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前沿观察 | 天然气期货异动:六月合约跃居主力合约!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 20:39
Group 1 - The June natural gas futures have become the main contract on the NYMEX, with a closing price of $3.343 per MMBtu, up 22.9 cents from the previous day [3] - The May contract settled at $3.170, marking the end of a month-long low in the natural gas market, which is now showing signs of recovery [3] - Despite the short-term weak fundamentals, the recent price increase may push prices towards $3.50 per MMBtu, although there are concerns about potential downward pressure if the rebound continues [3][4] Group 2 - The report indicates that the market has been digesting the weak fundamentals typical of the off-season, with a significant drop of $1.60 per MMBtu (34%) over the past seven weeks [3] - The report also highlights that the May contract dominated recent trading, with technical support being tested around $2.86 per MMBtu [4] - Weather-driven demand for natural gas is rapidly declining, and production from the Permian Basin is expected to rebound, leading to potential inventory injection pressures in the coming weeks [4] Group 3 - BMI has raised its long-term price forecast for Henry Hub natural gas, predicting an average price of $3.40 per MMBtu in 2025 and $3.80 per MMBtu in 2026 [6] - The EIA has also adjusted its short-term energy outlook, increasing the average price forecast for Henry Hub to $4.27 per MMBtu in 2025 and $4.60 per MMBtu in 2026 [7]
午盘收盘,国内期货主力合约涨跌互现,短纤涨超2%,PTA、瓶片、对二甲苯(PX)、沥青、低硫燃料油(LU)、玉米、尿素涨超1%。跌幅方面,多晶硅跌超3%,菜粕、豆二、碳酸锂、棕榈油跌超2%,豆粕、苯乙烯跌近2%。
news flash· 2025-04-28 07:05
午盘收盘,国内期货主力合约涨跌互现,短纤涨超2%,PTA、瓶片、对二甲苯(PX)、沥青、低硫燃 料油(LU)、玉米、尿素涨超1%。跌幅方面,多晶硅跌超3%,菜粕、豆二、碳酸锂、棕榈油跌超 2%,豆粕、苯乙烯跌近2%。 ...