在多方的竞争之下，闪送在今年一季度的订单量下降至5800万单，环比下降11.8%，同比下降16.3%。 与此同时，在激烈的竞争之下，闪送的客单价已从2021年的19.2元下降到2024年上半年的16.5元。要知 道，订单量、客单价可是评估即时配送平台业务及盈利的核心指标。 其二则是高居不下的运营成本，其中骑手的薪酬及奖励成为"拖累"。 据悉，报告期内，闪送的总运营费用同比大幅增加27.0%至1.17亿元；其中销售和营销费用、一般行政 费用以及研发费用均出现不同程度上涨，其中上涨幅度最高者达到了46.9%。运营费用的上涨，概括来 说主要就是员工成本、股权报酬费用的增加。 运营商财经网 朱欣雨/文 近期，闪送披露2025年第一季度财报，这也是其上市后首份一季报，同比由盈转亏，收入也下滑，情况 不太如人意。 根据财报，闪送于今年一季度实现营业收入约9.61亿元，相较去年同期的11.08亿同比下滑13.27%；在 净利润方面，其同比由盈转亏，录得净亏损1027万元，在去年同期时，其还盈利6457万元。 值得一提的是，这其实是闪送于去年10月上市以来连续两个季度亏损了。2024年Q4，闪送单季度净亏 损2.94亿元，并 ...

Core Viewpoint - The KOSPI index in South Korea has returned to the 3000-point mark for the first time since early 2022, driven by expectations of increased government fiscal stimulus and strong performance from blue-chip stocks [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of June 20, the KOSPI index rose by 33.16 points, or 1.11%, reaching 3,010.90 points, with a weekly increase of 4.02% and a year-to-date gain of 25.2% [1]. - Over the past 30 trading days, the KOSPI index has rebounded by more than 16%, outperforming major Asian markets including Japan and India [1]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment - The liquidity in the South Korean market remains positive, with the Korean won stabilizing, which has enhanced foreign investors' risk appetite [2]. - On the day of reporting, foreign investors net purchased KOSPI stocks worth 811 billion KRW, indicating a renewed interest in Korean assets [2]. Group 3: Fiscal Stimulus - The South Korean government has approved an additional budget plan totaling 14.9 trillion KRW (approximately 786 billion RMB), aimed at supporting the economy amid weakening growth [3]. - The budget includes various counter-cyclical measures such as cash subsidies for residents and financial restructuring support for struggling SMEs and builders [3]. Group 4: Economic Outlook - The South Korean economy is facing challenges, with actual GDP growth hovering around zero for four consecutive quarters, and construction investment remaining sluggish [3]. - The government plans to finance the budget through the issuance of 19.8 trillion KRW in new debt, while maintaining that the fiscal fundamentals remain sound [3]. Group 5: Market Projections - Analysts believe that there is still room for further fiscal expansion and monetary easing, which could support the KOSPI in the future [4]. - The current valuation of Korean stocks is considered low, with about 70% of KOSPI constituents having a price-to-book ratio below 1, indicating significant revaluation potential [5].

Core Viewpoint - Retail investors can achieve stable profits in the stock market by correctly understanding the relationship between volume and price [1][2] Group 1: Understanding Volume-Price Relationship - The debate over whether "volume precedes price" or "price precedes volume" is deemed meaningless, as both arise from transactions occurring simultaneously [1] - Many retail investors mistakenly believe that an increase in trading volume automatically indicates a bullish trend, which is not necessarily true [1] - The correct interpretation is that price fluctuations help determine how most investors will analyze the situation and whether they will engage in buying or selling [1] Group 2: Implications of Price Movements - An increase in stock price should theoretically lead to more investors becoming bullish, resulting in increased buying from external investors and reduced selling from internal investors [2] - If stock prices rise while trading volume decreases, it indicates a consensus bullish sentiment among investors, increasing the likelihood of further price increases [2] - Conversely, if trading volume increases during a price rise, it suggests that selling is also increasing, leading to greater divergence and a lower probability of continued price increases [2] Group 3: Practical Application for Retail Investors - The correct application of the volume-price relationship involves using price movements to gauge investor sentiment and then verifying this sentiment through trading volume [2] - Only by accurately understanding and applying the volume-price relationship can retail investors hope to achieve stable profits in the complex stock market [2]

本刊记者 郑扬波 6月18日，中国证监会主席吴清在2025陆家嘴论坛上宣布，加力推出进一步深化改革的"1+6"政策措施。 这一消息如巨石投入平静湖面，瞬间在财经圈激起千层浪，大家纷纷热议："科创成长层"到底是什么？为何要重启"未盈利企业"上市？这一系列政策又释 放了什么信号？ 先来说说"1"，即要在科创板设置"科创成长层"。啥是科创成长层？打个比方，"科创成长层"就像在科创板这所大学里新开了个"实验班"。"实验班"的企 业，都是技术有较大突破、商业前景广阔的"硬科技"企业。 同时，成功上市进入科创成长层的企业，监管层也会在其股票简称后统一加上"U"标识，并且提高了新注册未盈利科技型企业摘除特殊标识"U"的标准。 这就像一个显眼的"警示灯"，提醒投资者：这家科创企业上市时门槛较低，可能处于亏损状态，投资时需要更加谨慎。 从这些改革措施能明显看出，监管层正在引导市场，从单纯关注企业当下盈利状况，向学会评估企业未来价值转变。 以往，企业上市，盈利状况是至关重要的考量指标，未盈利企业想上市，难度堪比登天。但今后不同了，只要符合"科创成长层"的要求，即便还没赚钱， 也有机会上市，发行股票募集资金，获得更多融资机会。 再 ...

