Group 1 - As of the end of May 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves reached $328.53 billion, an increase of $3.6 billion from the end of April, marking a 0.11% rise and a continuous growth since the beginning of 2025 [1] - The increase in foreign exchange reserves is attributed to the impact of major economies' policies and growth prospects, with the dollar index experiencing slight fluctuations and global financial asset prices showing mixed trends [1] - The current level of foreign exchange reserves is considered moderately sufficient, providing a buffer against external shocks, with expectations for stability in the short term [1] Group 2 - As of the end of May 2025, the central bank's gold reserves stood at 7.383 million ounces (approximately 2,296.37 tons), with a month-on-month increase of 60,000 ounces, marking seven consecutive months of accumulation [3] - The total increase in gold reserves amounts to 1.03 million ounces, with an estimated cumulative increase value of approximately $341 million (around 2.45 billion yuan) based on the latest gold prices, although the pace of increase has slowed in May [3] - The central bank's strategy to increase gold reserves is seen as a long-term direction to enhance the credibility of the sovereign currency and facilitate the internationalization of the renminbi [3]

Core Viewpoint - Malaysian palm oil futures reversed early losses and recorded a weekly gain, despite concerns over rising production and inventory levels [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - Malaysian palm oil futures for August closed at 3,917 MYR (926.88 USD), up 14 MYR or 0.36%, marking a weekly increase of 1.01% [1] - The market's initial decline was attributed to worries about rising production and inventory, but a strong performance in exports and following the trend of soybean oil prices supported the market [1][2] - The support level for Malaysian palm oil futures is seen at 3,800 MYR, with resistance at 4,000 MYR [1] Group 2: Production and Inventory - Malaysia's palm oil production is expected to increase by 3% to 1.74 million tons in May, while inventory is projected to rise by 7.74% to 2.01 million tons [1][2] - The increase in palm oil yield and extraction rate in Malaysia for May is reported at 1.9% and 0.3%, respectively, contributing to a 3.53% rise in production [2] Group 3: Export Data - Malaysian palm oil exports for May are reported to have increased significantly, with various sources indicating increases ranging from 13.21% to 29.6% compared to the previous month [2] - The export volume for May is estimated at approximately 1.23 million tons according to AmSpec, while SGS and ITS report figures of 1.07 million tons and 1.32 million tons, respectively [2] Group 4: Regional Insights - Indonesia's palm oil inventory decreased to 2.04 million tons in March, with exports rising to 2.88 million tons, up from 2.56 million tons year-on-year [3] - India's edible oil imports surged by 37% in May, with palm oil imports increasing by 87% to 600,000 tons, the highest level in six months [4] Group 5: Price Dynamics - Domestic palm oil port inventory rose to 363,000 tons, indicating a potential gradual recovery in stock levels [5] - The price spread between palm oil and soybean oil has narrowed, reflecting market dynamics influenced by supply and demand factors [6] Group 6: Market Outlook - Analysts maintain a neutral to slightly bearish outlook for palm oil prices, citing increased production and inventory pressures, while also noting potential support from lower import duties in India [7] - The expectation for June includes a wide fluctuation in palm oil prices, with a potential slight downward shift in price levels [7]

晚间非农重磅来袭！市场预期如何解读，黄金能否重回3400关口？立即观看超V推荐官Jason的讲解，直 播间可领取超V限时优惠>>> 相关链接 ...

