★ 宏观动态 ★ 香港金管局发布关于离岸人民币债券回购业务的优化安排 香港金融管理局今日公布有关离岸人民币债券回购业务的优化安排，以进一步便利"债券通"投资者参与离岸人 民币债券回购业务。措施包括：现时离岸人民币回购业务仅限于以人民币单币种结算。经本次优化后，可进一 步支持多币种外币结算，包括港元、美元和欧元，以便利参与机构按实际需要，以持有的在岸人民币债券持仓 进行多币种资金融通，丰富流动性管理工具，也有助于提升在岸债券的吸引力。优化措施将于2025年8月25日 正式启动。 国内首个低空新基建完整解决方案发布 据央视新闻，7月8日，由遥感卫星应用国家工程研究中心等单位主办的2025空天信息大会在安徽合肥举办，一 批聚焦商业航天、低空经济等未来产业的新技术新成果集中亮相，国内首个低空新基建完整解决方案也在会上 发布。本次大会发布了空天领域一系列创新技术成果与应用产品，涵盖卫星互联网、低空云、低空气象应用、 空天AI大模型等领域。中科星图发布了全国首个低空经济全域赋能平台，包括低空规划平台、护航低空智联 网平台、低空飞副平台、军地民协同平台及一网统飞平台等五个产品体系，提出了从低空规划、安全保障、协 同监管到运 ...

Market Overview - The three major indices in China experienced collective gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.7%, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.47%, and the ChiNext Index up by 2.39% [1][3]. - The photovoltaic sector saw significant ETF performance, with multiple ETFs such as the Photovoltaic 50 ETF rising by 5.90% and the E Fund Photovoltaic ETF increasing by 5.57% [1][10]. Sector Performance - In the A-share market, the telecommunications, power equipment, and electronics sectors led the day with gains of 2.89%, 2.3%, and 2.27% respectively, while utilities, banking, and household appliances lagged behind with declines [6]. - Over the past five trading days, the construction materials, steel, and comprehensive sectors showed strong performance with increases of 5.71%, 5.43%, and 3.67% respectively [6]. ETF Market Activity - The overall performance of ETFs indicated that thematic stock ETFs had the best average gain of 1.46%, while bond ETFs showed no change [8]. - The top-performing ETFs included the Photovoltaic 50 ETF, Photovoltaic Leader ETF, and E Fund Photovoltaic ETF, with returns of 5.90%, 5.57%, and 5.57% respectively [10]. - The top three ETFs by trading volume were the A500 ETF Fund, A500 ETF Huatai Baichuan, and A500 ETF Jiashi, with trading volumes of 3.73 billion, 3.37 billion, and 3.09 billion respectively [12][13]. Investment Trends - There is a notable influx of capital into the technology innovation sector, highlighted by the rapid issuance of the first batch of 10 technology innovation bond ETFs, which collectively raised 30 billion yuan [2]. - The introduction of technology innovation bond ETFs is seen as strategically significant, filling a gap in public funds within the "technology finance" bond fund sector and promoting targeted investment in hard technology [2].

光大期货分析指出，继光伏行业座谈会上明确提出"治理行业低价无序竞争，推动落后产能有序退出， 加快推动产业高质量发展"之后，近期市场消息端传言较多， 一是多晶硅将进行成本摸排定价，低于最低成本价或面临处罚；二是7月多晶硅原定复产取消，行业或 通过收储、协会制定标杆成本价以及将光伏从制造品作为能源品定位等多方面路径实现产能逐步出清， 消息端不确定性较大，后期关注具体的落地情况。 除此之外，昨日多部门印发《关于促进大功率充电设施科学规划建设的通知》，鼓励打造智能有序大功 率充电场站，建立大功率充电场站与配电网高效互动机制，因地制宜配建光伏发电和储能设施。多重举 措使得多晶硅基本面存明显改善预期，市场资金主动流入推涨期货盘面。 此外，据券商中国报道，从昨晚开始，市场即流传一则"小作文"，其主要内容涉及"硅料收储可能会于 近期落地"。事实上，该传闻已经在5月份发酵过一次。彼时有消息指出，六大头部硅料厂商正在探讨并 购相关产能，通过雪藏尾部产能实施更大力度的控产，将用近3个月过渡期形成方案；同时六大龙头已 进一步达成减产挺价共识，并设置了每吨4.5万—5万元的挺价区间。当时，智通财经还证实了硅料大厂 集体协商整合行业的计 ...

