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长期来看A股市场有望展现出更强韧性;公募改革落地有望驱动银行板块估值
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-19 00:45
NO.2华泰证券:公募改革落地有望驱动银行板块估值 华泰证券认为公募改革落地有望驱动银行板块估值。证监会最近发布《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方 案》,显著强化业绩比较基准约束力,预计未来基金配置或向业绩基准靠拢。2025年一季度主动权益深 度欠配银行,较沪深300偏离度近10pct,改革驱动下或有较大增配空间。近期一揽子政策落地,驱动经 济修复,此外,被动基金持续扩容,险资加速入市,增量资金持续流入可期,有望进一步支撑板块行 情。个股关注:1)2025年一季度公募低配的股份行;2)稳健大行仍有配置价值;3)质优个股。 NO.3华泰证券:看好暑运旺季航司兑现票价与盈利弹性 5月19日,华泰证券研报表示,往后展望,航空行业供给增速将维持较低水平,配合航司收益管理,全 年收益水平有望低开高走,叠加油价同比下降,航司盈利有望持续提升。看好暑运旺季航司兑现票价与 盈利弹性,推荐航空板块。 |2025年5月19日星期一| NO.1中国银河证券:长期来看A股市场有望展现出更强韧性 中国银河(601881)证券表示,长期来看,A股市场走势仍将体现"以我为主"的内涵,有望展现出更强 韧性。配置上,建议关注三大方向:第一,外部环 ...
20国记者在内蒙古见证中国经济发展韧性
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-05-18 06:33
【环球时报-环球网 记者 王莉兰】"即便面临全球性挑战,中国经济仍彰显出强劲韧性。"马来西亚国家 新闻社高级记者吉硕·库玛丽·苏斯达拉姆在走访了位于内蒙古乌兰察布的七苏木国际物流园区后表 示,"中国的稳定对区域经济至关重要,其通过政策改革与内需驱动实现动态调适的能力,持续为全球 经济注入信心。" 2025年5月15日至16日,2025"走读中国"国际交流项目20余名记者在内蒙古乌兰察布相继走访察右前旗 植物工厂草莓基地、薯都凯达食品有限公司以及乌兰察布·二连浩特国家物流枢纽园区,实地探访现代 农业基地与国际贸易枢纽,从特色产业与开放格局中探寻中国经济发展密码。 在察右前旗植物工厂草莓基地,无菌化车间内的智能化管控系统令外媒记者眼前一亮。这座年产量可达 150吨的"草莓工厂",不仅向国内一线城市供应草莓,更有25%至30%的产品远销东南亚和中东地 区。"我们的草莓在沙特市场每斤售价达400迪拉姆(约合人民币785元)。"内蒙古察右前旗农业投资公 司董事长王建伟说出的出口报价引发记者惊叹。蒙古记者伊苏·图布辛感慨:"蒙古的野生草莓仅在夏季 短暂出现,这里的智能化种植技术完全颠覆了我的认知,期待能引进这项技术。" ...
中美关税缓和,制造业需求维持韧性
Minsheng Securities· 2025-05-18 05:32
钢铁周报 20250518 中美关税缓和,制造业需求维持韧性 2025 年 05 月 18 日 ➢ 价格:本周钢材价格上涨。截至 5 月 16 日,上海 20mm HRB400 材质螺 纹价格为 3200 元/吨,较上周升 50 元/吨。高线 8.0mm 价格为 3420 元/吨, 较上周升 40 元/吨。热轧 3.0mm 价格为 3310 元/吨,较上周升 80 元/吨。冷轧 1.0mm 价格为 3670 元/吨,较上周升 70 元/吨。普中板 20mm 价格为 3470 元 /吨,较上周持平。本周原材料中,国产矿市场价格震荡,进口矿市场价格上涨, 废钢价格上涨。 ➢ 利润:本周钢材利润小幅上升。长流程方面,我们测算本周行业螺纹钢、热 轧和冷轧毛利分别环比前一周变化+10 元/吨,+27 元/吨和-18 元/吨。短流程 方面,本周电炉钢毛利环比前一周变化+7 元/吨。 ➢ 产量与库存:截至 5 月 16 日,五大钢材产量下降,总库存环比下降。产量 方面,本周五大钢材品种产量 868 万吨,环比降 5.82 万吨,其中建筑钢材产量 周环比增 2.59 万吨,板材产量周环比降 8.41 万吨,螺纹钢本周增产 3 ...
