Core Viewpoint - The city of Liaocheng is prioritizing electricity supply security during the summer peak season, emphasizing its importance for urban stability and residents' quality of life [1] Electricity Supply Situation - During the summer peak period, electricity supply is expected to be sufficient during the midday peak and slightly surplus during the evening peak, assuming no extreme weather occurs [3] - The electricity load is projected to reach new highs, with midday and evening peaks expected to hit 6.55 million kilowatts and 5.95 million kilowatts respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 12.3% and 11.4% [3] - The highest load occurred earlier than in previous years, attributed to higher temperatures and prolonged heat, with the load surpassing 5 million kilowatts in May and reaching 6.284 million kilowatts on July 5, an increase of 435,000 kilowatts from the previous year [3] Power Generation Overview - In the first half of the year, total electricity consumption reached 35.885 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 4.16%, with residential electricity consumption at 2.543 billion kilowatt-hours, up 2.46% [4] - Total power generation was 31.877 billion kilowatt-hours, a 1.96% increase year-on-year, with renewable energy generation at 3.84 billion kilowatt-hours, up 11.19% [4] - Solar power generation accounted for 3.267 billion kilowatt-hours, reflecting a 13.71% increase, while wind power generation was 360 million kilowatt-hours, up 1.06% [4] Power Supply Capacity - Renewable energy capacity has grown, with total installed capacity reaching 5.502 million kilowatts, a 20.7% increase, which supports electricity supply during peak periods [5] - The completion of the ±800 kV ultra-high voltage direct current transmission line enhances the grid's ability to handle extreme weather and peak demand, providing up to 1.18 million kilowatts of load support [5] - Backup measures include peak power generation from local coal-fired plants and centralized use of new energy storage, capable of increasing output by 380,000 kilowatts [5] Power Supply Measures - The city has implemented comprehensive supervision of energy supply work, ensuring sufficient coal inventory and stable operation of power plants [6] - As of now, four direct supply power plants have coal inventories exceeding 1 million tons, with an average daily coal consumption allowing for over 28 days of supply [6] - Safety measures include the completion of inspections and maintenance of power facilities, with significant improvements in the operational status of equipment and a 41.80% reduction in the 10 kV distribution switch tripping rate [6]

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Huayin Power has surged significantly due to increased electricity demand during the summer peak and improved financial performance, with a notable rise in net profit expectations for the first half of 2025 [1][4][6]. Stock Performance - From July 1 to July 7, Huayin Power's stock recorded "4 limit-ups in 5 trading days," with a total increase of 48.56% during this period [3][4]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has risen from 3.11 CNY per share at the beginning of 2025 to 6.7 CNY per share by July 7, representing a 115.43% increase [1]. Financial Performance - Huayin Power expects to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 180 million to 220 million CNY for the first half of 2025, an increase of 175 million to 215 million CNY compared to the same period last year [1][4]. - The company's net profit for the first half of 2024 was only 5 million CNY, indicating a potential year-on-year growth rate of 35 to 43 times [4]. - In Q1 2025, Huayin Power reported a revenue of 2.307 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 5.06%, and a net profit of approximately 75.67 million CNY, up 894.61% year-on-year [4]. Historical Context - Since 2008, Huayin Power has faced continuous pressure on its performance, with losses in most years except for a small profit in 2016 [5]. - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 8.348 billion CNY, a decrease of 16% year-on-year, and a net loss of 113 million CNY [5]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on optimizing its energy structure to reduce electricity costs, with a shift towards renewable energy sources [7][9]. - Huayin Power has been actively investing in renewable energy projects, with plans to invest approximately 1.398 billion CNY in wind and solar projects [8]. - The company aims to expand its renewable energy capacity, having achieved a total installed capacity of over 1.9 million kW by the end of 2024 [7].

今年（2025 年）的情况有所不同。首先，今年我们看到现货市场正在逐步扩 大，这对整体市场产生了新的影响。此外，不同地区新能源占比差异显著，例 如广东新能源发电占比约为 8%，而甘肃去年（2024 年）达到 35%，全国平 均水平也在 14%左右。今年一季度，全国新能源发电占比已达到 18%。这种 火电行业合理估值为 15 倍 PE，A 股约 10 倍，港股 6-8 倍，关注度较 低。现货和长协价格走势取决于供需关系，北方新能源高占比地区价格 见底可能性大，南方需观察新能源装机比例是否达临界点。 预计 2025 年夏季现货电价涨幅或超煤价，售电公司将根据现货价格决 策。电力需求紧张，用电量负荷同比增长超 10%，将加剧火电竞争，推 动火电价格上涨，行业盈利有望扩张。 差异导致各地现货和长协价格走势不一致。 电力下半年下跌规律有望终止 20250707 摘要 现货市场扩张及新能源占比区域差异显著影响电力定价。广东现货电价 具指引性，但各地区因新能源占比不同，现货和长协价格走势分化，甘 肃新能源发电占比远高于广东，影响火电竞争格局。 新能源发电加剧火电竞争，尤其在光伏高峰期，压低火电脱销价格。但 在风光受限时段， ...