Group 1: China Pacific Insurance - China Pacific Insurance reported a total claim payment of 9.92 billion yuan in the first half of the year, with 1.947 million claims processed [1] - Critical illness claims accounted for 577 million yuan, while medical claims totaled 2.74 billion yuan, and death and disability claims reached 1.95 billion yuan [1] - The company utilized intelligent decision-making to achieve an average claim review time of 8.06 seconds and provided green channel services for nearly 3,000 critical illness clients [1] Group 2: Low-altitude New Infrastructure - The first complete solution for low-altitude new infrastructure was unveiled at the 2025 Aerospace Information Conference, focusing on commercial space and low-altitude economy [1] - The solution includes a comprehensive platform for low-altitude planning, safety assurance, collaborative regulation, and operational services [1] Group 3: Government Cloud Market - IDC forecasts that China's government cloud market will reach 93.94 billion yuan in 2024, representing an 18.4% year-on-year growth [2] - The dedicated government cloud market is expected to grow by 19.0% to 66.33 billion yuan, while the public cloud market will grow by 12.2% to 17.24 billion yuan [2] - The cloud operation service market is projected to grow by 26.1% to 10.36 billion yuan, indicating a rapid increase in this segment [2] Group 4: Panel Prices and Demand - TrendForce reported a downward trend in TV panel prices in July 2025, with demand for display panels showing signs of slowing down [2] - Some brands are adjusting their procurement orders for the third quarter while maintaining inventory control [2] Group 5: Samsung's Acquisition - Samsung Electronics announced the acquisition of the American healthcare service company Xealth, expected to be completed by 2025 [3] Group 6: Stablecoin Usage in Yiwu - Reports indicate that Yiwu has seen over 10 billion dollars in stablecoin transactions, with some merchants accepting stablecoin payments [3] - However, many merchants remain unaware of stablecoins, raising concerns about compliance and costs [3] Group 7: Bilibili's Support for Video Podcasts - Bilibili launched a support policy for video podcasts, offering 1 billion in traffic during the summer to assist creators in transitioning to video [4] Group 8: Corporate Announcements - Zhejiang Dongfang announced the resignation of Chairman Jin Zhaoping, with Wang Zhengjia appointed as the new chairman [5] - Yongjin Co. reported that its actual controller, Cao Peifeng, is under bail pending trial for insider trading [5] - Xining Special Steel's controlling shareholder plans to issue up to 578 million shares to raise funds for working capital [6] - Anhui Construction won two major engineering projects worth 7.135 billion yuan and 950 million yuan, respectively [7] Group 9: Earnings Forecasts - Hailu Heavy Industry expects a net profit increase of 48.92% to 60.68% for the first half of 2025 [8] - Huace Navigation anticipates a net profit growth of 38.93% to 46.04% for the same period [9] - Haohua Technology projects a net profit increase of 59.3% to 75.5% for the first half of 2025 [11] - Juhua Co. expects a significant net profit increase of 136% to 155% for the first half of 2025 [12] - Longbo Technology forecasts a net profit growth of 49.51% to 66.12% for the first half of 2025 [13] Group 10: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.7%, approaching 3,500 points, with over 4,200 stocks increasing in value [14] - The market saw significant activity in sectors such as computing hardware, photovoltaic, and gaming [14]

作者：加号 来源：帆书樊登讲书 （ID: readingclub_btfx） 一个人能接受的事情越多，越是自由。 ♬ 点上方播放按钮可收听 洞见主播素年锦时朗读音频 洞见 （ DJ00123987 ） —— 不一样的观点，不一样的故事， 3000 万人订阅的微信大号。点击标题下蓝字 " 洞见 " 关注，我们将为您提供有价值、有意思的 延伸阅读。 你有没有过这样的感受： 在大家面前发言时，你看着大家的炯炯目光，紧张到忘词； 在开会讨论时，担心自己的观点不被认同，就选择沉默、附和； 碰到熟人问你事，你回答完之后，又觉得自己答非所问，瞬间信念崩塌、不停自责。 这些事都能让你恨不得钻进地缝，脚趾都快抠出三室一厅。 可事实上，你的好坏除了你自己，根本无人在意。 只是自己的无端放大，才让你觉得输不起、放不下。 但正如罗永浩说的： 公开出丑，可以克服自身各种心理障碍。 仔细想想，确实如此。 出过丑、犯过错，你会发现并不会天塌地崩，日子照样过，时间照样走。 丢掉面子，甩掉包袱，心中无事一身轻，做事自然多遂意。 打破 「 体面」的保护壳，允许一切发生。 在《山月记》有这样一个故事。 年少得志的李徵，心怀诗歌梦，看不上官场的迎来 ...

中信建投证券股份有限公司 关于哈尔滨新光光电科技股份有限公司 上海证券交易所： 中信建投证券股份有限公司（以下简称"保荐机构"、"中信建投证券"） 为哈尔滨新光光电科技股份有限公司（以下简称"新光光电"、"公司"）首次 公开发行并在科创板上市的保荐机构。新光光电于 2025 年 6 月 5 日收到贵所下 发的《关于对哈尔滨新光光电科技股份有限公司 2024 年年度报告的信息披露监 管问询函》（上证科创公函【2025】0232 号，以下简称"问询函"）。本保荐 机构根据《证券发行上市保荐业务管理办法》《上海证券交易所科创板股票上市 《上海证券交易所科创板上市公司自律监管指引第 1 号——规范运作》 规则》 《科 创板上市公司持续监管办法（试行）》等相关法律、法规和规范性文件的规定， 对问询函中需持续督导机构发表意见的事项进行了审慎核查，并出具核查意见如 下： 问题：关于募投项目 公司首次公开发行募投项目"光机电一体化产品批产线升级改造及精密光机 零件制造项目"计划投入 2.50 亿元，截至期末累计投入 147.72 万元，投资进度 入 1.13 亿元，投资进度 49.23%；"研发中心建设项目"计划投入 1.3 ...