上市公司“链主“企业数据2001-2024
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-18 04:00
二十大报告明确提出,要着力提升产业链供应链韧性和安全水平。在这一发展进程中,着眼于平衡经济、社会和环境关系的供应链可持续发展是增强供应 链韧性的必然要求。相较于传统的供应链网络关系,可持续供应链依托于透明共享的供应链环境与高效协同的供应链伙伴关系。"链主"企业作为供应链核 心,需要发挥引领作用与主导力。一方面,"链主"企业通过资源效应促进信息流动与技术转移,推动供应链网络透明化;另一方面,"链主"企业利用较高 的话语权和商业影响力,进行网络化设计以实现供应链的资源分配优化和利益均衡,进而形成更为紧密的供应链关系。 本数据参考李强等(2024)的做法,通过社会网络分析法确定"链主"企业名单。 首先,通过CSMAR数据库查询样本公司2001-2024年各年度供应商和客户的详细信息,并根据名称逐一查找具体信息。若为上市公司,则继续查找该公司 的供应商和客户信息,若该公司未上市,则中断查询。重复以上步骤,直至所有涉及的上市公司的主要供应商和客户信息收集完毕。其次,构建"企业名 称—主要供应商(客户)"关系列表,运用Python软件将所有关系列表转化为网络矩阵后,进行社会网络可视化分析,以确定供应链中各个企业的网络中心 ...
韩国通商交涉本部长郑仁教:亚太经合组织成员国共同认为区域内需要建立可持续且具有韧性的供应链。
news flash· 2025-05-16 05:36
韩国通商交涉本部长郑仁教:亚太经合组织成员国共同认为区域内需要建立可持续且具有韧性的供应 链。 ...
面对美国制裁,中国科技创新力的超强韧性及其来源
Hu Xiu· 2025-05-16 03:07
5月14日,美国商务部宣布,世界任何地方使用华为的昇腾芯片的做法,都将违反美国的出口管制规定,遭受美国的制裁,美国公 民如果售卖华为芯片,甚至将要获刑。 美国工业与安全局官网 有媒体问怎么看这事情?笔者回复认为,这大概率像关税战一样是徒劳的,如果华为芯片真的物美价廉,全世界的企业有什么理由 不用呢?美国这种搞法,只会引起大家的讨厌,对中国科技实力的上升很难起到实质的作用。 无独有偶,美国最近一些科技界大佬的表态,也印证了笔者的判断。第一个是本月12日,比尔·盖茨在接受CNN采访时表示,美国对 中国的技术封锁起到了完全相反的效果,不仅未能限制中国科技发展,反而让中国在芯片制造等关键领域实现了全速发展。 第二个是,9号美国国会举行中美AI竞争听证会,美国最重要的科技巨头几乎都出席。AMD董事长苏姿丰表示,技术封锁会激发中 国的科技创新,中国即使没有最好的芯片,依然可以用其他途径达到目标,中国确实正在迎头追上美国;OpenAI 的CEO Sam Altman指出,我们尽管相信美国的模型是世界上最优秀的,但领先优势不会维持太久。 最近四五年,无疑是改革开放以来,综合环境变幻最复杂的时期,这其中既有外部因素,主要是美国 ...
一笔50亿的收购案背后,险资入局带来的启示
投中网· 2025-05-16 02:35
将投中网设为"星标⭐",第一时间收获最新推送 不动产投资进入新发展阶段。 来源丨 投中网 黄金三角:专业投资 + 优质资产 + 长期资本 京东鼎晖物流资产包交易的独特之处在于构建了" 鼎晖 - 京东 - 险资" 这一黄金组合。 保险资金在不动产领域的战略性布局再获市场认可 —— 由 中邮保险 等头部险资机构作为主要 LP 投资的" 京东鼎晖物流资产包" ,日前获得 " 投中 2024 年度中国不动产产业最佳投资案例 TOP3" 。该奖项的获得,不仅凸显了仓储物流作为 抗周期资产 的独特优势,更反映了在 长期低利 率 + 资产荒 双重压力下,险资对 高韧性新基建资产 的配置升级。 值得关注的是,鼎晖不动产投资于 2024 年第四季度 官宣完成了对京东产发旗下约 100 万平方米 优质仓储物流资产的收购,这笔里程碑式交易, 以 50 亿元 总规模问鼎年度物 流地产收购案榜 首。 王嵋表示: " 鼎晖投资仓储物流,看重的不仅是硬件设施,更是其服务实体经济的作用。鼎晖不动 产与京东产发、德邦物流等形成的良好合作将推动物流行业向更规范、更高效的方向发展。" 鼎晖投资是国内首批获得不动产私募基金试点资格的机构,在国内接连 ...
郑州便利店为何多而不强?
