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美财长再度质疑美联储判断,暗示明年将彻底赶走鲍威尔
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-03 13:51
Group 1 - The U.S. Treasury Secretary, Yellen, questions the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, suggesting that the current two-year Treasury yield indicates that the Fed's benchmark rate is "too high" [2] - The current target range for the Federal Funds rate is between 4.25% and 4.5%, while the two-year Treasury yield is approximately 3.76% [2] - Yellen hints at the possibility of filling two vacancies on the Federal Reserve Board next year, despite Jerome Powell's term as a governor lasting until 2028 [2] Group 2 - The Treasury has been using special accounting measures to pay federal obligations within the statutory limit since January, and once the tax and spending bill is signed into law, it is expected that the Treasury will increase the issuance of U.S. debt to replenish its cash reserves [3] - Yellen indicates that the debt management process is systematic but will consider unexpected circumstances, particularly in light of the two-year Treasury yield suggesting high overnight rates [3] - The next quarterly refinancing operation is scheduled for July 30, which typically announces adjustments to the issuance strategy [3]
贝森特公开炮轰美联储“判断失误”:两年期美债收益率示警利率过高
智通财经网· 2025-07-03 13:38
关于2026年5月鲍威尔任期届满后的继任人选,贝森特表示"存在多位优秀候选人"。当被问及自己是否 有意参选时,他表示"不会透露私下谈话内容"。 另外,贝森特还暗示希望鲍威尔在明年5月彻底离开美联储体系——虽然鲍威尔作为理事的任期可持续 至2028年,但如果其卸任主席后选择留任,2026年1月仅需替换理事阿德里安娜·库格勒的席位。 贝森特称:"我们有望在明年填补两个席位。" 智通财经APP获悉,美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特周四公开质疑美联储政策制定者在利率问题上的判 断,重申两年期美债收益率走势表明基准利率水平过高。 贝森特周四在接受采访时表示:"联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)在利率决策上似乎存在判断偏差。" 尽管贝森特多次强调仅对既往货币政策发表评论,但他坚持认为"两年期收益率正在传递隔夜利率过高 的信号"。目前美联储设定的联邦基金利率目标区间为4.25%-4.5%,而两年期国债收益率已回落至 3.76%附近。 当被问及政府住房金融主管Bill Pulte要求美联储主席鲍威尔辞职的呼吁时,贝森特拒绝置评,仅表示美 联储应"像其他机构一样控制开支"。据悉,Pulte此前指控鲍威尔在国会听证会上就美联储大楼装修事项 ...
2025年全球经济半年报,哪些指标在预警,哪些领域有亮点
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-03 12:09
Group 1 - Global top bankers show increasing confidence that the worst market period is over, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices reaching new highs, boosting optimism for more active M&A activities in the second half of the year [1] - The World Bank's latest report indicates that global foreign direct investment (FDI) continues to decline, with a projected drop of 11% to approximately $1.5 trillion in 2024, marking two consecutive years of decline [4][10] - The digital economy is one of the few sectors experiencing growth, with a 14% increase in global FDI in this area for 2024, driven by greenfield investments, particularly in data centers, AI, cloud computing, and cybersecurity [13] Group 2 - Despite a decline in overall FDI, North America saw a 23% increase, while Europe experienced a significant drop of 58% [5] - The global M&A activity is on the rise, with over 17,528 transactions signed in the first half of the year, although the total number of deals is lower than the previous year, the size of transactions has increased, particularly in Asia [14] - The WTO predicts that despite challenges, service trade is expected to maintain growth, with a projected volume of $4.25 trillion by March 2025, accounting for nearly 14% of global goods and services exports [14]