Group 1: Core Views Copper - The copper price is expected to be strong, with attention on the long - short battle at the May high [4] - The overnight call between Chinese and US leaders is expected to ease Sino - US relations, which is positive for copper prices [4] - The marginal increase in the social inventory of electrolytic copper drags down the copper price [4] Aluminum - The aluminum price is expected to stabilize and fluctuate above 20,000, with narrowing amplitude, and pay attention to inter - monthly arbitrage opportunities [5] - The overnight call between Chinese and US leaders is expected to ease Sino - US relations, which is positive for aluminum prices [5] - High profits of upstream electrolytic aluminum plants bring hedging pressure, while strong downstream demand supports the price [5] Nickel - The nickel price is expected to rebound, with attention on the long - short battle at the 122,000 mark [6] - Strong short - term supply from Philippine mines supports the price, while weak downstream demand for stainless steel exerts pressure [6] Group 2: Industry Dynamics Copper - The expected copper rod开工率 in June will drop to 47.11%, with a month - on - month decline of 3.51 percentage points [8] - On June 5, Mysteel's electrolytic copper spot inventory was 157,500 tons, an increase of 18,200 tons compared to the 29th and 2,100 tons compared to the 3rd [8] Aluminum - On June 6, the total inventory of bauxite at 9 domestic ports was 21.2 million tons, a decrease of 360,000 tons compared to the previous week [9] - On June 5, Mysteel's electrolytic aluminum social inventory was 508,000 tons, a decrease of 11,000 tons compared to the 29th and 18,000 tons compared to the 3rd [9] Nickel - On June 6, the mainstream reference contract for refined nickel in the Shanghai market was the Shanghai Nickel 2507 contract [10] - The mainstream premium for Jinchuan electrolytic nickel was + 2,400 yuan/ton, with a price of 124,390 yuan/ton [10] - The mainstream premium for Russian nickel was + 700 yuan/ton, with a price of 122,690 yuan/ton [10] Group 3: Related Charts Copper - Charts include copper basis, copper monthly spread, domestic visible inventory of electrolytic copper, overseas copper exchange inventory, LME copper cancelled warrant ratio, and SHFE warrant inventory [11][16][23] Aluminum - Charts include aluminum basis, aluminum monthly spread, domestic social inventory of electrolytic aluminum, overseas exchange inventory of electrolytic aluminum, alumina trend, and alumina inventory [24][26][28] Nickel - Charts include nickel basis, nickel monthly spread, LME inventory, LME nickel trend, and nickel ore port inventory [36][38][46]

业务咨询 添加客服 瑞达期货研究院 「2025.06.06」 生猪市场周报 价格震荡调整，基差走弱 研究员：张昕 期货从业资格号F03109641 期货投资咨询从业证Z001845 关 注 我 们 获 取 更 多 资 讯 联系电话：059586778969 目录 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 行情回顾：生猪价格偏弱运行，主力合约周度下跌1.07%。 行情展望：供应端，根据Mysteel数据，5月出栏节奏缓慢，实际出栏未达到计划，6月日均出栏量高 于5月。近期大猪出栏积极性增加，且规模养殖场有降重出栏意愿，出栏均重下降，短期市场供应增 加。二三季度对应母猪产能处于增产周期，中期供应压力趋增。需求端，高温抑制采购猪肉意愿，终 端走货速度放慢，屠宰厂开工率滞涨回落，消费进入季节性淡季，难以为价格提供有利支撑。总体来 说，供强需弱格局，导致生猪价格跌至14元/公斤附近，且短期料维持偏弱走势，抑制期货盘面，不 过盘面或已消化预期，跌幅小于现货，基差走弱，呈现震荡调整走势。 「 期货市场情况」 本周期货偏弱运行 「 周度要点小结」 策略建议：观望或轻仓滚动反弹抛空操作。 3 「 期货市场情况」 本周期货净 ...

期货投资咨询业务批准文号：证监许可[2011]1446号 01 周度观点 02 数据概览 目录 CONTENTS 沥青周报 跟随成本震荡 姓名：肖彧 投资咨询证号：Z0016296 2025年6月6日 01 周度观点 1.1 周度观点 上周主要观点：当前正值传统旺季开启前夕的准备阶段，厂库处于同期低位，对沥青价格起到提振作用。 不过梅雨季会对需求产生影响，弱化沥青的强势，但预计沥青仍将强于同期的原油油品。 本周走势分析：本周沥青原地震荡，总体跟随成本端原油，未有额外涨势。 本周行业数据：本周炼厂供需双增，厂库社库均处于同期低位，在旺季到来之前对定价有一定支撑。不 过短期需考虑梅雨季对需求影响。 本周主要观点：当前正值传统旺季开启前夕的准备阶段，厂库处于同期低位，对沥青价格起到提振作用。 不过梅雨季会对需求产生影响，叠加近期沥青利润修复后提振开工意愿，预计前期的相对强势有所弱化。 风险提示：成本端波动风险，沥青库存变化 02 数据概览 2.1 沥青期货走势、月差、基差 -200 -100 0 100 200 9-20 11-20 1-20 3-20 5-20 BU2506-BU2509 BU2406-BU240 ...

