Group 1 - Gold prices experienced a slight increase, supported by a weaker dollar and poor U.S. economic data, alongside safe-haven buying due to President Putin's absence from peace talks [1][2] - Spot gold rose by 1.18% to $3215.87 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures increased by 0.91% to $3217.4 per ounce [1] - The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.17%, making gold cheaper for overseas holders [2] Group 2 - U.S. April PPI year-on-year recorded a decline to 2.4%, marking the third consecutive month of decrease and the lowest since September of the previous year [2] - April PPI month-on-month recorded a drop of 0.5%, the lowest since April 2020, significantly below the market expectation of 0.2% [2] - Analysts suggest that the recent data creates more room for potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with increasing market expectations for looser monetary policy [2] Group 3 - Analysts noted that despite a temporary 90-day tariff agreement between China and the U.S., investors remain cautious due to ongoing global trade tensions [2] - The absence of President Putin from peace negotiations has lowered expectations for progress on a peace agreement, contributing to the support for gold prices [2][3] - Gold's recent weakness has been linked to a shift in risk appetite, but the market's reaction to geopolitical events suggests a complex relationship between gold and equity markets [3]

Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin is potentially entering a parabolic uptrend phase, supported by historical price cycles and technical indicators, suggesting further upward movement before reaching a peak around October 2025 [1][5][6] Bitcoin Price Cycle Analysis - Historical data indicates that previous Bitcoin cycles lasted approximately 1064 days, with the current cycle expected to reach this duration by October 2025, implying room for price increases [1] - The price trend from April to May shows a clear upward movement, with the RSI breaking above 50, indicating a new bullish trend [1] - The MACD is nearing a bullish crossover, which would further confirm the establishment of a new upward trend [1] Technical Patterns - Bitcoin appears to be breaking out of a bullish flag pattern, with the historical high of $109,000 serving as a critical resistance level [2] - The potential for a price pullback before testing the $109,000 level is noted, indicating market volatility [2] Economic Influences - The finalization of trade agreements could positively impact the stock market and, consequently, Bitcoin prices, as market uncertainties diminish [2] - Anticipation of a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve could enhance market liquidity, benefiting both Bitcoin and stock markets, although this depends on upcoming inflation data [2][4] Price Target and Projections - The expected peak price for Bitcoin in this cycle is projected to be around $150,000, based on Fibonacci levels, which is ten times the cycle's bottom price of $15,000 [5] - The parabolic uptrend phase is expected to last approximately six months, potentially starting in April and continuing until September 2025 [5][6]

Group 1 - The USD/JPY exchange rate reached a one-month high of 145.9020, up 0.40%, driven by a trade agreement between the US and China, alleviating recession concerns in the US [1] - The USD/JPY has broken through the 140-145 range, with potential to test higher resistance levels around 146-147 if the trend continues [1] - Japan's trade balance for March was reported at 516.5 billion yen, below the expected 547.7 billion yen and significantly lower than the previous value of 712.9 billion yen [2] Group 2 - Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba emphasized a goal of 0% tariffs in negotiations with the US, indicating positive discussions with President Trump [2] - Technical analysis suggests that the USD/JPY has found support above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from March-April declines, with potential upward movement towards the 146.80-146.85 area, representing the 61.8% Fibonacci level [2] - The 145.55 area is currently acting as a protective level for the USD/JPY, with a break below this level potentially accelerating a decline towards the psychological level of 145.00 [3]

Core Viewpoint - The price of spot gold has surged significantly, reaching a high of $3387.05 per ounce, driven by bearish sentiment towards the US dollar and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [1][2]. Market Analysis - Gold prices have shown a strong upward trend, with a cumulative increase of approximately $150, indicating a robust bullish momentum after a period of consolidation [2]. - The key resistance level is identified at $3386 per ounce, which aligns with the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level, suggesting that this point will be crucial for future price movements [4]. - The market is advised to monitor the support level at $3350 per ounce; a breach below this could lead to further declines, while maintaining above it may allow for continued upward movement [4][5]. Technical Indicators - The current trading strategy suggests a focus on buying on dips within the $3368-$3373 range, with a stop loss set at $3362 and a target of $3390-$3400 [6]. - The short-term support levels are identified at $3370-$3364, with stronger support at $3360, while resistance levels are noted at $3386 and $3400 [5][6].

当前黄金4小时周期技术架构已呈现显著向上突破形态，价格回落动能明显衰减，多头格局或已重新确立。从盘面结构观察，3200整数关口构成关键多空分 水岭，在价格未有效击穿该支撑位前，整体运行节奏将维持偏多头态势。 周一（5月5日）亚洲交易时段早盘，现货黄金价格呈现震荡小幅上扬态势，本周美联储利率决议将成为影响市场走势的关键因素，预计其将主导本周黄金市 场的行情走向。此外国际贸易局势的最新动态仍需持续关注。在就业数据周之后，市场关注焦点已转移至本周三（5月7日）美联储5月联邦公开市场委员会 （FOMC）会议（利率决议及政策声明发布会将于北京时间周四凌晨公布）。尽管市场普遍预期美联储此次将维持利率政策不变，但鉴于鲍威尔主席在4月 发表鹰派言论后，此次会议上其最新表态及问答环节仍备受瞩目。此外周五多位美联储官员将出席在冰岛雷克雅未克举办的经济会议，就人工智能、就业市 场以及货币政策研究等议题展开深入探讨 。 1.黄金建议反弹3300-3305附近做空，止损在3312，目标看3280-3270，破位看3265一线； 2.黄金建议回调3250-3253附近做多，止损在3243，目标看3280-3300，破位看3315一线； ...

