新华财经上海6月23日电（记者程思琪）6月21日，海智在线第八届采供破壁会在上海徐汇区漕河泾会议 中心举办。现场汇聚了220余位采购与1054位工厂代表，是该平台迄今为止海外采购商来源国家最多、 未来产业需求最集中、工厂覆盖地域最广的一次线下对接活动。 现场汇聚来自全国20个省级行政区、97座城市的工厂代表，构建出一张横贯东南沿海与中西内陆、纵贯 多层级制造能力的全国性产能网络。其中，83%的工厂来自长三角制造核心区，其余分布于广东、河 北、山东、辽宁、四川、重庆等重点工业城市，涵盖从一线直辖市到制造强县的多层级制造生态。在首 次设立的"海外采购商专区"内，来自美国、南非、奥地利、墨西哥、阿联酋等14个国家的20余位采购代 表现场对接中国工厂，构建起"立足本地、对接全球"的结构。 当天，海智在线与上海银行、跨越速运举行了战略签约，并正式官宣完成B+轮融资。 海智在线创始人兼董事长佘莹在现场表示，回顾中国的对外贸易发展历程，我们之所以能取得今天的成 就，最核心的竞争力来自于产业的持续发展、制造能力的不断提升，以及由数百万家工厂构筑的供应链 综合能力。中国已形成全球无与伦比的制造业体系，是世界上唯一拥有全部工业门 ...

然而光有庞大的人口数量还不够，稳定持续的生育率才是保证人口长期高位和经济发展的关键。对印度 来说，现在有一个近在咫尺的问题——女性不太愿意生了。 联合国人口基金(UNFPA)本月发布的《2025年世界人口状况报告》指出，印度人口今年估计已达14.6 亿，预计将增至17亿，并在40年后开始下降。 今年的报告题为"真正的生育危机"。报告显示，2025年，印度的总生育率已降至每名妇女生育1.9个孩 子，低于2.1个孩子的更替水平，而2.1个孩子是维持稳定人口规模所需的平均生育数量。 报告指出，1960年，印度人口约为4.36亿，平均每位女性生育近6个孩子，当时女性对自己身体和生活 的掌控力较低，且只有不到一半的女性上过小学。但在随后的几年里，教育水平提高了，获得生殖保健 服务的机会得到了改善，更多女性在影响自身生活的决策中获得了发言权。直到现在，印度女性平均只 生育约两个孩子。 联合国最新报告显示，印度已取代中国，成为世界第一人口大国，这一结果正是经济快速发展的印度所 需要的。 虽然在这种转变在人口红利方面是劣势，但小型家庭可以为孩子带来更好的健康状况，并赋予女性更多 自由。 根据联合国人口基金的报告，如今印度以及 ...

以下文章来源于超募研究所 ，作者杉域资本 超募研究所 . 结合实操业务及公域&私域数据，为私募股权行业从业者（FOF、LP、GP等）提供专业性、垂直类研究内容输出。 本期导读： AI大模型、高算力芯片与多传感器融合技术的突破，加速了智能驾驶商业化落地。 作者丨杉域资本 本期推荐阅读5分钟 在全球碳中和进程加速与能源结构转型的背景下，中国新能源汽车产业迎来历史性发展窗口。地缘政治博弈推动能源安全与产业链自主可控上升至国家 战略高度，国内新能源汽车正大举进军国际市场并在科技与服务方面领先众多知名品牌。AI大模型、高算力芯片与多传感器融合技术的突破，加速了 智能驾驶商业化落地。资本市场深度聚焦，VC/PE机构重仓布局具备技术壁垒与生态整合能力的头部企业。 本报告覆盖新能源汽车全产业链，涵盖三 电系统（电机、电控、电池）、核心部件与关键技术、整车制造与平台化集成、充换电网络及续航服务、智能网联与车载软件等领域，系统解析产业生 态与投资价值坐标。 2025年新能源汽车行业融资概况 从融资轮次来看， 新能源汽车行业加速整合，头部优势凸显 新能源汽车行业融资事件366起。其中种子-Pre-A轮221起，A轮90起，B-C轮 ...

Group 1 - China is the world's largest coal producer and consumer, with coal production expected to reach 4.78 billion tons and consumption at 4.81 billion tons in 2024, accounting for 66.6% and 53.2% of energy production and consumption respectively [1] - The coal industry in China has undergone significant structural reforms, leading to increased production capacity and improved safety, with production rising from 3.41 billion tons in 2016 to 4.78 billion tons in 2024, a growth of 40.18% [2] - Despite coal's dominant position, the rapid growth of non-fossil energy sources has raised concerns among industry professionals, with renewable energy generation capacity surpassing 2 billion kilowatts by April 2025, a year-on-year increase of 26% [2] Group 2 - The transition of coal's role in the energy structure is expected to evolve through four stages from now until 2060, with coal's position shifting from a primary energy source to a supporting role, while non-fossil energy sources will gradually take precedence [3] - A new energy system is being constructed, characterized by a shift from high-carbon to low-carbon and eventually to zero-carbon energy sources, with an emphasis on distributed energy systems and integrated supply-demand models [4] - The coal industry is transitioning from being viewed solely as a fuel source to being recognized as a raw material and material source, with a focus on creating an integrated ecosystem involving coal, new energy, storage, and hydrogen [6] Group 3 - Future coal industry policies are expected to prioritize quality over quantity, focusing on energy security, green transformation, technological innovation, and social equity, while facilitating an orderly exit from coal dependency [6][7] - The coal sector's strategic focus will include optimizing capacity, low-carbon demonstration projects, new energy integration, carbon trading, and the development of high-end coal-based materials [7] - The consensus among experts is that coal will continue to play a crucial role in ensuring energy security, particularly as renewable energy sources face challenges related to storage and volatility [6]

