving force behind the movie theater chain's stock move.Wedbush sees a significant upsideOn Friday morning, Wedbush's Pachter upgraded AMC shares from neutral to outperform and raised his 12-month price target on the stock from $3 to $4 ...
Looking for a Growth Stock? 3 Reasons Why Orion OYJ (ORINY) is a Solid Choice
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 17:46
Core Viewpoint - Growth stocks are appealing due to their potential for above-average financial growth, but identifying stocks that can fulfill their growth potential is challenging due to associated risks and volatility [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Orion OYJ Unsponsored ADR (ORINY) is identified as a promising growth stock with a favorable Growth Score and a top Zacks Rank [2] - The company has a historical EPS growth rate of 5.2%, but projected EPS growth for this year is expected to be 30.2%, significantly higher than the industry average of 15.2% [4] Group 2: Financial Metrics - Orion OYJ's year-over-year cash flow growth is reported at 57.5%, which surpasses the industry average of 3.2% [5] - The company's annualized cash flow growth rate over the past 3-5 years is 9.7%, compared to the industry average of 6.7% [6] Group 3: Earnings Estimates - There has been a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions for Orion OYJ, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year increasing by 26.2% over the past month [8] - The combination of a Growth Score of B and a Zacks Rank 1 indicates that Orion OYJ is a potential outperformer and a solid choice for growth investors [10]
Mizuho (MFG) Upgraded to Buy: Here's What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 17:01
Core Viewpoint - Mizuho (MFG) has received an upgrade to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the importance of earnings estimate revisions, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [4][6]. - Rising earnings estimates for Mizuho suggest an improvement in the company's underlying business, likely leading to an increase in stock price [5]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) to Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), and has a proven track record of performance [7]. - Stocks in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, like Mizuho with its Zacks Rank 2, are positioned for potential market-beating returns [10]. Earnings Estimate Revisions for Mizuho - For the fiscal year ending March 2026, Mizuho is expected to earn $0.55 per share, which remains unchanged from the previous year, but the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased by 12.2% over the past three months [8].
All You Need to Know About FVCBankcorp (FVCB) Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 17:01
FVCBankcorp (FVCB) could be a solid addition to your portfolio given its recent upgrade to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). This upgrade is essentially a reflection of an upward trend in earnings estimates -- one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices.The Zacks rating relies solely on a company's changing earnings picture. It tracks EPS estimates for the current and following years from the sell-side analysts covering the stock through a consensus measure -- the Zacks Consensus Estimate.The power o ...
Ontrak (OTRK) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 17:01
Ontrak, Inc. (OTRK) could be a solid addition to your portfolio given its recent upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). This upgrade is essentially a reflection of an upward trend in earnings estimates -- one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices.The sole determinant of the Zacks rating is a company's changing earnings picture. The Zacks Consensus Estimate -- the consensus of EPS estimates from the sell-side analysts covering the stock -- for the current and following years is tracked by the system. ...
First Commonwealth Financial (FCF) Upgraded to Strong Buy: Here's What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 17:01
Core Viewpoint - First Commonwealth Financial (FCF) has received a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) upgrade, indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][4]. Earnings Estimates and Revisions - The Zacks rating system is based on the changing earnings picture of a company, specifically tracking the Zacks Consensus Estimate for EPS from sell-side analysts [2]. - For the fiscal year ending December 2025, First Commonwealth Financial is expected to earn $1.45 per share, with a 3.8% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the past three months [9]. Impact of Institutional Investors - Changes in earnings estimates are strongly correlated with stock price movements, largely due to institutional investors who adjust their valuations based on these estimates [5]. - An increase in earnings estimates typically leads to higher fair value for a stock, prompting institutional investors to buy or sell, which in turn affects stock prices [5]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [8]. - The upgrade of First Commonwealth Financial to Zacks Rank 1 places it in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating a strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [11].