上半年地方发债超5万亿元,这些资金投向了哪里|财税益侃
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-03 12:06
Group 1 - In the first half of the year, local government bond issuance accelerated, with a total of approximately 5.5 trillion yuan issued, representing a year-on-year increase of about 57% [1][2] - New special bonds issued amounted to approximately 2.2 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45%, while refinancing bonds reached about 2.9 trillion yuan, up approximately 73% [1][2] - More than half of the funds from local government bonds were used for refinancing old debts, which alleviated current fiscal pressures and allowed local governments to focus more on development and livelihood projects [2][3] Group 2 - The issuance of refinancing bonds was driven by two main factors: the replacement of hidden debts and the reliance on refinancing bonds to repay about 90% of maturing local government bond principal [2][3] - The average issuance term of local government bonds has continued to extend, with an average interest rate of 1.95%, significantly lower than the previous year's level of 2.29%, which helps reduce financing costs [9][10] - The Ministry of Finance has indicated plans to expedite the issuance of long-term special bonds and local government special bonds to support economic stability and growth [10]
美国财长贝森特:美国债务的需求旺盛。国内外对美国国债的需求都很大。2年期国债显示隔夜利率太高了。债务管理过程“有条不紊”。晚些时候就不用担心(债务上限)“X日”问题。美联储委员会在判断上“似乎有点偏离”。
news flash· 2025-07-03 11:24
美国财长贝森特:美国债务的需求旺盛。 美联储委员会在判断上"似乎有点偏离"。 债务管理过程"有条不紊"。 晚些时候就不用担心(债务上限)"X日"问题。 国内外对美国国债的需求都很大。 2年期国债显示隔夜利率太高了。 ...
美国财长贝森特:债务上限措施应该能让我们撑到2027年。
news flash· 2025-07-03 11:22
美国财长贝森特:债务上限措施应该能让我们撑到2027年。 ...
美国财长贝森特:债务管理过程是“有条不紊的”。
news flash· 2025-07-03 11:22
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Treasury Secretary, Janet Yellen, stated that the debt management process is "orderly" [1] Group 1 - The Treasury is managing the debt in a systematic manner, ensuring stability in the financial markets [1] - Yellen emphasized the importance of maintaining investor confidence during the debt management process [1] - The current approach aims to balance the need for funding with the implications for interest rates and market liquidity [1]
美国财长贝森特:晚些时候就不用担心(债务上限)“X日”问题。
news flash· 2025-07-03 11:22
美国财长贝森特:晚些时候就不用担心(债务上限)"X日"问题。 ...
据英国金融时报:欧盟将提出联合债务工具以应对预算危机。
news flash· 2025-07-03 10:31
据英国金融时报:欧盟将提出联合债务工具以应对预算危机。 ...
再向大股东借款超60亿,万科称“全力以赴化解到期债务”
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-03 10:24
2025年至今,深铁提供的股东借款总额已超218亿元。 深铁集团再度向万科(000002.SZ)提供股东借款,支持其妥善化解当前的到期债务。 在对上述借款进行展期的同时,万科还对5月中旬的一笔借款进行了增信。这笔总额约15.51亿元的股东 借款原本是信用借款,也是用于偿还万科在公开市场发行的债券本金与利息。 如今,基于借款事项的总体安排,经协商,万科拟提供万物云股权质押为该笔信用借款提供担保,提供 价值不超过22.16亿元的资产质押,质押率设定为70%。 万科表示,从市场惯例看,股票质押融资业务的质押率通常为30%至60%。本次大股东深铁集团为体现 对万科的支持,提振市场信心,将质押率设定为70%。 2025年以来,深铁集团已累计向万科提供了约155.7亿元借款;若算上本次的62.49亿元,借款总额已超 218亿元。 日前的股东大会上,万科披露,前5个月其新增融资和再融资共341亿元,并已顺利完成165亿元公开债 务偿还,年内已无境外公开债。 7月3日,万科发布公告称,经协商,公司第一大股东深铁集团向公司再提供不超过62.49亿元借款,用 于偿还公司在公开市场发行的债券本金与利息。与此前五次借款的基本条款相似 ...