5年远期通胀盈亏平衡点自2022年春季以来一直保持在稳定的区间内，表明市场对长期通胀复苏的担忧有限。 在通胀压力、债务可持续性忧虑和科技股主导的背景下，高盛对冲基金业务主管Tony Pasquariello分享的16张图表揭示了当前市场状态： 通胀回升风险被市场提前消化、长端利率高企、美元美债明显背离、科技巨头主导的盈利增长以及核能、国防等板块的爆发性表现，构成了一个"棘手、不均 衡但充满机会"的投资环境。 市场已提前消化通胀反弹 尽管近期通胀趋势令人鼓舞，但高盛预测关税实施将导致核心PCE从目前的2.5%升至年底的3.6%。然而，市场似乎已将此视为一次性事件。 美元面临的一个核心挑战是：在一系列估值模型中，它仍然相当昂贵。 这可能解释了为何美国30年期实际利率与美元走势之间出现了分化。 地产板块面临复杂前景 美国房地产建筑商股票呈现出令人困惑的图景。一方面，长端利率风险和美国住房市场供需技术面疲软对这些股票构成威胁；另一方面，尽管历史波动性大且 经历过惊人跌幅，长期牛市趋势仍然令人印象深刻，显示出这一领域的韧性与复杂性。 债务可持续性仍令人担忧 大部分美国名义利率曲线在过去几年保持在相似区间，但长端利率仍是 ...

央广网北京6月6日消息（记者唐婧）据中央广播电视总台经济之声《环球新财讯》报道，中国人民银行 昨天（5日）发布的一则公告引发市场关注。公告称，为保持银行体系流动性充裕，今天（6日），央行 以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展1万亿元买断式逆回购操作，期限为3个月（91天）。与 以往月末公告当月买断式逆回购操作惯例不同，央行这次于月初预告大规模买断式逆回购操作，这释放 了什么信号？ 买断式逆回购是央行在2024年10月推出的一项新的货币政策工具。在创设买断式逆回购之前，央行向市 场投放流动性，经常使用"逆回购"方式，也就是金融机构（大多是一级交易商）抵押债券向央行"借 钱"，类似于贷款抵押。央行向一级交易商购买债券，并约定期限，到期后一级交易商再把债券买回 去，债券的所有权不发生转移。 而买断式逆回购工具，是央行主动借出资金，从一级交易商购买债券，并且"买断"了债券再行回购的权 利，从而向市场投放流动性。自2024年10月这个工具创设以来，每月底央行都会发布"公开市场买断式 逆回购业务公告"，披露当月的操作情况。 6月5日是央行首次发布"公开市场买断式逆回购招标公告"，向市场"预告"将开展10000亿元买 ...

