所长 早读 国泰君安期货 2025-05-07 期 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 期货研究 今 日 发 现 上午 9 时央行、证监会等部门将举行重磅发布会 观点分享： 今天上午，将有一重要新闻发布会：国务院新闻办公室 5 月 6 日消息，国务院新闻办公 室将于 5 月 7 日上午 9 时举行新闻发布会，请中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局、中国 证券监督管理委员会负责人介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况，并答记者 问。毫无疑问，发布会上将释放一系列利好政策。是降准降息，还是创设新的结构性货币政 策工具，设立新型政策性金融工具？静待揭晓。但坚定不移办好自己的事"、"着力稳就业、 稳企业、稳市场、稳预期"等基调已定，鼓励科技创新、扩大消费、稳定外贸的举措很可能 将会进一步推出。 所 长 首 推 | 板块 | 关注指数 | | --- | --- | | 豆粕 | ★★★★ | 豆粕：短期趋势偏弱、下方空间不大。4 月下旬行情主要由现货和 05 合约主导，急涨之后的 急跌，带动 09 盘面弱势下跌。目前来看，利空因素有所交易：如贸易摩擦缓和、5-6 月到港 压力、饲用豆粕减量替代、美豆 ...

【环球时报驻西班牙特约记者 王方 环球时报记者 李迅典 陈欣】编者的话：西班牙和葡萄牙4月28日遭 遇大规模停电后，事件的调查结果至今仍未公布。一些媒体将停电原因指向西班牙对可再生能源的依 赖，不过西班牙政府和相关专家否定了这一说法。西班牙《国家报》《世界报》等媒体分析认为，为保 证能源的安全性和可靠性，相关机构应继续投资电网基础设施并创新运营方式。这一"黑天鹅"事件也引 发一些国家的担忧，如美国官员5月3日警告称，今年夏天美国可能面临大规模停电。 大停电前已发生三起事故 西班牙和葡萄牙上周经历了一场前所未有的大规模停电，导致两国交通瘫痪、医疗系统告急、社会几近 停摆。 据西班牙《国家报》5月5日报道，初步调查显示，在大停电发生前，西班牙的电力系统已经经历了3起 断电事故，第三起事故发生在大停电前19秒。 西班牙电网公司官员发布的信息表明，尽管系统成功控制了第二起断电事故，但未能阻止第三起事故的 发生，最终导致整个伊比利亚半岛停电。在一些地方，停电持续了10多个小时。信用评级机构 Morningstar DBRS估计，这次停电给西班牙带来的保险损失可能在1亿至3亿欧元之间，其中超市因冷链 中断而损失的金额就高 ...

【环球时报驻德国特约记者 青木】欧洲智慧能源展览会7日至9日在德国慕尼黑展览中心举行。来自全 球约3000家参展商在19个展厅和一个室外展区展示面向未来能源行业的最新创新和解决方案。中国共有 约850家企业参展。 路透社上周表示，光伏行业的顶级制造商已面临低价和对美出口关税的双重压力。 目前，许多中国企业正加强与欧洲的合作。宁德时代在德国和匈牙利新建的两座工厂已投入运营。远景 动力在西班牙建设的超级电池工厂于去年7月举行奠基仪式。该工厂将成为欧洲首个磷酸铁锂电池超级 工厂。派能科技首座海外工厂3月在意大利帕多瓦举行开业仪式，该公司陆续在荷兰、英国、德国、意 大利等国家建立子公司。 多名德国行业专业人士对《环球时报》特约记者表示，欧洲能源转型离不开中国。被认为主导欧盟电池 旗舰项目的瑞典电池巨头"北伏电池"的破产就是一次教训。他们认为，中国在光伏、电池等新能源领域 建立了一条从原材料到终端产品的完整价值链，具备其他国家没有的优势。 "中国绿色能源发展迈向里程碑"，德国新闻电视台最近称赞道，今年第一季度，中国风光发电装机容量 首次超过火电。中国在可再生能源扩张方面也处于全球领先地位。特别是考虑到美国政府放弃气候保 ...

New Jersey Resources (NJR) Q2 2025 Earnings Call May 06, 2025 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Adam Prior - Director of Investor RelationsStephen Westhoven - CEO & PresidentRoberto Bel - SVP and CFORichard Sunderland - Equity Research - North American Utilities & PowerJames Ward - Vice PresidentPatrick Migliaccio - Senior VP & COO of New Jersey Natural GasRobert Mosca - Equity Research Associate Conference Call Participants Travis Miller - Analyst Operator Good morning, everyone. The New Jersey Resources fi ...

