Trade tensions between the U.S. and China put downward pressure on markets as investors expect a 25-basis-point rate cut this month. ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting thorough due diligence before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1] Group 1 - The content includes general news and personal analysis intended for educational and research purposes [1] - It highlights that the information provided does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1] - The article warns that the information may not be accurate or provided in real-time, and prices may be sourced from market makers rather than exchanges [1] Group 2 - The website discusses complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1] - It encourages users to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1] - The article states that FX Empire does not endorse any third-party services and is not liable for any losses incurred from using the information provided [1]

Market Overview - The current market is experiencing significant rallies across both risk assets and safe-haven assets, including the S&P 500, gold, silver, and Bitcoin [1][2] - Bitcoin has reached an all-time high of $125,000, appreciating 10.6% over the past week, while silver and gold have also seen substantial gains, with silver increasing over 60% in 2025 [3] - Gold has achieved 40 record highs in 2025, now valued at $26.3 trillion, which is more than ten times the value of Bitcoin [3] Economic Context - Experts suggest that the apparent economic prosperity is misleading, as it is not driven by productivity or innovation but rather by a loss of confidence in fiat currencies, particularly the US dollar [1][5] - The S&P 500 has surged over 39% in six months, adding trillions in market value, while the Nasdaq 100 has experienced a rare six-month consecutive gain [4] Investor Behavior - The correlation between gold and the S&P 500 reached a record 0.91 in 2024, indicating that both assets have been moving in tandem 91% of the time [5] - This simultaneous rise of risk assets and safe havens suggests a shift in global investor behavior, challenging historical patterns where safe havens typically perform best during economic instability [4] Currency Performance - The US dollar is on track for its worst annual performance since 1973, reflecting a weakening trust in the currency [5][6] - Historical context indicates that the dollar's decline in 1973 was one of the most dramatic, linked to the collapse of the Bretton Woods system and the end of the gold standard [6]

Core Insights - The dollar index fell by -0.06%, reaching a 1-week low, primarily due to the US government shutdown and weak labor market data [1] - The unexpected decline in the September ADP employment change by -32,000, the largest drop in 2.5 years, has increased the likelihood of a Fed rate cut to 100% for the upcoming FOMC meeting [2][3] - The ISM manufacturing index for September rose to a 7-month high of 49.1, which provided some recovery for the dollar after its initial losses [1][3] Labor Market - The September ADP employment change unexpectedly fell by -32,000, contrasting with expectations of a +51,000 increase, marking the largest decline in 2.5 years [2] - The August ADP employment figure was revised down from +54,000 to -3,000, indicating a weaker labor market than previously thought [2] Manufacturing Sector - The ISM manufacturing index increased by +0.4 to 49.1, surpassing expectations of 49.0, indicating a stronger manufacturing sector [3] - The ISM price paid sub-index fell by -1.8 to an 8-month low of 61.9, which was weaker than the expected 62.7 [3] Eurozone Insights - The euro rose by +0.02%, supported by dollar weakness and an upward revision of the Eurozone September S&P manufacturing PMI to 49.8 [4][5] - Eurozone September CPI increased by +2.2% year-on-year, aligning with expectations, while core CPI remained unchanged at +2.3% year-on-year [5] Central Bank Divergence - The market perceives the ECB as nearing the end of its rate-cut cycle, while the Fed is anticipated to cut rates approximately two more times by the end of the year [5][6] - Swaps indicate a 1% chance of a -25 basis point rate cut by the ECB at the October 30 policy meeting [6] Currency Movements - The USD/JPY fell by -0.55%, with the yen reaching a 2-week high against the dollar due to increased safe-haven demand following the US government shutdown [7] - Positive economic indicators from Japan, including an increase in the Q3 Tankan large manufacturing sentiment index and an upward revision of the September S&P manufacturing PMI, contributed to the yen's strength [7]

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or a ...

Group 1 - The U.S. government will acquire a 5% stake in Lithium Americas and its Thacker Pass lithium project in Nevada, indicating a strategic interest in domestic lithium production [1] - Lithium Americas experienced a surge in stock price following the announcement by Secretary of Energy Chris Wright [1] - The investment aligns with broader U.S. interests in securing domestic sources of lithium, which is critical for electric vehicle batteries and renewable energy technologies [1] Group 2 - The Dow and other indexes saw an increase in stock prices due to inflation data meeting expectations, which may influence Federal Reserve rate cut outlooks [4] - Companies like Ford and General Motors received upgrades in their relative strength ratings, indicating positive market sentiment towards their stock performance [4] - The focus on reshoring chip manufacturing and investments in lithium stocks reflects ongoing trends in the technology and automotive sectors [4]

EnglishItalianoEspañolPortuguêsDeutschالعربيةFrançaisImportant DisclaimersThe content provided on the website includes general news and publications, our personal analysis and opinions, and contents provided by third parties, which are intended for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute, and should not be read as, any recommendation or advice to take any action whatsoever, including to make any investment or buy any product. When making any financial decision, you should perform your ...

Group 1 - The company has released its latest top investment picks for H2 2025, emphasizing the timing for potential investors [1] - The company invests significant resources, over $100,000 annually, into researching profitable investment opportunities [1] - The approach has garnered over 180 five-star reviews from satisfied members, indicating a positive reception and effectiveness [2] Group 2 - The company aims to provide high-yield strategies at a fraction of the cost, appealing to cost-conscious investors [1] - There is an encouragement for potential investors to join now to start maximizing their returns [2]

Market Analysis by covering: Euro US Dollar, British Pound US Dollar, Gold Spot US Dollar, Oracle Corporation. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com ...

Joining us now for a look at the US economy and the Fed, Larry Lindseay, president, CEO of the Lindsey Group, former National Economic Council director. He's been mentioned as a possible uh Fed chair nominee. Uh it's been a while. Uh Larry, it's good to see you. >> Good to be here.>> You worry, and we'll just talk near-term about uh about the Fed. You worry that perhaps like uh 2024 that if you cut on the short end that might not be translated into lower rates on the long end might actually be uh actually c ...