[Table_Reportdate] 2025年07月11日 [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle]20250711 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 周啸宇 S0630519030001 zhouxiaoy@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 刘思佳 S0630516080002 liusj@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 重点推荐 财经要闻 晨 会 纪 要 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [table_summary] ➢ 1.氟化工企业业绩预增，行业景气度有望维持——氟化工行业月报 ➢ 2.从定价模式和资本流动看人民币——人民币汇率专题深度研究 ➢ 3.乐鑫科技（688018）:AIOT长尾市场高速增长，规模效益显著利润增厚——公司简评报 告 ➢ 4.零碳转型启新章，关注风储领域破局机遇-电力设备与新能源行业2025中期投资策略 ➢ 1.国家发改委城市和小城镇改革发展中心：加大新型城镇化重点领域投入 ➢ 2.北京市 ...

Core Insights - JD Health is gaining significant attention from Liu Qiangdong and Xu Ran, especially following the recent 618 shopping festival, where it showcased its marketing strategies prominently [1][5] - The company reported a total revenue of 58.16 billion in 2024, with a profit of 4.157 billion, marking a 94% increase compared to 2023 [1][5] - JD Health is positioned as the leader in the B2C pharmaceutical market, outperforming Alibaba Health, which is projected to generate 30.598 billion in revenue for the 2025 fiscal year [5][8] Group 1: Market Position and Growth - JD Health's market capitalization is over 100 billion HKD, approximately one-third of JD Group's total market value [5] - The company achieved a growth rate of 25.5% in the first quarter of 2023, driven by the online medical insurance payment initiative [8] - The B2C pharmaceutical e-commerce market reached sales of 66.3 billion in 2023, with a growth rate of 15.3% [12] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The online pharmaceutical market is highly competitive, with JD Health, Meituan, and Ele.me vying for market share [11][12] - Meituan currently holds a 70% market share in the national O2O pharmaceutical sector, posing a challenge for JD Health [17] - JD Health's "Buy Medicine Fast" initiative aims to capture the online medical insurance market, with a focus on rapid delivery and quality service [15][11] Group 3: Future Opportunities - The integration of AI and health consumption trends presents new opportunities for JD Health, particularly in personalized health products and services [4][18] - The company is exploring the potential of AI models to enhance its service offerings, including AI nutritionists and medical assistants [18][20] - The demand for weight management products has surged, with JD Health reporting a threefold increase in sales for weight loss medications [26][28] Group 4: Strategic Focus - JD Health is focusing on expanding its product offerings beyond pharmaceuticals to include health and wellness products, aligning with the growing trend of preventive healthcare [23][24] - The company aims to leverage its expertise in e-commerce to support local pharmaceutical companies and enhance its market presence [26][28] - The market is optimistic about JD Health's future, with a projected price-to-earnings ratio of nearly 30 times based on its 2024 net profit [29]

我们来看一下首家发布《2025年半年度业绩快报》的上市公司，重庆百货大楼股份有限公司（股票简称：重庆百货）始创于1920年的"宝元通"，迄今已经走 过百年辉煌历程。1996年7月在上交所主板上市，是中国西部地区零售龙头企业。 2025年上半年的营收同比下跌了10.5%，在2024年上半年跌至90亿元规模的基础上，2025年上半年只有80亿元了，传统零售业面临着较大的压力，真还不是 自媒体们在制造焦虑，而是真实就在发生的事。 净利润方面还不错，2025年上半年仅次于2023年上半年，在最近八年上半年中排在第二位。之所以和其他几年全年的数据相比也不算太差，原因是零售业的 主要利润集中在一季度，也就是有春节的这个旺季。 在年初的时候，重庆百货就较早发布了《2024年度业绩快报》，我们也看过他们的情况，本次就简单点，也省去简介等内容，直接开始。 2025年上半年分行业的数据还没有发布，我们将就2024年和其五年前营收最高时的情况做一个对比，就可以印证我们上面的猜测。五年的营收正好跌去一 半，只有"百货"业务的跌幅超过这一水平，从当年的近四成，变成了2024年的一成；"电器"业务还有所增长，其他各大业务也都有明显收缩。 ...

