29 May 2025 Emerging bond dynamic and regime change Toronto The tariff threat to the tariff retreat has now been reduced to a two-day cycle. Donald Trump threatened Europe with a higher 50% tariff last Friday and then on Sunday extended the deadline for Europe to come to an agreement from 1 June to 9 July. This latest twist and turn will have further convinced investors of what many were already assuming, based on GREED & fear's meetings with investors in North America this week. That is, that the 47th Pres ...

Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific company or industry insights, focusing instead on disclaimers and disclosures related to investment advice and performance [1][2][3]

_Before trading options, please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options here: https://www.theocc.com/Company-Information/Documents-and-Archives/Options-Disclosure-Document_ Tony discusses the current trade peace and the rise in US and Japanese bond yields. He then shares a trade idea for an AI-powered software company and looks back to a recent trade for a video communications company. Questions? Drop them below 👇 and we’ll reply right in the comments. - For more about In the Money: https://w ...

Group 1 - The divergence between stock prices and bond prices indicates differing market outlooks, with stocks reflecting optimism and bonds showing pessimism about the economy [7][27][28] - The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (TLT) has decreased by 8% over the past six weeks, while the S&P 500 has increased significantly, suggesting a potential misalignment in market expectations [3][14] - The U.S. national debt is approaching $37 trillion, with a debt-to-GDP ratio of 123%, raising concerns about fiscal sustainability and potential economic collapse [15][16][18] Group 2 - The "Bond Vigilantes" are reacting to perceived irresponsible fiscal policies, particularly the proposed $3.8 trillion budget bill by the Trump Administration, which could exacerbate the national debt [10][12][13] - The Federal Reserve is likely to maintain its current stance on interest rates due to ongoing economic uncertainty and inflation concerns, influenced by trade policies and tariffs [25][26] - The stock market may present opportunities despite the debt concerns, as historical trends show that market performance can thrive even amid rising national debt [20][21][22] Group 3 - The upcoming "Liberation Day 2.0" economic framework under the Trump Administration is expected to favor sectors such as tax, tech, and energy, potentially benefiting specific stocks [32][33] - Companies like Kohl's Corp. are identified as potential losers due to their lack of pricing power and vulnerability to rising input costs from tariffs [34][35] - The market is advised to focus on identifying winners and losers within the context of the new economic policies, rather than adopting a binary view of the stock and bond markets [30][31]

Bond proxies are shares that are likely to offer predictable returns, and they can sometimes have higher yields than bond market offerings. A true bond proxyThe CrickAnt is an actuary for an insurance company utilizing his work experience to do analysis on insurance and reinsurance companies. He is a contributing author to the investing group Cash Flow Club where along with Darren McCammon and Jonathan Weber, they focus on company cash flows and their access to capital. Core features of the Cash Flow Club i ...

SHANGHAI, China, May 27, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- GDS Holdings Limited (“GDS Holdings”, “GDS” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: GDS; HKEX: 9698), a leading developer and operator of high-performance data centers in China, today announced the commencement of a proposed offering (the “Notes Offering”) of convertible senior notes in an aggregate principal amount of US$450 million due 2032 (the “Notes”), subject to market conditions and other factors, in a private offering to persons reasonably believed to be qualifie ...

Today’s stock market is as different as it can be from the one that most investors are used to seeing in the past. The new market regime requires participants to be more aware of what is happening everywhere, lest they miss out on life-changing opportunities or overstay their welcome when things are going well and give up most (if not all) of their gains back to the marketplace. The true way to stay in sync with the market is not by watching and understanding one market closely every day, such as the S&P 50 ...

Group 1 - The company, Realkredit Danmark, has completed the auctions of mortgage covered bonds (SDRO's) in series 12E and 12F for the refinancing of RD Cibor6® effective from 1 July 2025 [1] - The results of the auctions are detailed in an appendix attached to the announcement [1]

Group 1: Target and Retail Sector - Target's earnings report led to a 5% drop in stock price, followed by a 3% rebound, indicating market disappointment but limited movement overall [3][4] - The company lowered its guidance and is losing market share to competitors like Walmart and Costco, compounded by a boycott related to its DEI policies [4][5] - Williams Sonoma also reported disappointing earnings, initially dropping 9% before stabilizing, reflecting a broader trend of bad news being priced into retail stocks [5][6] - Gap is highlighted as a potential standout, with a 59% increase in stock price since mid-April, suggesting positive market sentiment ahead of its upcoming earnings report [6][7] Group 2: Reddit and Market Volatility - Reddit's stock experienced significant volatility, dropping 24% over the week after an 11% rally, raising concerns about changing user habits due to AI [9][10] - Despite strong earnings showing a 61% revenue increase and a 31% rise in daily active users, the market is questioning the sustainability of this growth amid shifting traffic patterns [11][10] Group 3: CoreWeave and AI Trade - CoreWeave's stock has surged approximately 80% since its IPO, driven by a $4 billion deal with OpenAI for cloud computing services [14][16] - The company reported a 420% year-over-year revenue increase, indicating strong demand for AI infrastructure [16][18] - The ongoing AI trade is attracting investor interest, with CoreWeave exemplifying the potential for new players in the market [13][18] Group 4: Bond Market and Economic Indicators - Moody's downgrade of US treasuries has led to a rise in the 30-year treasury yield, which is currently above 5%, the highest since 2007 [22][23] - The downgrade reflects concerns over rising national debt and fiscal deficits, with no immediate resolution in sight [24][25] - Upcoming economic data, including the PCE inflation gauge, is anticipated to provide further insights into the economic landscape [28][29]

Market Overview - Market indexes showed resilience against high bond yields, with the 30-year bond yield at +5.05%, the highest in 18 years, but moderated from previous spikes [1] - Major indexes finished flat, with the Dow, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 remaining unchanged, while the Nasdaq closed up +53 points (+0.28%) [2] - Despite being in the red over the past five trading days, the indexes have seen double-digit gains over the past month [2] Quarterly Earnings Summary - **Workday (WDAY)**: Reported Q1 earnings of $2.23 per share on $2.4 billion in sales, beating previous figures of $1.99 per share and $2.22 billion. However, shares fell -5% due to steady guidance and reduced capex spending [3] - **Deckers Outdoor (DECK)**: Earnings of $1.00 per share exceeded the Zacks consensus of 57 cents, with revenues of $1.02 billion surpassing expectations of $988.6 million. Shares dropped -11% due to lower-than-expected guidance for the current quarter and full-year guidance held back due to tariff issues [3] - **Intuit (INTU)**: Surpassed earnings expectations with $11.65 per share against a consensus of $10.89, and revenues of $7.75 billion exceeding the $7.54 billion forecast. Shares rose +5% following a significant increase in next-quarter guidance driven by Credit Karma growth [4] - **Ross Stores (ROST)**: Beat earnings estimates by 4 cents with $1.47 per share on $4.98 billion in revenues, slightly above consensus. Same-store sales were flat but improved from a projected decline. Shares fell -9% due to lower next-quarter earnings guidance attributed to tariff pressures [5] - **AutoDesk (ADSK)**: Reported Q1 earnings of $2.29 per share, beating the anticipated $2.14, with revenues of $1.63 billion slightly above the forecast of $1.61 billion. Shares gained +5% due to positive next-quarter guidance [6]