Core Viewpoint - Brazil's corn prices are under pressure due to high yield expectations and financial stress on farmers, with export pace being a key variable influencing future price trends [1][2]. Group 1: Production and Financial Pressure - Optimistic yield expectations for Brazil's second-season corn in 2025 are projected to exceed 96 million tons, driven by favorable weather conditions [2]. - Farmers are facing dual financial challenges, leading to an inclination to sell corn early to cover costs, as they anticipate rising soybean prices [2]. - The large area planted with corn and limited storage capacity are contributing to increased selling pressure, with significant sales expected unless prices fall below break-even levels [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Export Outlook - Domestic demand is transitioning between summer crops and second-season crops, with stable feed and ethanol consumption insufficient to absorb the supply pressure of over 90 million tons [3]. - An estimated export volume of over 40 million tons is necessary for supply-demand balance, with USDA predicting a corn production of 131 million tons and exports of 43 million tons for the 2025/26 season [3]. - Current corn prices at the Chicago Board of Trade have not shown significant increases, and export prices are hovering between 67 to 71 Brazilian Reais per bag, indicating a wait-and-see approach in the market [3]. Group 3: Future Considerations and Risks - Analysts expect a significant acceleration in port collection rhythm starting in July, with potential international market disruptions possibly benefiting Brazilian corn exports [4]. - The Brazilian corn market faces risks from increased domestic supply and logistical issues that could impact production and pricing [4]. - Farmers are advised to monitor climate changes, exchange rate fluctuations, and global market demand to adjust their sales strategies accordingly [4].

五一节后，光伏玻璃价格开始新一轮下行行情。 5 月初 2.0mm 主流报价为 13-13.5 元 / 平方米， 3.2mm 主流报价为 22-22.5 元 / 平方米，截止目前， 2.0mm 主流报价为 12- 13 元 / 平方米， 3.2mm 主流报价为 21-22 元 / 平方米 ，光伏玻璃价格下调幅度较大， 甚至部分 2.0mm 和 3.2mm 光伏玻璃成交价格已低于 12 元 / 平方米和 21 元 / 平方米。 展望后市，短期内光伏玻璃市场仍呈弱势运行态势。从供应端来看，由于跨行企业转型需 求以及行业内企业为提高市占率，叠加政府或银行方面的压力，光伏玻璃在产在建产能持续 增加，供应相对宽松。从需求端来看，下游组件企业采购意愿不高，整体采购议价仍以压价 为主。同时，在后续终端需求减弱影响下，组件排产仍呈下行的趋势。从成本端来看，纯 碱、天然气仍呈下行态势。因此，光伏玻璃在供大于求，成本降低的局面下，市场情绪较为 消极，预计光伏玻璃价格仍将承压下行。虽然短期内，光伏玻璃市场行情难以好转，但是中 长期来看， 25 年全球对光伏玻璃需求仍将呈现出增长的态势。因此，对于下半年光伏玻璃市 场行情不宜过于悲观。 ...

| 应用别 | 尺寸 | 分辨率 | 出货型态 | | | 液晶显示屏价格下旬预测 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | TEE | 를 | 均价 | 与前月差异(%) | | | 电视 | eenw | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 173 | 181 | 177 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | SE. M | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 122 | 129 | 127 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 43"W | 1920x1080 | Open-Cell | રવ | 67 | રેસ | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 32"W | 1366x768 | Open-Cell | 35.0 | 37.0 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | 桌上显示器 | 27"W (IPS) | 1920x1080 | LED | 57.6 | 65.8 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 23.8"W (IPS) | 1920x108 ...

汾渭煤炭专家：动力煤市场调研反馈及展望 20250605 摘要 2025 年以来，动力煤市场呈阶梯式下行趋势，环渤海北方港 5,500 大 卡动力煤价格较年初下跌超 150 元，逼近 2014 年低点，主因供需过剩， 需关注后续市场供需变化。 2025 年 1-4 月全国原煤产量同比增长 6.6%，山西和新疆增幅显著，但 5 月受环保安检及需求疲软影响，产量或环比减少，需关注环保政策对 煤炭生产的影响。 进口动力煤供应减少，预计 2025 年进口总量同比减少 3,000 万-5,000 万吨，印尼煤因价格倒挂减少进口，澳洲煤受洪水影响，需关注国际煤 炭市场供应变化。 国内动力煤市场供应宽松，火电需求受新能源挤压，5 月火电发电量同 比下降 2.3%，电厂库存高位运行，压制煤价，需关注新能源发电对火 电行业的影响。 2025 年 1-4 月动力煤供需过剩累计达 3,046 万吨，各环节库存持续累 积，北方港口库存虽有所下滑，但仍处历史高位，需关注库存水平对煤 价的影响。 Q&A 动力煤市场近期的价格走势如何？ 从 2025 年 5 月底至今，动力煤市场价格一直较为平稳。尽管坑口价格有所反 弹，但港口指数报价仍保 ...