Core Viewpoint - Huadian New Energy is set to launch its IPO, which is expected to be the largest in A-shares this year, with a focus on renewable energy projects including wind and solar power [2][3]. Summary by Sections IPO Details - Huadian New Energy will be available for subscription this week, with a single account subscription limit of 1,490,500 shares and an issue price of 3.18 yuan per share, the lowest in A-shares this year [2]. - The company aims to raise approximately 15.8 billion yuan through this IPO, potentially reaching 18.17 billion yuan if the overallotment option is fully exercised [3]. Business Overview - The company is primarily engaged in the development, investment, and operation of renewable energy projects, focusing on wind and solar power [2]. - Huadian New Energy is one of the largest renewable energy companies in China, with a total installed capacity of 68.6171 million kilowatts as of December 31, 2024, including 32.0245 million kilowatts from wind power and 36.5926 million kilowatts from solar power [2][3]. Financial Performance - The projected revenues for Huadian New Energy from 2022 to 2024 are 24.673 billion yuan, 29.58 billion yuan, and 33.968 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 8.522 billion yuan, 9.62 billion yuan, and 8.831 billion yuan [3]. - The company has a comprehensive coverage of various types of renewable energy projects, including large-scale, offshore wind, and distributed solar projects [3].

丨证券研究报告丨 张韦华 司旗 宋尚骞 刘亚辉 公司研究丨点评报告丨中国核电（601985.SH） [Table_Title] 核绿电量延续优异表现，上半年业绩展望稳健 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 机组大修损失同比减少以及漳州 1 号年初商运共同拉动上半年核电发电量同比增长 12.01%， 单二季度核电发电量同比增长 10.77%。在电量优异表现的带动下，二季度及上半年公司核电 板块预计实现稳健的业绩表现。装机持续扩张拉动上半年新能源电量同比增长 35.76%，但考 虑增资引战后公司对中核汇能的持股比例降低，二季度及上半年新能源的归母业绩贡献或仍面 临一定压力。整体来看，上半年公司发电量同比增长 15.65%，即使考虑市场化交易、新能源股 比稀释等影响，预计公司二季度业绩仍将实现稳健增长。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490517080003 SAC：S0490520120001 SAC：S0490520110001 SAC：S0490523080003 SFC：BQT627 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the measures taken to ensure stable electricity supply during the peak summer demand period in China, with a focus on increasing power generation capacity and enhancing transmission efficiency. Group 1: Power Supply and Demand - During the peak summer period, the highest electricity load in the country is expected to increase by approximately 10 million kilowatts year-on-year [1] - The overall power supply and demand situation is better than last year, with a general balance in national electricity supply and demand [1] Group 2: Enhancing Generation Capacity - Coal remains the primary energy source, and coal supply is crucial for stable electricity supply during peak summer [2] - The Huanghua Port, as the largest coal port in the country, has seen coal throughput exceed 100 million tons as of June 23 [2] - New energy generation capacity has reached over 80 million kilowatts in the Hebei North Clean Energy Base, accounting for 75.8% of total installed capacity, the highest in the country [2] Group 3: Efficient Power Transmission - Jiangsu province has seen a 2.5% year-on-year increase in electricity demand in the first five months, with expectations for peak loads to reach new highs [4] - The State Grid Corporation has completed 140 key projects for summer peak demand on schedule [4] - Innovative technologies for live-line work in narrow areas have been developed to improve reliable power supply for residents [4] Group 4: Flexibility in Electricity Demand - The first market-oriented virtual power plant in Liaocheng, Shandong, has been launched, aggregating adjustable load resources with a capacity of 8.225 megawatts [5] - The Hubei electricity spot market has begun operation, utilizing price mechanisms to guide users towards efficient electricity consumption [6] - Continuous improvement of demand response mechanisms is being implemented to enhance the participation of various demand-side resources in renewable energy peak shaving [6]

