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6月信贷“总量增长、结构优化”,央行明确下阶段货币政策执行方向
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-07-15 01:13
Core Insights - The financial policies implemented have shown effectiveness, leading to increased economic activity and support from financial institutions, resulting in a "total growth and structural optimization" in credit for June and the first half of the year [2][3] Monetary Supply - As of the end of June, the broad money supply (M2) reached 330.29 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.3%. The narrow money supply (M1) was 113.95 trillion yuan, growing by 4.6% year-on-year. The cash in circulation (M0) was 13.18 trillion yuan, up 12% year-on-year [2][6] - A net cash injection of 363.3 billion yuan occurred in the first half of the year [2] Social Financing - The total social financing stock at the end of June was 430.22 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8.9%. The cumulative increase in social financing for the first half of the year was 2.283 trillion yuan, which is 474 billion yuan more than the same period last year [2][6] Credit Growth - In June, new RMB loans amounted to 2.24 trillion yuan, significantly higher than the previous month, ending a two-month trend of substantial year-on-year decreases. The loan balance growth rate remained stable at 7.1% [3][4] - The increase in credit was attributed to several factors, including seasonal trends, effective financial policies, and improved business conditions [3] Sectoral Loan Distribution - In June, corporate medium- and long-term loans increased by 40 billion yuan year-on-year, while household medium- and long-term loans rose by 15.1 billion yuan, and short-term loans increased by 15 billion yuan [4] - The first half of the year saw a total of 12.92 trillion yuan in new RMB loans, indicating a more precise and effective support for the real economy [4] Focus Areas for Lending - New loans were primarily directed towards manufacturing, infrastructure, and key areas such as green, technology, inclusive, elderly care, and digital loans, which all saw growth rates exceeding the overall loan growth [4][5] Future Outlook - The People's Bank of China aims to enhance the effectiveness of monetary and credit policies, focusing on supporting the real economy and addressing structural issues in key industries [5][7] - There is an expectation for continued growth in social financing and M2, with a focus on maintaining liquidity and aligning financing growth with economic growth and price stability [7][8]
每日债市速递 | 央行开展1.4万亿元买断式逆回购操作
Wind万得· 2025-07-14 22:45
Group 1: Monetary Policy and Market Operations - The central bank conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 226.2 billion yuan with a fixed rate of 1.40% on July 14, resulting in a net injection of 119.7 billion yuan for the day after accounting for maturing reverse repos [1] - To maintain liquidity in the banking system, the central bank plans to conduct a 1.4 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation on July 15 [13] - The interbank overnight pledged repo rate has risen over 8 basis points to 1.42%, while the seven-day pledged repo rate has increased over 6 basis points to 1.53% [3] Group 2: Financing and Economic Indicators - In the first half of the year, China's social financing increased by 22.83 trillion yuan, up 4.74 trillion yuan year-on-year, with RMB loans rising by 12.92 trillion yuan [13] - The total value of China's goods trade in the first half of the year was 21.79 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, with exports growing by 7.2% [13] - The bond market issued various bonds totaling 44.3 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, a 16% increase year-on-year, supporting fiscal policy and corporate financing [14] Group 3: Interest Rates and Bond Market - The yield on major interbank rates has mostly increased, indicating a tightening of liquidity conditions [8] - The latest one-year interbank certificates of deposit are trading around 1.64%, up 1 basis point from the previous day [6] - The central bank's actions and market conditions have led to a collective decline in government bond futures, with the 10-year contract down 0.08% [12]
上半年我国人民币贷款增加12.92万亿元 央行:继续实施好适度宽松的货币政策
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-07-14 20:25
针对部分中小银行采取较为激进的债券市场投资政策的现象,中国人民银行金融市场司负责人曹媛媛表 示,中小银行的债券投资需要保持合理的"度"。要把握好投资收益和风险承担的平衡。对于个别债券投 资较为激进的金融机构,应该关注债券面临的利率和信用风险。中国人民银行将持续加强市场监测,及 时将监测到的高风险机构的信息共享给机构监管部门,关注资本充足率以及市场风险,同时也将持续加 强市场建设,不断丰富利率和信用风险管理工具,发挥好市场机制作用,切实防范金融市场风险。 谈及如何继续做好民营和中小企业金融服务工作,中国人民银行信贷市场司司长彭立峰表示,下一步, 中国人民银行将主要推动三个方面工作:一是进一步健全金融支持民营和小微企业政策体系。开展金融 服务能力提升工程,引导普惠小微贷款、民营经济贷款合理增长。健全民营中小企业增信制度,充分发 挥政府性融资担保、信息共享、金融衍生品等的积极作用,提升企业融资可得性。二是持续加大金融资 源要素投入。实施好适度宽松的货币政策,用好支农支小再贷款、科技创新和技术改造再贷款等结构性 货币政策工具,促进供应链金融规范发展。三是助力企业高效融资对接。全面推广全国中小微企业资金 流信用信息共享 ...
