Group 1 - The provincial government has extended the unemployment insurance policy measures, including the stable job return and skills enhancement subsidies, until the end of 2025 [1] - Large enterprises will receive a 30% refund of the unemployment insurance paid in the previous year, while small and micro enterprises will receive a 60% refund [1] - The funds from the stable job return can be used for employee living allowances, social insurance payments, job transfer training, and skills enhancement training [1] Group 2 - The skills enhancement subsidy policy has been relaxed, expanding eligibility to more beneficiaries [1] - Employees who have participated in unemployment insurance for over 12 months and obtain vocational qualifications or skill level certificates can receive subsidies of 1000 yuan for junior, 1500 yuan for intermediate, and 2000 yuan for senior levels [1] - The notification emphasizes improved service management, including a "no application required" approach for stable job returns and direct fund transfers for small enterprises without public accounts [2]

Group 1 - The latest data indicates a concerning trend in the U.S. labor market, with continued unemployment claims rising to 1.92 million, the highest level since November 2021, exceeding economists' expectations of 1.89 million, suggesting potential pressure on the labor market [1] - The increase in unemployment claims has not yet shown a significant impact in the non-farm payroll report, with the unemployment rate in April at 4.2%, the highest since July of the previous year, but this increase has not raised widespread market concerns [1][3] - Analysts believe the current labor market trend reflects a "low hiring, low layoffs" state, with initial unemployment claims slightly up by 14,000 to 240,000, indicating that the overall economy is still absorbing labor despite a slowdown [3] Group 2 - Experts anticipate that the labor market may face more noticeable pressure in the coming months, particularly with the release of non-farm employment data and expectations of economic growth slowing in the second half of the year [5] - The dynamics of the labor market are becoming crucial for observing future economic trends, influenced by high inflation, rising interest rates, and global trade uncertainties [3]

Group 1 - The report from Dongwu Securities indicates that the consumption growth rate among the 20-39 age group has significantly declined, contributing to approximately 44% of the overall consumption decrease from 2018 to 2022, compared to a 30.3% increase from 2010 to 2018 [1][5] - The consumption decline is most pronounced in the 20-30 age group, where their contribution to consumption growth plummeted from 13.8% (2010-2018) to just 0.8% (2018-2022) [5][24] - The elderly population (60 years and older) has become the largest contributor to consumption growth, particularly in food and healthcare sectors, contrasting sharply with the declining consumption in entertainment categories like KTV and bars [7][24] Group 2 - The average age in China has reached a median of 40 years, indicating a demographic shift where the primary consumer base will transition from those under 40 to those over 40 in the next decade [10][40] - The report highlights a concerning trend of increasing youth unemployment, which is linked to the decline in consumption among younger demographics, creating a chain reaction affecting overall consumption [5][17] - The elderly population, while contributing significantly to consumption growth, faces challenges as their income and average consumption levels have not kept pace with the rapid aging of the population [29][30] Group 3 - The consumption tendency among the youth has dropped dramatically, with a decline of 46.1 percentage points for the 20-39 age group since 2020, indicating a shift towards more conservative spending behaviors [34][35] - The report suggests that as the population ages and the youth demographic shrinks, businesses will increasingly target consumers aged 40 and above, who tend to be more rational and less impulsive in their spending [27][28] - The overall consumer landscape is changing, with brands likely to shift focus from younger consumers to older demographics, reflecting the broader societal changes in consumption patterns [39][40]

2025 年 5 月 30 日 锡：下破震荡区间 | 王蓉 | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002529 | wangrong013179@gtjas.com | | --- | --- | --- | | 刘雨萱 | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020476 | liuyuxuan023982@gtjas.com | 【基本面跟踪】 锡基本面数据 | | 锡基本面数据 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅% | 昨日夜盘收盘价 | 夜盘涨幅 | | | | 沪锡主力合约 | 257,870 | 0.34% | 251,810 | -2.28% | | 期 | 货 | 伦锡3M电子盘 | 30,850 | -2.05% | - | - | | 及 | 现 | | 昨日成交 | 较前日变动 | 昨日持仓 | 较前日变动 | | 货 | 电 | 沪锡主力合约 | 101,767 | 5,435 | 28,610 | 389 | | 子 | 盘 | 伦锡3M电子盘 | 180 | - 9 | 13,988 | ...