关注、加星，第一时间接收推送！ 文 | 赵伟、屠强、贾东旭 联系人| 屠强、耿佩璇 摘要 4%；房地产投资累计同比-10.7%、预期-10.5%、前值-10.3%；新建商品房销售面积累计同 比-2.9%、前值-2.8%；工业增加值当月同比5.8%、预期5.7%、前值6.1%。 核心观点: 节假日分布差异、电商促销、出口与投资下滑，导致消费与生产背离 消费：电商促销前置与假期增加（同比去年多2天）带动需求集中释放。 5月社零增速创2024年 以来新高。有两大原因。1、电商促销前置带动限额以上零售反弹。家电（+14.2pct至53.0%） 和通讯器材（+13.1pct至33.0%）明显改善；2、5月假日（含周末）比去年同期多2天，直接驱 事件: 5月，社零当月同比6.4%、预期4.9%、前值5.1%；固投累计同比3.7%、预期4%、前值 动出行需求的集中释放。限额以下商品零售（+1.2pct至5.2%）和餐饮收入（+1.3pct至 13%）、服务业零售额（累计同比+0.1pct至5.2%）均改善。 投资：固定投资走弱，主因设备更新周期退坡与传统基建地产回落，但服务业投资继续提速。 5 月固定投资当月同比回落0.7 ...

关注、加星，第一时间接收推送！ 文 | 赵伟、屠强、贾东旭 联系人| 屠强、耿佩璇 摘要 4%；房地产投资累计同比-10.7%、预期-10.5%、前值-10.3%；新建商品房销售面积累计同 比-2.9%、前值-2.8%；工业增加值当月同比5.8%、预期5.7%、前值6.1%。 核心观点: 节假日分布差异、电商促销、出口与投资下滑，导致消费与生产背离 消费：电商促销前置与假期增加（同比去年多2天）带动需求集中释放。 5月社零增速创2024年 以来新高。有两大原因。1、电商促销前置带动限额以上零售反弹。家电（+14.2pct至53.0%） 和通讯器材（+13.1pct至33.0%）明显改善；2、5月假日（含周末）比去年同期多2天，直接驱 事件: 5月，社零当月同比6.4%、预期4.9%、前值5.1%；固投累计同比3.7%、预期4%、前值 动出行需求的集中释放。限额以下商品零售（+1.2pct至5.2%）和餐饮收入（+1.3pct至 13%）、服务业零售额（累计同比+0.1pct至5.2%）均改善。 投资：固定投资走弱，主因设备更新周期退坡与传统基建地产回落，但服务业投资继续提速。 5 月固定投资当月同比回落0.7 ...

