Economic Performance - Hong Kong's real GDP grew by 3.1% year-on-year in Q1 2025, an increase from 2.5% in the previous quarter [1][4] - Seasonally adjusted, the real GDP rose by 1.9% quarter-on-quarter, revised from an earlier estimate of 2.0% [4] Trade and Exports - Overall merchandise exports increased significantly by 8.4% year-on-year in Q1 2025, up from a 1.3% increase in the previous quarter [6] - Service output also expanded by 6.6% year-on-year in Q1 2025, following a 6.5% increase in the previous quarter [6] Investment and Consumption - Total investment expenditure showed a moderate growth of 2.8% year-on-year in Q1 2025, recovering from a slight decline of 0.7% in the previous quarter [7] - Private consumption expenditure continued to decline slightly by 1.1% year-on-year, reflecting ongoing changes in consumer behavior [7] Labor Market - The unemployment rate remained low at 3.2% in Q1 2025, slightly up from 3.1% in the previous quarter, while the underemployment rate held steady at 1.1% [8] Asset Market - The Hong Kong stock market experienced volatility, with the Hang Seng Index reaching a three-year high of 24,771 points in mid-March 2025, before closing at 23,120 points at the end of Q1, a 15.3% increase from the end of 2024 [10] - Residential property prices declined by 2% in Q1 2025, while overall residential rents increased slightly by 0.4% [11] Inflation - The basic composite consumer price index rose by 1.2% year-on-year in Q1 2025, consistent with the previous quarter [12] - The overall composite consumer price index increased by 1.6% year-on-year, up from 1.4% in the previous quarter [12] Economic Forecast - The forecast for Hong Kong's real GDP growth for 2025 remains at 2% to 3%, consistent with earlier projections [15][17] - The inflation rate predictions for basic and overall consumer prices are maintained at 1.5% and 1.8%, respectively [15][17]

技术面 黄金昨日收出大阴线，整体放量下跌走势，而且低位击穿3200关口，具有一定的标志性意义。其中，昨 日黄金最高触及3257.8，最低触及3174.8，开线3253.3，收线3182.5位置，最大运行区间83美元，最终跌 幅70.8美元。日线走势上，黄金昨日呈放量下跌走势，行情换线之后直接走承压整理回落走势，低位击 穿3200关口，直接标志着两个交易日来的滞跌调整带3200关口失效了，整体结构继续向下试探，近乎光 脚收线，也为今日的续跌行情埋下了伏笔。今日以来，行情换线之后，走出了杀跌反抽走势，低位冲击 3120一带，近60美元的杀跌空间，已经将进一步的回撤下跌空间打开了，不过行情低位已经开始冲击 3100关口带了，反抽走势也在出现，下一步的调整预期也会逐步凸显。 5月15日，属5月第三周。本周接下来适当关注美国4月PPI数据揭晓，其他方面继续关注特朗普关税关税 政策谈判的后续进展影响。 昨日市场行情呈放量下跌走势，整体来看，市场对于贸易风险缓和、全球降息预期推迟的押注正逐步走 高。随着**贸易关税联合声明发布，市场对于贸易关税混乱风险的预期正逐步降低，不过从谈判的结果 来看，普遍10%以上的关税增量，还是 ...

日本央行审议委员中村豊明：各司法管辖区的贸易及其他政策的走向极不确定，海外经济活动和物价将 如何对这些政策作出反应仍难以预料。 ...

美国财政部副部长：对持续上涨的物价不担忧。 ...

韩国4月进口物价指数年率 -2.3%，前值3.40%。 ...

韩国4月出口物价指数年率 0.7%，前值6.30%。 ...

Group 1 - Key Point 1: The Hang Seng Index Company will announce the results of the Hang Seng Index series review [1] - Key Point 2: France's ILO unemployment rate for Q1 will be released at 13:30 [1] - Key Point 3: The Eurozone's seasonally adjusted trade balance for March will be published at 17:00 [1] Group 2 - Key Point 1: The U.S. will report the annualized number of new housing starts for April at 20:30 [1] - Key Point 2: The total number of building permits in the U.S. for April will also be released at 20:30 [1] - Key Point 3: The U.S. import price index month-on-month for April will be reported at 20:30 [1] Group 3 - Key Point 1: The preliminary one-year inflation expectations for May in the U.S. will be available at 22:00 [1] - Key Point 2: The preliminary consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan for May will be released at 22:00 [1] - Key Point 3: The total number of oil rigs in the U.S. for the week ending May 16 will be reported at 01:00 the next day [1]

美国劳工统计局5月15日发布数据，美国4月PPI同比增长2.4%，环比下降0.5%。 ...

美国4月PPI同比 2.4%，预期 2.5%，前值 2.7%。 ...

美国4月PPI年率录得2.4%，连续第三个月下降，为去年9月以来新低。4月PPI月率录得-0.5%，创2020年 4月以来新低，远低于市场预期的0.2%。 ...