相关链接 期货热点追踪 今日焦煤期货盘中突破900大关！黑色系商品为何突然"火力全开"？ ...

菜油、鸡蛋、沪铜等少数品种收跌 10日下跌品种较少，仅菜油、鸡蛋、碳酸锂、沪铜、燃料油等少数品种收跌，且跌幅均不足1%。由于蛋鸡存栏处于高位，且淘鸡进度缓慢，鸡蛋价格今年 持续偏弱运行，上半年的五一、端午均未能显著提振鸡蛋价格，近日高温多雨天气对于蛋价形成抑制，同时随着08合约临近限仓，多头离场打压期货价格， 按照多年走势规律来看，8、9月份涨价概率仍存，但幅度或不及往年。 （文章来源：新华财经） 截至10日下午收盘，中证商品期货价格指数收报1404.66点，较前一交易日上涨15.73点，涨幅1.13%；中证商品期货指数收报1947.45点，较前一交易日上涨 21.8点，涨幅1.13%。 多晶硅势不可挡玻璃涨超5% 7月10日，商品市场情绪持续高涨，多晶硅及黑色建材类商品表现强势。其中多晶硅主力合约连续第四个交易日大涨，今日以5.50%的涨幅领涨国内商品市 场。现货方面，机构数据显示，本周多晶硅报价大幅上调25%-35%，单今日涨幅就超过10%，此外下游硅片价格也显著上调。不过，多数分析认为多晶硅基 本面仍然偏弱，虽然当前盘面受到了乐观情绪支撑，但下游需求不足，可能难以够承接如此高价的原料。此外，供应端，据我 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Overweight", with an expected increase of over 10% compared to the benchmark index in the next 6 - 12 months [25] Core Viewpoints - The recent rally in commodity prices is a result of the resonance between supply disruptions and improved expectations, and there are four "suspicious points" in this rally [1] - The divergence between commodity prices and PPI is due to the stickiness of spot prices and the time - lag in price transmission. If the current trend continues, PPI is likely to rebound [1] - For the bond market, the significance of monitoring commodity prices lies in re - inflation and the market's ability to distinguish between supply - side and demand - side factors. There is a risk of adjustment if expectations boost the fundamentals [1] Summary by Directory Suspicious Point 1: Long - lasting and High - amplitude Increase - The commodity rally has lasted for a month, the longest this year, and has recovered nearly 50% of the decline since the tariff announcement. Technically, it seems more like a market reversal than a short - term rebound [1][4] Suspicious Point 2: Driven by Seemingly Random Factors but with a Rising Price Center - The rally can be divided into three stages: the first stage (604 - 612) was a technical rebound after the release of pessimistic sentiment; the second stage (613 - 624) saw prices rise and then fall due to the Israel - Iran war; the third stage (625 onwards) was driven by the "anti - involution" market. After these stages, the industrial product price index rose by 5.6% compared to June 3 [7][8] - The rising price center is due to three reasons: low prices leading to a high probability of upward movement, improved pessimistic expectations after the China - US leaders' call, and the seasonal tendency for prices to rise during the safety inspection and maintenance months of June and July [10][11] Suspicious Point 3: Lack of Demand - side Support for the Price Rebound - From the perspectives of fundamentals and price spreads, the demand side has been weak. The "old economy" related to real estate has not reversed its weakness, and the real estate market shows "weak volume and price" [15] - There is a divergence between futures and spot prices for some commodities, with the price increase mainly reflecting expectations rather than actual demand [17] Suspicious Point 4: The Commodity Rebound Has Not Yet Appeared in PPI - In June, PPI remained weak, with the year - on - year figure dropping by 0.3 percentage points compared to May. The divergence is due to the stickiness of spot prices and the time - lag in price transmission [19] - The weekly production materials price index has rebounded for three consecutive weeks since June. If the current trend continues, PPI is likely to rebound in July [20] Impact on the Bond Market - The significance of monitoring commodity prices for the bond market lies in re - inflation and the market's ability to distinguish between supply - side and demand - side factors [1] - Currently, the risk of a fundamental reversal in commodity prices is low, but the price rebound may be transmitted to inflation. There is a high possibility of improvement in July's PPI [1] - In the long run, commodity prices depend on the relative changes in supply and demand. If expectations boost the fundamentals, there is a risk of adjustment in the bond market [1]