经济数据 国 内 经 济 证券分析师 赵伟 A0230524070010 zhaowei@swsresearch.com 屠强 A0230521070002 tuqiang@swsresearch.com 贾东旭 A0230522100003 jiadx@swsresearch.com 研究支持 宏 观 研 究 耿佩璇 A0230124080003 gengpx@swsresearch.com 联系人 屠强 (8621)23297818× tuqiang@swsresearch.com 2025 年 06 月 17 日 为何消费与生产背离？ ——5 月经济数据点评 事件：5 月，社零当月同比 6.4%、预期 4.9%、前值 5.1%；固投累计同比 3.7%、预期 4%、前值 4%；房地产投资累计同比-10.7%、预期-10.5%、前值-10.3%；新建商品房 销售面积累计同比-2.9%、前值-2.8%；工业增加值当月同比 5.8%、预期 5.7%、前值 6.1%。 ⚫ 核心观点：节假日分布差异、电商促销、出口与投资下滑，导致消费与生产背离。 消费：电商促销前置与假期增加（同比去年多 2 天）带动需求集中释放。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In recent years, the demand for pure benzene has shown double - digit growth, significantly higher than other bulk chemicals. The compound annual growth rate from 2019 - 2024 was 14.6%. However, due to changes in the industrial ecosystem, the future demand growth rate of pure benzene may decline, with an estimated growth rate of 5 - 7% from 2025 - 2029 [1][86][87] - The high growth of pure benzene demand in the past five years was mainly due to import substitution, large - scale capacity expansion of direct and indirect downstream industries, and the alignment of terminal demand with the country's new productive forces and industrial transformation and upgrading [25] - In the medium - to - long term, the contribution of import substitution to demand growth will decrease, and the actual demand increment from future capacity expansion may be dominated by terminal demand. But the terminal demand for pure benzene still has certain support due to the transformation and upgrading of China's manufacturing industry [3][39][87] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Recent High - Growth State of Pure Benzene Demand and Its Incremental Sources - Pure benzene has many direct and secondary downstream products, with a wide range of terminal applications. From 2019 - 2024, the annual consumption of pure benzene in China nearly doubled, with an annualized compound growth rate of 14.58%. The production of its five major downstream products also showed double - digit growth [13][18][25] - The high growth of pure benzene demand in the past was mainly driven by downstream industry import substitution, large - scale capacity expansion of direct and indirect downstream industries, and the alignment of terminal demand with the country's new productive forces and industrial transformation and upgrading [25] 3.2 Remaining Potential of Downstream Industry Import Substitution - From 2019 - 2024, the import dependence of the pure benzene downstream industry decreased significantly, and the overall structure shifted from a net importer to a net exporter. The import substitution contributed an annualized compound growth rate of about 5 - 6% to pure benzene demand [27] - Currently, the remaining import volume available for substitution is less than 2 million tons (calculated by pure benzene unit consumption), and the substitution difficulty has increased. The future import substitution may contribute an annualized compound demand growth rate of about 1.2%. The focus will gradually shift to export expansion, but the incremental estimate is not overly optimistic [28][32] 3.3 Maturity of the Downstream Industrial Chain Ecosystem and Terminal - Dominated Incremental Demand - From 2019 - 2024, the capacity of the five major direct downstream and indirect downstream industries of pure benzene expanded significantly, with high compound growth rates. The integration of the downstream industrial chain deepened, providing a buffer for upstream capacity expansion [33][36] - Currently, the pure benzene downstream industry is mostly in the mature stage, with saturated competition and the disappearance of excess profits. Although there is still a lot of planned capacity expansion in the future, the actual demand increment may be dominated by terminal demand [39] 3.4 Support for Pure Benzene Terminal Demand from China's Industrial Structure Transformation and Upgrading - The demand for pure benzene related to the construction and real - estate sector accounts for about 10%. The demand structure of some downstream products has adjusted, reducing the proportion of real - estate demand. The terminal demand is mainly from electrical machinery and equipment, transportation equipment, and other fields [52][83] - China's manufacturing transformation and upgrading will drive the demand for pure benzene downstream derivatives. These derivatives have good comprehensive mechanical properties, which are more suitable for high - end manufacturing. Also, due to their relatively small market base, the growth potential is greater [67][69] - The demand growth rate of nylon (PA6) in the pure benzene downstream industry is higher than that of polyester. The development of outdoor activities and the outdoor economy will continue to drive the development of the pure benzene - caprolactam - PA6 industrial chain [79][80] 3.5 Summary: Future Growth Rate of Pure Benzene Demand - The future demand growth rate of pure benzene will decline compared to the past five years, but it will still be higher than most chemical products. The estimated growth rate from 2025 - 2029 is around 5 - 7% [86][87][88]

近段时间，政府债券与企业债券融资力度加大，也对贷款形成替代作用。短期来看，地方政府融资平台 通过债务置换归还银行贷款，可能会影响信贷总量。去年四季度至今年5月末置换债券已累计发行超3.6 万亿元，据市场调研初步估算，已发行的置换债券对应置换的贷款约2.3万亿元，还原后的5月末人民币 贷款增速仍在8%左右。业内专家普遍认为，经济结构转型升级离不开与之相适配的融资体系支持，直 接融资具有风险共担、利益共享、长期陪伴的特点，与高成长、重研发、轻资产的新动能领域更为适 配，未来还将在金融体系中发挥更大作用。(人民财讯) ...

"双碳"目标推动下，我国新能源汽车产业呈现爆发式增长。中国汽车工业协会发布数据显示，2024年我 国新能源汽车销量突破1000万辆大关，市场渗透率超过40%。这一变革性趋势正在深刻重塑能源消费结 构，倒逼传统石油销售企业加速业务转型。记者日前调查发现，以"三桶油"为代表的国内原油销售企业 正全力拓展非油业务，通过便利店零售、充换电服务、综合能源站等多元化经营模式，寻找新的业绩增 长点。 新能源汽车井喷式发展传统燃油市场承压明显 中国汽车工业协会最新发布的行业报告显示，2024年，我国新能源汽车产销分别完成1288.8万辆和 1286.6万辆，同比分别增长34.4%和35.5%，新能源汽车新车销量达到汽车新车总销量的40.9%，较2023 年提高9.3个百分点。 据中国汽车流通协会乘用车市场信息联席分会（简称"乘联会"）统计，2024年全国传统燃油车累计零售 1199万辆，同比下降14%。乘联会秘书长崔东树向媒体表示，预计在2025年二季度，新能源车销量将全 面超越燃油车。 市场结构的深刻变化直接影响了原油消费。综合行业数据及上市公司年报信息，2024年国内成品油市场 需求小幅下降，成品油消费量（包括汽油、柴油 ...