特朗普政府正在调查进口飞机、喷气发动机及其零部件是否构成国家安全威胁，此举可能是对商用航空 产业加征新关税的铺垫。 根据美国商务部周五发布的公告，调查已于5月1日启动，涉及对象包括商用飞机、喷气发动机以及相关 零部件。 公告称，调查内容包括"美国相关进口是否集中于少数供应商，以及由此产生的相关风险"，还将评 估"外国政府补贴和掠夺性贸易行为对行业竞争力的影响"。 波音737 Max机身在美国华盛顿州伦顿的制造工厂 这是特朗普近期发起的一系列调查中的最新一项，旨在为其所认为的关键产业争取关税保护。特朗普此 前已根据《1962年贸易扩展法》第232条对钢、铝、汽车及其零部件加征关税，并对铜、药品、半导体 芯片、中重型卡车等产品的进口发起调查。 该法律项下的调查通常会在270天内得出结论，但特朗普政府已多次加快相关行动的推进节奏。调查启 动并不意味着一定会征收新关税，但特朗普一贯将其作为扶持美国工业的重要工具。 特朗普此前已经依据紧急授权对欧盟的数十个贸易伙伴加征关税。这些关税成为当前多项谈判焦点。欧 盟是空中客车的总部所在，而该公司是波音主要竞争对手。 最新发起的调查是对过去50年来全球航空产业格局的又一挑战，凸 ...

Group 1 - The "China-Europe Diplomatic Relations 50th Anniversary Forum" was held to commemorate the 50 years of cooperation between China and the EU, focusing on global trade, investment, innovation, digital transformation, and climate action [1][3] - The forum highlighted the historical significance of the diplomatic relationship established in 1975, marking a key step in China's opening up to the world [3][4] - Keynote speeches emphasized the importance of strategic autonomy for the EU and the potential for cooperation in addressing challenges such as climate change and economic development [4][5] Group 2 - The forum featured discussions on the evolution of China-EU relations, emphasizing mutual respect and rule-based multilateralism as foundations for sustainable development [4][6] - The role of the China Europe International Business School (CEIBS) as a bridge for China-EU dialogue and cooperation was underscored, highlighting its contributions to economic and cultural exchanges [6][7] - Roundtable discussions focused on energy, trade, investment, and green development, with participants advocating for fair competition and sustainable development principles [7]

Core Viewpoint - Trump's new policy to impose a 100% tariff on foreign-made films entering the U.S. is seen as a continuation of his protectionist agenda, which may harm the domestic film industry rather than protect it [3][5]. Industry Impact - The proposed film tariff will significantly impact the U.S. film industry's supply chain, leading to increased production costs and potentially fewer films being produced, which could disrupt the entire industry ecosystem [5]. - Hollywood's reliance on overseas locations, special effects teams, and post-production services means that the tariff could lead to a substantial increase in production expenses, ultimately harming the film distribution business [5]. International Response - European lawmakers have expressed strong opposition to Trump's film tariff, labeling it as a form of trade protectionism. They warn that retaliatory measures could be taken, such as limiting U.S. film imports or imposing additional taxes on American films, which would severely affect Hollywood's international box office revenues [6]. - If Europe enacts countermeasures, it could diminish the influence of American films in European markets, leading to a significant reduction in international ticket sales [6]. Cultural Exchange - The implementation of a film tariff could hinder cultural exchange between nations, as films serve as vital cultural conduits. A retaliatory response could further weaken cultural penetration and influence [8]. - While the immediate impact on Chinese films may be limited due to their small market share in the U.S., the long-term effects of disrupted international cultural trade could destabilize the global film market [8]. Conclusion - Trump's approach to tariffs, particularly in the film industry, is viewed as a misguided attempt that may not yield the desired protective effects and could lead to greater isolation for the U.S. in the international market [9].

