Core Viewpoint - The expectation of easing U.S. tariffs has led to a continued pullback in gold prices, prompting analysis of future market performance in commodities [1] Group 1 - The live analysis session will focus on the current market trends for gold and other popular futures [1] - The session will provide insights into the fundamental aspects of these commodities and their future trajectories [1]

免责声明: | LPG早报 | 研究中心能化团队 2025/05/09 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | L P G | 丙烷CFR华 | 丙烷CIF日 | MB丙烷 | CP预测合 | 华东液化 | 纸面进口 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 日期 | 华南液化气 | 山东液化气 | 山东醚后碳四 山东烷基化油 | 主力基差 | 气 | 南 | 本 | 现货 | 同价 | 利润 | 2025/04/2 | 5090 | 4925 | 4830 | 618 | 512 | 98 | 575 | 4920 | 7900 | -57 | 626 | | 9 | 2025/04/3 | 5090 | 4925 | 4830 | 635 | 504 ...

晨报 工业硅 工业硅：见底信号不明库存压制反弹高度，硅价持续低迷运行 从业资格号：F3059924 投资咨询号：Z0002978 电话：010-62688526 从业资格号：F3078638 投资咨询号：Z0018248 电话：010-62688555 从业资格号：F3038114 投资咨询号：Z0014834 电话：010-62688541 从业资格号：F3059529 投资咨询号：Z0018932 电话：010-62688516 从业资格号：F03127144 投资咨询号：Z0020161 电话：021-20857653 2025 年 5 月 9 日 整理 逻辑：昨日工业硅现货市场弱势运行，受下游需求持续减弱影响，市场持续低迷运行。 目前华东通氧 553#硅在 9000-9300 元/吨，华东 421#硅在 9900-10200 元/吨。期货端：工 业硅期货主力合约 si2506 收盘价为 8315，-0.36%，单日减仓 1671 手，当前持仓为 18.11 万手，成交额为 163.75 亿元。当日 si2506 走势量"v"字，盘面先涨后跌，前半段延续前 期下跌趋势，价格一路下探至 8115 点，随后 ...

Market Performance - The three major US stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.62% at 41,368.45 points, the S&P 500 up 0.58% at 5,663.94 points, and the Nasdaq up 1.07% at 17,928.14 points [1] - Major tech stocks saw gains, with Tesla and Intel rising over 3%, Amazon, Google, and Microsoft increasing over 1%, while Nvidia and Meta had slight increases, and Netflix fell approximately 1% [1] - Most popular Chinese concept stocks rose, with Li Auto and NIO up over 3%, Xpeng and Alibaba increasing over 2%, and Futu Holdings and Up Fintech rising nearly 2% [1] European Market - European stock indices had mixed results, with the German DAX index up 1.02% at 23,352.69 points, the French CAC40 index up 0.89% at 7,694.44 points, and the UK FTSE 100 index down 0.32% at 8,531.61 points [1] Commodity Prices - International oil prices surged, with the main US oil contract up 3.81% at $60.28 per barrel and the Brent crude oil main contract up 3.40% at $63.20 per barrel [1] - International precious metal futures generally declined, with COMEX gold futures down 2.40% at $3,310.40 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 0.57% at $32.61 per ounce [1] Currency and Debt Markets - The US dollar index fell 0.73% to 100.63, while the offshore RMB depreciated against the US dollar by 154 basis points to 7.2437 [1] - US Treasury yields rose across the board, with the 2-year yield up 10.99 basis points to 3.880%, the 3-year yield up 13.08 basis points to 3.873%, the 5-year yield up 13.79 basis points to 3.999%, the 10-year yield up 12.48 basis points to 4.392%, and the 30-year yield up 7.71 basis points to 4.850% [1] - European bond yields also increased, with the UK 10-year yield up 8.7 basis points to 4.543%, the French 10-year yield up 4.3 basis points to 3.236%, the German 10-year yield up 5.9 basis points to 2.530%, the Italian 10-year yield up 3.4 basis points to 3.581%, and the Spanish 10-year yield up 4.5 basis points to 3.171% [1]