高盛表示，AI芯片对光模块的配比率正在显著提升，这支撑了数据中心对高速光模块的需求，将光模块厂商2025-2027年 的净利润预测上调42%，目标价提升23%-82%。展望后续，高盛预计一线厂商估值收敛、二线厂商受益于需求外溢将成 为两大投资主线。。 硬·AI 作者 | 李笑寅 编辑 | 硬 AI 随着AI技术的迅猛发展，AI芯片与光模块的"配比率"持续提升，成为推动光模块行业增长的重要引擎。 据追风交易台消息，高盛分析师Jin Guo、Allen Chang在其最新研报中表示，AI芯片与光收发器配比率持 续上升的趋势将显著增强行业长期发展韧性。 01 配比率提升驱动下 光模块需求有强劲支撑 AI芯片与光模块的配比率提升是行业增长的核心驱动力。 报告显示，基于厂商发布的参考设计，GPU/ASIC与光收发器的配比率呈明显上升趋势。 比如，H100和GB200的配比率约为1:3（每GPU需要3个800G光收发模块），而B300提升至1:4.5，特定 ASIC训练集群甚至达到1:8。这一变化源于新芯片更高的带宽需求以及网络架构从400G向800G甚至1.6T 的升级。 报告强调， 这种趋势意味着即使AI芯片销量增长 ...

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic sector, particularly polysilicon stocks, experienced a significant surge, with leading companies like Tongwei Co., Ltd. and Daqo New Energy Corp. seeing substantial gains, indicating a positive market sentiment and potential recovery in the polysilicon market [1][2]. Industry Summary - The polysilicon market has shown signs of recovery, with a balanced supply-demand situation and no new inventory pressures reported [3][4]. - Monthly polysilicon production has stabilized around 100,000 tons, with expectations of an annual output of approximately 1.2 million tons, allowing for the consumption of about 100,000 tons of inventory in the second half of the year [4][5]. - The average transaction price for N-type polysilicon has slightly increased, reflecting a 0.87% week-on-week rise, indicating a positive price trend in the market [3]. - The industry is currently facing a significant reduction in production capacity, with nine companies having ceased operations since the beginning of 2024, contributing to a more favorable supply-demand balance [3][5]. - The overall domestic polysilicon production for the first half of the year was approximately 596,000 tons, a substantial year-on-year decrease of 44.1%, highlighting the impact of reduced operational capacity [4].

Core Points - The Chinese A-share market experienced a significant increase on July 8, with major indices closing in the green, marking a four-day consecutive rise and approaching the 3500-point threshold for the Shanghai Composite Index [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3497 points, up 0.7%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.46% to 10588 points, and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.39% to 2181 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached approximately 14539 billion RMB, an increase of about 2453 billion RMB compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Insights - The photovoltaic equipment sector led the market with a 5.55% increase, driven by stocks such as Shihang New Energy, Yijing Photovoltaic, and Tongwei Co., which saw significant price gains, including Shihang New Energy's approximately 20% rise [1] - The Minister of Industry and Information Technology, Li Lecheng, recently held a meeting focusing on accelerating the high-quality development of the photovoltaic industry, emphasizing the need to address low-price competition and promote product quality improvement [1] - Analysts suggest that the recent signals from the Chinese government to combat "involution" in the photovoltaic industry may accelerate the clearing of excess supply and push for technological advancements, shifting the focus from price competition to technological differentiation [2]

各位朋友好，又到了帮主郑重的收评时间。今天这行情可太热闹了，沪指一口气涨到3497点，离3500就差临门一脚，创业板更是大涨2.39%，市场赚钱效应 直接拉满。最亮眼的是光伏和AI这对"黄金搭档"，一个稳扎稳打，一个火力全开，带着全场节奏。 消费电子和PCB这两个"小兄弟"今天也跟着喝汤。消费电子受益于政策补贴和换机潮，长春、江苏这些地方又开始发家电以旧换新券了，再加上苹果、华为 下半年要发布AI手机和折叠屏，产业链上游的元件厂直接被订单砸晕了。PCB就更猛了，除了AI服务器的需求，新能源汽车每辆车的PCB用量是传统车的6 倍，这波行情妥妥的"一箭双雕"。 不过咱们得冷静点，市场从来没有只涨不跌的板块。光伏虽然政策利好不断，但行业产能过剩的问题还没完全解决，尤其是硅料、硅片这些环节，价格战可 能还会反复。AI虽然前景无限，但技术迭代太快，今天的龙头说不定明天就被新技术颠覆了，所以得盯着那些真正有核心技术的公司，比如绑定英伟达、 华为的供应链企业。 具体到操作上，我给大家三个建议。首先是"抓大放小"，光伏就盯着隆基、通威这些技术领先的龙头，AI重点看工业富联、中际旭创这些算力核心标的。其 次是"高低切换"，消费 ...