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和讯投顾张平:6月鱼尾效应,何时开启新买点?
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-06-19 10:24
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is undergoing an adjustment phase, with uncertainty regarding future hotspots and investment strategies [1][2][3] Market Analysis - The financial sector has not met expectations, leading to a T-shaped line formation that historically indicates potential adjustments in the A-share market [1] - The current market shows a significant number of declining stocks, with only 689 stocks rising on the day, indicating a challenging trading environment [1] - The market is experiencing rotation among sectors, with recent activity in chemicals and oil, but the overall trading conditions remain difficult [1][2] Technical Indicators - A gap from May 6 to May 7 is highlighted as a critical point; filling this gap may indicate weakness in the market [2] - The KDJ indicator has reached a value of 12, suggesting that if the market opens lower and does not recover, it could reach a negative value of -16, potentially marking a market low [2][3] - Historical patterns indicate that when the KDJ indicator exceeds 110, a market adjustment is likely [2][3] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised against indiscriminate buying or averaging down on losing positions, as this could lead to further losses [3][4] - A focus on market trends and volume is essential for identifying strong sectors and leading stocks for investment [3] - Emotional trading is discouraged; instead, a systematic approach based on established patterns should be adopted [4] Future Outlook - The market is expected to enter a consolidation phase by the end of June, with potential challenges in the second half of the year due to poor earnings reports [4][5] - The importance of timing and logic in investment decisions is emphasized, with a warning against relying solely on intuition [5]
IPO扩容出连锁反应,下半年行情蓝图已明!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-19 05:27
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the anxiety surrounding the recent IPO acceleration policy announced at the Lujiazui Forum, particularly in light of the 44% decline in the new stock index over the past four years, which has served as a lesson in risk for investors [1][2] - The fear of IPO expansion is rooted in the stark contrast between the slight decline of the Shenzhen Composite Index and the significant drop of 44% in the new stock index since 2020, indicating that the burden of the past four years of IPO activity has fallen on secondary market investors [2] - Interestingly, new stocks often perform exceptionally well in the initial phase of IPO reboots, akin to promotional sales in retail, suggesting that initial enthusiasm can lead to temporary price increases before stabilizing [4] Group 2 - A contrarian perspective suggests that after adjustments in IPO pacing, new market hotspots tend to emerge within three months, driven by the natural flow of new capital seeking investment opportunities [5] - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding institutional behavior through quantitative data, which serves as a direct communication tool for engaging with the market [7] - Observations indicate that stocks with potential often show active institutional behavior at lower levels during periods of volatility, suggesting a calculated approach by institutional investors before significant price movements occur [9] Group 3 - A notable trend in the current market is the increase in institutional lock-up behavior despite overall index adjustments, indicating that large funds are preparing for the next market rally [10] - The essence of investing is framed as a probability game, where the use of quantitative tools can help mitigate information asymmetry, allowing investors to better understand institutional strategies and uncover potential opportunities amidst perceived market risks [12]
支持重点群体就业创业 四川出台方案深挖就业岗位资源
Si Chuan Ri Bao· 2025-06-16 06:17
四川还将从加大减负稳岗支持力度、鼓励企业更多吸纳就业、强化自主创业政策支持、推进就业服 务提质增效、开展职业技能培训、保障劳动者合法权益等多方面着手,进一步加大对高校毕业生、农民 工、退役军人等重点群体就业创业的支持力度。(记者 刘春华) 推动消费热点转化为就业新渠道。例如,加快文旅与科技及相关产业融合,积极发展文化创意、冰 雪经济、演艺赛事等业态,扩大文旅就业机会。支持生产性服务业发展,加快发展首发经济、夜间经 济、平台经济,布局培育便民生活圈、商品集散中心、骨干农产品批发市场,扩大相应领域就业。此 外,还将放大重大工程项目建设就业增量,围绕保障重点民生服务促进就业,提高民营企业和中小微企 业就业吸引力。 为深入贯彻落实党中央、国务院和省委、省政府相关决策部署,近日四川省就业促进和劳动保护工 作领导小组办公室印发相关方案,进一步挖掘重点领域、重点行业、城乡基层和中小微企业岗位资源, 支持高校毕业生、农民工、退役军人等重点群体就业创业。 挖潜扩容扩大重点产业链就业空间。包括构建就业友好型发展方式,把促进就业作为重点产业链发 展的重要评价指标,提高产业发展的就业带动力。突出抓好人工智能、航空航天、医药健康、现代 ...
和讯投顾都业华:关注近期异动板块,可尝试用多头思路寻找机会
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-06-16 05:46
(原标题:和讯投顾都业华:关注近期异动板块,可尝试用多头思路寻找机会) 6月16日,和讯投顾都业华对几个影响力较大且备受关注的板块进行了分析。 上周五分析时,虽当时阴线未现,但指出该板块前高位置有放量阳线,套人情况明显,突破前高难度较 大。当时还提到,板块虽有两波上涨引起关注,但过前高后仅是对称震荡,做不出三板。若往上突破, 前高位置难过;若过不去,很可能回下沿。星期五的走势正是如此。从经验看,当前位置是重要支撑, 但支撑未到,小级别上未止跌。对于持有证券股的投资者,建议定止损,这是做风控的重要方案,多数 交易大师也采用止损方式。对于想买证券的投资者,需等其止跌,同时要考虑止跌位置和性价比。证券 板块目前并非特别强,不在舞台中央,但对市场影响大、有人气。 与数字货币对比,目前看走势未结束。从15分钟图看,若组成对称震荡,可看作机会,但也有另一种难 认的震荡走势。与数字货币相比,可控核聚变更强,因为数字货币前高没过,上周五已出现较大阴线。 此前分析A50时,在未看到中东军事冲突新闻的情况下,提到军工板块前期上过热点,顶着压力震荡, 可定位为强势震荡。现在军工板块阳线起来且放量,但从板块角度讲,尚未突破。后续走势 ...