Group 1 - The coal industry is experiencing "high profitability, high cash flow, and high dividends" with the coal ETF (515220) rising over 1% [1] - In May, coal supply and demand conditions gradually improved, with industrial raw coal production reaching 400 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.2% [1] - Daily average production remained low at 13.01 million tons, while coal imports decreased by 18% year-on-year, indicating ongoing import constraints [1] Group 2 - On the demand side, industrial thermal power generation increased by 1.2% in May, reversing the decline seen in April [1] - Hydropower generation saw a larger decline of 14.3%, while the growth rate of renewable energy generation slowed down, indicating improved coal power demand [1] - As of June 13, the port price of thermal coal stabilized at 609 yuan per ton, with expectations of a price rebound due to increased summer demand [1] Group 3 - The coal ETF (code: 515220) is the only coal ETF in the market, tracking the CSI Coal Index (code: 399998), which reflects the overall performance of listed companies involved in coal mining, processing, and sales [1] - The CSI Coal Index is designed to represent the operational status of the coal sector in the capital market, showcasing its distinct industry characteristics and cyclicality [1]

Contango ORE, Inc. (CTGO) closed the last trading session at $21.30, gaining 24.1% over the past four weeks, but there could be plenty of upside left in the stock if short-term price targets set by Wall Street analysts are any guide. The mean price target of $29.33 indicates a 37.7% upside potential.The average comprises three short-term price targets ranging from a low of $26.00 to a high of $32.00, with a standard deviation of $3.06. While the lowest estimate indicates an increase of 22.1% from the curren ...

Core Viewpoint - Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ORIC) has seen a significant stock price increase of 57.1% over the past four weeks, closing at $9.22, with analysts suggesting a potential upside of 105% based on a mean price target of $18.9 [1][11]. Price Targets and Analyst Estimates - The mean estimate consists of 10 short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $4.04, indicating variability among analysts [2]. - The lowest price target is $12.00, suggesting a 30.2% increase from the current price, while the highest target is $25.00, indicating a potential surge of 171.2% [2]. - A low standard deviation signifies a strong agreement among analysts regarding the stock's price movement [9]. Earnings Estimates and Analyst Agreement - Analysts show strong agreement in revising earnings estimates higher, which correlates with potential stock price increases [11]. - Over the last 30 days, two earnings estimates for ORIC have been revised upward, leading to a 7.8% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate [12]. - ORIC holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate factors [13]. Conclusion on Price Movement - While consensus price targets may not be entirely reliable, the direction indicated by these targets appears to be a useful guide for potential price movement [14].

Group 1 - The stock of Kemper (KMPR) closed at $63.29, showing a 1.3% gain over the past four weeks, with a mean price target of $82.2 indicating a potential upside of 29.9% [1] - The average price targets from analysts range from a low of $75.00 to a high of $90.00, with a standard deviation of $5.72, suggesting a variability in estimates; the lowest estimate indicates an 18.5% increase, while the highest points to a 42.2% upside [2] - Analysts show strong agreement on the company's ability to report better earnings than previously predicted, which supports the view of potential upside [4][11] Group 2 - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has increased by 1.2% over the past month, with one estimate going higher and no negative revisions [12] - Kemper currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13] - While the consensus price target may not be a reliable indicator of potential gains, the implied direction of price movement appears to be a good guide [14]

Core Viewpoint - Qifu Technology, Inc. (QFIN) shows potential for upside with a mean price target of $54.8, indicating a 27.3% increase from the current price of $43.06 [1] Price Targets and Analyst Estimates - The mean estimate consists of four short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $4.14, suggesting a consensus among analysts [2] - The lowest estimate is $50.00, indicating a 16.1% increase, while the highest estimate is $58.50, suggesting a 35.9% increase [2] - Analysts' price targets should be approached with caution, as their reliability has been questioned [3][7] Earnings Estimates and Analyst Agreement - Strong agreement among analysts regarding QFIN's earnings prospects supports the potential for stock upside [4][11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has increased by 2.3% over the past month, with two estimates revised upward [12] - QFIN holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13] Conclusion on Price Movement - While consensus price targets may not be entirely reliable, the direction they imply appears to be a good guide for potential price movement [14]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the reliability of brokerage recommendations, particularly focusing on Teradyne (TER), and highlights the potential misalignment of interests between brokerage analysts and retail investors [1][5][10]. Group 1: Brokerage Recommendations for Teradyne - Teradyne has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.93, indicating a consensus between Strong Buy and Buy, with 60% of recommendations being Strong Buy and 6.7% being Buy [2][4]. - The article suggests that relying solely on the ABR for investment decisions may not be advisable, as studies indicate that brokerage recommendations often fail to guide investors effectively [5][10]. Group 2: Limitations of Brokerage Recommendations - Brokerage analysts tend to exhibit a strong positive bias in their ratings due to vested interests, resulting in a disproportionate number of favorable ratings compared to negative ones [6][10]. - The article emphasizes that the best use of brokerage recommendations is to validate independent research rather than as a primary decision-making tool [7][10]. Group 3: Zacks Rank vs. ABR - Zacks Rank is presented as a more reliable tool for predicting stock performance, based on earnings estimate revisions, and is categorized into five groups from Strong Buy to Strong Sell [8][11]. - Unlike ABR, which may not be up-to-date, Zacks Rank reflects timely changes in earnings estimates, making it a more effective indicator for future stock prices [12]. Group 4: Current Earnings Estimates for Teradyne - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Teradyne remains unchanged at $3.16 for the current year, suggesting stable analyst views on the company's earnings prospects [13]. - Due to the unchanged consensus estimate and other factors, Teradyne holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating a cautious approach despite the Buy-equivalent ABR [14].