天风证券指出，2025Q1主动型基金前十大军工股持有流入总市值绝对值的前十中，军工电子板块标的 占80%。 过去三年军工电子板块较其他军工子板块超跌较多，在长尾效应下周期反弹锐度或将凸显，板块景气度 修复时或成为先选，军工电子持仓占比有望持续提升。2025Q1航空发动机产业相关标的在主动型基金 前十大军工股持有流出总市值占公司总市值前十中占比30%，我们认为，航发产业或受制于2025年周期 相对底部的影响，伴随国产商发持续加速，新型号装备型号持续成熟，航发子板块有望企稳修复。 军工板块相关企业港股： 中航科工（02357）、中船防务（00317） 智通财经APP获悉，据知情政府官员透露，美国总统特朗普将为10月1日开始的下一财年申请创纪录的 1.01万亿美元国家安全支出，比当前财年的数字高出13%以上。 美国国防预算将为金穹导弹防御项目、造船和核现代化、边境安全提供资金。其中包括3.8%的军人加 薪。其中一位要求不具名的官员说，13%的增幅与里根总统领导下的国防建设相呼应。作为埃隆·马斯 克削减成本努力的一部分，特朗普政府试图削减五角大楼的一些开支，但表示希望提高总体国防预算。 中国银河证券研报表示，新质筑基 ...

武进不锈（603878.SH）2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 Q1 业绩有所修复，火电锅炉维持高景气 2025 年 04 月 30 日 ➢ 事件：公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报。2024 年，公司实现营收 26.52 亿元，同比减少 24.57%，归母净利润 1.26 亿元，同比减少 64.25%；扣 非归母净利 1.03 亿元，同比减少 68.27%。2024Q4，公司实现营收 5.62 亿元， 同比减少 29.37%，环比增加 0.57%，归母净利润-0.45 元，同环比转亏；扣非 归母净利-0.56 亿元，同环比转亏。2025Q1，公司实现营收 4.83 亿元，同比减 少 33.90%，环比减少 14.06%，归母净利润 0.30 亿元，同比减少 55.43%，环 比扭亏；扣非归母净利 0.28 亿元，同比减少 56.30%，环比扭亏。 ➢ 点评：25Q1 销量、毛利率环比改善 ① 量：25Q1 销量环比回升。2024 年，公司无缝管、焊管销量分别为 4.35、 2.66 万吨，同比-15.07%、-24.02%。2025Q1，无缝管、焊管销量分别为 1.06、 0.63 ...