【期货热点追踪】伊朗真要封锁霍尔木兹海峡?专家:可能性不大但威胁已足够 。点击阅读。
news flash· 2025-06-16 04:27
期货热点追踪 伊朗真要封锁霍尔木兹海峡?专家:可能性不大但威胁已足够。点击阅读。 相关链接 ...
A股上演“电风扇”行情,6月13日,市场何时开启新一轮行情?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-13 02:58
Group 1 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is set to provide more transparent, efficient, and predictable regulatory policies for technology companies seeking to list overseas, which is seen as a positive development for the market [1] - The banking sector experienced a 1% increase, contributing to a slight overall gain in the Shanghai Composite Index, which closed with a 0.01% increase [1][3] - Traditional cyclical stocks and consumer stocks, such as liquor, coal, electricity, and transportation, saw significant declines, indicating a mixed market sentiment [1][3] Group 2 - The three major indices showed narrow fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index barely maintaining its position above 3400 points, reflecting weak market momentum and a lack of strong buying interest [3][5] - The trading volume remained steady at 1.3 trillion yuan, similar to the previous day, suggesting a stagnant market environment [3][5] - Despite the overall market being lackluster, there is speculation about a potential breakout above 3440 points in the coming days, as the market has previously shown resilience at critical levels [7]
和讯投顾高璐明:市场短线已到关键变盘节点,向上变盘需满足三个条件
He Xun Wang· 2025-06-13 00:32
说完消息面,再看市场走势。市场短线已到关键变盘节点,向上变盘需满足三个条件。一是需权重板块 带动,以券商、保险为首的权重板块发力最为理想,因其位置和估值均较低,尤其是券商板块,对市场 人气带动效果好,背后有"某队"和大资金支持,其发力代表大资金入场,中小资金才敢跟进,如此才能 突破3400点至3417点的重要压力位。二是市场成交量需放大,至少要达到1.5万亿以上。近期市场连续4 天未形成突破,关键在于场外资金进场意愿不足,成交量放大意味着场外资金开始大规模入场,市场靠 资金推动,无资金则难以向上突破和持续上攻,只有场外资金源源不断进入,才能推动市场攻克关键压 力位。三是市场需出现明确的新热点或新主线,以带动更多做多力量,提升市场人气。理想情况是由科 技或科技加权重方向带动,当前一些老热点虽涨幅不错,但资金和高度有限,需有更新的赚钱效应才能 推动市场上攻。 这三点是决定市场向上变盘的关键,投资者需耐心等待,符合条件后再顺势加仓进场。此外,短线市场 在3384点处有小级别上升曲线,若跌破则代表短期选择向下回踩,不过回踩并非风险,而是在酝酿新的 上涨机会,回踩完成后也将迎来上涨,是重要的上车点。接下来,投资者可等待 ...
和讯投顾李发亮:市场很活跃,但涨停的数量不多,怎么回事?
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-06-12 13:45
(原标题:和讯投顾李发亮:市场很活跃,但涨停的数量不多,怎么回事?) 就是现在的市场就这样,感觉市场很活跃,但实际上涨停的数量也不多,昨天大涨的好多,今天都是大 跌。大盘在这个位置主力是高度控盘的,如果昨天真的想涨,昨天的两个证券涨停的股票尾盘它就不会 下跌,昨天涨停的龙头证券今天直接下跌5%左右,那你说你去追吧怎么去追?啊大盘依旧是在3400点 这个位置,但是股票你要买错了,大盘哪怕涨上来了,你依旧是亏钱。大家想想是不是这么个道理?就 算是指数再涨到3500,你在前两天追高的个股可能他回不来了。因为5000多家股票,它这两天拉的是这 个题材,过两天又拉那个题材,如果你套在这个题材的高点上,大盘后面起来了,你依旧是不解套的。 这就是我反复说再次强调一点,不要去做热点和预期以外的那些股票,那种手慢不执行止损的话相当难 受。无人机我们还会啊继续关注电力,后面的这个空间啊越来越小了,啊就星期二跑了的九州,昨天下 杀今天也是大跌。那后面接下来再有利润利润空间不大,指数的话,啊在这个位置啊应该也不会呃震荡 时间太久了,因为3400点这个位置上下空间你发现了吗?都不大。他这么个折腾,就看谁的这个轮动把 握的好了。那么如果 ...
【期货热点追踪】库存高压vs逢低买盘:马棕油期货破位下跌的风险有多大?
news flash· 2025-06-12 11:54
期货热点追踪 库存高压vs逢低买盘:马棕油期货破位下跌的风险有多大? 相关链接 ...
【期货热点追踪】纯碱主力再度刷新历史低位,机构指出,后续除了交易大方向的过剩预期逻辑外,仍有可能....点击阅读。
news flash· 2025-06-12 08:24
期货热点追踪 纯碱主力再度刷新历史低位,机构指出,后续除了交易大方向的过剩预期逻辑外,仍有可能....点击阅 读。 相关链接 ...