金十图示：2025年05月08日（周四）美盘市场行情一览 | | 纽元/美元 NZDUSD | 0.593 | | -0.13% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ne | 英镑/日元 | 192.701 | | +0.82% | | | GBPJPY | | | | | | | 虚拟货币 | | | | | | VIRTUAL CURRENCY | | | | 13 | 比特币 1 | 99307.980 +2277.490 | | +2.35% | | | BTC | | | | | 1 | 菜特币 | 92.020 | +2.490 | +2.78% | | | LTC | | | | | | 以太坊 ETH | 1971.090 | +159.990 | +8.83% | | | 瑞波币 XRP | 2.211 +0.084 | | +3.96% | TREASURY BONDS | 现货铂金 XPTUSD | 987.920 | +10.490 | +1.07% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 现货钮金 XPDUSD | 976.00 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that U.S. Treasury futures have shown positive performance across various maturities, with the 30-year contract rising by 0.26% [1] - The 10-year Treasury futures increased by 0.17%, reflecting investor sentiment towards longer-term securities [1] - The 5-year and 2-year Treasury futures also experienced gains, with increases of 0.16% and 0.05% respectively, suggesting a broad-based interest in government bonds [1]

Core Viewpoint - The main focus of the news is the significant decline in coking coal futures, with the primary contract dropping over 3%, indicating a bearish outlook for the market in the near term [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On May 8, coking coal futures experienced a sharp decline, reaching a low of 1465.5 yuan, with the main contract closing at 1466.0 yuan, reflecting a drop of 3.04% [1]. - The overall sentiment in the market remains neutral to bearish, with no significant improvement in the fundamentals post-holiday [2]. Group 2: Institutional Insights - Zhengxin Futures predicts that both coking coal and coke will continue to exhibit weakness, citing limited impact from recent financial policies and a lack of substantial positive news from the real estate sector [2]. - Dayue Futures suggests that the likelihood of further declines in coking coal prices is high due to a continued loose supply environment and weak downstream demand, particularly as steel mills face pressure from high inventory levels [3]. - Shenyin Wanguo Futures highlights the importance of monitoring the price range of 1350-1400 yuan, indicating that the failure of the second round of price increases and seasonal demand peaks may lead to a downward adjustment in prices [4].

金十图示：2025年05月08日（周四）亚盘市场行情 +0.004 +0.11% | | 纽元/美元 NZDUSD | 0.595 | +0.27% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ้า ( | 英镑/日元 GBPJPY | 191.253 | +0.06% | | | | 電拟货币 VIRTUAL CURRENCY | | | B | 比特币 110 BTC | 97958.010 +927.520 | +0.96% | | 1 | 菜特币 LTC | 91.040 +1.510 | +1.69% | | | 以太坊 ETH | 1830.500 +19.400 | +1.07% | | | 瑞波币 XRP | 2.143 +0.016 | +0.76% | TREASURY BONDS 美国2年期国债收益率 3.797 | 现货铂金 XPTUSD | 984.430 | +7.000 | +0.72% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 现货钮金 XPDUSD | 969.380 | +6.544 | +0.68% | | 黄金(COMEX) GC | ...

免责声明: | | | | | | | LPG早报 | | | 研究中心能化团队 2025/05/08 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | L P G | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 华东液化 | | 丙烷CFR华 | 丙烷CIF日 | MB丙烷 | CP预测合 | | | 纸面进口 | | | 日期 | 华南液化气 | 气 | 山东液化气 | 南 | 本 | 现货 | 同价 | | 山东醚后碳四 山东烷基化油 | 利润 | 主力基差 | | 2025/04/2 8 | 5130 | 4880 | 4830 | 633 | 534 | 96 | 591 | 4960 | 8000 | -148 | 571 | | 2025/04/2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 5090 | 4925 | 4830 | 618 | 512 | 98 | 575 | 4920 | 7900 | -57 | 626 | | 2025/04/3 0 ...

