Workflow
主权
icon
Search documents
主权信用再遭降级后 30年期美债收益率升至5%
Xin Hua She· 2025-05-19 11:37
这是2024年7月29日在美国首都华盛顿拍摄的美国财政部大楼。新华社记者胡友松摄 新华财经北京5月19日电(卜晓明)30年期美国国债收益率19日盘中突破5%。美国彭博新闻社当天评论,"卖出美国"再现。 彭博社认为,国际信用评级机构穆迪下调美国主权信用评级,这一举动推升30年期美国国债收益率并拉低美国股指期货。与此同时,10年期美债收益率19日 盘中突破4.5%。 穆迪16日宣布决定将美国主权信用评级从Aaa下调至Aa1,缘于美国政府债务和利息支付比例增加。穆迪同时将美国主权信用评级展望从"负面"调整为"稳 定"。 法国《星期日论坛报》17日援引欧洲中央银行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德的话报道,美元对欧元汇率近期下跌反映出"金融市场某些部分对美国政策抱有不确定 性并失去信心"。 英国媒体4月29日报道,英国中央银行正在评估美元近期走软可能引发的影响,暗示美元已失去避险货币地位。 围绕穆迪下调美国主权信用评级一事,美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特回应:"穆迪是落后指标,每个人都如此看待信用评级机构。" (文章来源:新华社) 穆迪下调美国主权信用评级后,美国在三大主要国际信用评级机构中的主权信用评级均失去了Aaa最高等级。另两 ...
英伟达等赢麻了?美银:AI芯片成“新货币”,对地缘政治谈判至关重要!
美股研究社· 2025-05-19 10:51
而且,最近的大型交易表明,对人工智能计算能力的需求仍在继续。 在最新发布的一份报告中,美国银行估计, 英伟达 (NVDA.US)和 美国超微公司 (AMD.US)与沙 特公共投资基金(简称PIF)刚开办的公司Humain合作的的人工智能基础设施项目,每年投资额 将达到30亿至50亿美元,甚至在未来几年达到150亿至200亿美元。 Humain将从英伟达获得1.8万块尖端的Blackwell芯片;AMD则与Humain签署了一项100亿美元 的合作协议,为其数据中心提供500兆瓦的人工智能计算能力。 美银表示,在全球4500亿至5000亿美元的人工智能基础设施市场机会中,此类"主权人工智能"交 易每年可能代表着超过500亿美元的收入。 "主权人工智能还可以帮助解决美国数据中心有限的电力供应问题。"分析师补充说。 在美银看来,英伟达和AMD有望成为沙特项目的最大赢家。美银重申了对这两家公司股票的买 入评级,并将它们的目标股价分别从150美元和120美元上调至160美元和130美元。 来源 | 财联社 美国银行最新表示,该行看好 英伟达 (NVDA.US)等芯片股,因美银认为人工智能(AI)芯片 是"新货币",在地 ...
【白银期货收评】对等关税威胁依然存在 沪银主力收涨0.35%
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-05-19 08:53
Group 1 - The latest silver futures closing price is 8133 yuan/kg, with a daily increase of 0.35% and a trading volume of 679,297 contracts [1] - The Shanghai silver spot price on May 16 was quoted at 8092 yuan/kg, indicating a discount of 41 yuan/kg compared to the futures price [1] - U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessenet stated that if countries do not reach a trade agreement within a 90-day tariff suspension period, tariff rates will quickly revert to "equivalent" levels [1] Group 2 - Moody's downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, which influenced precious metals to open higher [2] - Market speculation about future monetary easing has increased following Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's remarks on adjusting the overall policy framework, despite resilient U.S. economic data [2] - International gold prices are expected to find strong support around 3000 USD/oz, maintaining a buy-on-dip strategy [2]
【黄金实时分析】穆迪下调美国主权信用评级,美国长债收益率上升,黄金关键位在哪?点击观看金十研究员文成直播分析
news flash· 2025-05-19 08:24
Group 1 - Moody's has downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating, which may impact investor confidence and market stability [1] - The yield on U.S. long-term bonds has increased, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards risk [1] - The analysis focuses on identifying key levels for gold prices in light of these developments [1]
国家主权财富基金国际论坛CEO:全球化仍不可逆,关税摩擦是短期问题
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-19 08:04
"目前的关税摩擦以及后果,乃至于市场上的一些波动性,对国家主权财经基金来说都是局部、短期的问题。" 随着美国挥舞关税大棒,人们更加关注未来全球化的走向,"去全球"的担忧愈演愈烈。 近日,在2025清华五道口全球金融论坛上,国家主权财富基金国际论坛CEO邓肯·邦菲尔德表示,虽然当下国家之间面临很多关税的争端,但不能忽视全球 化过程中资本市场的力量,比如,以国家主权财富基金为代表的耐心资本的力量。 | which it a do the harts destrate that the had the had and any have and should of the destrated and which the late to do the land to the last hall de de la hall de la hall de la hall de hall and the hall and | THERROBORCESSEERS | | | --- | --- | --- | | and to the land to the commend 444444444444444 | | | | Adv ...
丹斯克银行:穆迪下调美国评级的市场影响应该是有限的
news flash· 2025-05-19 07:28
金十数据5月19日讯,美元周一下跌,此前穆迪将美国主权评级从Aaa下调至Aa1,并将评级展望从负面 下调至稳定,理由是美国政府债务不断攀升。丹斯克银行分析师在一份报告中表示:"我们认为,市场 影响应该是有限的,但此次评级下调进一步证明了美国财政前景堪忧,以及华盛顿缺乏解决这一问题的 政治意愿。" 丹斯克银行:穆迪下调美国评级的市场影响应该是有限的 ...