Core Insights - The article highlights the proactive measures taken by the State Grid Shandong Electric Power Company to ensure stable electricity supply during the peak summer load, particularly in response to extreme heat conditions [2][3][4] Group 1: Electricity Load and Supply - On July 3, the Shandong power grid reached a record load of 114.83 million kilowatts, marking a 310,000-kilowatt increase compared to the highest load in the summer of 2024, occurring one month earlier [2] - The renewable energy output also hit a historical high of 60.79 million kilowatts, with solar power contributing 50.09 million kilowatts and wind power 10.70 million kilowatts, accounting for approximately 53% of the peak load [2] Group 2: Maintenance and Emergency Response - The company completed 527 grid maintenance tasks and launched 12 key summer projects to ensure optimal grid performance ahead of peak load [4] - A total of 132 "zero perception" live working operations and 32 emergency repairs were conducted, preventing power outages for over 9,440 households [1][4] - The company has established 136 emergency repair stations with over 1,000 staff on standby and 19 emergency power vehicles ready for deployment [3] Group 3: Technological Advancements - The use of drones equipped with intelligent navigation systems has improved defect identification rates by 2.6 times, enhancing the efficiency of inspections [3] - The company has signed supply responsibility agreements with 24 power generation enterprises to ensure zero outages and disruptions during the summer peak [3]

Core Insights - Jiangsu's power grid reached a historical peak load of 14,996 MW on July 3, 2023, supported by a record output of 6,047 MW from wind and solar energy, marking a significant milestone for the region's summer peak electricity demand management [1][2] - The peak load this year arrived five days earlier than in 2024, driven by high temperatures and increased electricity consumption from air conditioning and industrial production [1][2] Group 1: Electricity Demand and Supply - The maximum external electricity supply to Jiangsu reached 2,248 MW, accounting for 15.8% of the peak load on July 3, 2023, with the Three Gorges hydropower project operating at full capacity for the first time this year [2] - As of the end of May, Jiangsu's installed renewable energy capacity exceeded 10,885 MW, representing over 48% of the province's total installed capacity, with wind and solar contributing 45.5% of the total power output on July 3 [2] Group 2: Infrastructure and Economic Growth - The State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Company completed 13 key projects to enhance the power grid's capacity before the summer peak, adding 369.12 kilometers of 500 kV and above transmission lines and 5.36 million kVA of transformer capacity [2] - Jiangsu's GDP grew from 11.74 trillion yuan in 2021 to 13.7 trillion yuan in 2024, a 16.96% increase, while electricity load rose from 12,042 MW in 2021 to 14,996 MW in 2023, reflecting a 24.5% increase, indicating a strong correlation between economic growth and electricity demand [2]

Core Viewpoint - Longyuan Power (001289) announced that it achieved a total power generation of 5.7812 million MWh by June 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.56%, with an 18.07% increase when excluding the impact of thermal power generation [1] Group 1: Power Generation Performance - The total power generation for the period reached 5.7812 million MWh, with a year-on-year growth of 1.56% [1] - Excluding the impact of thermal power, the year-on-year growth in power generation was 18.07% [1] - Wind power generation increased by 4.15% year-on-year, while solar power generation saw a significant increase of 99.32% [1] Group 2: Cumulative Power Generation - As of June 30, 2025, the cumulative power generation was 39.6525 million MWh, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 1.07% [1] - When excluding the impact of thermal power, the cumulative power generation showed a year-on-year increase of 12.73% [1] - Wind power generation for the cumulative period grew by 6.07%, and solar power generation increased by 71.37% [1]

对话电新：如何展望新能源装机增长及发电增量？ 20250702 摘要 国内光伏装机规模 2020 年至 2024 年实现四倍增长，2025 年 1-5 月 新增装机 93GW，同比增长约 150%，受益于抢装效应，全年预计仍将 同比增长，超出市场预期。 国内风电装机规模 2021 年至 2024 年稳步增长，2025 年 1-5 月新增 46GW，同比翻倍，受 136 号文驱动。预计全年陆上风电可达 100GW，同比增幅约 30%-40%，海上风电翻倍以上增长至 10GW 或 更多，整体风电装机预计超 110GW，同比增速约 40%。 未来几年新能源发电领域将保持较高增速，政策支持和技术进步推动需 求增长。光伏海外市场（非欧美地区）将成为主要增长点，风电国内市 场预计平稳增长，海上风电增速加快。 光伏行业增速或放缓，但全球视角下仍保持两位数复合增速。国内风电 十五期间预计平稳增长，陆上风电维持在 100GW 以上水平，2030 年 有望超 200GW。海外陆上风电预计维持 10%左右复合增速，海上风电 竞争力显著提升。 Q&A 过去几年风光装机的投产规模和节奏如何？今年（2025 年）相比以往有哪些 变化？ ...