Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for April is reported at 95.8, which exceeds the expected value of 94.3 but is lower than the previous value of 97.4 [1] Group 2 - The current index indicates a slight improvement in small business confidence compared to expectations, suggesting a potential positive sentiment among small business owners [1] - The decline from the previous month's index reflects ongoing challenges faced by small businesses, despite the current month's better-than-expected performance [1]

Core Insights - The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for April is set to be released shortly, indicating potential shifts in small business sentiment and economic outlook [1] Group 1 - The upcoming release of the NFIB index is significant as it reflects the confidence levels of small businesses, which are crucial for economic growth [1]

欧洲央行管委马赫鲁夫：不确定性正对投资造成压力；经济数据疲软显示企业和消费者信心显著降温。 ...

Core Insights - The Australian National Bank's report indicates a rebound in the business confidence index to -1 points in April 2025, while the business conditions index fell to 2 points, suggesting threats to the economic recovery observed in Q4 of the previous year [1][2] - The report highlights a decline in corporate profitability as a key factor weakening the business conditions index, despite a slight improvement in business confidence, which remains below long-term averages [1] Business Conditions - The business conditions index components showed a decrease in the trading indicator from 6 points to 5 points, a drop in the profitability indicator from 0 points to -4 points, while the employment indicator remained unchanged at 4 points [1] - The forward orders index, a leading indicator for economic outlook, fell from -2 points to -3 points, and capacity utilization decreased from 82.8% to 81.4% [1] Cost Indicators - Labor costs maintained a three-month growth rate of 1.6%, while procurement cost growth increased from 1.4% to 1.7% [1] - Finished goods price growth rose from 0.6% to 0.8%, with retail finished goods price growth increasing from 0.9% to 1.4% [1] Sector Performance - The mining, transport, and utilities sectors experienced significant deterioration in business conditions in April, contrasting sharply with improvements seen in March [2] - Mining and leisure/personal services sectors reported the best business conditions, while manufacturing and retail sectors showed the worst performance [2] Economic Outlook - Overall, business conditions and confidence in Australia remain weak relative to average levels, indicating risks to the economic recovery [2] - The report suggests that Australian businesses have shown resilience against global tariff impacts, with minimal effects from increased U.S. tariffs and rising global uncertainties [2]

FICC日报 | 2025-05-13 中美经贸会谈联合声明提振风险偏好 市场分析 中美发布联合声明。宏观方面，中美经贸高层会谈联合声明发布，双方同意大幅降低双边关税水平，美方取消共 计91%的加征关税，中方相应取消91%的反制关税；美方暂停实施24%的"对等关税"，中方也相应暂停实施24%的 反制关税。中方还相应暂停或取消对美国的非关税反制措施。双方将建立机制，继续就经贸关系进行协商。根据 需要，双方可就相关经贸议题开展工作层面磋商。海外方面，美国总统特朗普签署行政命令，要求制药商降低美 国药品价格，与其他国家的药品价格保持一致。 股指强势。现货市场，A股三大指数高开高走，上证指数收盘涨0.82%收于3369.24点，创业板指涨2.63%。行业方 面，板块指数涨多跌少，国防军工、电力设备、机械设备、非银金融行业领涨，仅农林牧渔、医药生物、公用事 业、美容护理行业收跌。当日沪深两市成交金额增加至1.3万亿元。海外市场，美国三大股指大幅收涨，纳指涨4.35% 报18708.34点。 策略 中美日内瓦经贸汇谈联合声明超出市场预期，双方承诺将于2025年5月14日前采取实质性举措，具体包括修正并撤 销对彼此商品加征 ...

新华财经悉尼5月13日电（记者李晓渝）西太平洋银行（Westpac Bank）和墨尔本研究院（Melbourne Institute）13日发布的报告显示，受美国滥施关税及其引发的金融市场大跌影响，2025年5月澳大利亚西 太平洋银行／墨尔本研究院消费者信心指数（暨消费者情绪指数）回升2.2%至92.1点。分析人士据此预 测，澳大利亚央行即将再次降息。 西太平洋银行澳大利亚宏观经济预测主管马修·哈桑表示，受澳大利亚大选得出明确结果，以及全球金 融市场反弹影响，5月澳大利亚消费者信心指数有所回升，但仍然比3月水平低3.9%，说明消费者信心 仍然明显处于悲观状态。 具体来说，5月的消费者信心指数调查发现，预测未来一年经济状况的分项指标环比上升2.8%，至93 点。预测未来五年经济状况的分项指标环比上升0.2%，至98.6点。家庭相关指标方面，衡量未来一年家 庭财务状况的分项指标环比下降0.8%，至100.7点。反映家庭财务状况在过去一年中变化的分项指标环 比上升7%，至75.1点。决定购买主要家居用品时机的分项指标环比上升3.5%，至93.2点。 哈桑表示，决定购买主要家居用品时机的分项指标在5月同比上升21.9 ...

Core Viewpoint - The NAB business confidence index in Australia for April is reported at -1, an improvement from the previous value of -3 [1] Group 1 - The current business confidence index indicates a slight recovery in sentiment among Australian businesses compared to the previous month [1]

英国央行委员泰勒：英国商业信心的持续减弱在零售销售和采购经理人指数调查中仍然明显。 ...

Group 1 - Key Point 1: The U.S. President Trump is scheduled to visit Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE, which may impact geopolitical relations and economic ties in the region [2] - Key Point 2: The Bank of Japan will release the summary of opinions from its April monetary policy meeting, which could provide insights into future monetary policy directions [2] - Key Point 3: The UK will report on the ILO unemployment rate for March, the unemployment rate for April, and the number of unemployment benefit claims for April, which are critical indicators of the labor market [2] Group 2 - Key Point 1: Germany and the Eurozone will release the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for May, which is a key indicator of economic expectations [2] - Key Point 2: The U.S. will publish the NFIB Small Business Confidence Index for April, along with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April, including both unadjusted and seasonally adjusted figures [2] - Key Point 3: The Bank of England Governor Bailey is scheduled to give a speech, which may provide insights into the central bank's outlook and policy stance [2]

周一，据媒体报道，特朗普政府征收的关税已经开始对美国零售行业造成伤害，零售商、供应商和消费 者仍需共同承担一定程度的痛苦。 根据商务部周一消息，本次中美经贸高层会谈取得实质性进展，大幅降低双边关税水平，美方取消了共 计91%的加征关税，中方相应取消了91%的反制关税。 分析认为，虽然关税削减超预期，但对美国人来说，进口的非食品类商品将继续面临一定程度的价格通 胀。与此同时，美国对越南等其他重要制造国的关税只是暂停，而不是完全排除在外。贸易战的升级可 能已经避免，但消费者的关税冲击仍未解除。 关税下降但伤害已形成：经济增长、裁员和通胀的不确定性下，美国消费者需要时间才能重拾信心。而 即使他们真的重拾信心，零售商也可能面临更久的痛苦。 提前购买与消费力枯竭，消费者普遍的不安全感 在过去几个月中，消费者为了应对预期的价格上涨而抢购商品，汽车是那些试图抢先于价格上涨的消费 者的首选目标。但美国人也购买了家居用品、电子产品、服装和鞋类。而像汽车或沙发这样的大型昂贵 的购买不会重复，而且可能会耗尽用于其他类型支出的资金。 一些美国消费者可能因为不同的原因而不愿意挥霍：他们仍然对经济衰退感到紧张。很明显许多人正在 削减开支 ...