此外，评价是"商品分"的重要组成部分，对于"商品分"的准确性和区分度起到重要作用。拼好饭在升级 评分体系的同时，针对"不合理差评、恶意差评"进行专项治理，帮助商家规避"恶意差评"，让"商品 分"更好地服务消费者。 "评分是消费者初步判断是否选购下单的重要依据，餐饮商家越来越重视评分这一'线上门面'。"上述负 责人表示，拼好饭通过"一品一分"，将更多的流量向优质商品倾斜，让更多商家意识到低价不是唯一竞 争手段，引导商家不断"卷"质量、"卷"服务，而不是一味地"卷"价格。 本文系观察者网独家稿件，未经授权，不得转载。 评分体系升级之前，拼好饭商家只有外卖的"店铺分"，缺少一个在消费者视角下，能够直观、准确衡量 商品品质的指标。为此，美团拼好饭对商品分体系进行升级，从"店铺分"升级为"商品分"，在用户主观 评价的基础上，增加购买、复购等指标。 "评分升级之后，'商品分'可以为消费者选购提供重要的决策依据，同时帮助商家更清楚地看到高分好 在哪里，低分知道怎么改变。"美团拼好饭相关负责人表示，这一改变能让商家专注于其最擅长的餐 品，集中力量打造"爆款"，进而通过规模效应，在采购和出餐环节提高效率、降低成本。 7月10日 ...

关注、加星，第一时间接收推送！ 文 | 赵伟、屠强 联系人 | 屠强、 耿佩璇 摘要 事件： 7月9日，国家统计局公布6月通胀数据，CPI同比0.1%、前值-0.1%、预期0%、环比-0.1%；PPI同 比-3.6%、前值-3.3%、预期-3.2%、环比-0.4%。 核心观点：大宗商品、核心商品、服务价格表现分化，令CPI与PPI"一升一降"。 分化一：6月PPI上游煤、钢等大宗商品价格回落，而CPI上游食品、铂金等大宗价格走强。 6月PPI同比 较前月回落0.3pct至-3.6%。其中钢材、水泥、煤炭等供给充足，测算钢、煤价格拖累PPI环比-0.4%；但 国际油价上行对国内油价形成支撑，铜价贡献依然为正，测算油、铜价格支撑PPI环比0.2%。CPI方面，6 月CPI同比0.1%。一是极端天气影响食品供给，食品CPI同比+0.1pct至-0.3%；二是金价保持高位，铂金饰 品价格上涨12.6%，对应包含首饰等其他用品及服务CPI同比上行0.8pct。 分化二：核心商品PPI仍在历史低位，既反映关税对价格的冲击，也与国内中下游产能利用率偏低有关。 6月核心商品PPI同比虽回升0.4pct至-1%，但整体仍在低位 ...