上半年信贷结构进一步优化
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-07-14 18:29
Group 1 - Government bonds are the main driver of social financing growth, with a cumulative increase of 22.83 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, which is 4.74 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [1] - Net financing of government bonds reached 7.66 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.32 trillion yuan year-on-year, while domestic stock financing for non-financial enterprises was 170.7 billion yuan, up 49.3 billion yuan year-on-year [1] - The issuance of government bonds has significantly increased compared to last year, with the issuance pace in the first half of the year being about 10 to 15 percentage points faster than the same period last year [1] Group 2 - The M2 money supply grew by 8.3% year-on-year as of the end of June, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, largely influenced by a low base effect from last year [1] - The low base effect from last year, where M2 growth was only 6.2%, is expected to gradually diminish, leading to a reasonable growth rate for financial totals in the second half of the year [2] - The financial sector is expected to continue providing strong support for the real economy, with reasonable growth in loans and targeted support for key areas such as technology innovation, consumption, green finance, and inclusive finance [2]
上半年人民币贷款增加12.92万亿元 呈现总量增长、结构优化特征
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-07-14 16:17
Core Insights - The People's Bank of China reported that by the end of June 2025, the total social financing stock was 430.22 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.9% [1] - The broad money (M2) balance reached 330.29 trillion yuan, growing by 8.3% year-on-year [1] - The balance of RMB loans stood at 268.56 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.1% [1] Financial Support for the Real Economy - The financial system's credit support for the real economy remained at a high level, with RMB loans increasing by 12.92 trillion yuan in the first half of the year [2] - Corporate loans accounted for 89.5% of the total new loans, with an increase of 11.57 trillion yuan, marking a 6.6 percentage point rise compared to the previous year [2] - The structure of loans continued to optimize, with significant increases in loans to manufacturing and infrastructure sectors [2] Loan Growth in Key Areas - Loans in the "Five Major Areas" showed total growth and expanded coverage, with a balance of 103.3 trillion yuan, up 14% year-on-year [3] - Technology loans reached a balance of 43.3 trillion yuan, growing by 12% year-on-year, with technology-related enterprises receiving 22.5 trillion yuan [3] - Green, inclusive, pension, and digital loans also saw significant year-on-year growth rates of 27.4%, 11.2%, 38%, and 9.5% respectively [3] Social Financing and Money Supply - The cumulative increase in social financing for the first half of 2025 was 22.83 trillion yuan, which is 4.74 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [4] - Government bond net financing reached 7.66 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.32 trillion yuan year-on-year, with local government bonds contributing significantly [4] - The M2 balance grew by 8.3%, which is 2.1 percentage points higher than the previous year [4][5] Factors Influencing Financial Growth - Increased government bond issuance and financial institutions' bond investments contributed to the rise in money supply [5] - The stable growth of credit also supported money supply expansion, alongside a recovery in corporate deposits [5] - Overall, the financial data for the first half of the year indicates a reasonable growth in social financing and money supply, aligning with economic growth and price level expectations [5]
货币政策“适度宽松”半年成绩单,社融规模多增4.74万亿
21世纪经济报道· 2025-07-14 15:48
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state and future direction of China's monetary policy, emphasizing the need for continued moderate easing to support economic recovery and growth [2][12]. Financial Statistics - In the first half of 2025, the total social financing increased by 22.83 trillion yuan, which is 4.74 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [2]. - The increase in RMB loans to the real economy was 12.74 trillion yuan, up by 279.6 billion yuan year-on-year [2]. - By the end of June, the broad money supply (M2) grew by 8.3%, while the narrow money supply (M1) increased by 4.6% [2][10]. Loan and Financing Costs - The average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans was approximately 3.3%, down by about 45 basis points year-on-year, while the rate for personal housing loans was