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特朗普惹祸,白宫紧急灭火:提名下任美联储主席并非“迫在眉睫”
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-06-27 06:37
Core Viewpoint - The White House indicated that the decision to nominate the next Federal Reserve Chair is not imminent, which has led to a significant decline in the dollar's value [2] Group 1: Federal Reserve Chair Nomination - The White House stated that the selection of the next Federal Reserve Chair will not be made immediately, despite President Trump's potential plans to announce a new nominee this summer [2] - Trump has reportedly identified "three to four" candidates to replace Powell, expressing frustration over Powell's performance [2] - Potential candidates include Kevin Warsh, Scott Bessent, Kevin Hassett, and Christopher Waller, with Waller recently supporting a rate cut in contrast to Powell's cautious stance [2] Group 2: Dollar Value and Economic Implications - The dollar fell by 0.7% against a basket of currencies, reaching its lowest level since early 2022, influenced by speculation regarding the Fed Chair nomination [2][3] - The dollar has declined over 10% this year amid concerns about trade wars, debt sustainability, and threats to the Fed's independence [4] - Analysts suggest that if a nominee more aligned with Trump's desire for rate cuts is appointed, it could further weaken the dollar [3][4] Group 3: Concerns Over Fed Independence - Concerns are raised about the potential political influence on the Federal Reserve, which could undermine its independence and lead to economic instability [5] - Historical precedents indicate that political pressure on the Fed can result in negative economic outcomes, as seen during Nixon's presidency [5] - A recent OMFIF survey revealed that 70% of central bank reserve managers are reducing their dollar holdings due to the current political environment in the U.S. [5]
鲍威尔国会表态,美联储观望关税冲击,特朗普心急如焚
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-27 03:10
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve, led by Chairman Jerome Powell, emphasizes its independence from political pressures, particularly in response to President Trump's calls for rapid interest rate cuts, opting instead for a patient approach to assess the economic impact of tariff policies [1][3][4]. Group 1: Economic Environment - Trump's high tariff policies aim to reshape U.S. manufacturing and reduce trade deficits but have led to increased costs for consumers and businesses, contributing to inflationary pressures [3][6]. - The current U.S. economy appears stable, with inflation rising but not yet spiraling out of control, as the Federal Reserve maintains a high benchmark interest rate of 4.25% to 4.50% since December [3][6]. - Powell's focus on preventing temporary price spikes from becoming sustained inflation reflects the Fed's role as a guardian of monetary policy [3][4]. Group 2: Political Dynamics - Trump's public pressure on Powell for interest rate cuts is seen as a political maneuver to boost his support among voters, risking economic overheating and potential crises [4][9]. - The Fed's independence is crucial for avoiding short-term political pressures that could destabilize the economy, with Powell's stance serving as a model for global economic management [7][9]. Group 3: Global Implications - The interconnectedness of the global economy means that U.S. policy decisions, such as interest rate changes, can have far-reaching effects, potentially destabilizing financial markets if not handled cautiously [6][10]. - Powell's cautious approach is viewed as stabilizing for global markets amid rising geopolitical risks and trade tensions, helping to maintain the dollar's status as a global reserve currency [6][10]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Upcoming economic data, including employment, manufacturing, consumer confidence, and inflation indicators, will significantly influence the Fed's decision-making process [9][10]. - The ability of Powell and the Fed to maintain policy independence and rationality will be critical for both U.S. and global economic stability moving forward [9][10].
COMEX黄金仍面临承压调整
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-27 03:08
美国经济在第一季度收缩幅度大于此前预期之后仍保持弹性。5月耐用品订单增长16.4%,每周申请失 业救济人数温和增长23.6万人,第一季度GDP收缩0.5%,而不是之前预计的0.2%。在美联储独立性受到 威胁之际,美元保持了隔夜的下行轨迹。《华尔街日报》报道称,特朗普可能会比平时更早任命鲍威尔 主席的继任者,以削弱目前的鹰派立场。Bannockburn的Marc Chandler写道:"如此直接地影响美联储的 企图,不会受到投资者的欢迎。" 裕信银行投资研究所的安德烈亚斯·里斯在一次网络研讨会上表示,预计欧洲央行将在当前周期内再降 息一次。据裕信银行经济学家预计,9月降息25个基点将使存款利率降至1.75%,"基本上(降息)就结 束了。"货币市场目前认为,下一次降息更有可能在10月。里斯表示,欧洲经济增长料将"相当疲软"但 不会大幅放缓,通胀率可能横向波动,徘徊在2%左右。 周五(6月27日)亚市盘中,COMEX黄金短线维持下跌走势,截至目前报3323.50美元/盎司,跌幅 0.54%,今日开盘于3341.30美元/盎司,最高上探3341.40美元/盎司,最低触及3323.00美元/盎司。 【要闻速递】 【CO ...
