新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-06-06 特朗普提高钢铝关税 铜品种亦受到影响走高 市场要闻与重要数据 期货行情： 2025-06-05，沪铜主力合约开于 78050元/吨，收于 78170元/吨，较前一交易日收盘-0.04%，昨日夜盘沪铜主力合 约开于 78,960元/吨，收于 78,570 元/吨，较昨日午后收盘上涨0.58%。 现货情况： 据 SMM 讯， 昨日日内现货品牌价差依旧存在，好铜如金川大板、贵溪等升水150-200元/吨，波兰大板等升水 120-150元/吨成交。祥光、鲁方、JCC等报价高至升水170-200元/吨，个别少量祥光成交升水40元/吨，随后市场难 觅。铁峰、豫光、金冠、金凤、金豚pc、大江等贴水30至升水20元/吨陆续成交。日内上下游出货与采购情绪均走 弱。 今日，低价货源日内成交走至贴水后重新回到平水价格，目前月差持续收敛，距离交割仍有7个交易日，预 计现货成交短期内会僵持于平水一线。 重要资讯汇总： 宏观与地缘方面，美国初请失业金人数激增至8个月新高。美国贸易逆差因特朗普关税导致进口大跌而锐减55.5%， 至616亿美元。此外，欧洲央行将三大关键利率下调25个基点。拉加 ...

Core Viewpoint - Copper futures prices are expected to rise due to supply disruptions from halted mining operations and a significant drop in copper inventories to a one-year low [1] Group 1: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Mining operations have been paused, leading to concerns over copper supply shortages [1] - Copper inventories have decreased to a one-year low, indicating tightening supply conditions in the market [1] Group 2: Price Outlook - The potential for further increases in copper prices is being questioned, given the current supply constraints and inventory levels [1]

行业 铜期货日报 日期 2025 年 6 月 6 日 有色金属研究团队 研究员：张平 021-60635734 zhangping@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015713 研究员：余菲菲 021-60635729 yufeifei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3025190 研究员：彭婧霖 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、 行情回顾与操作建议 图1：沪铜走势及盘面价差 图2：伦铜走势及价差 该矿区第一季度产铜 770 万磅，占公司总产量的 7.2%；同时暂停 Flin Flon 和 Snow Lake 地区的勘探活动。公司认为两个地区的基础设施受损风险较低， 该公司称，将持续监控局势，一旦条件允许，确保安全恢复全面运营。 沪铜窄幅震荡，总持仓下降 4040 手至 55.2 万手，盘面价差结构继续缩窄，06-07 缩窄至 100,07-08 缩窄至 130，现货升水也跌至 90，06 合约交割临近以及需求不 佳令期现价差收窄，不过 ...

期货热点追踪 铜价强势走高，谁在推波助澜？未来价格涨势能否延续？ 相关链接 ...

【冠通研究】 盘中承压运行，震荡区间内波动 制作日期：2025 年 6 月 5 日 【策略分析】 沪铜今日低开高走日内承压运行。美国经济数据疲软，美元走势承压。特朗普政府 近期宣布将钢铁及铝进口关税翻倍至 50%，并同步启动对铜进口的《232 条款》调查，引 发市场对铜关税政策落地的强烈预期供给方面保持偏紧预期，截止 5 月 30 日，我国现货 粗炼费(TC)-43.45 美元/干吨，RC 费用-4.34 美分/磅，TC/RC 费用依然处于负值，但下 滑幅度明显放缓，利润负值状态下，市场偏紧预期依然存在。5 月 SMM 中国电解铜产量 环比增加 1.26 万吨，升幅为 1.12%，同比上升 12.86%。1-5 月累计产量同比增加 54.48 万吨，增幅为 11.09%。国内精炼铜产量维持高位，同比增速大幅增加，位于历年同期高 位水平，目前市场对铜供应紧张预期尚未兑现，实质供应尚未减弱。需求方面，国内 PMI 数据向好，并且淡季需求韧性强，对铜价提供支撑。国内上期所库存五月底以来继 续去化，印证下游出口及需求力度。目前铜价依然在宽幅区间震荡，主要影响因素为宏 观环境变化，基本面除需求短短期边际走弱步入淡季外， ...

今日涨跌幅居前的概念板块 | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 兵装重组概念 | 8.24 | 乳业 | -2.18 | | 共封装光学(CPO) | 3.62 | 动物疫苗 | -2.12 | | 足球概念 | 3.38 | 中韩自贸区 | -2.08 | | 电力物联网 | 3.28 | 猪肉 | -1.76 | | MLOps概念 | 3.27 | 减肥药 | -1.74 | | AI PC | 3.27 | 培育钻石 | -1.69 | | 铜缆高速连接 | 3.21 | CRO概念 | -1.68 | | F5G概念 | 3.15 | 养鸡 | -1.68 | | 中国AI 50 | 3.12 | 仿制药一致性评价 | -1.68 | | AI手机 | 3.02 | 预制菜 | -1.65 | 资金面上看，今日铜缆高速连接概念板块获主力资金净流入12.61亿元，其中，27股获主力资金净流 入，7股主力资金净流入超5000万元，净流入资金居首的是沃尔核材，今日主力资金净流入4.14亿元， 净流入资金居前的还有立讯精密 ...