5月29日稍晚时，美国白宫新闻秘书莱维特证实两人已经会面。她补充说："总统确实说过，他认为美联储主席 不降低利率是一个错误。" 自开启第二任期以来，特朗普多次公开施压鲍威尔，要求美联储降息，并表示自己有能力"罢免"鲍威尔。不 过，在引发金融市场大震荡后，特朗普又转而表示自己"无意"罢免鲍威尔。 特朗普会见鲍威尔 美联储5月29日在其官网发布声明称，应美国总统特朗普邀请，美联储主席鲍威尔当天赴白宫与特朗普会面， 讨论包括增长、就业和通胀在内的经济发展问题。 特朗普与鲍威尔会面了！ 当地时间5月29日，美联储发布声明表示，美联储主席鲍威尔当日在白宫与特朗普会面，讨论包括增长、就业 和通胀在内的经济发展问题。美联储称，鲍威尔并未讨论他对货币政策的预期。 声明称，鲍威尔并未讨论他对货币政策的预期，只是强调政策路径将完全取决于即将发布的经济信息及其对经 济前景的影响。 鲍威尔还向特朗普表示，他与美联储决策机构联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)的同事将依法制定货币政策，以支 持最大就业和物价稳定，并将完全基于审慎、客观和非政治性的分析作出政策决定。 当天晚些时候，美国白宫新闻秘书莱维特证实两人已经会面。莱维特表示，白宫及总统 ...

【资讯导读】 ·美上诉法院恢复实施特朗普政府关税政策 ·美称以方已接受临时停火方案哈马斯说以方回应未考虑其要求 ·美国第一季度GDP修正值按年率计算萎缩0.2% ·日本财务大臣：将密切关注超长期利率的走势 ·韩国央行将基准利率下调25个基点至2.5% ·美国联邦巡回上诉法院29日批准特朗普政府的请求，暂时搁置美国国际贸易法院此前做出的禁止执行 特朗普政府依据《国际紧急经济权力法》对多国加征关税措施的行政令的裁决。 ·美国国务院29日向国会通报其将进行大规模重组，国务院700多个国内办事机构中的近45%将被撤销、 整合或精简。 ·针对媒体当前有关伊朗与美国即将达成协议的猜测，伊朗外长阿拉格齐29日表示，"我们并不确定是否 已到这一步"。 ·美国白宫官员29日说，以色列已接受美国提出的一项60天加沙地带临时停火方案。巴勒斯坦伊斯兰抵 抗运动（哈马斯）高级官员当晚发表声明说，哈马斯已收到以色列对加沙地带停火方案的回应，但该回 应没有考虑巴方要求。 ·美国房地产经纪人协会（NAR）数据显示，美国4月成屋签约销售指数环比大跌6.3%，为自2022年9月 以来的最大跌幅，预期降1%。成屋签约销售指数降至71.3，接近历史 ...

Key Points - The focus for financial data and events on May 30, 2025, includes various economic indicators from the US, Japan, Switzerland, and Canada [1][3] - Key US economic data to be released includes the Core PCE Price Index year-on-year and month-on-month, personal spending month-on-month, and the Chicago PMI for May [1] - Japan's unemployment rate for April and Switzerland's KOF Economic Leading Indicator for May are also significant data points to monitor [1]

周三，美国一家贸易法院裁定特朗普的大部分关税将不会生效，这一全面裁决表明总统越权了。经济学 家表示，这一裁决虽然带来了一定的缓解，但又给经济状况增添了另一层不确定性。 此前美国银行研究所报告显示，2月至4月期间，领取失业救济的高收入家庭数量同比大幅增加，4月中 低收入家庭申领人数同比亦显著上升。经济学家预计，受季节性波动数据调整难度影响，6月初请人数 可能突破今年20.5万至24.3万的区间，但这一趋势与近年相似，未必反映劳动力市场状况的实质性转 变。 美联储今晨的会议纪要显示，尽管决策者认为劳动力市场总体平衡，但"评估认为未来几个月劳动力市 场存在走弱风险"，并指出就业前景"存在相当大的不确定性"，其结果"在很大程度上取决于贸易政策及 其他政府政策的演变"。 智通财经APP获悉，美国至5月24日当周初请失业金人数 24万人，预期23万人，前值由22.7万人修正为 22.6万人。美国至5月17日当周续请失业金人数 191.9万人，预期189.4万人，前值由190.3万人修正为 189.3万人。 续请失业金人数数据与非农就业报告调查周相关，且刚刚创下周期新高，这可能导致失业率上升。续请 失业金人数涵盖了政府为计 ...

金十数据5月29日讯，High Frequency Economics经济学家Carl Weinberg指出，最新一周美国初请失业金 人数升至4月以来的最高水平，但他认为这一上升虽然值得关注，但尚未到令人担忧的程度。Weinberg 强调，从历史标准来看，申领人数仍处于低位，这表明企业仍不愿裁掉未来可能需要的熟练和经过培训 的员工。他写道："尽管GDP数据公布后不确定性依然高企，但企业对裁员仍持谨慎态度。" 分析师：初请数据上升虽值得关注 但尚未令人担忧 ...

Group 1 - The latest economic indicators in the US show a slight increase in initial jobless claims, rising from a revised 226,000 to 240,000, which is above the market expectation of 230,000 [1] - The US GDP for the first quarter has been revised down from a contraction of 0.3% to a contraction of 0.2% [1] - Following the release of this data, US Treasury yields experienced a significant decline, reversing an earlier upward trend [1] Group 2 - The current yield on the 10-year Treasury note is reported at 4.471%, while the 2-year Treasury yield stands at 3.978% [1]