Company Overview - Three Squirrels (300783.SH) was founded in 2012 and is an innovative manufacturing self-owned brand retailer focused on providing high-quality and cost-effective snacks to consumers. The product range includes nuts, baked goods, mixed snacks, meat products, and dried fruits, along with a children's snack brand "Little Deer Blue" [1] - The company has diversified sales channels, covering major e-commerce platforms like Douyin and Taobao online, and offline through Squirrel Feeding Stores and alliance stores. It submitted its listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on April 25, 2025, with CITIC Securities as the sponsor [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and Q1 2025 was 72.93 billion, 71.15 billion, 106.22 billion, and 37.23 billion RMB respectively [4] - The revenue decline in 2023 was primarily due to a reduction in SKU count from over 1000 at the end of 2022 to around 600 in 2023, and a decrease in revenue contribution from traditional e-commerce platforms [5] - In 2024, revenue increased by 49.3%, driven by explosive growth in short video e-commerce channels and the expansion of multiple product categories and brands, with "Little Deer Blue" revenue growing by 58.8% [6] - Gross profit margins for 2022, 2023, 2024, and Q1 2025 were 26.2%, 22.7%, 23.8%, and 26.7% respectively [7] - Net profit for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and Q1 2025 was 1.29 billion, 2.19 billion, 4.07 billion, and 2.39 billion RMB respectively, with a net profit margin of 1.8%, 3.1%, 3.8%, and 6.4% [11] Revenue Breakdown - In 2022, the revenue breakdown by product category was as follows: nuts (56.3%), baked goods (15.6%), mixed snacks (12.0%), meat products (9.5%), and dried fruits (4.6%) [5] - The decline in gross profit margin in 2023 was attributed to high raw material prices and increased costs associated with short video e-commerce channels [9] Operational Efficiency - As of Q1 2025, inventory decreased by 62% to 790 million RMB, and accounts payable decreased by 68% to 670 million RMB, indicating effective inventory management [12] - The company expanded its offline distribution, with revenue from offline distributors growing by 46.4% to 1.48 billion RMB in 2024 [12] Competitive Advantages - Three Squirrels maintains a high repurchase rate of 35-40%, with its children's snack brand "Little Deer Blue" also achieving a repurchase rate of around 35% [15] - The company has developed a multi-channel sales system that integrates online and offline channels, enhancing customer engagement and loyalty [15] - The company has streamlined its SKU count from over 1000 to around 400, focusing resources on creating best-selling products [17] - Over 70% of revenue comes from self-owned brands, which typically offer higher profit margins and pricing power [18] - The company operates with a low fixed asset ratio of 12.45%, allowing for flexible supply chain management and rapid expansion [20] Industry Context - The Chinese snack food industry has seen continuous growth, with market size increasing from 410 billion RMB in 2010 to 1.17 trillion RMB in 2022, and projected to reach 1.24 trillion RMB by 2027 [28] - Three Squirrels ranks as the largest domestic snack food company in China by sales, with a significant market share in the nut segment [28]

Core Insights - The "2024 China Supermarket TOP100" list shows a slight increase in sales to approximately 900 billion yuan, up 0.3% year-on-year, while the total number of stores decreased by 9.8% to 25,200 stores, indicating challenges in the retail market and a trend towards industry differentiation [1][2][32]. Group 1: Top Enterprises - Walmart (China) continues to lead the list with a sales figure of 158.84 billion yuan, a 19.6% increase from 2023, supported by its strong global supply chain and efficient logistics [4][12]. - The second position is held by Dalian Wanda (RT-Mart) with sales of 76.41 billion yuan, showing a slight growth of 0.3% [2][12]. - Hema (Alibaba's new retail brand) ranks third with sales of 75 billion yuan, achieving a 10% year-on-year growth, reflecting its successful online-offline integration strategy [2][12]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The competition among mid-tier enterprises is intensifying, with some achieving rapid growth through innovative business models while others struggle due to poor management [8][18]. - The digital transformation of supermarkets is advancing, with companies like Walmart and Hema leveraging big data and IoT for improved efficiency and customer experience [31][32]. - The market is witnessing a "Matthew Effect," where top enterprises are gaining more market share, with the top 10 companies accounting for 66.6% of the total sales of the TOP100 list [15][32]. Group 3: Regional Insights - The East China region remains a key battleground for supermarkets, with strong demand for fresh and healthy products driving supply chain upgrades [30]. - The South China region is emerging as a hotspot for community-based enterprises like Qian Dama, which focuses on fresh produce and local consumer needs [30]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The industry is expected to see three major trends: a focus on quality and experience upgrades, deeper digital integration, and accelerated consolidation, with smaller players at risk of being eliminated if they cannot establish competitive advantages [31][32].

Core Insights - The rise of local leisure consumption is highlighted by the emergence of new consumption patterns and urban vitality, with 81 cities featuring 3,485 leisure destinations on the "Must-Play List" [2] - The trend of "daily leisure" is growing, with a significant increase in local exploration and entertainment options, as evidenced by a 30% increase in online traffic for key leisure categories on platforms like Dazhong Dianping [3][4] - The demand for immersive and integrated experiences is driving the evolution of leisure businesses, with a notable shift towards complex, immersive, and IP-based business models [5] Industry Trends - The leisure and entertainment sector is experiencing a transformation from occasional experiences to daily leisure activities, with a focus on local exploration [3] - The online traffic for leisure merchants has seen a year-on-year increase of over 30%, with user reviews rising by more than 50% [3] - The market for leisure and entertainment is projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting it could reach 5 trillion yuan by 2030, and the online penetration rate expected to exceed 25% [5] Consumer Behavior - Consumers are increasingly seeking local experiences that reflect the lifestyle of residents, such as enjoying local cuisine and participating in traditional activities [4] - The demographic of leisure consumers is shifting, with over 50% of users on platforms like Meituan being under 30 years old, indicating a growing demand for local leisure activities among younger audiences [5] - The integration of dining, accommodation, and entertainment into a single experience is becoming a key attraction for tourists, as seen in the case of the Yangzhou Sanba Dao cultural experience [4]