Core Viewpoint - The chicken industry is experiencing a paradoxical competition landscape where some brands see rising monthly revenues while others face challenges shortly after opening [1] Group 1: Franchise Empowerment - The depth of empowerment provided by franchise brands is crucial, with some offering comprehensive support while others are lacking [3] - Brands ensuring profitability for franchisees have refined their single-store profit models and restructured revenue logic through six core strategies [3][10] - Traditional franchise models often fall into the "cutting leeks" trap, where brands collect franchise fees without providing substantial support, leading to self-sustaining store failures [3] Group 2: Survival Rates and Support Systems - Franchisees who undergo three rounds of interviews have a survival rate 47% higher than the industry average, indicating that restaurant entrepreneurship relies more on systematic support than luck [6] - Key factors driving significant revenue changes include a six-dimensional support policy that creates a profit flywheel [6] Group 3: Operational Efficiency - Location decisions are now based on heat maps and algorithms, significantly improving site selection accuracy [6] - A specific store model has increased space utilization by 60% and achieved a sales per square meter rate 1.8 times the industry average [6] - New training methods have reduced labor costs by 15% by enabling new staff to master standardized processes within seven days [6] Group 4: Digital Tools and Supply Chain Innovations - Digital tools are central to improving gross margins, with one brand's intelligent scheduling system increasing efficiency by 35% during peak dining hours [6] - Supply chain innovations, such as transparent pricing and direct supply from central kitchens, have reduced material costs by 18% compared to market prices [6][7] Group 5: Competitive Landscape and Market Strategies - Regional protection mechanisms are reshaping competition, with leading brands implementing a 1.5-kilometer franchise radius that has increased daily customer traffic by 23% and member repurchase rates by 41% [9] - Strategies to shorten the payback period have proven effective, with smaller store models achieving a return on investment in 6 to 12 months [9] - The "small but beautiful" strategy reflects a new phenomenon in the consumption downgrade phase, attracting increasing consumer attention and preference [9] Group 6: Franchise vs. Direct Operations - Entrepreneurs are finding a third path that involves purchasing not just a brand name but an entire profit system [10] - Successful brands have meticulously refined their single-store models to maximize profitability through algorithmic site selection, SOP training, digital tools, and supply chain innovations [10]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has announced a significant liquidity injection through a 10 trillion yuan buyout reverse repurchase operation, marking a departure from its usual end-of-month announcements, indicating a proactive approach to maintaining liquidity in the banking system [1][2]. Group 1: Announcement Details - On June 5, 2025, the PBOC released a notice about a 10 trillion yuan buyout reverse repurchase operation scheduled for June 6, with a term of 3 months (91 days) [1]. - This operation is part of a new monetary policy tool introduced in October 2024, allowing the PBOC to actively lend funds by purchasing bonds from primary dealers [2]. - The announcement is the first of its kind, as the PBOC typically discloses such operations at the end of the month [2]. Group 2: Market Implications - The early announcement is believed to be a response to the high volume of bank interbank certificates maturing, which helps maintain a stable liquidity environment and control market expectations [2][3]. - The PBOC's actions are aimed at encouraging banks to increase credit to the real economy and support government bond issuance, reinforcing the ongoing process of credit easing [3]. Group 3: Future Operations - Analysts expect the PBOC to continue using a combination of buyout reverse repos, medium-term lending facilities (MLF), and other liquidity management tools to ensure a stable liquidity environment [4][5]. - The buyout reverse repo tool complements existing liquidity tools by filling the gap for operations with terms ranging from 1 month to 1 year, thus enhancing the overall liquidity management framework [4].

一、 OpenAI 用 Rust 重写 Codex CLI OpenAI 已用 Rust 语言重写了其 AI 命令行编程工具 Codex CLI，理由是此举能提升性能和安全性，同时避 免对 Node.js 的依赖。他们认为 Node.js "可能让部分用户感到沮丧或成为使用障碍"。 Codex 是一款实验性编程代理工具，可在 ChatGPT 的网页浏览器环境中运行，也能通过 Codex CLI 在本地 运行。它具备基于聊天的用户界面，CLI 既可交互式运行，也可在非交互式的静默模式下运行。 2025 年 4 月 17 日，Codex CLI 正式在 GitHub 上开源，可通过 WSL（Windows 子系统）在 macOS、Linux 或 Windows 系统上运行。 Codex CLI 其源代码主要为 TypeScript，需基于 Node.js 运行，但团队现已用 Rust 完成重写。 其三，性能优化 。Rust 无运行时垃圾回收机制，内存需求更低。 其四，可复用现有 Rust 版 MCP（模型上下文协议）实现 。Codex CLI 将同时具备 MCP 客户端和服务器功 能。 维护者 Fouad Mat ...

Group 1 - China will approve compliant rare earth export license applications and urges the US to lift all trade restrictions, including the 301 tariffs [2][2] - The Ministry of Commerce will actively cooperate with relevant departments to address the "involution" competition in the automotive industry, promoting fair market order [2][2] - The National Bureau of Statistics announced the establishment of 10 national data element comprehensive pilot zones to enhance the integration of the real economy and digital economy [2][2] Group 2 - In May, retail sales of new energy vehicles in China reached 1.056 million units, a year-on-year increase of 30%, with a market penetration rate of 53.5% [2][2] - The Hong Kong stock market's total market capitalization reached HKD 40.9 trillion by the end of May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 24% [2][2] - A total of 439 A-share companies conducted buybacks in the past month, with a total amount of CNY 26.689 billion, a year-on-year increase of 51.83% [2][2] Group 3 - The People's Bank of China will conduct a 1 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a term of 3 months, enhancing policy transparency [2][2] - The China Securities Index Company will officially launch the CSI Haitong Asset Management Technology Theme Bond Index and the CSI Haitong Asset Management Green Theme Bond Index [2][2] - The A-share listed companies are entering a concentrated phase for profit distribution, with nearly 1,300 companies executing their 2024 annual distribution plans [2][2]