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-16 00:11
Core Viewpoint - Zhengzhou's convenience store industry must strengthen supply chain resilience and innovate consumer scenarios to break through the challenges posed by "couple stores" and national brand competition [1][26]. Group 1: Industry Overview - Zhengzhou has a rich history in the convenience store sector, emerging as a commercial hub in the 1990s with brands like Sili Supermarket and Apollo Convenience Store [1]. - The convenience store landscape in Zhengzhou consists of local chains (e.g., Yuelai Yuexi, Fulujia), domestic leaders (e.g., Meiyijia, Tangjiu Convenience), and foreign brands (e.g., 7-ELEVEn) [1]. - The convenience store coverage density in Zhengzhou exceeds the national average, but it faces deep-rooted challenges in regional competition and growth momentum [1][3]. Group 2: Market Data - According to the China Chain Store & Franchise Association, Zhengzhou's convenience store per capita coverage is 5,807 people/store, better than the national average of 6,866 people/store, but ranks fourth among six provincial capitals in Central China [1][2]. - The convenience store development index in Zhengzhou grew by only 0.3% in 2024, a decrease of 4.25 percentage points from the previous year, dropping 16 places to 27th among 40 surveyed cities [3]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Local convenience store brands in Zhengzhou are perceived as "weak" despite a large number of stores, with limited expansion capabilities outside the province [3][10]. - The competition is intense, with brands like Yuelai Yuexi achieving over 1 billion yuan in annual sales and 7-ELEVEn setting a global single-day sales record upon opening in Zhengzhou [11][12]. - The lack of a dominant local brand with over a thousand stores contributes to a fragmented market where brands compete fiercely for locations and supply chain efficiency [10][14]. Group 4: Consumer Behavior and Trends - The convenience store sector in Zhengzhou is evolving, with brands focusing on stable consumer traffic locations such as subway stations and major commercial areas [14][18]. - There is a growing trend towards 24-hour operations, with Yuelai Yuexi leading in this area to stimulate the local "night economy" [18][19]. - The convenience stores are also working to cultivate consumer habits of relying on them for daily meals, leveraging Zhengzhou's status as a major food production area [19][21]. Group 5: Future Prospects - Zhengzhou's convenience store ecosystem has significant growth potential, supported by a large number of individual businesses and a high student population [22][24]. - The local market is characterized by a high number of individual operators, which poses a challenge to convenience stores in terms of competition for consumer spending [22][25]. - The industry is expected to continue evolving, with a focus on enhancing supply chain resilience and optimizing product offerings to meet consumer demands [25][26].
全球可持续城市平台亚洲城市学院活动举行
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-05-15 03:31
Group 1 - The event held in Guangzhou from May 12 to 14 focused on sustainable urban development, with participation from over 20 cities including Shanghai, Chongqing, and international representatives from Paris, Bogotá, and Baguio [1][2] - Liu Qiang, Deputy Director of the China Urban and Small Town Reform and Development Center, emphasized the need for cities to strengthen planning, coordinate green, resilient, and smart development, and deepen practical cooperation [1] - Chen Jie, Executive Vice Mayor of Guangzhou, highlighted the city's achievements in green infrastructure, ecological protection, and climate adaptability, expressing a commitment to share experiences and learn from advanced concepts and technologies [1] Group 2 - Xu Xiaoli, Deputy Director of the Ministry of Natural Resources' Land and Space Planning Research Center, stated that land space planning should support livable, smart, and resilient urban development through various strategies [2] - Cai Yongli, a professor at Shanghai Jiao Tong University, shared innovative practices in the Yangtze River Delta's green ecological integration, focusing on nested governance, dual decision-making systems, and digital support platforms [2] - The Global Sustainable Cities Platform, led by the World Bank, aims to provide technical support and innovative tools for cities facing rapid urbanization and climate change challenges, with the regional urban academy project addressing unique needs of Asian cities [2]
推进可再生能源快速发展下的电网韧性建设
Zhong Guo Dian Li Bao· 2025-05-15 02:17
Core Viewpoint - The major power outage in Spain on April 28 serves as a significant warning for global energy transition, highlighting the vulnerabilities of electric grids under high renewable energy penetration [1] Group 1: Challenges in Renewable Energy Integration - The recent power outage in Spain is not an isolated incident, as similar stability crises have occurred in Germany and California due to high renewable energy penetration [3] - Key challenges include the volatility of renewable energy generation, which is heavily influenced by weather, and the lack of traditional inertia support from fossil fuel power plants [3] - There is a structural shortage of flexible resources such as energy storage and gas power generation, which hampers the grid's ability to respond to sudden power fluctuations [3] - The existing transmission capacity is insufficient to match the uneven distribution of renewable energy, limiting the ability for cross-regional power sharing [3] - The rapid expansion of renewable energy capacity is not matched by necessary upgrades in grid adaptability, with Spain's renewable energy generation reaching 51.5% in 2023 while grid investment has declined [3] Group 2: Recommendations for Grid Resilience - To enhance grid resilience, it is essential to accelerate the construction of energy storage systems and flexible resources, including the retrofitting of coal power plants for flexibility [5] - Upgrading the grid's "nervous system" through digital twin technology and smart sensors can significantly improve monitoring and response capabilities [5] - Strengthening cross-regional power sharing requires both domestic and international efforts, including the construction of ultra-high voltage transmission lines and collaboration with neighboring regions [5] Group 3: Policy and Market Mechanisms - Establishing a robust auxiliary service market is crucial for incentivizing flexible resources to participate in grid management [6] - Enhancing extreme weather response capabilities through a comprehensive early warning system and emergency response plans is necessary for sustainable energy transition [6]