around 3.1%, down by 60 basis points [3]. - The financing structure has improved, with significant growth in loans for small and micro enterprises, as well as for the manufacturing and technology sectors [3]. Government Bond Financing - In June, the net financing of government bonds was approximately 1.35 trillion yuan, which is an increase of about 5 billion yuan year-on-year, playing a significant role in driving social financing growth [5][9]. - By the end of June, government bonds accounted for 20.6% of the total social financing stock, an increase of 2.1 percentage points year-on-year [7]. Future Monetary Policy Direction - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) plans to continue implementing a moderately loose monetary policy, focusing on enhancing financial services for the real economy, particularly in technology innovation and consumption expansion [12][13]. - There is an expectation for further structural monetary policy tools to support key sectors and alleviate local debt risks, while maintaining a balance between financial support for the economy and the health of the financial system [12][14]. Economic Indicators and Consumer Demand - The article notes that consumer demand is expected to recover, supported by policies aimed at boosting consumption, such as subsidies for appliances and vehicles [8][19]. - In June, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, indicating a shift from decline to growth, while the core CPI continued to rise [19].
【新华解读】上半年人民币贷款新增近13万亿 财政靠前发力支撑社融同比多增
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 15:46
新华财经北京7月14日电(记者翟卓)中国人民银行14日发布的数据显示,上半年,社会融资规模增量累计为22.83万亿元,较上年同期多4.74万亿元;6月末 社会融资规模和M2余额分别同比增长8.9%、8.3%,增速较上月高0.2个、0.4个百分点。 | | 其中 Of which | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 项目 | 社会融资规模增量 | 人民币贷款 | 外币贷款 (折合人民币) | GIVI | | Items | AFRE(flow) | RMB loans | Foreign currency- denominated loans (RMB equivalent) | Entr | | 月份 Month | | | | | | 2025.01 | 70546 | 52194 | -392 | | | 2025.02 | 22331 | 6528 | -281 | | | 2025.03 | ર8961 | 38234 | -295 | | | 2025.04 | 11599 | 884 | -130 | | | 2025.05 | 22899 | 5 ...
整理:7月14日欧盘美盘重要新闻汇总
news flash· 2025-07-14 15:12
Domestic News - The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China emphasizes strict legal punishment for market manipulation, insider trading, illegal fundraising, loan fraud, and money laundering in the financial sector [2] - As of the second quarter of this year, China's private enterprises have experienced 21 consecutive quarters of year-on-year growth in imports and exports, with a sustained leading growth rate [2] - Preliminary statistics from the People's Bank of China indicate that the cumulative increase in social financing scale for the first half of 2025 is 22.83 trillion yuan, which is 4.74 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [2] - The People's Bank of China will conduct a 1.4 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation on July 15, 2025, using a fixed quantity, interest rate bidding, and multiple price bidding method [2] - Recent trade talks in Geneva and London have shown positive progress, with a rebound in China-US trade; the import and export value in June increased from less than 300 billion yuan in May to over 350 billion yuan, with a significant narrowing of the year-on-year decline [2] - As of the end of June, the broad money (M2) balance is 330.29 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.3%; the narrow money (M1) balance is 113.95 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%; and the currency in circulation (M0) balance is 13.18 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12% [2] International News - The Indian Trade Minister reports that trade negotiations between India and the US are progressing rapidly [3] - Brazil plans to request the US to reduce tariffs to 30% and postpone the tariff deadline by 90 days, while also announcing reciprocal measures regarding US tariffs [4] - The General Administration of Customs of China will implement zero tariffs for 53 African countries that have established diplomatic relations [5] - The National Healthcare Security Administration of China reports that the basic medical insurance coverage rate remains stable at over 95% [5] - The Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China states that China does not seek to gain international competitive advantages through currency devaluation [5] - The Federal Reserve's Harker indicates that there is currently no urgent need for interest rate cuts [6] - The EU trade chief plans to meet with US counterparts to discuss the current situation [6]
新华财经晚报:上半年我国货物贸易进出口同比增长2.9%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 15:03