Report Information - Report Title: Container Shipping Index Daily Report [1] - Date: May 8, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Macro Finance Team [4] - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided in the report. Core View - The spot price of container shipping in the second half of May is basically the same as that in the first half. The supply pressure may increase due to the re - allocation of vessels from the US route. The June freight rate contract is likely to remain weak, while the August peak - season contract may be boosted by improved sentiment. It is recommended to participate based on short - term oversold rebound and pay attention to the progress of talks [8]. Summary by Section 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Spot Market: The online quotes for the second half of May are basically flat compared to the first half. The lowest price for Maersk's large container is $1480, and in the first half, the price was $1647 due to better demand. Other airlines' prices are mostly in the range of $1650 - $2000 [8]. - Supply: Affected by the sharp decline in US - route demand, airlines are re - allocating vessels to other routes, increasing supply pressure, especially in late May [8]. - Operation Suggestion: Although there is a short - term relaxation in Sino - US relations, it will still take a long time to reach an agreement. The June freight rate contract is hard to reverse its decline, while the August peak - season contract may be more positively affected. It is advisable to focus on short - term oversold rebounds and monitor the progress of talks [8]. 2. Industry News - Market in late April: From April 28th to 30th, the China Export Container Shipping Market declined slightly. Transport demand was weak before the holiday, and most route freight rates fell, dragging down the composite index [9]. - Manufacturing PMI: China's official manufacturing PMI in April was 49, down 1.5 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in manufacturing prosperity [9]. - European Route: The eurozone's April composite PMI was 50.1, slightly above the boom - bust line, mainly dragged down by the service industry. The future European economic outlook is uncertain due to tariff issues [9]. - North American Route: In March, the US merchandise trade deficit reached $162 billion, a record high. The consumer confidence index in April continued to decline. The North American route's transport demand remained low, and the spot booking price increased slightly [10]. - Diplomatic News: Chinese Vice - Premier He Lifeng will hold talks with US Treasury Secretary Bezant from May 9th to 12th at the US request. China firmly opposes US tariff abuse and advocates equal and reciprocal dialogue [10]. - Other News: Talks on a Gaza cease - fire are close to completion. The US plans to charge additional fees for Chinese ships docking at US ports. Maersk will adjust the peak - season surcharge for routes from Far - East countries (excluding China and Hong Kong) to the US and Canada [10]. 3. Data Overview 3.1 Container Shipping Spot Prices | Route | May 4, 2025 | April 28, 2025 | Change | MoM (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SCFIS: European Route (Base Ports) | 1379.07 | 1429.39 | - 50.32 | - 3.5% | | SCFIS: US - West Route (Base Ports) | 1320.69 | 1230.28 | 90.41 | 7.3% | [12] 3.2 Container Shipping Index (European Route) Futures Market | Contract | Previous Settlement Price | Opening Price | Closing Price | Settlement Price | Change | Change Rate (%) | Trading Volume | Open Interest | Open Interest Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | EC2506 | 1312.2 | 1325.0 | 1288.2 | 1331.4 | - 24.0 | - 1.83 | 53581 | 39510 | 3642 | | EC2508 | 1503.6 | 1560.0 | 1559.6 | 1595.5 | 56.0 | 3.72 | 39237 | 36138 | 3696 | | EC2510 | 1272.4 | 1259.9 | 1287.9 | 1311.8 | 15.5 | 1.22 | 11837 | 17426 | 1332 | | EC2512 | 1457.6 | 1439.4 | 1460.7 | 1481.4 | 3.1 | 0.21 | 1893 | 4091 | 101 | | EC2602 | 1297.0 | 1263.8 | 1291.4 | 1317.2 | - 5.6 | - 0.43 | 982 | 2735 | 132 | | EC2604 | 1192.2 | 1166.0 | 1182.6 | 1194.0 | - 9.6 | - 0.81 | 849 | 1144 | 372 | [6] 3.3 Shipping - Related Data Charts - The report provides multiple charts, including the trends of the main and secondary main contracts of container shipping European - route futures, global container shipping capacity, global container ship orders, Shanghai - Europe base - port freight rates, and Shanghai - Rotterdam spot freight rates [18][19][20]