冠通期货资讯早间报-20250627
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2025-06-27 02:10
地址:北京市朝阳区朝阳门外大街甲 6 号万通中心 D 座 20 层 (100020) 资讯早间报 制作日期: 2025/06/27 隔夜夜盘市场走势 1. 国际油价窄幅震荡,美油主力合约收涨 0.46%,报 65.22 美元/桶;布伦特原 油主力合约涨 0.41%,报 66.70 美元/桶。美国原油库存超预期下降支撑油价, 但中东局势缓和限制涨幅。光大期货指出,油价短期或维持区间震荡,需关注 欧佩克+产量政策变化。 2. 国际贵金属期货收盘涨跌不一,COMEX 黄金期货跌 0.04%报 3341.6 美元/盎 司,COMEX 白银期货涨 1.22%报 36.55 美元/盎司。美联储内部对降息时机存在 分歧,特朗普政府考虑提前宣布鲍威尔继任人选,引发对美联储独立性的担忧。 3. 伦敦基本金属收盘全线上涨,LME 期锌涨 2.42%报 2770.00 美元/吨,LME 期 铜涨 1.89%报 9896.00 美元/吨,LME 期锡涨 1.86%报 33810.00 美元/吨。美联储 降息预期升温提振金属价格,铜市场表现尤为强劲。 重要资讯 【宏观资讯】 1. 国家金融监督管理总局、中国人民银行联合发布《银行业保险 ...
【UNFX课堂】白宫的“后座司机”策略:特朗普急于换掉鲍威尔,华尔街屏息以待
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-27 02:00
在这个充满政治戏剧和市场猜测的季节里,唐纳德·特朗普总统再次成为了头条新闻的制造者,这次的 目标是美国经济的守护者——联邦储备系统。 据知情人士透露,特朗普正考虑打破传统,大幅提前宣布下一任美联储主席的人选,这距离现任主席杰 罗姆·鲍威尔的任期结束还有近一年的时间。 这场不同寻常的"选秀"不仅是对鲍威尔的公开施压,更是一场试图在正式交接前就影响货币政策的"后 座司机"策略,让华尔街的交易员们既感到困惑,又嗅到了潜在的交易机会。 特朗普对鲍威尔的不满早已不是秘密。他认为鲍威尔在降息问题上过于"谨慎",未能充分利用货币政策 来"涡轮增压"经济,配合他那"一个、大、美丽的法案"(The One, Big, Beautiful Bill)所描绘的增长蓝 图。 白宫的官方说法是,美联储应该追求"以增长为导向"的政策,但翻译过来,这通常意味着:总统希望看 到更低的利率,而且是越快越好。 现在,特朗普的耐心似乎已经耗尽。他正在考虑在今年秋天,甚至可能在夏天就宣布他心目中的下一任 美联储掌门人。这比通常的过渡期提前了整整半年。 这个想法的核心是创造一个"候任主席",让这位被选中人能够提前进入公众视野,通过公开发言来塑造 市场 ...
6月27日电,美联储卡什卡利称,独立的货币政策通常会带来通胀降低、劳动力市场改善。
news flash· 2025-06-26 23:13
智通财经6月27日电,美联储卡什卡利称,独立的货币政策通常会带来通胀降低、劳动力市场改善。 ...
【环时深度】“硬刚”美国军费要求,西班牙有哪些考量?