Core Viewpoint - The recent joint issuance of policies by seven departments, including the Ministry of Science and Technology and the People's Bank of China, aims to enhance financial support for technological innovation and optimize the structure of monetary policy tools to foster high-level technological self-reliance and strength [1][6]. Group 1: Policy Measures - The People's Bank of China has decided to increase the quota for re-loans aimed at technological innovation and technological transformation by 300 billion, bringing the total to 800 billion, without separating the quotas for different types of loans [2][3]. - The re-loan program is a continuation of previous policies, with the aim of improving financial service quality and efficiency for technology-driven small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) [3][4]. - The recent adjustments in monetary policy include a 0.25 percentage point reduction in the interest rates of structural monetary policy tools, with specific rates set for various loan types [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Support for Technology - The policies emphasize a dual approach from both supply and demand sides, focusing on the financing needs of key areas and weak links in technological innovation [6][7]. - The introduction of the "Innovation Points System" aims to help financial institutions accurately assess the innovation capabilities and potential of technology enterprises [8][9]. - The government plans to enhance the sharing of public information related to technology to support financial institutions in their investment decisions [9]. Group 3: Collaborative Development - The policies call for strengthened collaboration between technology and finance sectors, as well as between central and local governments, to create a cohesive effort in advancing technology finance [7][8]. - The focus is on establishing a long-term financial support mechanism for major national technological tasks and addressing the financing challenges faced by technology-driven SMEs [7][9].

Core Insights - The introduction of new policy financial tools is approaching, with various regions conducting training sessions to prepare for their implementation [1][2][3] Group 1: Policy Financial Tools - New policy financial tools are expected to play a crucial role in stabilizing domestic investment, particularly in technology innovation and consumer infrastructure [3][4] - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) aims to address capital shortages for project construction by establishing new policy financial tools by the end of June 2025 [2][4] - In 2022, policy development financial tools supported over 2,700 major projects across various sectors, with a total investment of 740 billion yuan [2][4] Group 2: Project Selection and Coordination - A coordinated mechanism for selecting and recommending projects for new policy financial tools is essential, focusing on projects that benefit both current and long-term goals [4][6] - The NDRC will lead the organization of project applications, ensuring that selected projects align with policy directions and are ready for implementation [4][6] - Local governments are encouraged to prepare projects that meet the criteria for new policy financial tools, ensuring quick execution once funding is available [6] Group 3: Expected Investment Impact - The new policy financial tools are projected to mobilize approximately 500 billion yuan, potentially leading to an effective investment of 6 trillion to 6.5 trillion yuan [6] - The People's Bank of China is expected to support policy banks through targeted liquidity tools, enhancing funding for key infrastructure projects [5][6]

（上接1版） 5日，央行还公告了上月各种工具的投放、回笼汇总情况。这使得货币政策工具的操作更加公开透明， 与市场的沟通机制更加有效。 央行在官网新设立"中央银行各项工具操作情况"栏目，同时在该栏目中发布了"2025年5月中央银行各项 工具流动性投放情况"表格。 在"2025年5月中央银行各项工具流动性投放情况"表格中，央行披露了"准备金、中央银行贷款、公开市 场业务"三类工具类型、"调整法定存款准备金率、常备借贷便利（SLF）、中期借贷便利（MLF）、抵 押补充贷款（PSL）、其他结构性货币政策工具、短期逆回购、买断式逆回购、公开市场国债买卖、中 央国库现金管理"九类具体工具的投放回笼情况。 数据显示，5月准备金净投放1万亿元，SLF净投放5亿元，MLF净投放3750亿元，中央国库现金管理净 投放2400亿元；PSL净回笼2700亿元，买断式逆回购净回笼2000亿元。 明明表示，回顾5月，央行已通过降准释放长期资金1万亿元，MLF净投放3750亿元，而买断式逆回购 则净回笼2000亿元，整体长端流动性供给超过万亿元，缓解了当月政府债集中发行带来的流动性压力。 6月政府债发行压力或低于5月，考虑到降准等总量工具 ...

优步（Uber）正研究将稳定币视作支付工具的可行性。 ...