导语 ：西班牙上周的全国性停电事件突显了其系统中潜在的脆弱性，这为其他国家提供了借鉴 意义。随着快速的电气化和向清洁能源的转型，对全球电网提出了新的要求。 根据彭博新能源财经的一项分析，西班牙在电网投资相对于可再生能源投资方面落后于其他欧洲国 家。过去五年间，西班牙的太阳能发电能力增长超过一倍，常常出现发电量远超需求的情况。然 而，西班牙的大部分电网设备是在数十年前安装和建造的，早于太阳能的广泛应用。 向可再生能源的转型带来了特殊挑战。太阳能和风能的供给具有间歇性，必须进行精细管理，而以 可再生能源为主的电网需要额外措施来维持稳定。加剧这一挑战的是，西班牙是一个"电力孤岛"， 缺乏能够在电网发生问题时帮助其他国家稳定系统的跨境输电线路。 当局仍在追寻周一这一前所未有的停电事故的原因，而电网运营方提供的有限解释使得难以确定这 些风险是否以及如何导致了这次故障。然而，作为第一个发生大规模停电的严重依赖可再生能源的 欧洲国家，调查结果将为整个地区乃至世界各国提供重要的经验教训。 西班牙的危机只是近年来从德克萨斯到智利一系列重大电力中断事件中的最新一例。随着世界上越 来越多的能源依赖于电力，无论是用于汽车、家庭供暖还 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant growth of renewable energy in China's energy sector, with renewable energy accounting for approximately 90% of new installed capacity in the first quarter of 2024 [1][2] - In the first quarter, the total installed capacity of renewable energy reached 76.75 million kilowatts, representing a year-on-year increase of 21% [2] - Renewable energy generation reached 816 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 18.7%, making up about 35.9% of the total electricity generation [2] Group 2 - The nuclear power capacity in operation and under construction exceeded 120 million kilowatts, with a projected nuclear power generation of 450.9 billion kilowatt-hours in 2024, accounting for 4.5% of the total generation [2] - The article emphasizes the support for advanced nuclear technologies and their applications in heating, steam supply, and seawater desalination [2] - Hydrogen energy is identified as a key focus area, with a projected production and consumption scale of over 36.5 million tons in 2024, making China the world's largest in this sector [3] Group 3 - Investment in energy projects has been growing rapidly, with a 12.9% year-on-year increase in investment for key energy projects in the first two months of 2024 [3] - The article discusses the role of private enterprises in the energy sector, noting that they account for over 80% of operators with more than 10,000 charging facilities [4] - New policies are aimed at enhancing the participation of private enterprises in energy infrastructure projects, including new energy technologies and traditional energy sources [4]

新华社德国慕尼黑5月6日电 专访｜关税"筑墙"挡不住合作步伐——访德国巴伐利亚州副州长艾旺格 新华社记者李函林 "从巴伐利亚州的立场出发，我们坚决反对任何形式的惩罚性关税。"德国巴伐利亚州副州长兼州经济、 发展和能源部长胡贝特·艾旺格日前接受新华社记者专访时表示，贸易壁垒只会损害全球经济，巴伐利 亚州企业和民众更希望看到开放、公平、稳定的国际合作。 在他看来，主要经济体不应陷入相互加征关税的恶性循环，而应以规则为基础，通过对话和协商解决分 歧。"美国对贸易伙伴加征关税，往往会引发报复性措施。理想的做法是各方推动更开放和自由的贸易 环境，这将有助于促进各国间的合作与共同繁荣。" 作为德国经济最发达的联邦州之一，巴伐利亚州长期重视对华经贸关系。这里不仅是宝马、西门子、奥 迪、安联等跨国企业总部所在地，也是众多中国企业在欧洲发展布局的重点区域。目前，约有500家中 国企业在巴州投资运营，超过2000家本地企业与中国保持直接业务往来。 艾旺格认为，德中经济合作应超越地缘政治干扰，持续向互利共赢的方向深化发展。他说，中国一直是 巴伐利亚州非常重要的贸易伙伴。中国企业在新产品开发和新商业模式落地方面非常高效，基础设施建 ...