4月30日周三，欧元/美元在1.14关口下方维持窄幅震荡格局，市场屏息等待欧美关键经济数据落地。技 术面显示，汇价正面临关键方向选择——此前连续三个月的上升通道已触及斐波那契76.4%强阻力位， 多空博弈进入白热化阶段。 周线级别，14周相对强弱指标（RSI）仍处于上升趋势，但若本周收盘跌破1.1271（61.8%回撤位），将 确认短期顶部形成。当前1.1300-1.1370区域成为多空争夺关键区间，该区域的突破方向将决定短期趋势 延续或反转。 市场情绪：谨慎乐观中的双向风险 尽管欧元区经济数据边际改善，但市场情绪仍维持谨慎基调。一方面，意大利GDP超预期为欧元提供支 撑，另一方面，德国经济疲软引发对欧元区复苏可持续性的担忧。CFTC持仓数据显示，截至4月23日当 周，欧元净多头头寸增加2.3万手，但未突破2024年高位，显示资金追涨意愿有限。 货币政策分化预期持续发酵。随着美国3月核心PCE物价指数预计回落至3.3%，市场对美联储年内降息 预期升温；而欧洲央行官员近期频频释放"不急于降息"信号，利率期货定价显示欧央行首次降息时点晚 于美联储约3个月。这种政策差预期构成欧元中期支撑，但需警惕周五美国非农就业数 ...

黄金行情走势分析： 周五（4月25日），受美元走强和中美贸易紧张局势缓和影响，现货黄金遭抛售，大跌近2%。中国对部 分美国商品免征关税，削弱了黄金避险吸引力。现货黄金本周累计跌幅超1%。同时，美元指数涨 0.3%，使黄金对海外买家更昂贵，抑制需求。此前特朗普暗示降低对华关税，黄金已从近期高点回 落。尽管全球不确定性曾促使投资者转向黄金避险，但美中或东欧紧张局势缓和可能大幅减少避险需 求，加之全球经贸关系缓和预期提振风险偏好，资金流向风险资产，黄金面临更大下行压力。 黄金自3500美元附近高点回调后高位整理。触及周内低点反弹，在23.6%斐波那契回调位（约3368 - 3370美元）遇阻，该区域成为短期阻力。今日早盘拉升至3370美元后下跌，跌破昨日欧美盘低点，最低 至3265美元后反弹。日线技术指标仍处正区间，中期上升趋势未改。自低点2536.68形成的上升通道完 好，当前价格在通道中上部运行。55日均线（3036.09）和14日均线（3236.58）呈多头排列，MACD指 标显示黄金处于多头区域且未形成死叉，RSI指标在60附近，市场相对均衡。目前黄金在38.2%斐波那 契回调位（约3300）徘徊，这是短期 ...

美元兑加元汇率目前在去年11月6日以来的1.3810支撑区域附近徘徊，且位于从2021年5月低点画出的上 升趋势线附近，因此很有可能出现反弹。不过，要实现有意义的回升，多头需要将价格推升突破1.3950 的宽幅中性区间，并突破20日指数移动平均线（EMA）。200日和50日指数移动平均线也可能分别在 1.4055和1.4120附近构成阻力。若成功突破，有望推动买盘兴趣指向1.4270阻力一线；若涨势进一步扩 大，焦点可能会转向1.4400至1.4470这一关键阻力区域。 在看跌情形下，若美元对加元汇率回落至1.3790附近的支撑趋势线下方，去年9月至今年2月涨势的 78.2%斐波那契回撤位1.3720可能会提供暂时支撑。若跌破该水平，抛售可能会加速，目标指向1.3620 支撑区域，这一区域是去年9月形成的双底形态的颈线位。若跌破这一水平，可能会引发更强的抛售压 力。 简而言之，美元兑加元已来到了出现看涨反转的理想区域。不过，只有涨势突破指数移动平均线并超过 1.4100关口，才足以消除下行风险。 周日（4月27日）外汇市场休市。美元兑加元4月25日上涨，与上一日收盘价持平，在汇市尾市收于 1.3854。加拿大 ...

近期，比特币（BTC）价格强势突破85,000美元，据CoinGecko数据显示，本周已多次触及该水平。市 场分析师Titan of Crypto指出，尽管出现短暂的横向盘整走势，但整体看涨趋势依然稳固，其基于斐波 那契数列的2025年13.5万美元目标价依然有效。这一预测引发市场热议，投资者对未来走势充满期待。 Titan of Crypto进一步分析称，看涨结构"仍然完好"，即使回落至关键支撑位，大趋势依然看涨。他预 测首先瞄准10.7万美元，然后冲上13.5万美元，无论短期内是否会出现回调。 来源:币界网 XBIT去中心化交易所平台，区块链技术保障交易安全透明 在加密货币市场波动加剧的背景下，"币圈永续合约"成为投资者关注的焦点。XBIT去中心化交易所凭 借其独特优势，为投资者提供灵活的交易方式。该平台运用区块链技术，构建安全透明的去中心化交易 模式，所有交易在链上公开完成，无需第三方中介，降低信任风险，提升交易效率并降低成本。"币圈 永续合约"产品具有高杠杆效应，帮助投资者更好地应对市场波动，实现风险对冲和盈利。其零知识证 明技术及多链聚合交易功能，单日交易量突破1.2亿美元，官网支持BTC、ETH等 ...