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-06-26 22:34
Core Viewpoint - Spain has resisted U.S. pressure to increase its defense spending to 5% of GDP, committing only to 2.1%, reflecting its independent stance within NATO and the EU [1][3][4] Defense Spending and NATO Relations - At the NATO summit, leaders agreed to raise defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035, but Spain's Prime Minister Sanchez firmly stated that Spain would not follow this directive, maintaining its commitment to 2.1% [3][4] - Spain's position has drawn criticism from the U.S., with President Trump labeling Spain as "NATO's new villain" and threatening repercussions in trade negotiations [3][4] - Only Belgium and Slovakia openly supported Spain's stance against the 5% requirement, highlighting Spain's isolation on this issue [4] Historical Context and Public Sentiment - Spain's reluctance to prioritize defense spending is rooted in its historical context, particularly the legacy of the Franco dictatorship, which neglected military funding [5][6] - The Spanish public has a cautious attitude towards military expansion, influenced by a long-standing pacifist tradition [7][8] Economic Considerations - Spain's defense budget for 2024 is approximately €17.2 billion, a 9.3% increase from 2023, but still only 1.28% of GDP, the lowest among NATO countries [5][8] - The government prefers to allocate resources to social welfare rather than military spending, with Sanchez emphasizing the need to avoid jeopardizing public services [8][9] Independent Foreign Policy - Spain seeks to maintain an independent foreign policy, balancing relations with the U.S. and China, and advocating for closer economic ties with China despite U.S. warnings [10][11] - Spain's unique geographical position influences its security perceptions, leading to a different threat assessment compared to Eastern European countries [9][12] Support for Ukraine and Regional Stability - Spain has been a strong supporter of Ukraine, providing military aid and emphasizing the need for dialogue with Russia to resolve the conflict [11][12] - Spain's diplomatic efforts extend to maintaining stable relations with North African countries, focusing on regional security and cooperation [12]
梦网科技: 董事会关于评估机构的独立性、评估假设前提的合理性、评估方法与评估目的的相关性和评估定价的公允性的说明
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-26 16:51
Core Viewpoint - The company is conducting a transaction to acquire all shares of Hangzhou Bicheng Digital Technology Co., Ltd. and has engaged Shanghai Zhonghua Asset Appraisal Co., Ltd. as the evaluation agency to assess the market value of the target assets [1][2]. Group 1: Independence and Reasonableness of the Evaluation - The evaluation agency, Shanghai Zhonghua, has no related party relationships with the company or the transaction counterpart, ensuring its independence [1]. - The assumptions made in the evaluation report comply with national laws and regulations, and are reasonable according to market practices and asset appraisal standards [1][2]. Group 2: Evaluation Methodology and Purpose - The purpose of the evaluation is to determine the market value of the target assets as of the evaluation benchmark date, providing a reference for the transaction [2]. - The evaluation methods used are appropriate, and the conclusions drawn are reasonable, reflecting the actual situation of the evaluated assets [2]. Group 3: Fairness of the Transaction Price - The transaction price will be based on the evaluation report, adjusted for cash dividends during the transition period, ensuring fairness and reasonableness without harming the interests of the company and minority shareholders [2].
国药现代: 独立董事制度
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-26 16:47
上海现代制药股份有限公司 (2025 年 6 月 26 日经 2024 年年度股东大会审议修订) 第一章 总则 独立董事应当按照相关法律法规和《公司章程》的要求,认真履行职责, 在董事会中发挥参与决策、监督制衡、专业咨询作用,维护公司整体利益,保 护中小股东合法权益。 独立董事应当独立履行职责,不受公司及其主要股东、实际控制人等单位 或者个人的影响。 第二章 独立董事的任职条件和独立性 第四条 独立董事候选人应具备上市公司运作的基本知识,熟悉相关法律法 规和规则,具有 5 年以上法律、经济、财务、管理或者其他履行独立董事职责 所必需的工作经验。 第五条 独立董事候选人任职资格应符合下列法律、行政法规和部门规章的 要求: (一)《中华人民共和国公司法》关于董事任职资格的规定; (二)《中华人民共和国公务员法》关于公务员兼任职务的规定; (三)中国证监会《上市公司独立董事管理办法》的相关规定; 第一条 为进一步完善上海现代制药股份有限公司(以下简称公司)的治理 结构,切实保护中小股东的权益,维护公司利益,促进公司规范运作,根据 《中华人民共和国公司法》《上市公司独立董事管理办法》《上海证券交易所 上市公司自律监管 ...
真视通: 独立董事年报工作制度(2025年6月修订)
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-26 16:47
Core Points - The document outlines the annual report work system for independent directors of Beijing Zhen Shitong Technology Co., Ltd, aiming to enhance the company's operational standards and clarify the responsibilities of independent directors in the annual report process [1][2] Group 1: Responsibilities of Independent Directors - Independent directors are required to ensure that all necessary disclosures in the annual report are truthful, complete, and accurate [3][4] - The chairman of the board is the primary responsible person for the communication mechanism regarding the annual report, while the securities affairs department coordinates the process [1][2] - The management team must cooperate with independent directors to ensure timely, accurate, and complete information is provided [2][3] Group 2: Communication and Oversight - Independent directors must meet with the annual audit registered accountants at least once before the board meeting to discuss issues discovered during the audit process [3][4] - The independent directors are responsible for reviewing the financial reports and ensuring the clarity and completeness of financial information [4][5] - If independent directors have objections regarding the annual report, they must provide written confirmation and can independently hire external audit and consulting firms if necessary [5] Group 3: Confidentiality and Compliance - Independent directors have a confidentiality obligation during the annual report preparation and must prevent insider trading and information leaks [2][3] - They must report any changes in the accounting firm to the regulatory authorities promptly [3][4] - The independent directors are also tasked with reviewing the board meeting procedures and ensuring all necessary documents are in order before the meeting [4][5]