"在当前能力范围内相对务实、可控的学习与尝试。" 本文为IPO早知道原创 作者｜ Stone Jin 微信公众号｜ipozaozhidao 据 IPO早知道消息， 茶颜悦色官方微信公众号 日前 发布一则推文，正式官宣以电商形式向海外市 场布局零售业务。 茶颜悦色 透露，其将 自建 Shopify独立站电商店铺，以及在亚马逊、TikTok Shop、沃尔玛、 Weee、亚米网平台建立了品牌自营店铺，7月9日起陆续投入运营 。 此外，茶颜悦色研发生产基地于 2025年正式投产，该基地将以自主技术研发为驱动，打造深耕核心 原料基础研发、精深加工研发的创新技术中心。该研发生产基地的建设，提升了核心原料标准化与产 品的稳定性，让品牌在原料品质、新品迭代上保持优势，同时，也为持续的新品开发、产品迭代赋 能。 "和一杯越快喝完越好喝的新鲜现制奶茶相比，零售业务帮助我们去到了更多朋友的身边、有了更多 形式和场景的交流互动，是我们坚持主力拓展的赛道。"茶颜悦色表示。 "很多朋友告诉我们，在海外某个城市看到了茶颜悦色的门店，或者是在海外商场买到了茶颜悦色的 零售产品。虽然我们当下确实还没有去到这些地方，同时我们也在想，有没有什么 ...

Core Viewpoint - Renrenle, a traditional retail chain, is set to delist from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange on July 4, 2025, marking a significant shift in China's retail landscape amid increasing competition and the rise of e-commerce [1][2]. Company Summary - Founded in 1996, Renrenle was once a flagship retail enterprise in Shenzhen and was listed in 2010 as "the first private supermarket stock" [2]. - The company faced its first loss in 2012, struggling with rising costs and intensified competition, leading to a decline in customer numbers and continuous losses from 2014 to 2023 [2][3]. - In 2024, Renrenle reported a revenue of 1.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 49.86%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -17 million yuan, compared to a loss of 498 million yuan the previous year [2]. Industry Summary - The challenges faced by Renrenle reflect broader issues within the traditional retail sector, including high operational costs, declining foot traffic, and the impact of e-commerce [3][4]. - Analysts note that the retail industry is entering a phase where leading companies like Walmart are performing well, while mid-sized players like Renrenle and Carrefour struggle due to lack of scale and flexibility [4]. - The emergence of new retail formats, such as discount retail and membership supermarkets, poses additional challenges for traditional retailers, necessitating a shift towards efficiency and differentiation to survive [5][6].

外卖大战步入下半场 今年盛夏，外卖大战在千亿级资本的碰撞中，迎来了历史性变革，而外卖大战也开始进入下半场，开启 新一轮的竞争。 日前，美团官方宣布，美团即时零售日订单量已突破1.2亿单，其中，餐饮订单量超1亿单。此后不久， 淘宝闪购也传来捷报，日订单量超8000万，非餐饮订单超1300万。同时，淘宝闪购日活跃用户超过2 亿，平台活跃度和用户粘性得到了极大提升。 具体来看，盒马作为新零售的领军者，扩张极为迅猛。截至目前，盒马鲜生已经开设超430家门店，而 盒马NB的门店数量也超300家。同时，盒马CEO严筱磊表示，盒马新财年还将持续狂奔，计划在2025年 开近100家门店，进驻几十个新城市。 京东七鲜在京津地区也实现了快速扩张。公开信息显示，京东七鲜在北京的线下门店已有28家，在天津 有10家。而且，京东七鲜计划在今年年底前在北京实现100个店仓全覆盖。近期，京东七鲜还与天津嘉 里汇签约，将在天津再添一家商场门店。 小象超市作为美团的自营零售业务，目前已经在全国范围内开设了18座城，总计开仓数量已超过800 个。在此基础上，小象超市还将继续扩大覆盖范围，逐步拓展到所有一二线城市，进一步提升自己的市 场影响力。 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月11日 | 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2025-07-10 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数（点） | 3509.68 | 10631.12 | 4010.02 | 12093.58 | 3053.44 | 979.98 | | 涨跌幅度（%） | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.28 | -0.01 | -0.31 | | 成交金额（亿元） | 6131.60 | 8809.87 | 3478.36 | 3072.32 | 4194.52 | 221.67 | 【常规内容】 行业与公司 电力设备新能源行业点评：多家企业上调硅片报价，国家新增重点行业 绿电消费比例 电力设备新能源行业点评：三部委推动国家级零碳园区申报，节能风电 拟投建 500MW 工业园区铁合金绿电消纳项目 豪鹏科技(001283.SZ) 财报点评:Q2 盈利能力持续提升，AI 端侧客户开 拓顺利 金融工程 金 ...