整理:每日全球外汇市场要闻速递(5月19日)
news flash· 2025-05-19 06:58
Group 1 - Moody's downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, with the U.S. Treasury Secretary expressing skepticism towards Moody's, labeling it as a "lagging indicator" [1] - U.S. Treasury Secretary Basant stated that tariff discussions are focused on 18 key partnerships, warning that tariffs could revert to levels seen on April 2 if negotiations are not sincere [1] - Exports from the EU to the U.S. surged by 59% ahead of Trump's "liberation day," resulting in a record trade surplus [1] Group 2 - The Swiss National Bank's president reported constructive discussions with the U.S. regarding foreign exchange issues, asserting that Switzerland is not a currency manipulator [1] - ECB Governing Council member Villeroy hinted at the possibility of lowering interest rates below 2%, indicating no reason for a further 50 basis point cut in the foreseeable future [1] - ECB Chief Economist Lane announced that an updated strategy will be released in the second half of the year, incorporating U.S. tariff uncertainties into June's forecasts [1] Group 3 - The Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan, Ueda Shinichi, indicated that if the economy and prices improve as predicted, further interest rate hikes will continue [1] - Canadian Finance Minister noted that most tariffs on the U.S. remain in place [1]
人工智能,传来重磅事件!
券商中国· 2025-05-19 05:48
人工智能大消息! 5月19日,英伟达CEO黄仁勋在Computex2025开幕演讲中宣布,英伟达将联合台积电、富士康在中国台湾建立 AI超级计算机。同时,鸿海旗下工业富联董事长郑弘孟表示,鸿海会以英伟达GB200和GB300人工智能芯片平 台为核心,在全球打造更多的运算中心。 黄仁勋还表示,在物理世界中制造机器人"不切实际",必须在遵循物理定律的虚拟世界中训练它们。英伟达与 DeepMind和Disney Research研究合作开发了全球最先进的物理引擎Newton,计划于七月开源。英伟达正在将 其AI模型应用于自动驾驶汽车,与梅赛德斯在全球范围内推出一支车队,使用英伟达的端到端自动驾驶技 术,今年即可实现。 美银发布研报,赋予AI芯片全新意义,认为其犹如一种"新货币"。这一称号的信号意义非常强烈。 英伟达大动作 黄仁勋今日宣布推出NVLink Fusion,透过其让客户的客制化CPU 与自家GPU相连,大抢ASIC商机,合作伙伴 包括世芯- KY、联发科、迈威尔与高通等。NVLink Fusion晶片设计服务伙伴上述四家外,还有Astera Labs、 FUJITSU、Synopsys和Cadence。 ...
三大人民币汇率指数全线上行,CFETS按周涨0.17
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-19 05:20
Currency Exchange Rates - The three major RMB exchange rate indices all rose in the week of May 16, with the CFETS RMB index at 96.7, up 0.17% week-on-week; the BIS currency basket RMB index at 102.36, up 0.2%; and the SDR currency basket RMB index at 91.42, up 0.31% [1][2] - The onshore RMB against the USD closed at 7.2103, appreciating by 358 points or 0.49% for the week, while the offshore RMB closed at 7.2098, appreciating by 304 points or 0.42% [5] - The RMB's middle rate against the USD was reported at 7.1938, with a cumulative increase of 157 points or 0.22% for the week [5] Market Analysis - Analysts noted that the recent US-China trade talks led to significant consensus, providing support for the RMB exchange rate, while the middle rate remained relatively stable [5] - The RMB's depreciation pressure has significantly eased, and further appreciation will depend on future policy guidance [6] - Changes in exporters' foreign exchange settlement behavior will be crucial for the RMB exchange rate, as companies have retained substantial high-interest USD deposits [6] International Credit Ratings - Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1 due to increased government debt and interest payment ratios, marking a loss of the highest rating across all three major international credit rating agencies [7] Economic Indicators - The US consumer confidence index for May was reported at 50.8, below expectations of 53.4 [7] - The US April PPI year-on-year rate was 2.4%, slightly below the expected 2.5% [7] Financial Policies - The Chinese government has introduced new policies to accelerate the construction of a technology finance system, focusing on venture capital, monetary credit, capital markets, and technology insurance [9] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has revised the major asset restructuring management measures for listed companies, introducing several new regulatory frameworks [10]
陶冬:美国评级下调,象征意义大过实际意义
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-19 03:52
穆迪通常在下调主权评级上比较保守,所以在三家评级机构中出手最慢。这次穆迪降级的时机比较有 趣。 中美关税战休战90日,美国税改法案未能通过程序,穆迪调降美国主权信用评级,俄乌谈判不欢而散, 特朗普中东之行满载而归。市场关注美国财政赤字的可持续性,十年期国债收益率上行,收益率曲线变 陡。股市重回增杠杆,纳斯达克指数上周升超过7%,并引领全球股市向好。美伊核谈判有进展,油价 反弹。地缘政治趋稳,金价走软。美元指数变化不大。 评级机构穆迪将美国的主权信用评级从顶级Aaa下调至Aa1。这是历史上第一次,美国同时失去三家主 要评级机构的AAA级信用评级,标普2011年就下调了美国评级,惠誉2023年下调。穆迪下调评级给出 的理由是激增的债务负担和难以控制的财政赤字。该机构预测至2035年,美国财政赤字达到GDP的 9%。 笔者认为,这次评级下调的象征意义大过实际意义。明眼人都知道,美国财政状况已经失控,债务负担 也不可持续。但是只要美联储愿意不断印钞票,山姆大叔无法支付国债的情况几乎不可能出现。国债偿 付时实际购买力下降,要比政府无法兑付债券的可能性更高。不过前提是美联储积极配合,国会不因为 党争而出现幺蛾子。 穆迪通 ...