Core Insights - China's foreign trade shows strong resilience and growth potential despite global economic challenges, with exports increasing by 8.1% year-on-year and imports decreasing by 0.2%, leading to a trade surplus of $96.18 billion, up 33.6% [1] Group 1: Export Performance - The export structure is continuously optimizing, with steady growth in electromechanical and high-tech product exports, while labor-intensive product exports remain weak [1] - In April, electromechanical product exports reached $190.58 billion, with significant growth in integrated circuits, audio-video equipment, general machinery, LCD modules, and ships [1] - The shift in export product structure indicates the effectiveness of China's manufacturing transformation and upgrade, enhancing the technical content and added value of exported products [1] Group 2: Trade Diversification - China's trade relationships are diversifying, with stable imports and exports to major economies except for the U.S., where trade has been negatively impacted by "reciprocal tariffs" [2] - Exports to ASEAN, Central Asia, Latin America, and Africa have seen rapid growth, with double-digit increases, while exports to the EU and Japan remain stable [2] - Strengthening trade ties with ASEAN, Latin America, and Central Asia promotes a more balanced trade market and enhances China's foreign trade's risk resistance [2] Group 3: New Trade Dynamics - New productive forces are rapidly developing, fostering competitive enterprises in high-end, intelligent, and green manufacturing, which supports the transformation and upgrade of foreign trade [2] - The equipment manufacturing sector has seen significant growth, representing a substantial portion of foreign trade, while domestic brand exports are increasing in scale and share [2] - The "cross-border e-commerce + industrial belt" model is thriving, providing a broad platform for SMEs to enter international markets, with digital technology reshaping competitive advantages in foreign trade [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - China's foreign trade faces external challenges, including global economic uncertainty and trade protectionism, which may impact trade dynamics [3] - The "reciprocal tariffs" from the U.S. have led to a "rush to export" effect, with a decline in new export orders and purchasing indices in April, indicating weaker export expectations [3] - To mitigate the impact of reduced external demand, China has implemented various supportive policies for foreign trade enterprises, including tax reductions and improved business environments [3] Group 5: Trade Development Trends - Future foreign trade is expected to show a differentiated trend, with stable and accelerating trade with closely linked economies, while others may experience slow growth due to global economic slowdown or trade protectionism [4] - High-tech products and key components are likely to maintain stable growth, while traditional low-value-added industrial and labor-intensive products are more susceptible to external influences [4] - Enterprises with strong technological reserves and international competitiveness may accelerate their globalization efforts, while SMEs reliant on external markets should actively seek transformation [4]

据日本广播协会网站近期报道，围绕美国的关税措施，日本首相石破茂在民营电视台节目中表示，绝对不能接受对汽车 等加征关税，并反复强调要力争以符合日美双方国家利益的方式达成协议。 石破茂（资料图） 4月初，美国政府宣布对所有贸易伙伴征收新关税。其中东南亚国家柬埔寨、老挝和越南分别面临49%、48%、46%的关 税，属于美国所有贸易伙伴中的最高水平。《日经亚洲评论》称，如果"对等关税"实际启动，将给依赖出口的东南亚经 济体带来沉重打击。就在这一背景下，美国贸易代表办公室（USTR）日前还将越南、柬埔寨、孟加拉国、肯尼亚、中 国、印度和欧盟等列为"造成贸易体系失衡的经济体"，称其损害了美国纺织和服装行业。声明表示，与会官员们重申"坚 定维护多边主义，支持以WTO为核心、基于规则、非歧视、自由、公平、开放、包容、平等和透明的多边贸易体系"。日 本共同社称，该声明对有可能给亚洲地区经济造成较大打击的美政府关税政策进行制约，鲜明展现了团结一致推进自由 贸易的姿态。 日本经济在外人来看可能会觉得是多种经济体系并存，但其实支撑日本产业的中流砥柱还是日本汽车产业。数据显示， 去年日本对美国汽车出口超过400亿美元，在出口美国的占比 ...

日本经济在外人来看可能会觉得是多种经济体系并存，但其实支撑日本产业的中流砥柱还是日本汽车产业。数据显示， 去年日本对美国汽车出口超过400亿美元，在出口美国的占比中高达30%，更关键的是，日本汽车产业养活了全国十分之 一的就业人口。结果特朗普一纸令下，直接给日本汽车加了25%的关税，最严重的后果就是日本对美国出口直接腰斩， 工厂关停，工人失业，整个汽车行业一落千丈。这种情况下，就算日本再亲美，也不会拿自己的命脉当筹码。并且石破 茂急需为7月选举给自己拉票，正赶上特朗普向日本施压，给石破茂创造了绝佳机会，从他两次强硬表态后，支持率上升 就能看出，他对美国强硬，不只是为了日本经济，更是为了选票。 贸易（资料图） 美国对日本的贸易政策，宛如一把悬在头顶的达摩克利斯之剑，始终影响着日美关系的走向。特朗普政府为了追求所谓 的"美国优先"，对日本汽车挥起了加征25%关税的大棒。据相关资料显示，日本汽车产业是其经济的重要支柱，去年日本 对美国汽车出口超过400亿美元，占出口美国的占比高达30%，更关键的是，日本汽车产业养活了全国十分之一的就业人 口。特朗普的这一决策，让日本汽车产业遭受了毁灭性打击，对美出口直接腰斩，大量工 ...

