Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent surge in international gold prices, which have consistently broken through key thresholds, reaching historical highs, and the resulting impact on the futures and options markets [1][3]. Group 1: Gold Price Movement - International gold prices have shown strong performance, recently surpassing $3,400 and $3,500 per ounce, with COMEX gold futures reported at $3,440 per ounce, marking a 0.43% increase [1]. - Spot gold prices reached a high of $3,500.12 per ounce, setting a new historical record [1]. Group 2: Options Market Activity - The surge in gold prices has triggered significant activity in the options market, particularly a phenomenon known as "doomsday wheel," which occurs in the days leading up to options expiration [3]. - Several deep out-of-the-money call options for gold futures saw dramatic price increases, with some contracts experiencing gains of up to 9,800% [3]. Group 3: Futures Market Dynamics - Gold futures have attracted substantial capital inflow, with total funds in gold futures reaching approximately 980.4 billion yuan, surpassing major stock index futures [8]. - The total open interest in gold futures has increased significantly, reaching a historical high of 453,000 contracts, up from 392,000 contracts earlier in the month [9]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Risks - Despite the bullish sentiment towards gold, some institutions are cautioning about potential short-term adjustments due to the rapid price increases and changing market conditions [10]. - The increase in market volatility has led trading firms to raise margin requirements and price limits for gold futures to mitigate risks associated with price fluctuations [9].

洛阳钼业此前已蛰伏数年，据贝壳财经记者梳理企业上一次引发市场关注的收购还需追溯至2020年末收购KFM铜钴矿。 在洛阳钼业（603993.SH/3993.HK）董事长袁宏林宣称要对新的重大机会窗口"做好准备、枕戈待旦"不到一个月后，公司公布将收购厄瓜多尔一金矿的消 息。 4月22日，洛阳钼业官网发布消息，将以5.81亿加元收购加拿大上市公司Lumina黄金（TSXV:LUM）全部已发行和未发行的所有普通股。 4月22日，洛阳钼业方面向贝壳财经记者确认了该桩交易，表示交易内容以公开信息为准。 洛阳钼业的交易对方为加拿大上市公司。2022年11月，加拿大政府要求三家中国锂矿企业限期剥离或撤销其在加拿大锂矿公司中的股权投资，这一消息曾引 发市场对于出海收购风险的担忧。 此次交易是否可能存在相似风险？洛阳钼业方面向贝壳财经记者表示，本次收购前，公司已做好各方面的充分评估，也已充分考虑到相关风险。后续，公司 将继续推进该项目的交割。 在收购利好的带动下，洛阳钼业4月22日A股涨4.05%，港股涨8.50%。 而洛阳钼业此次收购金矿背后，正值黄金价格持续创下新高。 4月22日，金价飙升并再度刷新历史纪录，现货黄金一度触及 ...

ETF进化论 太疯狂了！黄金要涨到1万美金？ 原创 阅读全文 ...

贵金属日报 2025-04-21 贵金属 沪金涨 0.36 %，报 788.30 元/克，沪银跌 0.07 %，报 8128.00 元/千克；COMEX 金涨 0.94 %， 报 3359.80 美元/盎司，COMEX 银跌 0.06 %，报 32.76 美元/盎司； 美国 10 年期国债收益率 报 4.34%，美元指数报 98.89 ； 市场展望： 美国总统特朗普在当地时间 4 月 17 日表示对于中美达成关税协议具有信心，而美国权益市场 在历经趋势性下跌后出现反弹，但总体仍表现弱势。芝加哥期权交易所的 VIX 指数由高位的 60.13 回落至当前的 29.65，海外经济与金融市场风险存在逐步释放的趋向。当前外盘黄金的 管理基金净多持仓已明显退潮，截至 4 月 15 日最新报告期，COMEX 黄金管理基金净多持仓本周 下降 6132 手至 12.49 万手，相对于 3 月 18 日的区间高点则下降 5.89 万手。与之呈明显对比 的是，全球黄金 ETF 持仓量出现较大幅度上升，2 月全球黄金 ETF 持仓量单月上升幅度达到 100 吨，创下了 2022 年 3 月以来的最高单月流入水平。随后的 3 月全球黄 ...

3350 黄金早盘大涨再逼新高 现货黄金早盘突破3350美元/盎司，逼近历史新高，日内涨0.65%。 ...

现货黄金涨至3350美元/盎司上方，逼近历史新高。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rising gold prices driven by increased risk aversion, inflation concerns, and changes in the dollar's credibility, suggesting that while short-term volatility may increase, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive [1][2][3]. Group 1: Factors Influencing Gold Prices - Key variables supporting the rise in gold prices include risk aversion, inflation, and the dollar's status [2]. - The current global economic downturn and trade tensions have heightened market risk aversion, leading to a decline in various asset prices, with gold benefiting as a safe-haven asset [2]. - Inflation, while currently less impactful due to a recent drop in the U.S. CPI to 2.4% in March, could become a significant factor if it rebounds in the coming quarters [2][3]. Group 2: Dollar Credibility and Long-term Trends - Concerns over the U.S. fiscal deficit and rapid debt accumulation have weakened investor confidence in the dollar, enhancing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [3]. - Long-term projections indicate substantial growth potential for gold prices, driven by inflation, central bank gold purchases, and U.S. debt issues, with models suggesting a significant upward trend over the next decade [3]. Group 3: Short-term Volatility and Risks - Despite a favorable macro environment for gold, the rapid increase in prices (over 25% since the beginning of the year) raises concerns about potential short-term volatility and corrections [4][5]. - Historical precedents show that even in favorable conditions, gold prices can experience significant declines, indicating that price fluctuations are inevitable [6]. Group 4: Federal Reserve Policy Impact - The uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, whether it leads to recession or stagflation, adds complexity to predicting gold price movements [7][8]. - Regardless of the economic scenario, gold is expected to maintain its value, benefiting from its safe-haven status during recessions and its inflation-hedging properties during stagflation [8].

4月17日，现货黄金续涨突破3350美元关口，最高报3357.92美元/盎司，续创历史新高。 ...

黄金再破历史新高，下一个目标在哪里？假期即将来临，黄金是否会出现大跌？点击查看详细分析... 相关链接 ...

2025年，黄金价格再次成为全球市场的焦点。从2024年初的每盎司2080美元，到2025年4月突破3255美元，黄金价格的持续上涨引发了广泛的关注。这一现 象并非偶然，而是多重因素共同作用的结果。本文将深入剖析黄金价格背后的推手，揭示其上涨的深层逻辑。 避险需求：黄金的避风港属性 在全球经济复苏进程中的不确定性以及地缘政治冲突频发的背景下，避险需求成为黄金价格上涨的核心驱动力。2025年，美国对也门的军事行动、俄罗斯油 库遭无人机袭击等事件进一步推升了市场的避险情绪。此外，特朗普关税政策的不确定性也加剧了市场对经济前景的担忧，投资者纷纷将资金转向黄金，推 动其价格不断攀升。 尽管黄金价格已处于历史高位，但其上行逻辑仍未根本改变。全球央行对黄金储备的需求持续加强，短期的避险需求将继续支持金价。此外，实际利率的潜 在回落也为黄金价格上涨提供了基础。高盛预测，2025年底金价可能达到3700美元/盎司，甚至在极端情况下可能突破4500美元/盎司。 央行购金热潮：全球央行的黄金储备增加 近年来，全球央行的黄金储备持续增加。2023年至2024年间，全球央行的购金量超过1000吨，2025年的增持趋势依然强劲。各国央 ...