大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 每日早盘观察 2025 年 7 月 10 日 公众号二维码 银河农产品及衍生品 粕猪研究：陈界正 期货从业证号：F3045719 投资咨询证号：Z0015458 棉禽油脂苹果研究： 刘倩楠 期货从业证号：F3013727 投资咨询证号：Z0014425 玉米花生：刘大勇 期货从业证号： F03107370 投资咨询证号：Z0018389 3.油世界：巴西农户在 2025 年至今卖了相对较少的大豆，这可能导致 7 月前期大 豆出口较此前放缓。然而，产量较大的情况下也意味着后续有较大的供应； 4.我的农产品：截止 7 月 4 日当周，油厂大豆实际压榨量 233.22 万吨，开机率为 65.56%。大豆库存 636.4 万吨，较上周减少 29.47 万吨，增幅 4.43%，同比去年增加 64.51 万吨，增幅 11.28%；豆粕库存 82.24 万吨，较上周增加 13.08 万吨，增幅 18.91%，同比去年减少 26.03 万吨，减幅 24.04%。 白糖油运：黄 莹 期货从业证号： F03111919 投资咨询证号：Z0018607 原木造纸：朱四祥 期货从业证号 F031271 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the overwhelming demand for the "2025 Duffy and Friends Summer Ocean Party Series" at Shanghai Disneyland, which sold out quickly upon release, indicating strong consumer interest and potential market opportunities for the company [1][5]. Group 1: Product Launch and Demand - The "2025 Duffy and Friends Summer Ocean Party Series" was launched on July 8 and sold out immediately on the official online platform [1]. - Observations noted that fans began queuing outside the park as early as 5 PM on July 7, indicating a wait time of over 14.5 hours to enter the park for the product launch [3]. - A keychain from the series, originally priced at 179 yuan, was resold for 789 yuan on secondary platforms, reflecting significant price appreciation due to demand [3]. Group 2: Inventory Management and Sales Strategy - Due to current inventory levels and to enhance visitor experience, starting July 11, the remaining stock of the summer series will be sold exclusively on Tmall's official flagship store, rather than through in-park sales or hotel retail [5][7]. - Other Duffy and Friends products and themed merchandise will still be available through in-park stores or via a lottery system for purchase [5][7].

美元疲软与贸易战升级！黄金期权后市有什么交易机会？阿汤哥正在实时分析，点击观看 订阅期货大宗商品趋势 +订阅 相关链接 实时黄金行情分析 ...

本文由 AI算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 【6月国内PMI回升，国内外市场情绪向好】国内方面，6月我国制造业、非制造业和综合PMI分别为 49.7%、50.5%和50.7%，较上月上升0.2、0.2和0.3个百分点，三大指数回升，增长加快。 政策上，国内 消费政策刺激加强，中央强调治理企业低价无序竞争，短期提振国内风险偏好。国外市场回暖、人民币 汇率升值，国内市场情绪持续回暖。 近期市场聚焦国内增量刺激政策和贸易谈判进展，短期宏观向上 增强，后续关注中美贸易谈判和国内增量政策实施情况。 国际方面，美国6月ISM制造业PMI升至49， 高于预期；6月ISM非制造业指数50.8，略高于预期。就业数据向好，市场放弃7月美联储降息押注，9 月降息概率降至80%左右。 美联储多位官员释放提早降息信号，美国与越南达成贸易协议，与欧盟等 接近达成协议，贸易谈判进展良好。 短期美国增长加快、就业好于预期，美联储降息预期下降，美元 指数和美债收益率反弹，全球风险偏好升温。 结论显示，短期A股四大股指期货谨慎做多，商品和国债 谨慎观望，排序为股指>国债>商品。 债市外部风险缓和，通胀预期降低，债券价格短期高位偏 ...

为了抑制市场不规范加价交易，同时鉴于目前的库存水平情况以及为了保护所有游客的体验，上海迪士 尼7月10日在官方App表示：自2025年7月11日(星期五)起，"2025达菲和朋友们夏日海洋派对系列"将不 通过上海迪士尼乐园内的特选商品园内购买名额抽签或度假区酒店零售商店售卖。该夏日系列的剩余商 品库存将转至天猫上海迪士尼乐园官方旗舰店供游客在线选购。其他达菲和朋友们系列以及度假区的其 他主题商品仍可通过度假区商店或特选商品园内购买名额抽签方式购买。(第一财经) 7月8日，上海迪士尼乐园上新夏日单品"夏日海洋派对"系列，产品一上线就秒罄。还有代购声称在上海 迪士尼排队14小时"实体抢购"，原价100多元的单个新品被黄牛溢价到近500元出售。 ...