贝森特：美国正处于债务上限的"预警轨道" 金十数据5月6日讯，周二，美国财政部长贝森特重申他的警告，即财政部正处于耗尽其不突破联邦债务 上限的能力的"预警轨道"上，但他没有提供具体的时间表。贝森特在回答众议院拨款委员会的提问时表 示，当我们认为我们正在接近所谓的"X日"时，我们将与国会分享。"X日"是指财政部将无法按时支付 所有政府账单的日期。他说，财政部仍在统计最新报税季的税收收入。债务上限在1月初重新出现，财 政部一直在使用特殊的会计操作，以避免突破上限，同时维持对联邦债务的支付。华尔街分析师估计， 财政部要到8月至10月才需要国会提高或搁置债务上限。贝森特说："我们正处于预警轨道上。"他还重 申，美国政府永远不会违约，并承诺财政部不会使用"花招"来规避债务上限。 ...

Core Points - The U.S. Treasury is likely to continue meeting government obligations until late summer, when Congress must act to raise or suspend the debt ceiling [1] - The CBO director indicated that federal revenue appears to align with earlier forecasts, suggesting the Treasury may run out of cash in a few months, facing potential default risks [1] - The "X-Date," when the government hits the debt ceiling and cannot maintain basic public spending or repay debt, is expected to occur in late summer [1] Summary by Sections - **Debt Ceiling and Cash Flow** - The U.S. Treasury will provide an official report in early May detailing when it expects to exhaust cash and the use of "extraordinary accounting measures" [1] - Since January 21, the Treasury has been employing special accounting operations to sustain federal payments [1] - **Potential Risks and Congressional Action** - The CBO warned in March that if government borrowing needs exceed expectations, Treasury resources could be depleted by the end of May [2] - The CBO director noted that the "X-Date" could arrive earlier depending on future revenue, particularly in June [2] - Republican lawmakers have included raising the debt ceiling in a tax cut legislation aimed at passing without Democratic votes, but the bill faces significant obstacles and an unclear timeline for passage [2]

美国国会预算办公室主任Phillip Swagel：仍然认为债务上限的X日期会在夏季晚期。全球投资者仍然信 任美国。 ...