Group 1 - The recent easing of international trade tensions has led to a rapid recovery in market risk appetite, resulting in a significant decline in gold prices, with London gold spot prices dropping 3.66% to $3202.2 per ounce and COMEX gold futures falling 3.72% to $3205 per ounce [2] - Analysts indicate that the adjustment in precious metal prices is primarily due to the unexpected extent of the easing in trade tensions, prompting a shift of funds from safe-haven assets to riskier assets [2][3] - The geopolitical landscape has also contributed to the decline in gold prices, with expectations of improved U.S.-Iran relations and a reduction in tensions between India and Pakistan [3] Group 2 - Speculative net long positions in COMEX gold decreased by 1,300 contracts to 161,200 contracts, while the long-to-short ratio rebounded by 1.6% [3] - The outlook for precious metals remains mixed, with key resistance levels providing support, and expectations of a shift in U.S. Federal Reserve policy potentially limiting further price declines [3][4] - The market is advised to monitor changes in U.S. Treasury yields, as recent political disagreements have impacted market expectations significantly [5]

Group 1 - Former President Biden has been diagnosed with malignant prostate cancer, with cancer cells having spread to his bones [1] - The diagnosis followed the discovery of a prostate nodule due to worsening urinary symptoms, with the diagnosis made on May 16 [1] - Despite being a more aggressive form of cancer, it appears to be hormone-sensitive, allowing for effective treatment options [1] Group 2 - Former President Trump expressed his condolences regarding Biden's health diagnosis and wished him a speedy recovery [4] - Trump has taken actions against Biden's previous policies, including revoking Biden's security clearance and stopping the provision of daily intelligence briefings [5] - Economic data released by the U.S. Commerce Department indicated a 0.3% contraction in GDP for Q1 2025, marking the worst quarterly performance since 2022 [5][6]

| 开盘 | 最高 | | 最低 | 昨收 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3217.85 分时 王日 | 3240.63 3206.22 分钟 周线 月线 MA | 日线 | | 3201.10 | | VIP | | | | | | | 3239.50 | | | | | | | | 3220.86 | | | | | | | | 3201.10 | | | | | | | | 3181.34 | | 周一（5月19日）亚太盘初，纳指期货跌0.74%，标普500指数期货跌近0.7%，道指期货跌0.71%。 美国30年期国债期货下跌21点，美国10年期国债期货下跌7点。 WTI原油期货跌幅一度扩大至1%，报61.30美元/桶。 | NYMEX原油 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CLOOY | | | | | | | | 61.90 | 今开 | 61.22 | 61.98 最高 62.44 | 最低 | | | | 6210 持仓 30.62万 日 ...

沃尔玛公司15日公布的截至今年4月30日的第一财季财报显示，该季度净利润为44.9亿美元，同比减少超过12%。沃尔玛首席执行官道格·麦克 米利恩当天表示，在零售利润空间狭窄的现实情况下，即便是在本周宣布的关税调整措施后，沃尔玛也无法消化关税带来的所有压力，更高的 关税将导致更高的价格。 沃尔玛首席财务官约翰·雷尼在接受美国媒体采访时也表示，关税带来的成本上涨超出了零售商的承受能力。消费者很可能在5月末开始看到涨 价出现，而6月份价格上涨肯定会更多。 沃尔玛首席财务官 约翰·雷尼：关税水平对所有零售商和供应商来说都极具挑战性，当然我们担心消费者会因此受到影响。关税水平，至少是 最初在4月初提出的关税水平，已经超出了零售商的承受能力。因此为了管理利润率，他们将研究所有类别的产品，并研究这些产品的需求弹 性。也许还会改变其他可能没有受关税影响的产品的价格。 约翰·雷尼说，虽然美国政府调整了关税税率，但对于消费者来说仍然太高了，他希望关税能够进一步降低。 美国零售巨头沃尔玛公司高管15日表示，受美国政府关税政策影响，该公司将于本月晚些时候开始上调部分商品在美售价。 摩根大通首席执行官 杰米·戴蒙：希望我们能够避免衰退 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the gold market is experiencing a complex situation influenced by weak U.S. economic data, rising recession risks, and geopolitical tensions [1][2] - U.S. economic indicators for April showed a significant decline, with the Producer Price Index (PPI) falling by 0.5%, retail sales growth dropping from 1.7% in March to 0.1%, and manufacturing output decreasing by 0.4% [1] - The gold price has broken below the key support level of $3200 per ounce, with a potential downward target of around $2900 per ounce, indicating a continuation of the bearish trend [2] Group 2 - Technical analysis suggests that the recent price movements are characterized as a technical correction rather than a trend reversal, with a significant resistance level at $3500 per ounce [2] - The current price rebound around $3160 is viewed as a short-term opportunity, with specific trading strategies recommended for both buying on dips and selling on rebounds [4] - The articles emphasize the importance of monitoring upcoming economic indicators, such as the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and the import price index, as well as geopolitical developments related to the Russia-Ukraine negotiations [1]

高盛：美国违约率大幅上升的风险下降 金十数据5月16日讯，高盛信贷研究分析师在一份报告中表示，美国经济衰退的风险降低，金融状况正 在改善，商业乐观情绪正在重新浮现，这降低了"违约率急剧加速"的可能性。贸易紧张局势的缓和和借 贷成本的下降为美国企业创造了有利条件。 ...