公司发布2024年 和25Q1业绩： 25Q1：收入38.34 亿（同比+10.4%），归母净利润2.47 亿（同比+43.0%），扣非归母净利润2.45 亿 （同比+15.3%）。 24Q4：收入41.31 亿（同比+6.2%），归母净利润2.68 亿（同比+11.1%），扣非归母净利润2.87 亿（同 比+47.5%）。 24 年：收入168.21 亿（同比+14.8%），归母净利润10.53 亿（同比+7.7%），扣非归母净利润10.84 亿 （同比+8.8%）。 分红：每10 股派发现金红利4.5 元（含税），叠加回购合计分红率42%（上年42%）。 收入分析 25Q1： 外销29.8 亿（同比+16%）相比Q4 同比+14%延续高增，抢出口叠加高景气，且公司公告拟向印尼子公 司增资5 千万美元夯实海外供应链能力。 Q1 收入符合预期，归母净利润增速较高主因衍生品投资及公允价值损失同比减少约4 千万。 投资建议： 我们的观点： 公司代工品类不断扩充，外销延续高增，已布局印尼基地应对关税扰动；内销品牌矩阵逐步完善，有望 受益国补加速修复。 盈利预测：我们预计 2025-2027 年公司收入190/209 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Ningbo Bank [1] Core Views - Ningbo Bank's performance in Q1 2025 shows steady growth with a revenue increase of 5.6% year-on-year and a net profit growth of 5.8% year-on-year, driven by high credit demand and net interest income [4][6] - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remains stable at 0.76%, while the provision coverage ratio has decreased to 370.5% [4][6] - The report anticipates continued growth in net profit for 2025-2027, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 5.5%, 7.2%, and 9.8% respectively [6] Financial Data Summary - Q1 2025 revenue reached 185 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.6% - Q1 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders was 74 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.8% - The bank's total loans increased by 20.4% year-on-year, with new loans in Q1 2025 amounting to 164.1 billion yuan [4][5][10] - The bank's total assets as of Q1 2025 were 3,396.04 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 17.6% [10] Loan and Deposit Performance - The bank's loan growth was primarily supported by corporate loans, which saw a growth rate of nearly 30% in Q1 2025, while retail loan growth was more cautious [6][8] - Total deposits increased by 19.9% year-on-year, reaching 2,182.6 billion yuan in Q1 2025 [10] Profitability Metrics - The net interest margin (NIM) for Q1 2025 was reported at 1.80%, with a slight decline from the previous year [10] - The cost-to-income ratio improved to 29.16%, indicating better operational efficiency [10] Asset Quality - The report notes an increase in the annualized NPL generation rate to 0.92% in Q1 2025, but the overall asset quality remains stable due to proactive write-offs [6][10] - The bank's provision for loan losses increased, reflecting a cautious approach to potential credit risks [6][10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company continues to experience high growth in exports, with Q1 2025 external sales reaching 2.98 billion (up 16% year-on-year) [5] - Domestic sales in Q1 2025 were 860 million (down 5% year-on-year), showing a narrowing decline compared to Q4 [5] - The company plans to increase its investment in its Indonesian subsidiary by 50 million to strengthen its overseas supply chain capabilities [5] - The company has successfully expanded its product categories, with kitchen appliances and home appliances showing year-on-year revenue growth of 16% and 17% respectively in 2024 [5] - The company expects to benefit from domestic subsidies and a recovery in brand positioning, particularly in its self-owned brands [8] Revenue Analysis - In Q1 2025, total revenue was 3.834 billion (up 10.4% year-on-year), with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 247 million (up 43.0% year-on-year) [6] - For the full year 2024, total revenue was 16.821 billion (up 14.8% year-on-year), with a net profit of 1.053 billion (up 7.7% year-on-year) [6] - The company reported a cash dividend of 4.5 per 10 shares (including tax), resulting in a total dividend payout ratio of 42% [6] Profit Analysis - In Q1 2025, the gross margin increased by 0.5 percentage points year-on-year and 3.0 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, indicating an improvement in profitability [7] - The company’s gross margin for 2024 was 20.9%, reflecting a decrease due to increased export ratios and intensified domestic competition [7] Financial Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 19 billion, 20.9 billion, and 22.8 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.8%, 10.2%, and 9.1% [8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 1.178 billion, 1.309 billion, and 1.435 billion for the same years, with growth rates of 11.9%, 11.2%, and 9.6% respectively [10]

公司报告 | 季报点评 高争民爆（002827） 证券研究报告 一季度利润继续高增，业绩弹性加速兑现 一季度业绩大增，继续维持"增持"评级 公司发布 2025 年一季报，一季度公司实现营收 3.04 亿元，同比+17.31%， 归母净利润 0.18 亿元，同比+94.26%，扣非归母净利润 0.14 亿元，同比 +190.91%。本期利润增长主要系公司民爆器材销售量较上年同期增幅较大 所致。公司作为西藏国资委下属的民用爆破龙头或将充分受益西部地区区 域高景气，考虑到一季度是民爆行业的传统生产淡季，我们上调 2025 年盈 利预测，预计公司 2025-2027 年归母净利润 2.7/3.9/5.7 亿元（前值分别为 2.3/3.8/5.7 亿元），维持"增持"评级。 现金流水平大幅改善，盈利能力显著提高 2025 年一季度公司综合毛利率为 23.65%，同比+0.80pct。公司期间费用率 为 22.23%，同比-1.60pct，其中，销售/管理/研发/财务费用率分别为 4.03%、 14.64%、2.65%、0.91%，同比分别变动+0.51、-1.27、-0.74、-0.1pct，费用 率有所降低。综合影响 ...