今日涨跌幅居前的概念板块 兵装重组概念资金流入榜 | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 兵装重组概念 | 8.24 | 乳业 | -2.18 | | 共封装光学(CPO) | 3.62 | 动物疫苗 | -2.12 | | 足球概念 | 3.38 | 中韩自贸区 | -2.08 | | 电力物联网 | 3.28 | 猪肉 | -1.76 | | MLOps概念 | 3.27 | 减肥药 | -1.74 | | AI PC | 3.27 | 培育钻石 | -1.69 | | 铜缆高速连接 | 3.21 | CRO概念 | -1.68 | | F5G概念 | 3.15 | 养鸡 | -1.68 | | 中国AI 50 | 3.12 | 仿制药一致性评价 | -1.68 | | AI手机 | 3.02 | 预制菜 | -1.65 | 资金面上看，今日兵装重组概念板块获主力资金净流入4.60亿元，其中，5股获主力资金净流入，5股主 力资金净流入超千万元，净流入资金居首的是建设工业，今日主力资金净流入2.76亿元，净流入资金居 前的还 ...

● 国内金融市场 · | | 回元 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0 | | 股指期货 | D | | | | 4 | | | 品种 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | 品种 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3376.2 | 0. 42% | 上证当月连续 | 2673.6 | 0.16% | | 深证成指 10144.58 | | 0. 87% | 沪深当月连续 | 3842. 4 | 0.41% | | 创业板指 | 2024. 93 | 1.11% | 恒生期货指数 | 30352. 92 | 0.74% | 宏观消息汇总 1.工业和信息化部、国家发展改革委等部门组织开展2025年新 能源汽车下乡活动。 2。科技部副部长在会上表示，第二届"一带一路"科技交流大会将 于6月10日至12日在四川成都举办。 3.据相关媒体报道，台积电即将迎来2纳米制程的投产。 二、行业最新动态 我们不是资讯的搬运工 而是有态度的发现者 万和财富早班车 2025年6月5日 3.德尔股份(300473)：拟约3亿元 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - LME three-month copper price fell by $12.50 or 0.13%, closing at $9,621.50 per ton on June 4 [1][2] - LME copper inventory decreased by 2,500 tons or 1.74%, reaching a near one-year low of 141,350 tons [4] Group 2: Trade Developments - President Trump announced an increase in tariffs on imported steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%, effective June 4, 2025 [3] - The U.S. Trade Representative's office sent a letter to trade partners reminding them of the upcoming deadline for trade negotiations [3] Group 3: Price Dynamics - COMEX copper price rose by 1.21% to $4.8925 per pound, with a premium over LME copper of $1,164.6 per ton [7] - LME tin led the gains among base metals, rising by $640 or 2.04%, closing at $32,018 per ton due to supply concerns [8]

Core Viewpoint - Yunnan Jinxun Resources Co., Ltd. is preparing to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, positioning itself as the fifth largest cathode copper producer in China and the only Chinese company ranked among the top five in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Zambia [1][2]. Company Overview - JinXun Resources primarily produces cathode copper and is projected to produce approximately 16,000 tons in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and 5,000 tons in Zambia by the end of 2024 [2]. - The company has shown significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 639 million yuan, 677 million yuan, and 1.771 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, respectively [3]. Industry Context - Cathode copper is a core raw material for copper processing, widely used in consumer electronics, infrastructure, construction, and transportation [2]. - Global copper reserves have increased from approximately 870 million tons in 2020 to an estimated 980 million tons by 2024, with significant reserves located in Chile, Peru, Australia, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo [2]. - The global demand for cathode copper is expected to grow from 27.8 million tons in 2025 to 30.5 million tons by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 2.3% [2]. Financial Performance - JinXun Resources reported a gross profit margin of 32.04% for its cathode copper business in the previous year [3]. - The concentration of sales from the top five customers has decreased from 79.9% in 2022 to 56.9% in 2024, indicating a diversification in customer base [3]. Management Background - The actual controller of JinXun Resources, Yuan Rong, has a unique background, having worked as a ticket seller and truck driver before founding the company in 2010 [4][6]. - Yuan Rong has received multiple awards for his entrepreneurial achievements, including the "Outstanding Entrepreneur" title in Kunming High-tech Zone [6].