Key Points - The People's Bank of China reported that as of the end of June, the broad money supply (M2) reached 330.29 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.3% [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) stood at 113.95 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [1] - The currency in circulation (M0) was 13.18 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 12% [1] - The net cash injection in the first half of the year amounted to 363.3 billion yuan [1] - The total social financing scale increased by 22.83 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, which is 4.74 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [1] - As of the end of June, the total social financing stock was 430.22 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.9% [1] - The balance of RMB loans reached 268.56 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.1% [1] - The balance of RMB deposits was 320.17 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8.3% [1] Trade and Economic Relations - The General Administration of Customs reported that China's total goods trade import and export value for the first half of the year was 21.79 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [2] - Exports accounted for 13 trillion yuan, growing by 7.2%, while imports were 8.79 trillion yuan, showing a decline of 2.7% [2] - In June, all categories of trade (imports, exports, and total trade) achieved positive year-on-year growth, with accelerating growth rates [2] - The Deputy Director of the General Administration of Customs emphasized the importance of dialogue and cooperation in Sino-U.S. economic relations, advocating for a fair and open global trade system [2] Corporate Actions - The State Administration for Market Regulation approved the acquisition of shares in Ansi Technology by New Thinking Technology with additional restrictive conditions due to potential competition concerns in the optical software and EDA software markets [3] - The approval includes obligations for the parties involved to divest certain business segments related to optical solutions and power analysis software [3] Healthcare Sector - The National Healthcare Security Administration released a report indicating that by the end of 2024, approximately 1.327 billion people will be covered by basic medical insurance in China, maintaining a coverage rate of over 95% [3] - The total income of the national basic medical insurance fund for 2024 is projected to be 34,913.37 billion yuan, with total expenditures of 29,764.03 billion yuan [3]
货币市场日报:7月14日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 14:48
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 226.2 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous rate, resulting in a net injection of 119.7 billion yuan into the market after accounting for 106.5 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1]. Group 1: Market Rates - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) showed a slight increase, with overnight Shibor rising by 8.20 basis points to 1.4150%, 7-day Shibor up by 4.00 basis points to 1.5150%, and 14-day Shibor increasing by 2.10 basis points to 1.5350% [2][3]. - In the interbank pledged repo market, overnight rates rose slightly above 1.4%, with DR001 and R001 weighted average rates increasing by 8.1 basis points and 8.0 basis points, respectively, to 1.424% and 1.4837% [4]. Group 2: Funding Conditions - The funding environment on July 14 was characterized as balanced but slightly tight, with increased borrowing demand from banking institutions compared to the previous week. Overnight rates for collateralized deposits were around 1.50%, while 7-day rates were near 1.53% [10]. - By the end of the day, the overnight collateralized deposit rates stabilized around 1.55%, with 7-day rates climbing to between 1.55% and 1.58% [10]. Group 3: Interbank Certificates of Deposit - On July 14, there were 96 interbank certificates of deposit issued, with a total issuance amount of 177.94 billion yuan. The trading sentiment was less active than expected due to tax periods and market expectations [11]. - The secondary market for certificates of deposit maintained an upward trend, with the 1-year large bank deposit rate stabilizing around 1.6375% by the end of the day [11]. Group 4: Monetary Supply and Financing - As of the end of June, the broad money supply (M2) stood at 330.29 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.3%. The narrow money supply (M1) was 113.95 trillion yuan, up 4.6% year-on-year [13]. - The total social financing scale for the first half of 2025 reached 22.83 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.74 trillion yuan compared to the same period last year [13].