郑氏点银：黄金这轮还在延续修正呢，还是已经短期见底？ 第二，黄金小时线级别：今日亚盘又是恶心的洗盘扫荡走法，先开盘急拉20米，回踩确认顶底支撑3310，9点反弹收阳，两阳包阴准备上攻，结果10点掉头 向下，刺破上图趋势支撑点3280，触及3274再反拉刷日内高点，只要你是做趋势延续的，不管多空都被会洗干净；虽然欧盘抗跌横盘于亚盘高点3224之上， 但发现冲一下还是容易马上打压，延续性仍是一个问题，这就联想到上周五走法，美盘再来最后的一波诱空，后半夜企稳，下周逐步强势推高；从形态上 看，3274单脚可能还站稳不了，若能再来一脚，低位就稳定多了；刚好3290-3288是再次试探趋势支撑线的位置，可形成"头肩底"形态，底部整理就有充足 的动能去发力上攻； 因此，现在不打算去追涨，可能还有拉升空间，但延续性这两天太差，尽量等相对低位再尝试炒底，若今夜给不了，日线大阳形成 了，那么下周一再去强势跟随也来得及，因为强势趋势一旦打开，什么位置都可以跟随； 白银方面：通道反压点32.9，支撑32，继续震荡对待； 原油方面：从上图看，日内持续连阳，日线冲破中轨，趋势阻力线上破，回踩确认60.4尝试看企稳，也是小时线中轨， 等触 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article indicates that as of the week ending May 6, speculators' net long positions in WTI crude oil decreased by 10,094 contracts, bringing the total to 143,938 contracts [1]

美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）：截至5月6日当周，COMEX白银期货投机性净多头头寸减少1004 手至30248手。 ...

Group 1 - Speculators in Brent crude oil reduced their net long positions by 12,383 contracts to 97,558 contracts as of the week ending May 6 [1] - Gasoline speculators increased their net short positions by 10,404 contracts to -20,089 contracts [1]

期货热点追踪 贸易谈判前夕金价异动！多头已经提前布局？点击阅读。 相关链接 ...

黄金精准插针3275，空头能否继续高歌？多头反击是否奏效？金十研究员Steven正在直播，点击进入直 播间观看>> 相关链接 ...

黄金被空头压制，多头还有翻身机会吗？上涨趋势会在何时开启？实战交易员Rinly正在直播分析中， 点击马上观看！ 相关链接 黄金走势实时分析中 ...

Market Overview - On May 9, A-shares saw a collective decline in the three major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.30% to 3342.00 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.69% to 10126.83 points, and the ChiNext Index down 0.87% to 2011.77 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 11,920 billion yuan, a decrease of 1,014 billion yuan compared to May 8 [1] - Despite the overall market downturn, there were gains in sectors such as banking, beauty care, textiles and apparel, and jewelry, while sectors like semiconductors, commercial retail, transportation equipment, internet services, mining, and software development faced significant declines [1] Trade Data - The General Administration of Customs reported that China's total goods trade value for the first four months was 14.14 trillion yuan, reflecting a stable growth trend with a year-on-year increase of 2.4% [1] - Exports amounted to 8.39 trillion yuan, up 7.5%, while imports were 5.75 trillion yuan, down 4.2% [1] Technology Sector - The technology sector experienced significant declines, primarily due to disappointing quarterly results from SMIC, which reported Q1 revenue of 16.301 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.4%, and a net profit of 1.356 billion yuan, up 166.5% [2] - SMIC's forecast for Q2 indicates a revenue decline of 4% to 6%, highlighting the substantial impact of tariffs on its performance [2] Local Stock Performance - In Hunan stocks, only 33 out of 146 stocks rose, with Huasheng Co., Ltd. hitting the daily limit [3] - Huasheng's main business includes the production and sale of hemp textiles and foreign trade, reporting Q1 revenue of 214 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.45%, but a net loss of 12.5023 million yuan [3] - The company attributed its stock performance to its foreign trade operations, leveraging international e-commerce platforms, with 79.75% of its revenue coming from overseas in 2024 [3]

• 黄金中期仍处上升趋势，受多重因素支撑，包括美国联储降息犹豫、特朗 普政策不确定性及地缘政治风险，短期回调不改多头格局，预计调整幅度 在 3,150-3,200 美元区间形成底部。 • 特朗普政策反复导致市场对美元资产不信任加剧，美元加速下跌，类似 2016-2017 年"买预期卖现实"模式重现，资金持续流入黄金市场。 • 美国政策不确定性指标已达 2020 年高位，表明市场信心受挫，推动资金 涌入黄金等避险资产，政策不确定性直接促进金价上涨。 • 当前美国实际利率水平与 2005-2007 年相似，联邦基金利率超名义 GDP 增速，预示美国经济面临较大衰退风险，历史上类似情况多伴随经济下行。 • 美国经济衰退过程中，黄金价格通常先小幅下跌约 20%，随后大幅上涨约 67%。中国央行持续购金亦构成支撑，建议右侧离场。 • 预计 2025 年美国通胀下行风险大于上行风险，油价和二手车价格是关键 指标，四月 CPI 或降至 2.2%左右，美国更可能进入衰退而非滞胀。 • 地缘政治风险、中美关税谈判及美联储降息幅度影响黄金未来走势。降息 尚未充分进行，ETF 持有量预计增加，未来一到两个月甚至一个季度内， 黄金仍 ...

黄金多头败退3400美元关口，稳守3300美元大关，空头仍将施压金价？金十研究员高阳正在直播分析， 点击进入直播间 相关链接 ...