特朗普重燃全球贸易战，黄金多头能否逆势翻盘？金十研究员高阳GMA行情分析中，点击进入直播间 相关链接 ...

黄金多头反弹无力，欧盘下破震荡区间！美盘能否延续日内趋势？立即观看超V推荐官Jason的讲解，直 播间可领取超V9.9体验包>>> 相关链接 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article analyzes the performance of various private equity funds in the first half of 2025, highlighting the average win rates and returns across different fund sizes and strategies, with a notable emphasis on the superiority of quantitative strategies over subjective ones [2][10]. Group 1: Overall Performance - In the first half of 2025, 2,592 stock strategy products had an average win rate of 56.34%, with 979 products achieving a win rate above 60%, accounting for approximately 37.78% [2][4]. - The average win rates by fund size are as follows: over 100 billion (58.22%), 50-100 billion (57.63%), 20-50 billion (57.29%), 10-20 billion (57.08%), 5-10 billion (55.61%), and 0-5 billion (55.40%) [2][4]. Group 2: Performance by Strategy - Among 1,752 subjective long products, the average win rate was 54.76% with an average return of 11.51%, while 592 quantitative long products had an average win rate of 59.38% and an average return of 17.54%, indicating that quantitative products outperformed subjective ones in both metrics [2][10]. Group 3: Top Performing Funds - The top-performing products in the over 100 billion category included "微观博易-宝途二号B类份额" managed by 微观博易, achieving a win rate of ***% and a return of ***% [5][7]. - In the 50-100 billion category, "同犇22期" managed by 同犇投资 had the highest return of ***% and a win rate of ***% [11][13]. - The leading product in the 20-50 billion category was "盛冠达股票量化2号C类份额" managed by 盛冠达, with a win rate of ***% and a return of ***% [16][19]. - For the 10-20 billion category, "上海晨鸣精选A类份额" managed by 晨耀私募 had a win rate of ***% and a return of ***% [20][21]. - In the 5-10 billion category, "量盈日升专享1号A类份额" managed by 量盈投资 achieved a win rate of ***% and a return of ***% [23][25]. - The top product in the 0-5 billion category was "九招股票量化多头一号B类份额" managed by 九招基金, with a win rate of ***% and a return of ***% [27][29].

Group 1 - Gold prices experienced a slight increase, reaching a peak of $3345.71 per ounce, with a rise of approximately 0.3% [1] - On Monday, gold prices fell to a low of $3296.37 per ounce due to a rebound in the US dollar and easing geopolitical tensions, but later rebounded to close at $3336.19 per ounce [1] - The US President announced a 25% tariff on goods from Japan and South Korea starting August 1, which led to a decline in US stocks and increased interest in gold as a safe-haven asset [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices have completed their adjustment phase, with bullish momentum expected to continue, targeting levels between $3365 and $3400 [2] - The key resistance level for gold is identified at $3345, and a breakout above this level could signal the start of a bullish trend [2] - Suggested trading strategy includes buying on dips to $3320-3322 with a target of $3330-3340, and selling on rebounds at $3342-3340 [2] Group 3 - Domestic gold prices in China showed a rebound after hitting a low of 772, with expectations to reach levels between 783 and 785 [3] - The overall trend for gold remains bullish, with a focus on maintaining a low position strategy [3] Group 4 - Silver prices in China fell to a low of 8865 but closed at 8960, with a bullish outlook maintained [5] - Resistance levels for silver are noted between 9000 and 9100, while support is found between 8850 and 8800 [5]

金价波动性增大，整体向上趋势有改变吗？市场不安情绪加剧，如何在这种行情中寻找机会？点击查看 详细分析！ 黄金涨势被压制，何时才能转多头？ 相关链接 ...

黄金测试3295支撑，多头能否守住底线？震荡僵局能否打破？金十研究员Steven正在直播，点击进入直 播间观看>> 相关链接 黄金实时分析中 ...

金融研究 2025年7月7日 星期一 金融期货早班车 招商期货有限公司 市场表现：7 月 4 日，A 股四大股指多数下行，其中上证指数上涨 0.32%，报收 3472.32 点；深成指 下跌 0.25%，报收 10508.76 点；创业板指下跌 0.36%，报收 2156.23 点；科创 50 指数下跌 0.01%， 报收 984.8 点。市场成交 14,545 亿元，较前日增加 1,210 亿元。行业板块方面，银行(+1.84%)，传 媒(+0.91%)，综合(+0.71%)涨幅居前；美容护理(-1.87%)，有色金属(-1.6%)，基础化工(-1.22%)跌 幅居前。从市场强弱看，IH>IF>IC>IM，个股涨/平/跌数分别为 1,169/129/4,118。沪深两市，机构、 主力、大户、散户全天资金分别净流入-86、-150、16、220 亿元，分别变动-123、-89、+66、+146 亿元。 股指期货 基差：IM、IC、IF、IH 次月合约基差分别为 125.8、90.44、37.4 与 23.24 点，基差年化收益率分别 为-16.07%、-12.34%、-7.57%与-6.84%，三年期历史分位 ...

老生常谈的美元指数仍然在低位震荡，在这种极度弱势中，还是关注后市是否能继续下跌，如果空头延续，周期性要看92，88低点，并且不能猜 顶。当然，市场变化莫测，近期美元难以看出大涨大跌的空间，预计会在低位走一段时间的震荡。那么，短期内，黄金的走势也比较难以走出具 体的方向或者单边走势，上周最大的区间在3245/3365，本周在不破此区间的情况下，大概率是震荡走势，如果破位此区间，向下看的话就有可 能会转弱大跌一波至3120，但趋势之下，这汇总可能性不大，向上破位的话，上方还有3385，3400。从技术面来看，日线周期的k线暂时表现偏 弱，k线在布林中轨之下，这种表现有可能是周初的弱势基础，可能会延续一下试探前期低点3310，3285，但如果周初日线反阳收高的话，也会 改变现在的相对弱势，所以，暂时日线也不太好说一定的强弱。H4周期现在区间震荡表现明显，布林收口，均线系统未能发散，看不出强弱的 延续性，所以也是震荡表现，下方支撑在3310，上方压制在3355。那么，在周初就要注意两个关键点的得失，下方看3310，3285支撑，这两个价 位是周初上涨支撑点，不破可以分别做多，而上方也不用过分看，上方看到3330，33 ...

洲际交易所：汽油投机者在截至7月1日的一周内将净多头头寸增加了1,609手，至71,720手。 ...

洲际交易所：布伦特原油投机者在截至7月1日的一周内将净多头头寸减少25,881手，至166,717手。 布伦特原油 ...