Group 1: Energy Supply and Consumption - The National Energy Administration reported that energy supply is sufficient, consumption is growing, and the overall supply-demand situation is relaxed with stable prices showing a downward trend [1] - In the first quarter, renewable energy accounted for 90% of new installed capacity, with an increase of 76.75 million kilowatts, representing a year-on-year growth of 21% [1] - Renewable energy generation reached 816 billion kilowatt-hours in the first quarter, a year-on-year increase of 18.7%, making up 35.9% of total electricity generation [1] Group 2: Nuclear Energy Development - The operational and approved nuclear power installed capacity in China exceeds 120 million kilowatts, with a projected nuclear power generation of 450.9 billion kilowatt-hours in 2024, accounting for 4.5% of total generation [1] - The government plans to support the development of advanced nuclear technologies, including fourth-generation reactors and small modular reactors [1] Group 3: Hydrogen Energy Sector - Hydrogen energy is a key focus, with a projected production and consumption scale exceeding 36.5 million tons in 2024, making China the world's largest producer [2] - Over 600 renewable energy electrolysis hydrogen production projects are planned, and more than 540 hydrogen refueling stations have been established [2] - Approximately 24,000 fuel cell vehicles have been promoted as part of the ongoing demonstration applications [2] Group 4: Investment in Energy Sector - Energy investments have shown rapid growth, with a 12.9% year-on-year increase in investment in key energy projects in the first two months [2] - Investments in offshore wind, new energy storage, power grids, and nuclear power are growing quickly [2] Group 5: Support for Private Enterprises - The National Energy Administration has issued a notice to support private enterprises in enhancing development momentum and fair market participation [3] - Private enterprises account for over 80% of operators with more than 10,000 charging facilities, indicating their significant role in the energy sector [3] - New nuclear power projects approved recently have at least 10% shareholding from private enterprises, highlighting their increasing involvement in energy infrastructure [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights China's dominant position in the renewable energy sector, particularly in the Philippines, where Chinese companies are winning contracts for wind power projects despite geopolitical tensions with the U.S. [1][4][5] Group 1: China's Competitive Advantage - Chinese clean technology products, such as wind turbines and solar panels, are significantly cheaper than those from Europe and the U.S., making them attractive to countries like the Philippines [1][4] - China holds a leading global position in clean technology manufacturing, producing more solar panels, wind turbines, and electric vehicles than the rest of the world combined, with a 90% market share in key components of the solar supply chain [4][5] Group 2: U.S. Policy Impact - The U.S. has reduced subsidies for renewable energy and imposed high tariffs on solar manufacturers from Southeast Asia, which has inadvertently strengthened China's influence in the region [5][7] - The shift in U.S. policy has led to a perception that the U.S. is no longer a reliable economic and security partner, pushing countries like the Philippines to rely more on China for renewable energy solutions [2][5] Group 3: Philippines' Renewable Energy Goals - The Philippine government aims to increase the share of renewable energy from 22% to 35% by 2035 to ensure energy security amid extreme weather risks [7] - Despite previous concerns over national security regarding Chinese investments, Philippine officials acknowledge the necessity of Chinese suppliers for affordable solar panels and wind turbines [8]

文 | 赶碳号科技 2024年，Boviet Solar宣布启动该项目。项目位于美国北卡州皮特县，分两期，总占地为100万平方英尺（约合140亩），一期约为40万平方英尺。 另外，该公司预计二期计划将于2026年下半年投产，再投资1亿美元，扩建60万平方英尺厂房，主要生产太阳能电池。两期工程竣工后，博维特园区将拥 有超过100万平方英尺的制造和研发空间。这是北卡罗来纳州有史以来最大的清洁能源制造项目之一。 据当地官员介绍，博威特一期工程将创造460个本地技术岗位。二期工程预计将新增908个岗位，使直接就业岗位总数超过1300个，并在该地区创造近2000 个间接就业岗位。这对于皮特县的经济、房地产市场和劳动力培训项目来说都是利好消息。 明知山有虎，偏向虎山行！中国光伏企业正勇敢地走出去。4月24日，博威合金在美国的2GW组件工厂正式投产。该工厂主要将生产Boviet的Gamma系列 单面和Vega系列双面光伏组件，面向美国的住宅、商业、工业和公用事业客户。 因为项目重大，该州州长乔什·斯坦与商界领袖和民选官员共同出席了博维特太阳能公司位于格林维尔的新太阳能组件工厂的盛大开业典礼。 该工厂位于美国北卡罗来纳州的格 ...