Core Points - The U.S. Department of Commerce announced an anti-dumping duty of 477.97% on thermoformed molded fiber products produced in China, alongside a countervailing duty investigation [1][2] - Vietnam also faces anti-dumping duties, with rates ranging from 0.76% to 211.6% [1] - This action follows a previous announcement on April 22 regarding anti-dumping and countervailing duties on crystalline silicon photovoltaic cells from several Southeast Asian countries [2] Company and Industry Summary - The anti-dumping duties target Chinese manufacturing and export industries, as indicated by the list of companies affected [2] - The final decision on the anti-dumping duties for the products from China and Vietnam is expected to be implemented by September 8, 2023, pending a ruling from the U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) [2] - The investigation was initiated by U.S. companies and industry associations, including Genera and Tellus Products, LLC, as well as the AFL-CIO [2]

本文来自微信公众号：出行一客 （ID：carcaijing），作者：王静仪，编辑：施智梁，题图来自：AI生 成 第一批装载着被加征145%关税货物的轮船正陆续抵达美国，关税对航运业的冲击已然显现。 早在2024年底，韩国船舶制造巨头韩华海洋就以1亿美元的价格收购了美国费城造船厂（Philly Shipyard），并更名为韩华费城船厂（Hanwha Philly Shipyard），成为首家成功收购美国船厂的韩国企 业。 近期韩华宣布，将启动在美国本土建造LNG（液化天然气）运输船的计划。这意味着，若计划顺利推 进，这会是美国自20世纪70年代以来首次在本土造船厂建造LNG运输船。 深圳大学特聘教授、博士生导师、深圳国际海事研究院院长陈继红对《财经》分析，美国市场的消费品 供应高度依赖集装箱海运，该措施不仅推高进口商品价格、加剧美国通胀危机，还可能冲击年出口额超 7500亿美元的美国海运贸易，损害依赖出口的产业和就业市场。 陈继红指出，国际货币基金组织相关研究表明，航运成本是全球通胀的重要驱动因素，当运价翻倍时， 通胀率会上升0.7个百分点。近五年来，美国的通胀危机愈演愈烈，根据美国劳动统计局（U.S.Bure ...

美国政坛对货币政策的分歧在本周持续发酵。副总统万斯周四接受媒体采访时，对美联储主席鲍威尔的 施政方针提出系统性批评，其言论与总统特朗普近期的政策攻势形成政治共振。 万斯指出，尽管承认鲍威尔的个人品格，但其政策执行存在"系统性滞后"：在应对拜登政府时期的通胀 飙升时反应迟缓，在通过贸易政策维护美国经济利益方面同样错失时机。"他在每个关键节点都判断失 误，这种被动应对正在侵蚀美国民众的财富安全。"副总统的表态与其上司特朗普的批评口径高度一致 ——特朗普本周将与美联储主席的沟通形容为"对牛弹琴"，并公开质疑联邦公开市场委员会维持 4.25%-4.5%基准利率区间的决策，特别指出全球主要央行已普遍转向宽松周期的背景下，美联储的按兵 不动显得格外突兀。 面对政治压力，鲍威尔在公开场合重申美联储的政策独立性。他强调当前就业市场保持韧性，核心通胀 率持续回落至2.4%区间，为审慎调整货币政策提供了空间。这位央行掌门人特别提及关税政策对经济 增长路径的扰动，指出贸易保护主义措施可能通过输入型通胀和供应链重构对经济前景构成不确定性。 美联储最新利率决议显示，联邦基金利率目标区间连续第三次维持不变，符合市场主流预期。决策层在 声 ...

2025年5月，94岁的投资传奇沃伦·巴菲特在伯克希尔股东大会上，完成了他人生中可能是最后一次的"投资圣经"演讲。在这场持续6小时的"思想盛宴"中， 不仅揭晓了3700亿美元现金的配置蓝图，更道破了穿越经济周期的生存哲学。 本期特别提炼出10个与投资者相关的核心启示，带您一睹为快。 "美国靠自由贸易崛起，不该用贸易战拆毁"，面对特朗普可能推行的新关税政策，巴菲特用历史数据敲响警钟：1820年美国GDP仅占全球1.8%，通过自由 贸易到2024年占比24%。 这位见证过12任总统更迭的老人提醒：任何短视的贸易保护，都是对自由市场根基的动摇，终将反噬自身繁荣。 伯克希尔持有的五大商社（三菱/三井/伊藤忠/住友/丸红）已成全球投资范本：2020年建仓成本200亿美元，当前市值超260亿，年收股息约8亿美元。巴菲 特罕见透露：当年恨不得投1000亿！同时特别指出："这些百年企业ROE稳定在12%-15%，负债率仅30%，是真正的抗通胀资产。" 对中国投资者的启示：现在正是中国投资者"抄作业"的最佳窗口期。 手握37个茅台市值的现金，他在等什么？"宁可等50年，也不乱投500亿"——3700亿美元现金储备创历史新高的背 ...