银行板块已经涨到被股民称为银伟达、银斯达克了！ 银行股太强了，工商银行、浦发银行、中信银行、兴业银行等9股本周五同日创出历史新高。 42只银行股的涨跌幅中位数为18.7%，同期沪深300指数涨1.2%。 银行板块最新市值达15.96万亿元，较2024年末的13.58万亿元增加2.38万亿元。 今年以来，银行AH优选ETF涨超25%，银行ETF易方达、银行ETF天弘、银行ETF基金涨超20%，大幅跑赢沪深300指数。 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 年内涨跌幅% | | --- | --- | --- | | 517900.OF | 银行AH优选ETF | 25.84 | | 516310.OF | 银行ETF易方达 | 20.77 | | 512700.OF | 银行ETF南方 | 20.28 | | 515290.OF | 银行ETF天弘 | 20.23 | | 516210.OF | 银行ETF指数基金 | 20.03 | | 515020.OF | 银行ETF基金 | 20.03 | | 159887.OF | 银行ETF | 19.78 | | 512820.OF | 银行ETF龙头 | 19.72 ...

金十数据7月4日讯，三菱日联分析师Derek Halpenny在一份报告中说，如果市场加大对今年进一步加息 的押注，日元可能在未来几个月走强。数据显示，市场只定价了9月份加息3个基点的预期。他说，这看 起来太低了。如果美国和日本在对等关税暂停期于7月9日结束之前达成一项不太具有破坏性的贸易协 议，这将增加日本央行恢复加息的可能性。在谈判之后，日本的工资上涨幅度加大，周五的数据显示， 5月份家庭支出激增，这也应该会鼓励进一步加息。 市场分析：日元可能因加息押注增加而受到提振 ...

Group 1 - Japan's household spending data showed a surprising strong performance, with a year-on-year increase of 4.7% in May, significantly exceeding market expectations, which has been a key factor in strengthening the yen [1][3] - The robust consumption data reflects the recovery momentum of the Japanese economy and provides important evidence for future adjustments in the Bank of Japan's monetary policy [1][3] - The strong consumer spending growth indicates an improvement in household income conditions, likely influenced by factors such as corporate wage increases and an improving job market [3] Group 2 - Following the release of the consumption data, the USD/JPY exchange rate experienced significant volatility, briefly breaking through the technical resistance area of 144.65-144.70 before encountering resistance near 145.25 [3][4] - The technical analysis indicates that short-term support levels for USD/JPY are concentrated around 144.20 and the 144.00 integer level, with potential further declines if these key supports are breached [4] - The U.S. labor market data, including a non-farm payroll increase of 147,000 in June, has also impacted the exchange rate, with a slower wage growth limiting the upside potential for the dollar [4]

美元兑日元日内下跌0.50%，现报144.19。 ...

美元兑日元USD/JPY日内下跌0.50%，现报144.19。 ...

美元兑日元跌0.5%报144.20。 ...

能源成本上涨成为本轮日元贬值主因，并进一步削弱通胀承压下市场信心； 1. 中东紧张引发油价上涨，日元应声贬值 尽管中东局势冲击有限，但油价曾一度上涨，使能源进口大国日本的进口成本显著上升，进而成为压亏日元的重 要因素。日元自6月13日以来兑美元下跌2.4%，兑瑞郎也下滑1.4%。 2. 日本能源负担上升，贸易逆差扩大 作为几乎完全依赖进口石油的经济体，日本面对油价上涨时，外汇需求激增，削弱本币市场流动性。同时，国内 能源价格上涨加剧通胀压力，剌激日元处于弱势位置。石油成本上升导致进口全部用日元支付，这削弱了对日元 的正常需求。 3. 加息预期支撑日元，但仍存阻力 1月数据表明日本企业商品价格指数（CGPI）同比增长4.2%，创19个月新高，推动市场预计日本央行可能在5月或 7月调整负利率政策。短线内日元对美元有0.5%升值表现，显示市场对货币政策转向预期正在加温。 但与此同时，美国经济疲软、美元整体承压，美联储仍未释放明确降息信号，使得美元兑日元走势具有一定回弹 空间。此外，日本长期债市波动亦给日元带来不稳定预。 4. 政策干预与市场预期矛盾加剧 美国总统对日元汇率的公开批评，以及潜在对日本施压的货币政策言论 ...

Group 1: US Employment Data - US non-farm payrolls increased by 147,000 in June, exceeding expectations of 106,000 and the previous value of 139,000, marking the fourth consecutive month of better-than-expected results [1] - The unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped to 4.1%, lower than the expected 4.3% and the previous 4.2%, indicating a resilient labor market despite hiring uncertainties [1] - Following the non-farm payroll report, market expectations for a July Federal Reserve rate cut diminished significantly, with the probability dropping from 98% to approximately 80% [1] Group 2: Japan Wage Negotiations - Japan's average wage increase for the fiscal year 2025 reached 5.25%, the highest in 34 years, with small enterprises seeing a growth of 4.65% [2] - The wage growth reflects a tight labor market, potentially supporting the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike, although persistent inflation pressures may limit consumer spending and corporate profit margins [2] - Global investors are reducing long positions in the yen due to various short-term challenges, including slow progress on US-Japan trade agreements and uncertainties surrounding Japan's elections [2] Group 3: US Banking Sector - All 22 banks passed the Federal Reserve's stress tests, with an average Tier 1 capital ratio of 11.6%, significantly above the 4.5% regulatory requirement [3] - Major banks announced increased dividends and stock buyback plans, with Goldman Sachs raising its dividend by 33% to $4 per share, reflecting its strong capital position [3][4] - The banking sector's performance has led to record highs in bank stock prices, with Goldman Sachs' market capitalization surpassing $220 billion [4] Group 4: EDA Software Market - The US government lifted export restrictions on three major chip design software suppliers: Synopsys, Cadence, and Siemens, allowing them to fully resume services to Chinese clients [5] - These three companies dominate the EDA market, holding a combined market share of 82% in China, with Synopsys at 32%, Cadence at 30%, and Siemens at 13% [5] - Following the announcement, Cadence and Synopsys saw stock price increases of 5.1% and 4.9%, respectively, with their combined market capitalization exceeding $170 billion [5] Group 5: Oracle and OpenAI Partnership - OpenAI has agreed to lease significant computing power from Oracle, totaling approximately 4.5 gigawatts, which is enough to power millions of American homes [6] - Oracle's stock price rose over 3%, reaching a new high of $237.03, as the company continues to expand its cloud computing business, particularly targeting AI clients [6][7] - The partnership is part of a larger $500 billion "Star Gate" initiative involving SoftBank, Oracle, and OpenAI, aimed at enhancing cloud computing capabilities [6]

美元兑日元涨0.93%，暂报144.99，美国非农就业报告发布后飙涨并持续高位震荡。 美国副财长Faulkender称，与日本的问题在于那些"非关税壁垒"。 ...

美元兑日元上涨1%，至145.10。 ...