电力设备 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2025 年 7 月 6 日 强于大市 电力设备与新能源行业 7月 第 1 周周报 光伏供给侧改革持续推进 新能源汽车方面，乘联分会预估 6月全国新能源乘用车厂商批发销量 126 万 辆，同比增长 29%，下半年随着新能源新车型不断推出，新能源汽车产品 力不断增强，2025 年国内新能源汽车销量有望保持高增，带动电池和材料需 求增长。动力电池方面，固态电池产业化趋势明确，后续关注固态电池相关 材料和设备企业验证进展。光伏方面，中央经济工作会议明确提出综合整治 "内卷式"竞争，中央财经委员会明确将依法依规治理企业低价无序竞争， 引导企业提升产品品质，推动落后产能有序退出，光伏供给侧提质、增效主 线明确；需求侧，我国 5 月光伏装机高达 92.92GW，装机同比增长 388%， 可能一定程度上压制 25H2 光伏装机需求，密切关注供给变化情况，光伏板 块重点关注供给侧强催化的硅料环节和 BC、贱金属新技术方向。氢能方面， 政策持续推动氢能产业化发展，能源局开展能源领域氢能试点，地方政策催 化不断，建议关注具备成本优势、技术优势的电解槽生产企业、受益于氢能 基础设施建设的燃 ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·电力设备 电力设备行业跟踪周报 固态产业化进度加快，锂电龙头旺季提前 2025 年 07 月 06 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 曾朵红 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 阮巧燕 执业证书：S0600517120002 021-60199793 ruanqy@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 许钧赫 执业证书：S0600123070121 xujunhe@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -8% -3% 2% 7% 12% 17% 22% 27% 32% 37% 42% 2024-7-5 2024-11-3 2025-3-4 2025-7-3 电力设备 沪深300 相关研究 《效率持续提升、GW 线逐步落地， 钙钛矿产业曙光渐近》 2025-07-02 《锂电排产旺季将临，固态技术迭代 加速 》 2025-06-30 东吴证券研究所 1 / 46 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 电气设备 7107 上涨 1.99%，表现强于大盘。 ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·机械设备 机械设备行业跟踪周报 持续推荐固态电池催化的锂电设备；关注人 形机器人灵巧手进展 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 1.推荐组合：北方华创、三一重工、中微公司、恒立液压、中集集团、拓荆科技、海天国际、柏 楚电子、晶盛机电、杰瑞股份、浙江鼎力、杭叉集团、HJT 整线设备龙头、先导智能、长川科技、 华测检测、安徽合力、精测电子、纽威股份、芯源微、绿的谐波、海天精工、杭可科技、伊之密、 新莱应材、高测股份、纽威数控、华中数控。 2.投资要点： 【固态电池设备】固态电池 0-1 快速发展，产业化初期设备商优先受益 固态电池具备高能量密度&高安全性，未来应用场景广阔。固态电池与液态电池的本质区别在于 电解质的形态，全固态电池具备高能量密度、高安全性等优势，当前半固态电池开启规模化装车， 全固态电池预计 2027 年开始小批量上车，2030 年后规模化应用于储能领域，低空经济&人形机 器人也有望打开应用空间。我们预计固态电池 2025 年陆续完成中试，2026-2027 年陆续小批量装 车，2028-2029 年形成规模化量产。全固态电池干法工艺为 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 07 06 年 月 日 电力设备 反内卷促光伏供给侧改革，荣耀推出行业最高负极硅含量旗舰新机 光伏：破除"内卷式"竞争，关注光伏供给侧改革机会。6 月 29 日，人民日报推出 金社平文章《在破除"内卷式"竞争中实现高质量发展》指出，"要深化要素市场 化配置改革，主动破除地方保护、市场分割和'内卷式'竞争。"7 月 1 日，中央 财经委员会第六次会议表示要依法依规治理企业低价无序竞争，引导企业提升产 品品质，推动落后产能有序退出。7 月 3 日，工信部党组书记、部长李乐成主持召 开第十五次制造业企业座谈会，聚焦加快推动光伏产业高质量发展，听取光伏行 业企业及行业协会情况介绍和意见建议，并表示要巩固提升优势，治理光伏行业 低价无序竞争，加快塑造我国下一代光伏产品的竞争优势。光伏行业积极响应供 给侧改革，根据索比光伏网报道，光伏玻璃厂计划 7 月开始集体减产 30%以响应 "反内卷"号召，预计后续多晶硅料价格也有望反弹上行。核心关注两大方向：1） 供给侧偏刚性、后续需求复苏后价格弹性更大的硅料、玻璃和石英砂，核心关注协 鑫科技、通威股份、大全能源、石英 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the photovoltaic and wind energy sectors, emphasizing the importance of supply chain integration and government policies [1][5][24]. Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing a "de-involution" movement, with significant government intervention expected to address low-price competition and excess capacity [5][24]. - The wind energy sector is projected to maintain a robust installation capacity of over 100GW in 2026, despite a slowdown in bidding activity [1][12][24]. - The report highlights the importance of government policies, such as the U.S. "Big Beautiful Act," which alleviates uncertainties for solar and storage exports to the U.S. [1][3][5]. Summary by Sections Photovoltaic & Energy Storage - The "de-involution" initiative in the photovoltaic sector has reached a high level, with government meetings signaling strong administrative intervention to address pricing issues and capacity clearing [5][24]. - Supply chain integration is crucial, particularly in the silicon material segment, which is central to the current capacity surplus [5][24]. - The report anticipates a recovery in silicon prices, contingent on the downstream price transmission capabilities and collective self-discipline within the industry [5][24]. Wind Energy - The domestic price of onshore wind turbines has shown a recovery trend in Q2, with expectations for continued strong installation capacity in 2026 [1][12][24]. - The report notes that even with a slowdown in bidding, historical data suggests that installation figures will remain stable due to previously approved projects [12][24]. - The central government has reiterated its commitment to promoting orderly development in offshore wind energy [1][12][24]. Electric Grid - Recent approvals for high-voltage direct current projects indicate significant investment potential, with expected project investments exceeding 500 billion and 170 billion yuan for specific projects [2][14][15]. - The report highlights the anticipated increase in equipment bidding for high-voltage projects, projecting a breakthrough of 500 billion yuan in 2025 [15][17]. Lithium Battery - The report emphasizes the long-term potential of lithium metal anodes, which can achieve higher energy densities compared to traditional materials [2][18][24]. - It suggests a focus on leading companies in various processing routes for lithium metal anodes, as well as solid-state battery technologies [18][24]. Hydrogen and Fuel Cells - The extension of tax credits for hydrogen projects in the U.S. provides a critical window for industry development [3][23]. - The European Union's new framework for clean industrial support is expected to accelerate the deployment of green hydrogen projects [3][23]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends specific companies across various sectors, including photovoltaic glass manufacturers, battery cell producers, and offshore wind cable suppliers, highlighting their potential for recovery and growth [24].

