Market Overview - The market recovery in the first half of the year has been surprising, with many stocks returning to or exceeding pre-crisis levels despite ongoing uncertainties [5][12] - The focus has shifted from the "Magnificent Seven" to the "Troubling Three," which includes NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Meta as the primary drivers of market performance [10][11] NVIDIA and AI Sector - NVIDIA's performance is seen as a key indicator for the S&P 500, with its stock movements significantly influencing broader market trends [7][52] - Concerns are raised about the sustainability of NVIDIA's high valuations and the potential for commoditization in the AI space, which could lead to lower profit margins [19][20][33] Technology Sector Dynamics - The technology sector is experiencing high concentration, with a few stocks dominating market performance, reminiscent of historical trends seen in the past 40-50 years [12] - The liquidity in the marketplace is poor, with fewer buyers and sellers, leading to exaggerated market movements [53][54] Economic Indicators - The health of the US economy, particularly employment rates, is critical for market stability; rising unemployment could lead to significant shifts in bond yields and equity valuations [64][70] - Monitoring continuing claims for unemployment benefits is essential, as an increase could signal a downturn in consumer spending and economic health [71][72] AI in Healthcare - There is a growing belief that AI will have a more significant impact in healthcare and drug discovery than in consumer-facing applications, with potential for rapid advancements in diagnostics and treatment [38][41][45]

New home sales down nearly 14% in May. It was the biggest month overmonth decline in three years as buyers continue to grapple with stubbornly high mortgage rates. Today's data sending housing stocks lower with the ITB home construction ETF down over a percent and snapping a 4-day winning streak which had been its best stretch since January.For more, Zillow senior economist Ore Debongi joins us right now. Or great to have you with us. Thanks for having me.I was I was actually enjoying the the debate there. ...

So, one of the very valid criticisms of the Federal Reserve, where I worked for nearly a decade, is that they're looking at very lagged data that really is backward-looking as opposed to trying to pay closer attention to some of the especially rich realtime economic data that we have in hand right now. Unfortunately, it feels like the Fed is pretty much what we call behind the curve. So, they should be lowering interest rates and yet because they're driving using the rearview mirror, they're late to the gam ...

We've been speaking with top economists to better understand what this economic climate means for companies' bottom lines. Today, I'm speaking with CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research Danielle DiMartino Booth. Hi, Danielle, thanks so much for taking the time to speak with me again this year.Thank you for having me. Great to be with you again. How can companies protect their bottom lines in this time of political and economic uncertainty.So, you know, the idea of battening down the hatches before the hu ...

Gentleman yields back. Gentleman from California, Mr. . Licardo, is recognized for five minutes.Thank you, Mr. . Chair. Mr.. Chairman, thank you for your testimony today. I I appreciate that your dual mandate is full employment uh and price stability and I appreciate your efforts on behalf of our country to achieve those. My understanding is that critical data is collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to help u formulate the indicators that you rely on that we rely on to understand unemployment rates, ...

ab 18 June 2025 Global Research US Economic Perspectives June FOMC: The Fed's new outlook FOMC median policy assumption this year unchanged The FOMC left rates unchanged at their meeting this week but not their projections. In the June Summary of Economic Projections, the median assumption of appropriate policy (the median "dot") for 2025 was left unrevised at 3.9%, below our expectation for a 25 bp upward revision. However, 2026 revised up 25 bp to 3.6%, which was in line with our expectations, and up 25 b ...

Full employment in an economy is when all available workers who want to work are employed, and the unemployment rate is 0%. https://t.co/aMEdRlmoEg ...

Hey everyone, and thanks for jumping back into the Equityverse. Today we're going to talk about the year-to- date ROI of the S&P 500. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse.com. Making a lot of short videos. As I said, I'll be traveling uh for the next week or so.Uh so, by the time you see these videos, you know, who knows how old they're going to be, but I just want ...

You know, from our standpoint, what I can say is that the the US economy is in solid shape. Inflation has come down. The unemployment rate remains at 4.2%.As I mentioned, real wages are moving up. It's a it's a good uh job creation is at a healthy level. Unemployment, again, as I said, low labor force participation in a good place.So, and what we're waiting for to reduce rates is is to understand what will happen with with really the tariff inflation. And uh there's a lot of uncertainty about that. Every fo ...

as we welcome in Jeffrey Gunlock. He's the CEO, CIO, and founder of Double Line Capital. Good to see you.It's always great to have you on these Fed days. Jeffrey, what was your biggest takeaway from what you heard from the chair. It seemed like kind of a repeat of the last press conference, except I think his messaging was a little crisper uh this time around.Last time it was sort of like we don't know anything, which doesn't sound very good. And this time it was sort of wait and see. And we're getting to a ...