【具体会在盘中实时给出，可咨询联系布局指导】 后市在操作上： 下方关注 3060 美元/盎司（3月20日高点）支撑-企稳后，在 3070-308 美元/盎司附近参与做多； 上方关注 3285 美元/盎司（布林带上轨+均线50/100+黄金分割线0.382交汇处）压制-承压后再考虑在 3275-3265 美元/盎司附近参与做空 现货黄金震荡目前交投于 3185.15 美元/盎司，同比下跌54.51，跌幅 1.68%,最高触及 3251.82 美元/盎司，最低抵达 3153.99 美元/盎司。 从消息面来看：❶：美联储博斯蒂克：由于不确定性，预计今年将降息一次；❷：鲍威尔：美联储正在调整其总体政策制定框架，零利率已不再 是一个基本情况，需要重新考虑就业不足和平均通胀率的措辞，预计4月PCE降至2.2%；❸：美联储巴尔：美国经济基础稳固，但他警告称，与关 税相关的供应链中断可能导致经济增长放缓和通胀上升；➍：巴克莱不再预计美国在2025年下半年陷入衰退，并将经济增长预期从-0.3%上调至 0.5%；❺：川普：将在未来两到三周内对许多国家征收新的关税。 从技术面上看：目前金价多头动能渐趋枯竭，在多次高点后，出现较长的 ...

美国10年期国债收益率在美国经济数据公布后升至4.406%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, reported a decrease in holdings to 927.62 tons, down by 8.89 tons from the previous trading day, amid fluctuating gold prices influenced by economic data and geopolitical tensions [6]. Group 1: Gold ETF Holdings - As of May 15, the total holdings of SPDR Gold Trust stand at 927.62 tons [6]. - The holdings decreased by 8.89 tons compared to the previous trading day [6]. Group 2: Gold Price Movements - On May 15, spot gold prices fell to a low of $3120.34 per ounce, marking a drop of over 10% from the historical high of $3500 per ounce [6]. - Gold prices rebounded to close at $3239.61 per ounce, an increase of $62.48 or 1.97% after initially dropping [6]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) unexpectedly fell by 0.5% in April, the largest decline in five years, indicating that businesses absorbed some of the impacts of rising tariffs [6]. - Retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.1% in April, suggesting consumers are beginning to cut back on spending amid rising prices and tariff concerns [6]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Predictions - Analysts suggest that poor U.S. economic data has led to a decline in the dollar, supporting a rebound in gold prices [7]. - The geopolitical situation, particularly the lack of progress in peace negotiations involving Russia, is seen as favorable for gold [7]. - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that changes in economic conditions may lead to higher long-term interest rates, which could impact gold prices [7]. Group 5: Technical Analysis - Despite recovering above the $3200 mark, technical indicators remain negative, suggesting potential further declines in gold prices [7]. - Key support levels are identified at $3100 and $3060, with resistance at $3265 and $3300 [8].

Group 1: Gold Market Dynamics - The gold market experienced a significant reversal, with spot gold prices initially dropping nearly 2% to $3120.64, before rebounding to close at $3239.58, marking a daily increase of nearly 2% and a fluctuation of over $100 [1] - The recent volatility in gold prices is attributed to multiple factors, including reduced demand for safe-haven assets due to easing trade war concerns and a strengthening dollar, while a recovery in physical demand provided some support [14] Group 2: U.S. Economic Indicators - The U.S. economy is showing signs of weakness, with April's PPI experiencing its largest decline in five years, retail sales slowing, and the New York Fed manufacturing index contracting again, which has heightened expectations for potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the U.S. may be entering a period of more frequent and prolonged supply shocks, posing challenges for both the economy and the Fed [5] - Despite concerns about a potential recession, there is a cautious optimism among investors as the U.S. stock market shows resilience, although macro and micro-level risks remain [6] Group 3: International Monetary Policy - Mexico's central bank announced a 50 basis point cut in its benchmark interest rate to 8.00%, with indications that similar reductions may follow in future meetings [8] - Goldman Sachs has revised its economic growth forecasts for Mexico, projecting GDP stability in 2025 and an increase in growth expectations for 2026 [8] Group 4: Geopolitical Tensions - The situation in Israel escalated as Houthi forces claimed to have targeted Ben Gurion International Airport with a missile strike, indicating a potential increase in military actions [9][11] - The ongoing Russia-Ukraine negotiations have faced delays, with uncertainty surrounding the timing and agenda of future talks [12]