Market Performance - A-shares and H-shares exhibited divergent performance this week, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high of 3472.32 points, marking a weekly increase of 1.4%, while the Hang Seng Index fell below the 24000-point mark, with a weekly decline of 1.52% [1][2] - The divergence in market performance led to a slight decline of 0.77% in the 每经品牌100指数, closing at 1068.62 points [1] A-share Market - The A-share market maintained a strong upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index successfully standing above 3400 points since June 24, and peaking at 3497 points this week [2] - Key stocks in the A-share market included 宝钢股份, which surged by 8%, and several other companies like 浦发银行, 上汽集团, and 宁德时代, which saw increases of over 5% [2][3] H-share Market - The H-share market faced continuous adjustments, primarily due to the decline of leading internet companies, which are significant components of the 每经品牌100指数 [2] - Only 华润啤酒 among H-share constituents saw an increase of over 5% this week [2] Solid-State Battery Industry - 宁德时代 experienced a strong performance, with a weekly increase of 5.9% in A-shares and 9.17% in H-shares, reaching a new high since its listing in Hong Kong [6] - The company is committed to investing in solid-state battery technology, with expectations for small-scale production by 2027, indicating a significant acceleration in the solid-state battery industry's development [7] Steel Industry - 宝钢股份 was the top performer among the 每经品牌100指数 constituents, with a weekly increase exceeding 8%, driven by improved demand and tightening supply in the steel industry [8] - The steel ETF (515210) also saw a rise of 5.4%, reflecting positive sentiment in the sector, supported by government policies aimed at stabilizing infrastructure investment and improving product quality [8][9]

Investment Overview - A significant investment of 1.1 billion yuan has been completed, led by CATL and its subsidiary Puxian Capital, with participation from various funds including the National Development Bank and Beijing Robotics Industry Fund [1] - This financing marks the largest single investment in the field of embodied large model robots to date, with Galaxy General having raised over 2.4 billion yuan in total funding over two years, setting a record in this sector [1] Company Development - Galaxy General, established in May 2023, focuses on the research and development of embodied multimodal large model general robots, with its first product, Galbot G1, unveiled in June 2024 [1] - Galbot G1 can achieve a 95% success rate in grasping various materials using only synthetic data for training [1] Market Position and Future Plans - The founder and CTO of Galaxy General, Wang He, emphasized the importance of human-like robots in achieving productivity and service capabilities in various sectors [2] - The company has launched the world's first end-to-end embodied large model, GraspVLA, which demonstrates zero-shot generalization capabilities [2] - Galaxy General has also introduced a smart retail solution utilizing Galbot for automated inventory management in unmanned stores, with plans to expand to 100 unmanned pharmacies in major cities by the end of the year [2] Valuation and Industry Interest - Galaxy General's valuation has surpassed 1 billion USD, classifying it as a "unicorn" in the embodied robot sector [3] - The market for embodied intelligent robots has attracted significant attention from industry giants, with CATL investing in multiple robotics projects and exploring potential collaborations [3] Technological Advancements - Recent advancements in lithium battery technology in China have enhanced energy density, safety, and cycle life, supporting the application of lithium batteries in humanoid robots [4] - There is a growing recognition of the potential of solid-state batteries in the development of humanoid robots, which may become a core technology in future smart devices due to their safety and endurance advantages [4]

Group 1: Gold Market Overview - The Shanghai Gold Exchange reported a slight decline in gold prices, with the price of gold 9999 closing at 776.14 yuan per gram, down 0.53% from the previous day, with a trading range of 768 to 772.4 yuan per gram [1] - Other gold specifications also experienced declines ranging from 0.32% to 0.70%, indicating a relatively stable overall trend despite the price drop [1] Group 2: Retail Gold Prices - Significant price differentiation was observed among various gold brands, with retail prices for gold jewelry reaching as high as 1005 yuan per gram for brands like Chow Tai Fook and Luk Fook, while lower prices were noted for brands like China Gold at 969 yuan per gram [2][4] - Investment gold bar prices remained stable, fluctuating around 785 yuan per gram, while bank prices for investment gold bars varied between 784 and 789 yuan per gram [4] Group 3: Gold Recycling Prices - The gold recycling price was reported at 760 yuan per gram for 99.9% purity gold, with varying prices for different gold purities, such as 22K gold at 673 yuan per gram and 18K gold at 547 yuan per gram [5] Group 4: Platinum Market Outlook - The platinum market faces challenges due to the rapid development of global electric vehicles impacting traditional automotive catalyst demand, with a projected decrease of 50,000 ounces in platinum demand from the automotive sector in 2025 [6] - However, the rise of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles presents a new growth opportunity, as their platinum demand exceeds that of traditional fuel vehicles [6] - The industrial demand for platinum is expected to decline by 8% year-on-year in 2025, influenced by cyclical downturns in the glass industry and changes in international trade dynamics [6]

Core Viewpoint - Buick is focusing on enhancing battery safety in electric vehicles, emphasizing that safety is a fundamental principle rather than a luxury, especially in light of recent incidents involving electric vehicle fires [1][3]. Group 1: Battery Safety Measures - Buick's E5 model demonstrated effective battery protection during a high-speed collision, where the battery did not catch fire despite severe damage [1]. - The battery design includes a multi-layer protective structure, featuring an aluminum shell and a shock-absorbing space to mitigate collision impacts [1][2]. - The battery pack employs a "grid beam" structure made of high-strength steel, enhancing its ability to withstand various forces [2]. Group 2: Thermal Management and Fire Prevention - The battery system incorporates a thermal management design that includes heat insulation walls and a water cooling plate to quickly dissipate heat in case of thermal runaway [2]. - A "firewall" made of high-temperature resistant materials is installed to prevent fire from spreading to the passenger cabin during a thermal event [2][3]. Group 3: Collaboration and Development - Buick collaborates with CATL to develop a specialized battery formula that offers strong thermal stability and longevity, although it comes at a higher cost [3]. - The stringent safety standards for the battery design were influenced by past incidents, leading to a commitment to redundancy in safety features [3].

Core Viewpoint - The industrialization of solid-state batteries requires a collaborative innovation across the entire material system, focusing on the reconstruction of the electrochemical environment within the battery [1] Group 1: Solid-State Battery Materials - The iteration of cathode materials is crucial for achieving performance breakthroughs in solid-state batteries, with companies like Rongbai Technology advancing their first-generation 8-series ternary materials to ton-level verification, matching the cost of liquid batteries [2] - The second-generation 9-series ultra-high nickel materials with a capacity greater than 230mAh/g have been shipped to major clients, while the third-generation lithium-rich manganese-based materials (capacity > 300mAh/g) are in joint development, aiming for small batch shipments by 2025 [2] - Xiamen Tungsten's new "NL" cathode material structure shows significant improvements in energy density and rate performance due to its stable structure and wider interlayer spacing [2] Group 2: Cost Reduction and Production Capacity - The use of inexpensive metals instead of precious metals in materials presents significant long-term cost reduction potential, with current production capacity at the kiloton level, primarily targeting low-altitude economy and 3C consumer sectors [3] - Hunan Enjie, a subsidiary of Enjie Co., is innovating in the solid-state battery sector by adopting a "one-step" carbon thermal reduction process to produce high-purity lithium sulfide, with a hundred-ton production capacity established [3] - Enjie predicts that the price of lithium sulfide may drop to 500,000 yuan per ton within the next 3-5 years [3] Group 3: Electrolyte Development - Enjie is building a full-chain advantage from "electrolyte powder" to "electrolyte film," with a high ionic conductivity of 6mS/cm for its nanometer-level sulfide electrolyte powder and plans for a kiloton production line [4] - Xiamen Tungsten is developing a unique lithium sulfide synthesis process, claiming significant advantages in purity and cost, and is preparing to promote it to domestic and international clients [4] - Rongbai Technology is also actively developing optimized particle size distribution for sulfide electrolytes, with pilot verification planned for the fourth quarter of the same year [4] Group 4: Supporting Materials and Integration - BlueTing New Energy has introduced metal-organic framework (MOF) materials, which enhance lithium-ion conduction and extend the cycle life of solid-state batteries by 30-50% [4] - BlueTing has combined MOF with inorganic electrolytes to define a "super solid-state electrolyte (SSE)" and has formed strategic partnerships with electrolyte companies to provide interface solutions for mainstream technology routes [5] - Ganfeng Lithium, as a "full-stack integrator," has achieved milestone breakthroughs in battery cells, realizing small batch production of lithium metal batteries with an energy density of 500Wh/kg [6] Group 5: Market Applications - Ganfeng is expanding the application of semi-solid and solid-state batteries from electric vehicles to low-altitude economy aircraft and high-end consumer electronics, showcasing a complete closed-loop from materials to commercialization [6]